Brewers vs Red Sox Game Breakdown

Get ready to chug your beers and park your cheers at Fenway this afternoon because the Milwaukee Brewers are rolling into Boston with a thirst for victory! These Brewers, sitting pretty at 29-21, are looking to ferment another win against the 26-25 Red Sox, who are still trying to catch their stride in the American League. With the first pitch at 4:10 PM EST under a perfect sunny sky, the stakes are high and the lines are drawn. Milwaukee, fresh off a frothy 7-2 win against these very Sox, wants to keep the taps flowing, while Boston is brewing a plan for revenge. With an over/under that promises a slugfest and the winds whispering strategies at a gentle 4.3 mph, Fenway will be the ultimate battleground. So, will the Brewers craft another victory, or will the Red Sox cook up a storm? It’s a game that’s sure to be a brew-ha-ha of epic proportions!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 25, 2024 04:10PM EST

Location: Fenway Park, Boston

Weather: Sunny with winds from the NW at 4.3 mph. Temperature is at 66.9° with 47% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIL ML	BOS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+128	-153	9.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+127	-152	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-1	+1	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

147W-122L

44.1% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

137W-125L

55.9% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/24/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	7	Under	-0.5
05/24/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Under	-0.5
04/21/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	5	Under	-1.5
04/21/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	3	Under	-1.5
04/22/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	4	Under	-0.5
04/22/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	5	Under	-0.5
04/23/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	12	Over	+7.5
04/23/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	5	Over	+7.5

Brewers Vs Over/Under

Red Sox Vs Over/Under

Colin Rea

ERA 4.068 | IP 48.7 | 3.0W-2.0L | KO 35.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-19-24	@HOU	4-9L	4.3	8	5	5	Over
05-13-24	vsPIT	8-6L	6.0	6	3	5	Over
05-07-24	@KC	6-5W	4.7	7	4	2	Over
05-01-24	vsTB	1-7W	6.0	4	0	5	Under
04-26-24	vsNYY	6-7W	6.0	4	5	4	Over
04-21-24	@STL	2-0W	5.0	5	0	3	Under
04-14-24	@BAL	4-6L	5.7	5	3	6	Over
04-07-24	vsSEA	4-12W	6.0	7	2	3	Over
03-31-24	@NYM	4-1W	5.0	5	1	2	Under
09-29-23	vsCHC	3-4W	5.0	2	0	6	Under

Nick Pivetta

ERA 3.038 | IP 26.7 | 2.0W-2.0L | KO 30.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-19-24	@STL	11-3W	6.0	1	1	8	Over
05-14-24	vsTB	4-5W	5.7	4	2	8	Push
05-08-24	@ATL	0-5L	4.0	7	5	1	Under
04-03-24	@OAK	1-0W	5.0	5	0	3	Under
03-29-24	@SEA	0-1L	6.0	3	1	10	Under
09-29-23	@BAL	3-0W	7.0	2	0	10	Under
09-23-23	vsCWS	1-0L	7.0	3	0	7	Under
09-17-23	@TOR	2-3L	6.3	4	2	6	Under
09-12-23	vsNYY	3-2L	5.3	4	3	10	Under
09-06-23	@TB	1-3L	4.7	7	3	5	Under

Brewers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/26	vs BOS	7-2W	11	1	Push
05/24	vs MIA	0-1L	4	0	Under
05/23	vs MIA	7-5W	11	0	Over
05/22	vs MIA	2-3L	4	1	Under
05/21	vs HOU	4-9L	10	0	Over
05/20	vs HOU	4-2W	6	1	Under
05/19	vs HOU	4-5L	7	2	Push
05/17	@ PIT	10-2W	13	5	Over
05/16	@ PIT	4-3W	10	1	Under
05/15	@ PIT	6-8L	13	1	Over
05/14	@ STL	3-4L	7	0	Under
05/13	@ STL	5-3W	6	1	Under
05/12	@ STL	11-2W	12	0	Over
05/11	@ STL	7-1W	10	3	Under
05/10	vs KC	4-6L	8	1	Over

Red Sox Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/26	@ MIL	2-7L	9	1	Push
05/24	vs TB	8-5W	8	1	Over
05/23	vs TB	5-2W	7	2	Under
05/22	vs TB	5-0W	7	2	Under
05/21	vs STL	11-3W	14	3	Over
05/20	vs STL	2-7L	6	1	Push
05/19	vs STL	6-10L	12	1	Over
05/18	@ TB	5-6L	9	2	Over
05/17	@ TB	3-4L	8	2	Under
05/16	@ TB	5-4W	7	1	Push
05/15	@ TB	3-5L	8	1	Under
05/14	@ WAS	3-2W	7	0	Under
05/13	@ WAS	4-2W	6	1	Under
05/12	@ WAS	1-5L	9	0	Under
05/10	vs ATL	0-5L	7	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Milwaukee Brewers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Brice Turang	8.5	10.7	0.302	0.415	39.0%	80.5%	1.3%
#2 William Contreras	9.5	12.6	0.342	0.543	47.7%	102.0%	4.0%
#3 Christian Yelich	8.4	11.0	0.326	0.573	47.2%	104.5%	5.6%
#4 Willy Adames	8.7	11.5	0.244	0.426	35.5%	78.2%	3.6%
#5 Jake Bauers	7.6	10.4	0.223	0.456	35.9%	81.6%	4.9%
#6 Joey Ortiz	7.9	10.4	0.277	0.496	44.5%	94.1%	4.2%
#7 Sal Frelick	7.3	9.4	0.242	0.331	36.9%	70.1%	1.3%
#8 Jackson Chourio	6.8	8.8	0.211	0.329	27.6%	60.5%	3.3%
#9 Blake Perkins	6.4	8.4	0.245	0.36	38.8%	74.8%	2.9%

Boston Red Sox	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Jarren Duran	11.4	14.6	0.278	0.469	38.3%	85.2%	1.4%
#2 Wilyer Abreu	10.0	13.2	0.27	0.475	39.7%	87.2%	3.5%
#3 Connor Wong	8.1	10.3	0.344	0.504	40.8%	91.2%	4.0%
#4 Rafael Devers	10.5	14.0	0.27	0.533	42.8%	96.1%	6.6%
#5 Tyler O’Neill	8.3	11.1	0.241	0.51	40.7%	91.7%	7.6%
#6 Dominic Smith	7.7	10.3	0.213	0.311	27.9%	59.0%	1.6%
#7 Vaughn Grissom	6.5	8.5	0.129	0.145	17.7%	32.3%	0.0%
#8 David Hamilton	7.0	9.0	0.261	0.435	34.8%	78.3%	2.9%
#9 Ceddanne Rafaela	5.7	7.6	0.193	0.351	23.4%	58.5%	2.9%