Marlins vs Nationals Game Breakdown

Get ready for an electrifying showdown at Nationals Park as the Miami Marlins dive into the capital to face the Washington Nationals in a clash that’s more heated than the sunny, breezy 79-degree weather on deck! With the Marlins swimming upstream at 23-46 and the Nationals marching in at a steadier 33-36, today’s 4:05 PM EST game promises to stir up the National League waters. Both teams are looking to navigate the currents of their conference standings, where Miami is currently 24 games back and Washington is trying to close a 14-game gap. Fresh off their previous encounter where the Nationals made quite the splash with an 8-1 victory, the stakes and the stats, including an over/under of 8.5, suggest we’re in for some serious action. So, as the Marlins try to school their rivals and the Nationals aim to defend their turf, let’s see if Miami can turn the tide or if Washington continues to sail smoothly in their home waters!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: June 15, 2024 04:05PM EST

Location: Nationals Park, Washington

Weather: Sunny with winds from the N at 11.9 mph. Temperature is at 79.0° with 49% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIA ML	WAS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+107	-128	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+103	-123	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-4	+5	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

2W-8L

AWAY

104W-167L

49.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

106W-164L

50.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/26/24	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Under	-4.5
04/26/24	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Under	-4.5
04/27/24	Washington Nationals WAS	11	Over	+6.5
04/27/24	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Over	+6.5
04/28/24	Washington Nationals WAS	12	Over	+12.5
04/28/24	Miami Marlins MIA	9	Over	+12.5
04/29/24	Washington Nationals WAS	7	Over	+0.5
04/29/24	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Over	+0.5
06/14/24	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Over	+0.5
06/14/24	Washington Nationals WAS	8	Over	+0.5
05/16/23	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Over	+0.5
05/16/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Over	+0.5
05/17/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Under	-1.5
05/17/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Under	-1.5
05/18/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Under	-0.5
05/18/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Under	-0.5
06/16/23	Miami Marlins MIA	6	Over	+2.5
06/16/23	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Over	+2.5
06/17/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Under	-1.5
06/17/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-1.5
06/18/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Under	-2.5
06/18/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-2.5
08/25/23	Washington Nationals WAS	7	Over	+2.5
08/25/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Over	+2.5
08/26/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Under	-3.5
08/26/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-3.5
08/27/23	Washington Nationals WAS	1	Under	-5.5
08/27/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-5.5
08/31/23	Miami Marlins MIA	6	Under	-1.5
08/31/23	Washington Nationals WAS	1	Under	-1.5
09/01/23	Miami Marlins MIA	8	Over	+4.5
09/01/23	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Over	+4.5
09/02/23	Miami Marlins MIA	11	Over	+7.5
09/02/23	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Over	+7.5
09/03/23	Miami Marlins MIA	6	Over	+1.5
09/03/23	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Over	+1.5

Marlins Vs Over/Under

Nationals Vs Over/Under

Trevor Rogers

ERA 5.371 | IP 62.0 | 1.0W-7.0L | KO 52.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-09-24	vsCLE	6-3L	5.0	2	1	5	Push
06-02-24	vsTEX	6-0L	6.0	6	4	3	Under
05-27-24	@SD	1-2L	5.3	6	1	3	Under
05-21-24	vsMIL	7-5L	3.7	6	4	4	Over
05-15-24	@DET	2-0W	5.0	3	0	6	Under
05-10-24	vsPHI	8-2L	3.3	9	5	3	Over
05-04-24	@OAK	4-20L	2.3	8	8	1	Over
04-29-24	vsWAS	7-2L	5.0	4	3	3	Push
04-23-24	@ATL	0-5L	5.7	7	5	4	Under
04-17-24	vsSF	3-1L	5.7	4	1	6	Under

DJ Herz

ERA 6.48 | IP 8.3 | 0.0W-1.0L | KO 8.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-09-24	vsATL	5-8W	4.3	4	2	5	Over
06-04-24	vsNYM	6-3L	4.0	7	4	3	Push

