Marlins vs Nationals Game Breakdown

Get ready to dive into the deep end as the Miami Marlins swim up to Nationals Park, looking to make some waves against the Washington Nationals in today’s MLB showdown! With the Marlins trying to claw their way out of a 33-game abyss and the Nationals aiming to cannonball past their 21.5-game setback in the National League, tensions are as high as the 82.9° weather they’re playing in. It’s a partly cloudy day with a breeze just brisk enough to keep the flags fluttering and the caps flying. The Marlins, fresh off a stinging 1-4 defeat, are hungry for redemption, while the Nationals are riding the wave of yesterday’s 4-1 victory. With the betting lines tipping in favor of the Nationals at -145 and an over/under that promises some action at 8.5, today’s game is not just a match—it’s a showdown at 04:05 PM EST that could flip the standings on their tail. So, let’s see if the Marlins can jump out of the water, or if the Nationals will continue to run the bases home!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 14, 2024 04:05PM EST

Location: Nationals Park, Washington

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the E at 9.6 mph. Temperature is at 82.9° with 46% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIA ML	WAS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+122	-145	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+125	-149	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+3	-4	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

119W-192L

44.4% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

126W-186L

55.6% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/26/24	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Under	-4.5
04/26/24	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Under	-4.5
04/27/24	Washington Nationals WAS	11	Over	+6.5
04/27/24	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Over	+6.5
04/28/24	Washington Nationals WAS	12	Over	+12.5
04/28/24	Miami Marlins MIA	9	Over	+12.5
04/29/24	Washington Nationals WAS	7	Over	+0.5
04/29/24	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Over	+0.5
06/14/24	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Over	+0.5
06/14/24	Washington Nationals WAS	8	Over	+0.5
06/15/24	Miami Marlins MIA	0	Under	-4.5
06/15/24	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Under	-4.5
06/16/24	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Under	-4.5
06/16/24	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Under	-4.5
09/03/24	Washington Nationals WAS	6	Under	-0.5
09/03/24	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-0.5
09/04/24	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Under	-1.5
09/04/24	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Under	-1.5
09/12/24	Miami Marlins MIA	6	Over	+0.5
09/12/24	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Over	+0.5
09/13/24	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Under	-3.5
09/13/24	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Under	-3.5
05/16/23	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Over	+0.5
05/16/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Over	+0.5
05/17/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Under	-1.5
05/17/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Under	-1.5
05/18/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Under	-0.5
05/18/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Under	-0.5
06/16/23	Miami Marlins MIA	6	Over	+2.5
06/16/23	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Over	+2.5
06/17/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Under	-1.5
06/17/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-1.5
06/18/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Under	-2.5
06/18/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-2.5
08/25/23	Washington Nationals WAS	7	Over	+2.5
08/25/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Over	+2.5
08/26/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Under	-3.5
08/26/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-3.5
08/27/23	Washington Nationals WAS	1	Under	-5.5
08/27/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-5.5
08/31/23	Miami Marlins MIA	6	Under	-1.5
08/31/23	Washington Nationals WAS	1	Under	-1.5
09/01/23	Miami Marlins MIA	8	Over	+4.5
09/01/23	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Over	+4.5
09/02/23	Miami Marlins MIA	11	Over	+7.5
09/02/23	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Over	+7.5
09/03/23	Miami Marlins MIA	6	Over	+1.5
09/03/23	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Over	+1.5

Marlins Vs Over/Under

Nationals Vs Over/Under

Valente Bellozo

ERA 3.566 | IP 53.0 | 2.0W-3.0L | KO 35.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-09-24	@PIT	2-3L	5.3	6	3	2	Under
09-04-24	vsWAS	3-4W	6.0	3	0	1	Under
08-29-24	@COL	12-8W	4.0	7	6	4	Over
08-24-24	vsCHC	14-2L	4.7	7	6	1	Over
08-18-24	@NYM	3-2W	5.3	7	2	4	Under
08-13-24	@PHI	5-0W	7.0	4	0	4	Under
08-07-24	vsCIN	4-6W	5.7	5	0	4	Over
08-02-24	@ATL	3-5L	5.0	2	2	5	Under
07-02-24	vsBOS	8-3L	5.0	7	5	8	Over
06-26-24	@KC	1-5L	5.0	2	0	2	Under

Patrick Corbin

ERA 5.604 | IP 159.0 | 5.0W-13.0L | KO 126.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-08-24	@PIT	3-7L	6.0	10	7	5	Over
09-03-24	@MIA	6-2W	5.7	7	2	8	Under
08-27-24	vsNYY	2-4W	6.0	2	0	6	Under
08-22-24	vsCOL	3-8W	6.0	4	1	8	Over
08-16-24	@PHI	2-3L	4.3	7	2	2	Under
08-10-24	vsLAA	4-5W	4.0	8	4	2	Push
08-05-24	vsSF	4-1L	6.0	7	4	6	Under
07-30-24	@ARI	0-17L	3.0	13	11	3	Over
07-25-24	vsSD	3-0L	7.0	4	3	7	Under
07-19-24	vsCIN	5-8W	6.0	3	1	6	Over

