Brewers vs Reds Game Breakdown & Projections – Wed, Apr 10th 2024
Brewers
7W-3L
April 10, 2024
06:40PM EST
Odds: 9.0 o/u
Reds
6W-5L
Listen up, sports fans! The baseball gods are serving up a sizzling dish of Major League action as the Milwaukee Brewers, boasting a solid 7W-3L record, are saddling up to ride into the home turf of the Cincinnati Reds, who are holding their own at 6W-5L. The action is going down at the Great American Ball Park, with the first pitch set to crack the bat at 06:40PM EST. The Brewers are hot on the heels of the National League conference, a mere 1.0 game back, while the Reds are trailing, 2.5 games back. The betting lines are buzzing, setting the over/under at 9.0, with the Brewers at 113, and the Reds at -135. The Reds are licking their wounds after a 5-9 loss against the Brewers on 04/11/24, while the Brewers are still celebrating their victory in the same game. The weather’s cooking up a light rain, with winds from the SSE at 9.4 mph, and a cool 57.9° temperature with 97% humidity. As the Brewers prepare to tap into the Reds’ home field advantage, let’s hope the Reds are ready to ‘catch’ the heat and ‘pitch’ a comeback. It’s time to find out if the Brewers have the ‘yeast’ to rise to the occasion or if the Reds can ‘can’ their recent performance and pop the lid off a victory!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 10, 2024 06:40PM EST
Location: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
Weather: Light rain with winds from the SSE at 9.4 mph. Temperature is at 57.9° with 97% humidity.
Vegas Odds
| MIL ML | CIN ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +113 | -135 | 9.0 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Recent | +112 | -134 | 8.5 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Difference | -1 | +1 | -0.5 | – |
Team Performance
47.2% Win Probability
52.8% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08/24 | Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 8 | Over | +9.0 | |
| Cincinnati Reds CIN | 10 | ||||
| 04/09/24 | Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 9 | Over | +5.0 | |
| Cincinnati Reds CIN | 5 | ||||
| 06/02/23 | Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 5 | Push | -0.0 | |
| Cincinnati Reds CIN | 4 | ||||
| 06/03/23 | Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 10 | Over | +9.0 | |
| Cincinnati Reds CIN | 8 | ||||
| 06/04/23 | Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 5 | Under | -3.0 | |
| Cincinnati Reds CIN | 1 | ||||
| 06/05/23 | Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 0 | Under | -7.0 | |
| Cincinnati Reds CIN | 2 | ||||
| 07/07/23 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 3 | Over | +1.0 | |
| Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 7 | ||||
| 07/08/23 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 8 | Over | +4.0 | |
| Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 5 | ||||
| 07/09/23 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 0 | Under | -8.0 | |
| Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 1 | ||||
| 07/14/23 | Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 1 | Under | -8.0 | |
| Cincinnati Reds CIN | 0 | ||||
| 07/15/23 | Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 3 | Under | -6.0 | |
| Cincinnati Reds CIN | 0 | ||||
| 07/16/23 | Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 4 | Under | -2.0 | |
| Cincinnati Reds CIN | 3 | ||||
| 07/24/23 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 2 | Under | -4.0 | |
| Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 3 | ||||
| 07/25/23 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 4 | Under | -2.0 | |
| Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 3 | ||||
| 07/26/23 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 0 | Under | -6.0 | |
| Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 3 |
Brewers Vs Over/Under
Reds Vs Over/Under
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27-23 | vsSTL | 2-3W | 5.0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | Under |
| 09-21-23 | @STL | 6-0W | 6.0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | Under |
| 09-15-23 | vsWAS | 3-5W | 5.7 | 5 | 3 | 3 | Under |
| 09-09-23 | @NYY | 9-2W | 3.7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | Over |
| 09-03-23 | vsPHI | 4-2L | 6.3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | Under |
| 08-28-23 | @CHC | 6-2W | 6.0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | Under |
| 08-22-23 | vsMIN | 3-7W | 5.0 | 5 | 3 | 4 | Over |
| 08-16-23 | @LAD | 1-7L | 5.0 | 7 | 4 | 2 | Under |
| 08-08-23 | vsCOL | 7-3L | 6.0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | Over |
