Marlins vs Blue Jays Game Breakdown

Get ready to dive into the splash zone, sports fans! Today’s MLB showdown at Rogers Centre is set to be a sizzler as the Miami Marlins, swimming upstream with a 60-100 record, clash against the Toronto Blue Jays, who are looking to soar past their 74-86 season tally. The clock’s ticking down to a 03:07 PM EST start, with both teams battling the currents of their respective conferences. The Marlins are trying to make waves despite being 34 games back, while the Jays are flapping 19 games behind, hoping to claw back some dignity. With the betting sharks circling an over/under of 8.5 and the air as thick as a humid Miami beach day, today’s game promises to be as unpredictable as the weather. And after yesterday’s wild flip of fortunes where the Marlins devoured the Jays 14-5, who knows what today’s game will reel in? So, let’s see if the Marlins can keep swimming strong or if the Blue Jays will take flight in this feathery fish fight!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 28, 2024 03:07PM EST

Location: Rogers Centre, Toronto

Weather: Overcast with winds from the E at 14.8 mph. Temperature is at 68.0° with 73% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIA ML	TOR ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+140	-168	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+135	-161	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-5	+7	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

122W-195L

42.6% Win Probability

LAST 10

2W-8L

HOME

175W-146L

57.4% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
09/27/24	Miami Marlins MIA	15	Over	+11.5
09/27/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	5	Over	+11.5
06/19/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	0	Over	+2.5
06/19/23	Miami Marlins MIA	11	Over	+2.5
06/20/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	2	Under	-6.5
06/20/23	Miami Marlins MIA	0	Under	-6.5
06/21/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	6	Over	+0.5
06/21/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Over	+0.5

Marlins Vs Over/Under

Blue Jays Vs Over/Under

Xzavion Curry

ERA 5.121 | IP 38.7 | 1.0W-2.0L | KO 27.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-22-24	vsATL	5-4L	1.0	1	1	0	Over
09-22-24	vsATL	5-4L	1.0	1	1	0	Over
09-21-24	vsATL	6-2L	0.3	0	0	1	Under
09-18-24	vsLAD	8-4L	2.7	0	0	3	Over
09-11-24	@PIT	1-3L	4.7	2	0	3	Under
09-06-24	vsPHI	16-2L	1.0	4	4	2	Over
09-05-24	vsPHI	5-2L	1.0	0	0	1	Under
09-01-24	@SF	7-5W	1.7	0	0	2	Over
08-31-24	@SF	4-3W	0.7	0	0	0	Under
08-03-24	@BAL	7-4L	3.0	6	4	2	Over

Yariel Rodriguez

ERA 4.408 | IP 81.7 | 1.0W-7.0L | KO 80.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-21-24	@TB	2-3L	4.0	4	3	3	Under
09-15-24	vsSTL	2-3W	4.3	3	1	2	Under
09-08-24	@ATL	3-4L	5.0	2	1	6	Under
09-01-24	@MIN	3-4L	3.0	3	0	3	Under
08-27-24	@BOS	3-6L	5.0	8	6	3	Over
08-26-24	@BOS	4-1W	1.0	0	0	0	Under
08-21-24	vsCIN	11-7L	4.3	6	5	6	Over
08-16-24	@CHC	5-6L	5.0	4	4	5	Over
08-10-24	vsOAK	1-0L	5.7	5	1	5	Under
08-04-24	@NYY	3-4L	4.7	4	0	4	Under

Marlins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/29	vs TOR	14-5W	17	3	Over
09/28	vs MIN	8-6W	13	0	Over
09/27	vs MIN	3-8L	11	1	Over
09/26	vs MIN	4-1W	10	1	Under
09/24	@ ATL	4-5L	9	4	Over
09/24	@ ATL	4-5L	9	4	Over
09/23	@ ATL	2-6L	6	0	Under
09/22	@ ATL	4-3W	8	0	Under
09/21	@ LAD	4-20L	9	3	Over
09/20	@ LAD	4-8L	8	0	Over
09/19	@ LAD	11-9W	15	2	Over
09/17	vs WAS	3-4L	6	1	Under
09/16	vs WAS	1-4L	6	0	Under
09/15	vs WAS	1-4L	8	1	Under
09/14	vs WAS	6-3W	8	0	Over

