Brewers vs Phillies Game Breakdown

Get ready to chug your beers and ring your bells, because today’s MLB showdown is brewing up a storm at Citizens Bank Park! The Milwaukee Brewers, with a solid 36-25 record, are gearing up to clash with the high-flying Philadelphia Phillies, who’ve notched an impressive 43-19 this season. The first pitch is set to fly at 4:05 PM EST, and with both teams neck-and-neck in the National League standings, you can bet the stakes are sky-high! The odds-makers have the over/under tantalizingly pegged at 9.0, reflecting the tight battle expected today. And with the Phillies riding the high from a narrow victory yesterday and the Brewers hungry to flip the script, today’s game promises all the drama. Mother Nature’s playing ball too, serving up a partly cloudy day with a gentle eastern breeze—perfect baseball weather! So, as these teams prepare to pitch and hit, remember, it’s all about whether the Brewers can tap into their reserves or if the Phillies will continue to ring in the victories!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: June 05, 2024 04:05PM EST

Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the E at 5.6 mph. Temperature is at 75.9° with 77% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIL ML	PHI ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+152	-184	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+157	-192	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+5	-8	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

148W-125L

38.9% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

166W-106L

61.1% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
06/03/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	1	Under	-5.0
06/03/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Under	-5.0
06/04/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	1	Under	-6.0
06/04/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Under	-6.0
07/18/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	3	Under	-2.0
07/18/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Under	-2.0
07/19/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	5	Under	-1.0
07/19/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Under	-1.0
07/20/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	4	Under	-5.0
07/20/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	0	Under	-5.0
09/01/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Over	+3.0
09/01/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	7	Over	+3.0
09/02/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Over	+3.0
09/02/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	7	Over	+3.0
09/03/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Under	-3.0
09/03/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	2	Under	-3.0

Brewers Vs Over/Under

Phillies Vs Over/Under

Aaron Ashby

ERA 9.818 | IP 3.7 | 0.0W-1.0L | KO 2.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-08-24	@CIN	8-10L	3.7	6	8	2	Over
10-05-22	@ARI	8-10L	3.0	5	1	2	Over
10-01-22	@MIA	8-10L	4.3	3	2	6	Over
09-25-22	@CIN	8-10L	1.7	2	1	0	Over
09-20-22	@NYM	8-10L	2.0	1	0	2	Over
08-19-22	@CHC	8-10L	5.0	8	6	8	Over
08-14-22	@STL	8-10L	6.0	3	2	5	Over
08-06-22	@CIN	8-10L	4.7	3	4	5	Over
07-31-22	@BOS	8-10L	4.7	5	5	6	Over
07-25-22	@COL	8-10L	7.0	5	2	9	Over

Aaron Nola

ERA 3.142 | IP 77.3 | 7.0W-2.0L | KO 71.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-31-24	vsSTL	2-4W	6.3	3	2	6	Under
05-25-24	@COL	8-4W	6.0	5	3	5	Over
05-19-24	vsWAS	5-11W	7.0	2	3	5	Over
05-14-24	@NYM	4-0W	9.0	4	0	8	Under
05-08-24	vsTOR	5-3L	5.7	9	4	7	Under
05-03-24	vsSF	3-4W	4.0	4	2	4	Under
04-26-24	@SD	9-3W	8.0	7	3	10	Over
04-21-24	vsCWS	2-8W	8.0	4	2	7	Over
04-15-24	vsCOL	1-2W	7.3	4	1	9	Under
04-10-24	@STL	4-3W	6.0	3	2	3	Under

Brewers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/06	vs PHI	1-2L	7	0	Under
06/05	vs PHI	1-3L	5	1	Under
06/04	@ CWS	6-3W	9	1	Over
06/03	@ CWS	4-3W	7	0	Under
06/02	@ CWS	12-5W	23	0	Over
06/01	@ CHC	6-4W	9	1	Over
05/31	@ CHC	10-6W	10	3	Over
05/30	@ CHC	3-6L	3	0	Over
05/29	@ CHC	5-1W	6	1	Under
05/28	vs BOS	1-2L	8	0	Under
05/27	vs BOS	6-3W	11	1	Over
05/26	vs BOS	7-2W	11	1	Over
05/24	vs MIA	0-1L	4	0	Under
05/23	vs MIA	7-5W	11	0	Over
05/22	vs MIA	2-3L	4	1	Under

Phillies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/06	@ MIL	2-1W	8	1	Under
06/05	@ MIL	3-1W	7	1	Under
06/04	@ STL	4-5L	7	0	Over
06/03	@ STL	6-1W	7	1	Under
06/02	@ STL	4-2W	7	1	Under
05/31	vs SF	6-1W	14	2	Under
05/30	vs SF	0-1L	7	0	Under
05/29	vs SF	4-8L	7	1	Over
05/28	vs COL	2-5L	5	0	Under
05/27	vs COL	8-4W	12	1	Over
05/26	vs COL	2-3L	7	2	Under
05/25	@ TEX	5-2W	12	2	Under
05/24	@ TEX	11-4W	8	3	Over
05/23	@ TEX	5-2W	8	1	Under
05/21	@ WAS	11-5W	12	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Milwaukee Brewers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Brice Turang	7.2	9.1	0.295	0.404	40.4%	80.8%	1.6%
#2 William Contreras	7.4	9.8	0.314	0.482	43.3%	91.4%	3.3%
#3 Christian Yelich	7.3	9.6	0.318	0.53	45.5%	98.5%	4.5%
#4 Willy Adames	7.1	9.4	0.252	0.437	37.4%	81.1%	3.8%
#5 Sal Frelick	6.1	7.9	0.253	0.333	38.2%	71.5%	1.1%
#6 Rhys Hoskins	6.8	9.1	0.236	0.473	39.2%	86.5%	6.8%
#7 Jake Bauers	5.8	7.9	0.213	0.404	34.6%	75.0%	3.7%
#8 Joey Ortiz	6.1	8.0	0.286	0.487	45.5%	94.2%	3.2%
#9 Blake Perkins	5.2	6.8	0.259	0.379	37.4%	75.3%	2.9%

Philadelphia Phillies	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Kyle Schwarber	8.9	12.1	0.231	0.396	44.0%	83.6%	4.9%
#2 J.T. Realmuto	9.0	11.5	0.266	0.422	33.2%	75.4%	3.5%
#3 Bryce Harper	9.7	13.1	0.265	0.512	44.1%	95.3%	6.6%
#4 Alec Bohm	7.2	9.6	0.296	0.481	38.6%	86.7%	2.6%
#5 Nick Castellanos	7.6	10.0	0.214	0.342	30.3%	64.5%	3.0%
#6 Bryson Stott	6.9	9.1	0.241	0.374	40.6%	78.1%	2.7%
#7 Edmundo Sosa	6.1	7.9	0.303	0.556	40.4%	96.0%	4.0%
#8 Cristian Pache	5.4	7.2	0.208	0.264	34.0%	60.4%	0.0%
#9 Johan Rojas	5.7	7.2	0.234	0.299	28.7%	58.7%	1.2%

Brewers Notable Injuries

Joe Ross OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 05/22/24. Impact: 4.7

Phillies Notable Injuries

Brandon Marsh OUT (OF): Avg: 0.259 SLG:0.42 Last game: 06/04/24. Impact: 2.5
Kody Clemens OUT (2B/3B): Avg: 0.256 SLG:0.615 Last game: 05/30/24. Impact: 1.4