Brewers vs Pirates Game Breakdown & Projections – Tue, Apr 23rd 2024

Get ready to crack open a cold one and settle in for a sizzling showdown at PNC Park as the red-hot Milwaukee Brewers, boasting a stellar 14-7 record, roll into Pittsburgh to clash with the scrappy 12-11 Pirates. The stakes are high with the Brewers looking to reclaim their winning mojo after yesterday’s slip-up, while the Pirates aim to keep the winds in their sails following their recent victory. With the first pitch at 06:40 PM EST and a game-time forecast promising sunny skies and a brisk southern breeze, it’s the perfect setting for some baseball magic. The betting lines are buzzing, setting the stage for a nail-biter with an over/under of 8.5. Will the Brewers brew up a storm, or will the Pirates plunder another win? Let’s find out if the Brewers can barrel through or if the Pirates will anchor down for another victory!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 23, 2024 06:40PM EST

Location: PNC Park, Pittsburgh

Weather: Sunny with winds from the S at 12.5 mph. Temperature is at 50.0° with 44% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIL ML	PIT ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-115	-105	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-120	+100	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-5	+205	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

140W-113L

54.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

113W-136L

45.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/22/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	2	Under	-2.5
04/22/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	4	Under	-2.5
06/16/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	4	Over	+0.5
06/16/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	5	Over	+0.5
06/17/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	0	Under	-3.5
06/17/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	5	Under	-3.5
06/18/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Under	-1.5
06/18/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	5	Under	-1.5
06/30/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	7	Over	+6.5
06/30/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	8	Over	+6.5
07/01/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	11	Over	+10.5
07/01/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	8	Over	+10.5
07/02/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	6	Over	+0.5
07/02/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Over	+0.5
08/03/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	1	Over	+6.5
08/03/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	14	Over	+6.5
08/04/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	8	Over	+3.5
08/04/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	4	Over	+3.5
08/05/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Under	-3.5
08/05/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	3	Under	-3.5
08/06/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	4	Under	-3.5
08/06/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	1	Under	-3.5
09/04/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	2	Under	-2.5
09/04/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	4	Under	-2.5
09/05/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	7	Over	+1.5
09/05/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Over	+1.5
09/06/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	4	Over	+0.5
09/06/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	5	Over	+0.5

Brewers Vs Over/Under

Pirates Vs Over/Under

Bryse Wilson

ERA 3.293 | IP 13.7 | 2.0W-0.0L | KO 12.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-22-24	@PIT	2-4L	5.3	6	2	4	Under
04-15-24	vsSD	7-3L	4.7	9	7	4	Over
04-09-24	@CIN	9-5W	6.3	5	3	7	Over
04-03-24	vsMIN	7-3L	3.7	2	0	3	Over
08-11-21	vsNYM	7-3L	5.0	6	4	2	Over
08-05-21	vsPHI	7-3L	6.3	5	3	7	Over
07-31-21	vsCHC	7-3L	4.3	7	5	5	Over
07-26-21	vsPHI	7-3L	5.0	3	0	4	Over
07-04-21	vsLAD	7-3L	6.7	7	3	11	Over
06-29-21	vsTB	7-3L	6.3	6	2	7	Over
04-20-24	@STL	12-5W	1.3	0	0	0	Over
04-17-24	vsSD	0-1W	3.7	2	0	2	Under
04-10-24	@CIN	7-2W	3.0	3	1	1	Over
04-08-24	@CIN	8-10L	1.0	0	0	2	Over
04-06-24	vsSEA	5-3L	2.7	1	1	5	Under
04-03-24	vsMIN	7-3L	1.7	2	1	2	Over
03-30-24	@NYM	7-6W	0.3	2	2	0	Over
09-29-23	vsCHC	3-4W	1.0	1	0	1	Under
09-26-23	vsSTL	4-1L	1.7	0	0	2	Under
09-22-23	@MIA	16-1W	1.0	1	1	0	Over

