Brewers vs Pirates Game Breakdown & Projections – Thu, Apr 25th 2024

Get ready to crack open a cold one this afternoon as the Milwaukee Brewers sail into PNC Park with their sights set on capturing another win against the Pittsburgh Pirates. The Brewers are riding high, neck-and-neck at the top of the National League, while the Pirates, just a few paces behind, are eager to turn their ship around after yesterday’s narrow defeat. With the first pitch at 12:35 PM EST and the overcast skies promising a cool, breezy game day, the stakes are as tantalizing as the betting lines. Milwaukee’s recent triumph over Pittsburgh sets the stage for a thrilling rematch, and with the odds slightly in their favor, it’s anyone’s game. So, as the Brewers look to brew up another victory and the Pirates aim to plunder the win, expect all hands on deck in this showdown of strategy and skill!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 25, 2024 12:35PM EST

Location: PNC Park, Pittsburgh

Weather: Overcast with winds from the N at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 45.0° with 68% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIL ML	PIT ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-123	+103	7.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-138	+115	7.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-15	+12	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

141W-114L

58.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

114W-137L

42.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/22/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	2	Under	-1.5
04/22/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	4	Under	-1.5
04/23/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	1	Under	-4.5
04/23/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Under	-4.5
04/24/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	3	Under	-2.5
04/24/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Under	-2.5
06/16/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	4	Over	+1.5
06/16/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	5	Over	+1.5
06/17/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	0	Under	-2.5
06/17/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	5	Under	-2.5
06/18/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Under	-0.5
06/18/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	5	Under	-0.5
06/30/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	7	Over	+7.5
06/30/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	8	Over	+7.5
07/01/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	11	Over	+11.5
07/01/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	8	Over	+11.5
07/02/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	6	Over	+1.5
07/02/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Over	+1.5
08/03/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	1	Over	+7.5
08/03/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	14	Over	+7.5
08/04/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	8	Over	+4.5
08/04/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	4	Over	+4.5
08/05/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Under	-2.5
08/05/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	3	Under	-2.5
08/06/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	4	Under	-2.5
08/06/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	1	Under	-2.5
09/04/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	2	Under	-1.5
09/04/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	4	Under	-1.5
09/05/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	7	Over	+2.5
09/05/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Over	+2.5
09/06/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	4	Over	+1.5
09/06/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	5	Over	+1.5

Brewers Vs Over/Under

Pirates Vs Over/Under

Freddy Peralta

ERA 1.901 | IP 23.7 | 2.0W-0.0L | KO 33.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-19-24	@STL	2-1W	6.0	4	0	7	Under
04-12-24	@BAL	11-1W	6.0	5	1	11	Over
04-05-24	vsSEA	5-6W	5.7	4	3	7	Over
03-29-24	@NYM	3-1W	6.0	1	1	8	Under
09-24-23	@MIA	1-6L	3.0	9	4	4	Push
09-18-23	@STL	0-1L	6.0	4	1	6	Under
09-12-23	vsMIA	1-3W	6.3	2	1	9	Under
09-06-23	@PIT	4-5L	5.3	4	3	4	Over
09-01-23	vsPHI	5-7W	6.0	2	1	10	Over
08-26-23	vsSD	4-5W	5.3	2	2	9	Over

Mitch Keller

ERA 4.8 | IP 30.0 | 2.0W-2.0L | KO 25.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-20-24	vsBOS	4-2L	6.0	5	4	4	Under
04-14-24	@PHI	9-2W	7.0	8	2	4	Over
04-08-24	vsDET	4-7W	6.0	5	2	9	Over
04-03-24	@WAS	3-5L	5.3	8	5	5	Over
03-28-24	@MIA	6-5W	5.7	7	5	3	Over
09-26-23	@PHI	2-3L	6.0	3	2	6	Under
09-20-23	@CHC	13-7W	5.7	9	7	6	Over
09-14-23	vsWAS	0-2W	8.0	2	0	7	Under
09-08-23	@ATL	2-8L	5.0	12	8	4	Over
09-01-23	@STL	4-2W	6.0	5	1	8	Under

Brewers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/26	vs PIT	3-2W	7	0	Under
04/25	vs PIT	1-2L	3	1	Under
04/24	vs PIT	2-4L	5	1	Under
04/23	vs STL	2-0W	6	0	Under
04/22	vs STL	12-5W	18	3	Over
04/21	vs STL	2-1W	5	0	Under
04/19	@ SD	1-0W	3	0	Under
04/18	@ SD	3-6L	6	0	Over
04/17	@ SD	3-7L	10	1	Over
04/16	vs BAL	4-6L	12	2	Over
04/15	vs BAL	11-5W	15	2	Over
04/14	vs BAL	11-1W	15	3	Over
04/12	vs CIN	7-2W	6	2	Over
04/11	vs CIN	9-5W	13	0	Over
04/10	vs CIN	8-10L	12	2	Over

Pirates Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/26	@ MIL	2-3L	4	1	Under
04/25	@ MIL	2-1W	7	1	Under
04/24	@ MIL	4-2W	9	1	Under
04/23	@ BOS	1-6L	7	0	Push
04/22	@ BOS	2-4L	9	1	Under
04/21	@ BOS	1-8L	4	0	Over
04/19	vs NYM	1-9L	5	0	Over
04/18	vs NYM	1-3L	5	0	Under
04/17	vs NYM	3-6L	3	0	Over
04/16	vs PHI	8-2W	10	3	Over
04/15	vs PHI	3-4L	5	1	Push
04/14	vs PHI	5-2W	9	0	Push
04/13	vs PHI	1-5L	7	0	Under
04/11	@ DET	3-5L	8	2	Over
04/10	@ DET	7-4W	12	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Milwaukee Brewers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Sal Frelick	8.8	11.0	0.289	0.313	39.8%	71.1%	0.0%
#2 William Contreras	7.7	10.2	0.37	0.554	52.2%	107.6%	4.3%
#3 Willy Adames	7.5	9.8	0.286	0.451	41.8%	86.8%	3.3%
#4 Jake Bauers	6.5	9.1	0.152	0.304	21.7%	52.2%	2.2%
#5 Rhys Hoskins	7.4	10.1	0.203	0.43	35.4%	78.5%	6.3%
#6 Oliver Dunn	7.4	9.3	0.216	0.333	27.5%	60.8%	2.0%
#7 Blake Perkins	6.3	8.3	0.304	0.464	48.2%	94.6%	3.6%
#8 Brice Turang	6.5	8.3	0.32	0.467	42.7%	89.3%	2.7%
#9 Joey Wiemer	5.5	7.0	0.2	0.2	30.0%	50.0%	0.0%

Pittsburgh Pirates	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Andrew McCutchen	7.0	9.2	0.23	0.41	36.1%	77.0%	4.9%
#2 Bryan Reynolds	7.2	9.5	0.263	0.411	46.3%	87.4%	3.2%
#3 Rowdy Tellez	5.6	7.3	0.188	0.232	30.4%	53.6%	1.4%
#4 Joey Bart	5.2	6.9	0.316	0.684	52.6%	121.1%	10.5%
#5 Jack Suwinski	6.5	8.7	0.179	0.295	29.5%	59.0%	2.6%
#6 Jared Triolo	5.5	7.1	0.212	0.263	33.8%	60.0%	1.2%
#7 Oneil Cruz	6.5	8.2	0.237	0.351	29.9%	64.9%	3.1%
#8 Michael A. Taylor	5.4	6.9	0.267	0.317	31.7%	63.3%	0.0%
#9 Alika Williams	4.3	5.4	0.333	0.519	40.7%	92.6%	0.0%