Brewers vs Reds Game Breakdown & Projections – Tue, Apr 9th 2024

Alright, sports fans, buckle up because it’s time for a good old-fashioned, National League showdown! The Milwaukee Brewers, with their solid 6-3 record, are packing up their bats and heading to the heart of the Queen City to tangle with the 6-4 Cincinnati Reds at the iconic Great American Ball Park. The first pitch is set to fly at 6:40PM EST, so make sure your beer is cold and your snacks are ready. Currently, the Brewers are trailing by 2 games in the conference, while the Reds are hot on their heels, just half a game behind. If you’re the betting type, the over/under is set at a tantalizing 9.5, with the Brewers at 125 and the Reds at -149. The Reds are riding high after their recent 10-8 victory over the Brewers, while Milwaukee is looking for redemption after that same loss. The weather seems to be setting the mood for this epic clash with a misty ambiance, winds from the north at 2.2 mph, and a cool temperature of 59 degrees. With 90% humidity, the air is as thick with anticipation as it is with moisture. So, will the Brewers manage to bottle up a victory, or will the Reds paint the town with their winning streak? Only time will tell!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 09, 2024 06:40PM EST

Location: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati

Weather: Mist with winds from the N at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 59.0° with 90% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIL ML	CIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+125	-149	9.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+126	-150	9.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+1	-1	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

133W-111L

44.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

116W-130L

55.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/08/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	8	Over	+8.5
04/08/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	10	Over	+8.5
06/02/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	5	Under	-0.5
06/02/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Under	-0.5
06/03/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	10	Over	+8.5
06/03/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	8	Over	+8.5
06/04/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	5	Under	-3.5
06/04/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	1	Under	-3.5
06/05/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	0	Under	-7.5
06/05/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	2	Under	-7.5
07/07/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Over	+0.5
07/07/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	7	Over	+0.5
07/08/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	8	Over	+3.5
07/08/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	5	Over	+3.5
07/09/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	0	Under	-8.5
07/09/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	1	Under	-8.5
07/14/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	1	Under	-8.5
07/14/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	0	Under	-8.5
07/15/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	3	Under	-6.5
07/15/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	0	Under	-6.5
07/16/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	4	Under	-2.5
07/16/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Under	-2.5
07/24/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	2	Under	-4.5
07/24/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	3	Under	-4.5
07/25/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Under	-2.5
07/25/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	3	Under	-2.5
07/26/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	0	Under	-6.5
07/26/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	3	Under	-6.5

Brewers Vs Over/Under

Reds Vs Over/Under

Aaron Ashby

ERA N/A | IP 0 | 0W-0L | KO 0

No notable injuries to report

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over

Graham Ashcraft

ERA 4.757 | IP 145.7 | 7.0W-9.0L | KO 111.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-03-24	@PHI	4-1W	5.7	5	1	5	Under
03-28-24	vsWAS	2-8W	6.0	4	0	4	Over
09-30-23	@KC	5-2L	1.3	2	0	1	Under
09-16-22	@MIL	5-2L	3.3	4	4	2	Under
09-09-22	@TB	5-2L	5.7	9	4	4	Under
09-04-22	@TB	5-2L	5.0	1	0	7	Under
08-29-22	@LAA	5-2L	6.0	8	4	6	Under
08-23-22	@NYM	5-2L	5.7	6	2	6	Under
08-18-22	@TOR	5-2L	6.0	8	6	2	Under
08-13-22	@BOS	5-2L	5.0	5	2	4	Under
04-08-24	vsMIL	8-10W	5.7	9	6	6	Over
04-02-24	@PHI	4-9L	6.0	4	3	5	Over
09-01-23	vsCHC	6-2L	5.0	6	3	6	Under
08-27-23	@ARI	2-5L	6.7	7	2	5	Under
08-22-23	@LAA	4-3W	7.0	5	3	10	Under
08-15-23	vsCLE	3-0L	7.0	7	3	2	Under
08-09-23	vsMIA	5-4L	7.0	3	1	7	Under
08-04-23	vsWAS	6-3L	8.0	5	3	5	Under
07-30-23	@LAD	9-0W	6.0	5	0	2	Under
07-24-23	@MIL	2-3L	5.3	5	2	8	Under