| 08-02-23 | @WAS | 2-3L | 4.0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | Under |
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-05-24 | vsNYM | 3-2L | 6.0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | Under |
| 03-30-24 | vsWAS | 7-6L | 4.7 | 5 | 2 | 7 | Over |
| 10-01-23 | @STL | 3-4L | 5.0 | 9 | 4 | 6 | Under |
| 09-26-23 | @CLE | 11-7W | 3.0 | 8 | 7 | 3 | Over |
| 09-20-23 | vsMIN | 5-3L | 7.0 | 3 | 1 | 14 | Under |
| 09-15-23 | @NYM | 5-3W | 5.7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | Under |
| 09-10-23 | vsSTL | 1-7W | 6.0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | Under |
| 08-30-23 | @SF | 4-1W | 5.3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | Under |
| 08-25-23 | @ARI | 8-10L | 3.7 | 5 | 5 | 4 | Over |
| 08-20-23 | vsTOR | 10-3L | 3.0 | 10 | 9 | 4 | Over |
| 04-09-24 | vsMIL | 9-5L | 5.0 | 6 | 5 | 4 | Over |
| 04-03-24 | @PHI | 4-1W | 5.7 | 5 | 1 | 5 | Under |
| 03-28-24 | vsWAS | 2-8W | 6.0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | Over |
| 09-30-23 | @KC | 5-2L | 1.3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | Under |
| 09-16-22 | @MIL | 5-2L | 3.3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | Under |
| 09-09-22 | @TB | 5-2L | 5.7 | 9 | 4 | 4 | Under |
| 09-04-22 | @TB | 5-2L | 5.0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | Under |
| 08-29-22 | @LAA | 5-2L | 6.0 | 8 | 4 | 6 | Under |
| 08-23-22 | @NYM | 5-2L | 5.7 | 6 | 2 | 6 | Under |
| 08-18-22 | @TOR | 5-2L | 6.0 | 8 | 6 | 2 | Under |
Brewers Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | vs CIN | 9-5W | 13 | 0 | Over |
| 04/10 | vs CIN | 8-10L | 12 | 2 | Over |
| 04/09 | @ SEA | 12-4W | 14 | 3 | Over |
| 04/08 | @ SEA | 3-5L | 5 | 1 | Under |
| 04/07 | @ SEA | 6-5W | 8 | 3 | Over |
| 04/05 | @ MIN | 3-7L | 7 | 2 | Over |
| 04/04 | @ MIN | 3-2W | 7 | 1 | Under |
| 04/02 | vs NYM | 4-1W | 9 | 0 | Under |
| 04/01 | vs NYM | 7-6W | 16 | 1 | Over |
| 03/31 | vs NYM | 3-1W | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 10/03 | @ CHC | 4-0W | 6 | 1 | Under |
| 10/02 | @ CHC | 6-10L | 12 | 2 | Over |
| 10/01 | @ CHC | 4-3W | 8 | 0 | Under |
| 09/30 | @ STL | 3-0W | 8 | 0 | Under |
| 09/29 | @ STL | 3-2W | 7 | 0 | Under |
Reds Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | @ MIL | 5-9L | 10 | 0 | Over |
| 04/10 | @ MIL | 10-8W | 10 | 3 | Over |
| 04/09 | @ NYM | 1-3L | 3 | 0 | Under |
| 04/08 | @ NYM | 9-6W | 8 | 1 | Over |
| 04/07 | @ NYM | 2-3L | 7 | 1 | Under |
| 04/05 | vs PHI | 4-1W | 6 | 0 | Under |
| 04/04 | vs PHI | 4-9L | 8 | 0 | Over |
| 04/03 | vs PHI | 6-3W | 8 | 1 | Over |
| 04/02 | @ WAS | 6-5W | 14 | 2 | Over |
| 04/01 | @ WAS | 6-7L | 10 | 2 | Over |
| 03/30 | @ WAS | 8-2W | 10 | 2 | Over |
| 10/03 | vs STL | 3-4L | 9 | 1 | Under |
| 10/02 | vs STL | 6-15L | 14 | 2 | Over |
| 10/01 | vs STL | 19-2W | 17 | 6 | Over |
| 09/29 | vs CLE | 3-4L | 8 | 0 | Under |
Team’s Batting Order
| Milwaukee Brewers | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4 | 8.4 | 0.289 | 0.459 | 41.6% | 87.5% | 3.2% | |
| 8.7 | 11.5 | 0.278 | 0.451 | 42.7% | 87.7% | 3.5% | |
|
#4
Willy Adames
|
8.2 | 11.0 | 0.219 | 0.408 | 35.9% | 76.7% | 4.4% |
|
#5
Jake Bauers
|
7.7 | 10.2 | 0.202 | 0.413 | 31.4% | 72.7% | 5.0% |
|
#6
Rhys Hoskins
|
nan | 11.1 | nan | nan | nan% | nan% | nan% |
|
#7
Sal Frelick
|
6.7 | 8.8 | 0.246 | 0.351 | 39.8% | 74.9% | 1.6% |
|
#8
Brice Turang
|
6.2 | 7.9 | 0.222 | 0.304 | 31.9% | 62.3% | 1.5% |
|
#9
Joey Ortiz
|
5.1 | 6.7 | 0.212 | 0.242 | 21.2% | 45.5% | 0.0% |
| 5.9 | 8.0 | 0.22 | 0.355 | 38.3% | 73.8% | 2.8% |
| Cincinnati Reds | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.9 | 10.5 | 0.244 | 0.409 | 39.6% | 80.4% | 3.8% | |
|
#2
Will Benson
|
9.7 | 12.6 | 0.276 | 0.5 | 42.0% | 92.0% | 3.8% |
| 8.5 | 11.1 | 0.27 | 0.477 | 35.6% | 83.3% | 5.9% | |
| 8.4 | 11.1 | 0.251 | 0.473 | 38.3% | 85.6% | 4.4% | |
| 6.0 | 8.0 | 0.228 | 0.388 | 37.0% | 75.8% | 2.3% | |
|
#5
Jake Fraley
|
7.9 | 10.4 | 0.257 | 0.445 | 38.5% | 83.0% | 4.5% |
| 7.9 | 10.3 | 0.234 | 0.409 | 32.5% | 73.5% | 3.4% | |
| 6.4 | 8.4 | 0.25 | 0.338 | 34.2% | 68.0% | 0.9% | |
| 6.9 | 9.0 | 0.273 | 0.467 | 41.0% | 87.7% | 4.0% | |
|
#8
Luke Maile
|
5.8 | 7.8 | 0.235 | 0.391 | 34.1% | 73.2% | 3.4% |
|
#8
Nick Martini
|
6.2 | 8.3 | 0.264 | 0.583 | 36.1% | 94.4% | 8.3% |
| 5.6 | 7.4 | 0.246 | 0.382 | 35.4% | 73.7% | 2.8% | |
| 5.3 | 7.0 | 0.17 | 0.283 | 26.4% | 54.7% | 0.0% |
Brewers Notable Injuries
- No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.
Reds Notable Injuries
- No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.
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