Marlins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/16	vs WAS	1-8L	7	0	Push
06/15	vs NYM	2-3L	8	2	Under
06/14	vs NYM	4-10L	9	0	Over
06/13	vs NYM	4-2W	5	0	Under
06/11	@ CLE	3-6L	5	2	Push
06/10	@ CLE	0-8L	4	0	Under
06/09	@ CLE	3-2W	7	2	Under
06/07	@ TB	3-5L	7	0	Under
06/06	@ TB	5-9L	12	1	Over
06/04	@ TEX	0-6L	7	0	Under
06/03	@ TEX	0-7L	7	0	Under
06/02	@ TEX	8-2W	12	2	Over
05/31	vs SD	9-1W	16	1	Over
05/30	vs SD	0-4L	6	0	Under
05/29	vs SD	1-2L	4	1	Under

Nationals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/16	@ MIA	8-1W	13	1	Push
06/15	vs DET	2-7L	5	0	Push
06/14	vs DET	7-5W	13	1	Over
06/13	vs DET	5-4W	5	0	Push
06/11	@ ATL	8-5W	7	1	Over
06/10	@ ATL	7-3W	12	1	Over
06/09	@ ATL	2-1W	5	0	Under
06/08	@ ATL	2-5L	6	2	Under
06/07	@ NYM	1-9L	7	0	Over
06/06	@ NYM	3-6L	6	0	Push
06/05	@ NYM	7-8L	11	1	Over
06/04	vs CLE	5-2W	8	0	Under
06/03	vs CLE	2-2L	6	0	Under
06/02	vs CLE	1-7L	4	0	Under
06/01	vs ATL	3-1W	8	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Miami Marlins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Jazz Chisholm Jr.	8.4	10.8	0.25	0.431	34.6%	77.7%	3.8%
#2 Bryan De La Cruz	8.1	10.5	0.246	0.418	32.8%	74.6%	4.1%
#3 Josh Bell	7.5	9.8	0.239	0.375	34.4%	71.8%	2.7%
#4 Jake Burger	8.3	10.9	0.224	0.355	28.4%	63.9%	3.3%
#5 Otto Lopez	6.7	8.6	0.277	0.393	32.1%	71.4%	2.7%
#6 Tim Anderson	7.1	8.5	0.221	0.238	26.0%	49.7%	0.0%
#7 Dane Myers	5.6	7.6	0.216	0.353	35.3%	70.6%	2.0%
#8 Emmanuel Rivera	5.7	7.5	0.209	0.245	33.6%	58.2%	0.0%
#9 Nick Fortes	5.2	6.8	0.163	0.233	20.9%	44.2%	1.6%

Washington Nationals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 CJ Abrams	8.4	10.9	0.257	0.479	33.5%	81.3%	4.3%
#2 Lane Thomas	8.9	11.5	0.231	0.359	33.3%	69.2%	3.2%
#3 Nick Senzel	7.7	10.2	0.232	0.411	40.4%	81.5%	4.0%
#4 Joey Meneses	7.7	10.1	0.243	0.318	34.1%	65.9%	0.9%
#5 Ildemaro Vargas	7.2	9.3	0.275	0.358	38.3%	74.2%	0.0%
#6 Keibert Ruiz	6.7	8.7	0.195	0.287	24.7%	53.4%	2.3%
#7 Trey Lipscomb	6.6	8.4	0.25	0.287	37.0%	65.7%	0.9%
#8 Jacob Young	6.2	7.9	0.263	0.307	35.2%	65.9%	0.0%
#9 Drew Millas	5.5	6.6	0.062	0.062	12.5%	18.8%	0.0%

Marlins Notable Injuries

Ryan Weathers OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/09/24. Impact: 7.4
Sixto Sanchez OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/02/24. Impact: 1.1

Nationals Notable Injuries

Trevor Williams OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/01/24. Impact: 6.0
Joey Gallo OUT (1B): Avg: 0.164 SLG:0.321 Last game: 06/13/24. Impact: 1.8