Brewers vs Cubs Game Breakdown

Get ready for an electrifying showdown at Wrigley Field as the Milwaukee Brewers, boasting a solid 19-11 record, slide into Chicago to face the 19-13 Cubs in a clash that’s all about National League bragging rights. With the first pitch at 02:20 PM EST, the stakes are as high as the skyscrapers in the Windy City, especially with the Brewers just a whisker away from the top spot and the Cubs hot on their heels. The betting lines are buzzing with the Brewers at 109 and the Cubs favored slightly at -131, set against an over/under of 7.5. Today’s weather might throw in a light drizzle with a breeze from the north, but it’s the recent performances that hint at the real storm brewing; the Brewers are coming off a thunderous 7-1 victory over Tampa Bay, while the Cubs look to rebound from a narrow 6-7 heartbreaker against the Mets. So, as the Cubs try to claw back and the Brewers aim to brew up a storm, today’s game is all set to be a classic duel of hops versus claws!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 03, 2024 02:20PM EST

Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago

Weather: Light drizzle with winds from the NNW at 9.4 mph. Temperature is at 59.0° with 87% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIL ML	CHC ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+109	-131	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+104	-124	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-5	+7	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

142W-114L

49.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

127W-122L

51.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
03/30/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	0	Under	-3.5
03/30/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	4	Under	-3.5
10/01/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	0	Under	-3.5
10/01/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	4	Under	-3.5
04/01/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	3	Under	-3.5
04/01/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	1	Under	-3.5
04/02/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	9	Over	+6.5
04/02/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	5	Over	+6.5
07/03/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	6	Over	+6.5
07/03/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	8	Over	+6.5
07/04/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	7	Over	+5.5
07/04/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	6	Over	+5.5
07/05/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	4	Under	-0.5
07/05/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	3	Under	-0.5
07/06/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	5	Over	+3.5
07/06/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	6	Over	+3.5
08/28/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	6	Over	+0.5
08/28/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	2	Over	+0.5
08/29/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	0	Under	-6.5
08/29/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	1	Under	-6.5
08/30/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	2	Under	-2.5
08/30/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	3	Under	-2.5
09/29/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	3	Under	-0.5
09/29/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	4	Under	-0.5
09/30/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	10	Over	+8.5
09/30/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	6	Over	+8.5

Brewers Vs Over/Under

Cubs Vs Over/Under

Joe Ross

ERA 5.4 | IP 25.0 | 1.0W-3.0L | KO 23.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-27-24	vsNYY	15-3L	5.0	8	7	5	Over
04-22-24	@PIT	2-4L	5.3	6	2	4	Under
04-15-24	vsSD	7-3L	4.7	9	7	4	Over
04-09-24	@CIN	9-5W	6.3	5	3	7	Over
04-03-24	vsMIN	7-3L	3.7	2	0	3	Over
08-11-21	vsNYM	7-3L	5.0	6	4	2	Over
08-05-21	vsPHI	7-3L	6.3	5	3	7	Over
07-31-21	vsCHC	7-3L	4.3	7	5	5	Over
07-26-21	vsPHI	7-3L	5.0	3	0	4	Over
07-04-21	vsLAD	7-3L	6.7	7	3	11	Over

Hayden Wesneski

ERA 0.871 | IP 10.3 | 2.0W-0.0L | KO 6.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-28-24	@BOS	4-5L	4.0	5	2	3	Over
04-25-24	vsHOU	1-3W	2.3	0	0	1	Under
04-17-24	@ARI	5-3W	4.0	1	0	2	Over
09-30-23	@MIL	10-6W	1.7	1	0	3	Over
09-28-23	@ATL	3-5L	2.3	0	0	3	Over
09-22-23	vsCOL	0-6W	1.0	1	0	0	Under
09-20-23	vsPIT	13-7L	1.0	1	1	2	Over
09-16-23	@ARI	6-7L	0.3	2	1	0	Over
09-13-23	@COL	3-7L	1.3	3	1	2	Over
09-12-23	@COL	4-6L	1.0	0	0	1	Over

Brewers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/03	@ TB	7-1W	10	2	Over
05/02	@ TB	8-2W	10	1	Over
05/01	@ TB	0-1L	3	0	Under
04/30	@ NYY	5-15L	11	1	Over
04/29	@ NYY	3-15L	5	1	Over
04/28	@ NYY	7-6W	9	2	Over
04/27	vs PIT	7-5W	12	2	Over
04/26	vs PIT	3-2W	7	0	Under
04/25	vs PIT	1-2L	3	1	Under
04/24	vs PIT	2-4L	5	1	Under
04/23	vs STL	2-0W	6	0	Under
04/22	vs STL	12-5W	18	3	Over
04/21	vs STL	2-1W	5	0	Under
04/19	@ SD	1-0W	3	0	Under
04/18	@ SD	3-6L	6	0	Over

Cubs Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/04	vs NYM	6-7L	9	1	Over
05/03	vs NYM	1-0W	5	0	Under
05/02	vs NYM	2-4L	4	0	Under
05/01	vs NYM	3-1W	3	1	Under
04/30	vs BOS	4-5L	7	1	Over
04/29	vs BOS	0-17L	5	0	Over
04/28	vs BOS	7-1W	14	0	Over
04/27	@ HOU	3-1W	7	1	Under
04/26	@ HOU	4-3W	8	1	Under
04/25	@ HOU	7-2W	6	3	Over
04/23	@ MIA	3-6L	8	0	Over
04/22	@ MIA	5-3W	7	2	Over
04/22	@ MIA	2-3L	7	0	Under
04/21	@ MIA	8-3W	10	0	Over
04/19	vs ARI	5-3W	9	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Milwaukee Brewers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Sal Frelick	8.2	10.4	0.25	0.298	36.5%	66.3%	0.0%
#2 William Contreras	10.4	13.8	0.353	0.546	49.6%	104.2%	4.2%
#3 Willy Adames	7.4	9.9	0.278	0.496	43.5%	93.0%	5.2%
#4 Tyler Black	6.5	7.9	0.429	0.714	42.9%	114.3%	0.0%
#5 Rhys Hoskins	7.3	9.9	0.228	0.455	38.6%	84.2%	5.9%
#6 Brice Turang	6.3	8.0	0.309	0.433	41.2%	84.5%	2.1%
#7 Joey Ortiz	5.5	7.2	0.266	0.406	46.9%	87.5%	1.6%
#8 Blake Perkins	6.1	8.0	0.277	0.434	44.6%	88.0%	3.6%
#9 Jackson Chourio	5.2	6.8	0.206	0.351	27.8%	62.9%	4.1%

Chicago Cubs	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Nico Hoerner	7.4	9.5	0.263	0.347	39.8%	74.6%	0.0%
#2 Mike Tauchman	7.5	10.1	0.289	0.482	51.8%	100.0%	3.6%
#3 Ian Happ	7.6	10.2	0.202	0.294	38.5%	67.9%	0.9%
#4 Christopher Morel	7.9	10.6	0.209	0.383	32.2%	70.4%	4.3%
#5 Michael Busch	7.5	10.0	0.262	0.485	36.9%	85.4%	5.8%
#6 Dansby Swanson	7.2	9.4	0.232	0.357	33.0%	68.8%	2.7%
#7 Matt Mervis	3.6	7.8	0.13	0.174	17.4%	34.8%	0.0%
#8 Miguel Amaya	5.5	7.4	0.203	0.322	32.2%	64.4%	1.7%
#9 Pete Crow-Armstrong	5.5	7.3	0.292	0.5	29.2%	79.2%	4.2%