Brewers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/10	vs CIN	8-10L	12	2	Over
04/09	@ SEA	12-4W	14	3	Over
04/08	@ SEA	3-5L	5	1	Under
04/07	@ SEA	6-5W	8	3	Over
04/05	@ MIN	3-7L	7	2	Over
04/04	@ MIN	3-2W	7	1	Under
04/02	vs NYM	4-1W	9	0	Under
04/01	vs NYM	7-6W	16	1	Over
03/31	vs NYM	3-1W	8	1	Under
10/03	@ CHC	4-0W	6	1	Under
10/02	@ CHC	6-10L	12	2	Over
10/01	@ CHC	4-3W	8	0	Under
09/30	@ STL	3-0W	8	0	Under
09/29	@ STL	3-2W	7	0	Under
09/28	@ STL	1-4L	5	0	Under

Reds Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/10	@ MIL	10-8W	10	3	Over
04/09	@ NYM	1-3L	3	0	Under
04/08	@ NYM	9-6W	8	1	Over
04/07	@ NYM	2-3L	7	1	Under
04/05	vs PHI	4-1W	6	0	Under
04/04	vs PHI	4-9L	8	0	Over
04/03	vs PHI	6-3W	8	1	Under
04/02	@ WAS	6-5W	14	2	Over
04/01	@ WAS	6-7L	10	2	Over
03/30	@ WAS	8-2W	10	2	Over
10/03	vs STL	3-4L	9	1	Under
10/02	vs STL	6-15L	14	2	Over
10/01	vs STL	19-2W	17	6	Over
09/29	vs CLE	3-4L	8	0	Under
09/28	vs CLE	11-7W	10	5	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Milwaukee Brewers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#3 William Contreras	7.9	10.4	0.289	0.459	41.6%	87.5%	3.2%
#3 Christian Yelich	8.6	11.3	0.278	0.451	42.7%	87.7%	3.5%
#4 Willy Adames	9.0	12.0	0.219	0.408	35.9%	76.7%	4.4%
#5 Jake Bauers	6.8	9.0	0.202	0.413	31.4%	72.7%	5.0%
#5 Sal Frelick	7.9	10.4	0.246	0.351	39.8%	74.9%	1.6%
#6 Rhys Hoskins	nan	12.0	nan	nan	nan%	nan%	nan%
#8 Brice Turang	6.2	7.9	0.222	0.304	31.9%	62.3%	1.5%
#9 Joey Ortiz	5.5	7.2	0.212	0.242	21.2%	45.5%	0.0%

Cincinnati Reds	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Jonathan India	8.9	11.9	0.244	0.409	39.6%	80.4%	3.8%
#2 Spencer Steer	10.4	13.6	0.273	0.467	41.0%	87.7%	4.0%
#3 C. Encarnacion-Strand	8.3	10.9	0.27	0.477	35.6%	83.3%	5.9%
#4 Jeimer Candelario	9.0	12.0	0.251	0.473	38.3%	85.6%	4.4%
#5 Stuart Fairchild	6.6	8.8	0.228	0.388	37.0%	75.8%	2.3%
#5 Jake Fraley	8.2	10.9	0.257	0.445	38.5%	83.0%	4.5%
#6 Elly De La Cruz	9.0	11.6	0.234	0.409	32.5%	73.5%	3.4%
#7 Tyler Stephenson	7.5	9.8	0.246	0.382	35.4%	73.7%	2.8%
#8 Will Benson	6.7	8.7	0.276	0.5	42.0%	92.0%	3.8%
#8 Nick Martini	6.1	8.2	0.264	0.583	36.1%	94.4%	8.3%
#9 Santiago Espinal	5.7	7.5	0.25	0.338	34.2%	68.0%	0.9%

Brewers Notable Injuries

Jakob Junis OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 04/04/24. Impact: 3.0
Trevor Megill OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 04/01/24. Impact: 1.5