Blue Jays Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/29	@ MIA	5-14L	12	1	Over
09/27	@ BOS	6-1W	11	1	Under
09/26	@ BOS	5-6L	5	0	Over
09/25	@ BOS	1-4L	6	0	Under
09/24	vs TB	3-4L	11	0	Under
09/24	vs TB	3-4L	11	0	Under
09/23	vs TB	2-3L	9	0	Under
09/22	vs TB	0-1L	5	0	Under
09/21	vs TEX	4-0W	7	2	Under
09/20	vs TEX	0-2L	5	0	Under
09/19	vs TEX	8-13L	13	1	Over
09/17	@ STL	3-2W	6	1	Under
09/16	@ STL	7-2W	10	1	Over
09/15	@ STL	4-3W	10	0	Under
09/13	@ NYM	2-6L	6	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Miami Marlins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Xavier Edwards	8.5	10.7	0.317	0.409	0.436	0.846	0.339	0.004
#2 Connor Norby	8.3	10.9	0.247	0.471	0.333	0.805	0.329	0.057
#3 Jake Burger	8.3	10.9	0.249	0.466	0.325	0.791	0.325	0.057
#4 Jesus Sanchez	8.0	10.4	0.252	0.426	0.345	0.771	0.316	0.040
#5 Jonah Bride	7.1	9.4	0.268	0.473	0.415	0.888	0.355	0.054
#6 Griffin Conine	6.1	8.0	0.263	0.461	0.355	0.816	0.333	0.039
#7 Otto Lopez	6.3	8.0	0.272	0.377	0.337	0.713	0.295	0.015
#8 Kyle Stowers	5.2	6.9	0.200	0.323	0.282	0.605	0.253	0.015
#9 Jhonny Pereda	5.6	6.8	0.229	0.229	0.257	0.486	0.209	0.000

Toronto Blue Jays	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 George Springer	8.4	11.0	0.218	0.371	0.339	0.709	0.291	0.035
#2 Nathan Lukes	7.7	10.0	0.299	0.403	0.429	0.831	0.333	0.000
#3 V. Guerrero	9.6	12.6	0.326	0.543	0.449	0.992	0.395	0.048
#4 Spencer Horwitz	7.6	10.0	0.266	0.438	0.419	0.856	0.343	0.037
#5 Alejandro Kirk	7.4	9.7	0.255	0.362	0.365	0.727	0.298	0.015
#6 Ernie Clement	6.1	7.8	0.264	0.411	0.297	0.708	0.295	0.028
#7 Addison Barger	5.9	7.9	0.199	0.354	0.277	0.631	0.263	0.034
#8 Davis Schneider	6.4	8.5	0.191	0.344	0.321	0.664	0.274	0.033
#9 Joey Loperfido	5.0	6.5	0.221	0.362	0.289	0.651	0.271	0.017

Marlins Notable Injuries

Max Meyer OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/05/24. Impact: 3.6
John McMillon OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/13/24. Impact: 2.0
Calvin Faucher OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/06/24. Impact: 1.6
Declan Cronin OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/27/24. Impact: 1.1

Blue Jays Notable Injuries

Daulton Varsho OUT (OF): Avg: 0.211 SLG:0.403 Last game: 09/13/24. Impact: 2.1
Will Wagner OUT (2B): Avg: 0.305 SLG:0.451 Last game: 09/15/24. Impact: 2.2
Bo Bichette OUT (SS): Avg: 0.225 SLG:0.322 Last game: 09/19/24. Impact: 1.6