Brewers vs Twins Game Breakdown

Get ready to crack open a cold one and settle in, folks, because the Milwaukee Brewers are rolling into Target Field with bats blazing, ready to face off against the Minnesota Twins in a midday showdown that’s got everyone talking. Sitting pretty at the top of their conferences, these teams are bringing the heat, with the Brewers fresh off a victorious clash and the Twins hungry to flip the script after their last meetup. With the first pitch slated for 01:05 PM EST, the stakes are high and the odds intriguing, setting the stage for a game where every swing counts. And with the weather playing its own wild card—patchy rain and a gentle northern breeze—it’s anyone’s game today. So, as the Brewers look to brew up another win and the Twins aim to twin it to win it, make sure you’re tuned in for every thrilling pitch!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 21, 2024 01:05PM EST

Location: Target Field, Minnesota

Weather: Patchy rain nearby with winds from the N at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 74.6° with 75% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIL ML	MIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+134	-160	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+139	-165	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+5	-5	-1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

157W-135L

41.8% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

155W-127L

58.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/02/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-3.5
04/02/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	3	Under	-3.5
04/03/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	7	Over	+1.5
04/03/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	3	Over	+1.5
07/20/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	8	Over	+3.5
07/20/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	4	Over	+3.5
06/13/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	5	Over	+3.5
06/13/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	7	Over	+3.5
06/14/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	2	Under	-2.5
06/14/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	4	Under	-2.5
08/22/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	3	Over	+1.5
08/22/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	7	Over	+1.5
08/23/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	7	Over	+6.5
08/23/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	8	Over	+6.5

Brewers Vs Over/Under

Twins Vs Over/Under

Aaron Civale

ERA 4.942 | IP 98.3 | 2.0W-7.0L | KO 98.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-11-24	vsPIT	1-0L	6.3	6	1	6	Under
07-05-24	@LAD	5-8L	5.0	5	4	8	Over
06-29-24	@WAS	8-1L	5.7	6	2	2	Over
06-23-24	@PIT	3-1L	5.0	3	1	3	Under
06-18-24	@MIN	6-7W	3.7	7	4	5	Over
06-12-24	@CHC	4-3L	5.7	5	1	6	Under
06-07-24	@BAL	6-3L	5.0	7	4	8	Over
05-31-24	@BAL	1-3W	5.3	6	1	3	Under
05-25-24	@KC	7-4L	5.0	4	2	5	Over
05-19-24	@TOR	2-5W	5.3	6	5	3	Under

Joe Ryan

ERA 3.61 | IP 114.7 | 6.0W-6.0L | KO 124.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-12-24	@SF	1-7L	5.3	6	5	6	Over
07-06-24	vsHOU	3-9W	5.7	5	3	8	Over
06-30-24	@SEA	5-3W	5.7	6	2	10	Over
06-25-24	@ARI	4-5L	6.0	6	4	5	Over
06-19-24	vsTB	3-2L	6.0	6	1	5	Under
06-13-24	vsOAK	2-6W	7.0	3	2	5	Over
06-07-24	@PIT	0-3L	7.0	2	2	8	Under
06-01-24	@HOU	2-5L	5.0	8	5	4	Under
05-27-24	vsKC	5-6W	7.0	4	1	9	Over
05-21-24	@WAS	10-0W	7.0	3	0	6	Over

Brewers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/22	vs MIN	8-4W	11	0	Over
07/15	@ WAS	5-6L	6	0	Over
07/14	@ WAS	2-5L	4	0	Under
07/13	@ PIT	0-1L	2	0	Under
07/12	@ PIT	9-0W	14	2	Over
07/11	@ PIT	2-12L	6	0	Over
07/09	vs LAD	9-2W	12	3	Over
07/08	vs LAD	3-5L	5	2	Over
07/07	vs LAD	5-8L	4	1	Over
07/06	vs COL	3-4L	8	0	Under
07/05	vs COL	3-0W	9	1	Under
07/04	vs COL	4-3W	12	0	Under
07/03	vs COL	7-8L	14	1	Over
07/02	@ CHC	7-1W	10	2	Over
07/01	@ CHC	3-5L	11	0	Over