Marlins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/15	vs WAS	1-4L	8	1	Under
09/14	vs WAS	6-3W	8	0	Push
09/13	vs PIT	1-3L	5	0	Under
09/12	vs PIT	4-6L	9	0	Over
09/11	vs PIT	2-3L	8	0	Under
09/10	@ PHI	10-1W	11	2	Over
09/09	@ PHI	9-5W	14	3	Over
09/08	@ PHI	2-16L	5	0	Over
09/07	@ PHI	2-4L	7	0	Under
09/06	@ WAS	4-3W	7	0	Under
09/05	@ WAS	2-6L	8	0	Under
09/03	vs SF	7-5W	10	1	Over
09/02	vs SF	4-3W	7	2	Under
09/01	vs SF	1-3L	4	0	Under
08/31	vs COL	11-8W	18	2	Over

Nationals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/15	@ MIA	4-1W	4	1	Under
09/14	@ MIA	3-6L	6	0	Push
09/13	@ ATL	5-1W	13	1	Under
09/12	@ ATL	0-12L	3	0	Over
09/10	vs PIT	3-7L	6	1	Over
09/09	vs PIT	4-3W	7	1	Under
09/09	vs PIT	8-6W	13	1	Over
09/07	vs PIT	4-9L	10	1	Over
09/06	vs MIA	3-4L	5	0	Under
09/05	vs MIA	6-2W	11	2	Under
09/03	@ CHC	1-14L	5	0	Over
09/02	@ CHC	2-5L	10	1	Under
09/01	@ CHC	6-7L	8	1	Over
08/30	@ NYY	5-2W	10	1	Under
08/29	@ NYY	4-2W	7	2	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Miami Marlins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Xavier Edwards	9.6	12.0	0.330	0.408	0.456	0.864	0.346	0.005
#2 Connor Norby	8.9	11.8	0.250	0.517	0.300	0.817	0.337	0.067
#3 Jake Burger	9.6	12.6	0.242	0.443	0.322	0.765	0.315	0.053
#4 Jonah Bride	6.6	8.7	0.247	0.391	0.408	0.799	0.321	0.034
#5 Otto Lopez	7.7	9.7	0.254	0.355	0.315	0.670	0.279	0.014
#6 Griffin Conine	6.9	9.0	0.255	0.404	0.362	0.766	0.313	0.021
#7 Cristian Pache	6.8	8.9	0.203	0.285	0.310	0.595	0.248	0.006
#8 Nick Fortes	6.3	8.0	0.226	0.307	0.274	0.581	0.245	0.011
#9 Javier Sanoja	5.8	7.5	0.294	0.353	0.353	0.706	0.292	0.000

Washington Nationals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 CJ Abrams	9.4	12.3	0.239	0.424	0.342	0.767	0.314	0.038
#2 Dylan Crews	8.3	10.7	0.242	0.435	0.339	0.774	0.316	0.048
#3 James Wood	8.0	10.5	0.274	0.410	0.419	0.829	0.332	0.021
#4 Andres Chaparro	7.4	9.8	0.230	0.450	0.320	0.770	0.318	0.040
#5 Jose Tena	7.1	8.9	0.299	0.402	0.355	0.757	0.312	0.019
#6 Keibert Ruiz	7.0	9.1	0.230	0.375	0.279	0.654	0.274	0.032
#7 Luis Garcia Jr.	7.1	9.1	0.282	0.445	0.338	0.784	0.323	0.035
#8 Joey Gallo	5.9	8.0	0.154	0.298	0.330	0.628	0.260	0.032
#9 Jacob Young	5.6	7.2	0.258	0.338	0.350	0.688	0.286	0.007

Marlins Notable Injuries

Max Meyer OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/05/24. Impact: 3.6
Derek Hill OUT (OF): Avg: 0.238 SLG:0.427 Last game: 09/06/24. Impact: 2.8
John McMillon OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/13/24. Impact: 2.0
Vidal Brujan OUT (OF/SS): Avg: 0.225 SLG:0.324 Last game: 09/01/24. Impact: 1.9
Calvin Faucher OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/06/24. Impact: 1.6
Andrew Nardi OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/23/24. Impact: 1.4

Nationals Notable Injuries

Alex Call OUT (OF): Avg: 0.343 SLG:0.525 Last game: 08/25/24. Impact: 3.0
Joan Adon OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/24/24. Impact: 0.9