Bailey Falter

ERA 4.05 | IP 20.0 | 1.0W-1.0L | KO 10.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-22-24	vsMIL	2-4W	6.0	4	1	7	Under
04-16-24	@NYM	1-3L	5.0	1	0	7	Under
04-11-24	@PHI	1-5L	6.3	6	3	8	Under
04-05-24	vsBAL	5-2L	6.0	6	2	7	Under
03-30-24	@MIA	9-3W	5.7	3	3	10	Over
04-17-24	@NYM	1-9L	5.0	4	2	4	Over
04-12-24	@PHI	5-2W	5.0	4	1	3	Under
04-06-24	vsBAL	4-5W	6.0	1	0	1	Over
03-31-24	@MIA	9-7W	4.0	5	6	2	Over
09-23-23	@CIN	13-12W	2.0	9	8	1	Over
09-19-23	@CHC	1-14L	1.0	1	2	1	Over
09-12-23	vsWAS	1-5W	6.0	4	1	4	Under
09-06-23	vsMIL	4-5W	3.7	1	0	3	Over
09-02-23	@STL	7-6W	3.7	1	1	2	Over
08-27-23	vsCHC	10-1L	4.7	7	6	3	Over

Brewers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/24	vs PIT	2-4L	5	1	Under
04/23	vs STL	2-0W	6	0	Under
04/22	vs STL	12-5W	18	3	Over
04/21	vs STL	2-1W	5	0	Under
04/19	@ SD	1-0W	3	0	Under
04/18	@ SD	3-6L	6	0	Over
04/17	@ SD	3-7L	10	1	Over
04/16	vs BAL	4-6L	12	2	Over
04/15	vs BAL	11-5W	15	2	Over
04/14	vs BAL	11-1W	15	3	Over
04/12	vs CIN	7-2W	6	2	Over
04/11	vs CIN	9-5W	13	0	Over
04/10	vs CIN	8-10L	12	2	Over
04/09	@ SEA	12-4W	14	3	Over
04/08	@ SEA	3-5L	5	1	Under

Pirates Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/24	@ MIL	4-2W	9	1	Under
04/23	@ BOS	1-6L	7	0	Under
04/22	@ BOS	2-4L	9	1	Under
04/21	@ BOS	1-8L	4	0	Over
04/19	vs NYM	1-9L	5	0	Over
04/18	vs NYM	1-3L	5	0	Under
04/17	vs NYM	3-6L	3	0	Over
04/16	vs PHI	8-2W	10	3	Over
04/15	vs PHI	3-4L	5	1	Under
04/14	vs PHI	5-2W	9	0	Under
04/13	vs PHI	1-5L	7	0	Under
04/11	@ DET	3-5L	8	2	Under
04/10	@ DET	7-4W	12	1	Over
04/09	@ BAL	3-2W	7	0	Under
04/08	@ BAL	5-4W	11	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Milwaukee Brewers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Sal Frelick	7.8	9.9	0.282	0.308	39.7%	70.5%	0.0%
#2 William Contreras	8.3	11.0	0.365	0.565	50.6%	107.1%	4.7%
#3 Willy Adames	7.6	9.9	0.301	0.482	43.4%	91.6%	3.6%
#4 Rhys Hoskins	8.0	10.9	0.222	0.472	36.1%	83.3%	6.9%
#5 Gary Sanchez	7.7	9.8	0.152	0.273	21.2%	48.5%	3.0%
#7 Owen Miller	6.0	8.5	0.167	0.167	16.7%	33.3%	0.0%
#7 Blake Perkins	5.9	7.7	0.333	0.51	47.1%	98.0%	3.9%
#8 Brice Turang	5.8	7.4	0.314	0.471	40.0%	87.1%	2.9%
#8 Joey Wiemer	6.2	8.5	0.125	0.125	25.0%	37.5%	0.0%
#9 Jackson Chourio	5.8	7.6	0.227	0.4	30.7%	70.7%	5.3%

Pittsburgh Pirates	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#2 Bryan Reynolds	8.0	10.5	0.258	0.382	44.9%	83.1%	2.2%
#3 Ke’Bryan Hayes	6.9	9.1	0.278	0.354	45.6%	81.0%	0.0%
#4 Jack Suwinski	7.0	9.4	0.183	0.296	31.0%	60.6%	2.8%
#5 Andrew McCutchen	7.5	9.9	0.214	0.357	35.7%	71.4%	3.6%
#6 Rowdy Tellez	6.8	8.8	0.203	0.25	31.2%	56.2%	1.6%
#8 Oneil Cruz	6.8	8.6	0.233	0.356	30.0%	65.6%	3.3%
#9 Henry Davis	5.5	7.4	0.172	0.224	34.5%	56.9%	0.0%
#9 Jared Triolo	5.2	6.6	0.227	0.28	33.3%	61.3%	1.3%