Twins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/22	@ MIL	4-8L	7	1	Over
07/15	vs SF	4-2W	10	1	Under
07/14	vs SF	1-7L	10	0	Over
07/12	vs CWS	1-3L	6	1	Under
07/12	vs CWS	3-2W	5	2	Under
07/10	vs CWS	8-6W	15	3	Over
07/09	@ HOU	3-2W	11	1	Under
07/08	@ HOU	9-3W	14	2	Over
07/07	@ HOU	12-13L	17	2	Over
07/06	@ DET	12-3W	14	1	Over
07/05	@ DET	2-9L	8	1	Over
07/04	@ DET	5-3W	7	2	Over
07/02	vs SEA	5-3W	8	1	Over
07/01	vs SEA	5-1W	10	1	Under
06/30	vs SEA	2-3L	6	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Milwaukee Brewers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Brice Turang	6.6	8.4	0.276	0.389	0.377	0.766	0.312	0.018
#3 Willy Adames	7.6	10.1	0.241	0.414	0.370	0.784	0.318	0.038
#3 William Contreras	7.9	10.4	0.290	0.435	0.391	0.826	0.335	0.026
#4 Sal Frelick	6.6	8.4	0.271	0.347	0.389	0.736	0.301	0.007
#5 Rhys Hoskins	7.0	9.5	0.208	0.404	0.346	0.750	0.306	0.054
#6 Joey Ortiz	6.8	9.0	0.254	0.421	0.421	0.842	0.336	0.031
#7 Garrett Mitchell	6.0	8.0	0.192	0.269	0.423	0.692	0.280	0.000
#8 Jackson Chourio	5.4	7.1	0.248	0.388	0.320	0.709	0.293	0.032
#9 Eric Haase	4.9	6.4	0.353	0.529	0.412	0.941	0.382	0.059

Minnesota Twins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Willi Castro	8.3	10.8	0.268	0.426	0.403	0.829	0.335	0.021
#2 Trevor Larnach	7.6	10.0	0.242	0.414	0.343	0.758	0.310	0.045
#3 Byron Buxton	9.6	12.6	0.280	0.488	0.364	0.852	0.349	0.036
#4 Max Kepler	7.7	10.1	0.262	0.403	0.343	0.746	0.308	0.024
#5 Carlos Santana	7.1	9.3	0.247	0.438	0.370	0.808	0.328	0.045
#6 Brooks Lee	6.3	8.3	0.289	0.444	0.356	0.800	0.328	0.044
#7 Austin Martin	6.3	8.2	0.259	0.362	0.353	0.716	0.294	0.009
#8 Edouard Julien	6.1	8.1	0.211	0.368	0.357	0.725	0.295	0.041
#9 Christian Vazquez	5.2	6.6	0.203	0.311	0.237	0.548	0.231	0.023

Brewers Notable Injuries

Gary Sanchez OUT (C): Avg: 0.218 SLG:0.401 Last game: 06/25/24. Impact: 1.2
Jared Koenig OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/30/24. Impact: 2.1
Enoli Paredes OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/04/24. Impact: 0.9

Twins Notable Injuries

Chris Paddack OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/10/24. Impact: 4.7
Royce Lewis OUT (3B): Avg: 0.281 SLG:0.674 Last game: 07/04/24. Impact: 2.7
Carlos Correa OUT (SS): Avg: 0.308 SLG:0.52 Last game: 07/14/24. Impact: 4.1
Jose Miranda OUT (1B/3B): Avg: 0.325 SLG:0.522 Last game: 07/12/24. Impact: 4.0
Kyle Farmer OUT (2B): Avg: 0.189 SLG:0.265 Last game: 07/12/24. Impact: 1.1