Brewers vs Pirates Game Breakdown

Get ready to chug along with the Milwaukee Brewers as they steam into PNC Park, ready to clash bats with the Pittsburgh Pirates tonight at 06:40 PM EST! Sitting pretty at the top of the National League, the Brewers are looking to keep their lead intact, while the Pirates, trailing by 17 games, are thirsty for a turnaround after yesterday’s 7-2 soaking by the very same Brewers. With the odds leaning towards Milwaukee at -152 and an over/under that’s teasing a tight 7.5, tonight’s game promises to be a nail-biter. Partly cloudy skies and a gentle breeze set the stage for what’s expected to be a crisp evening of baseball. So, as the Brewers look to ferment another victory, let’s see if the Pirates can barrel their way to a treasure of a win!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 25, 2024 06:40PM EST

Location: PNC Park, Pittsburgh

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the SSE at 6.9 mph. Temperature is at 69.1° with 87% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIL ML	PIT ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-152	+127	7.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-159	+133	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-7	+6	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

175W-144L

61.4% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

147W-172L

38.6% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/22/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	2	Under	-1.5
04/22/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	4	Under	-1.5
04/23/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	1	Under	-4.5
04/23/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Under	-4.5
04/24/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	3	Under	-2.5
04/24/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Under	-2.5
04/25/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	7	Over	+4.5
04/25/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	5	Over	+4.5
05/13/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	8	Over	+6.5
05/13/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	6	Over	+6.5
05/14/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Under	-0.5
05/14/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	4	Under	-0.5
05/15/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Over	+4.5
05/15/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	10	Over	+4.5
07/09/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	12	Over	+6.5
07/09/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	2	Over	+6.5
07/10/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	0	Over	+1.5
07/10/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	9	Over	+1.5
07/11/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	1	Under	-6.5
07/11/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	0	Under	-6.5
09/24/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	7	Over	+1.5
09/24/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Over	+1.5
06/16/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	4	Over	+1.5
06/16/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	5	Over	+1.5
06/17/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	0	Under	-2.5
06/17/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	5	Under	-2.5
06/18/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Under	-0.5
06/18/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	5	Under	-0.5
06/30/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	7	Over	+7.5
06/30/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	8	Over	+7.5
07/01/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	11	Over	+11.5
07/01/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	8	Over	+11.5
07/02/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	6	Over	+1.5
07/02/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Over	+1.5
08/03/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	1	Over	+7.5
08/03/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	14	Over	+7.5
08/04/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	8	Over	+4.5
08/04/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	4	Over	+4.5
08/05/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Under	-2.5
08/05/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	3	Under	-2.5
08/06/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	4	Under	-2.5
08/06/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	1	Under	-2.5
09/04/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	2	Under	-1.5
09/04/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	4	Under	-1.5
09/05/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	7	Over	+2.5
09/05/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Over	+2.5
09/06/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	4	Over	+1.5
09/06/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	5	Over	+1.5

Brewers Vs Over/Under

Pirates Vs Over/Under

Freddy Peralta

ERA 3.689 | IP 168.3 | 11.0W-8.0L | KO 193.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-18-24	vsPHI	1-2W	5.0	2	1	9	Under
09-13-24	@ARI	2-1W	5.0	6	1	5	Under
09-08-24	vsCOL	4-1L	4.7	7	3	4	Under
09-02-24	vsSTL	3-9W	5.3	6	3	3	Over
08-28-24	vsSF	3-5W	6.0	2	0	8	Push
08-22-24	@STL	0-3L	5.0	3	0	2	Under
08-17-24	vsCLE	1-2W	6.0	4	1	3	Under
08-12-24	vsLAD	5-2L	6.0	5	4	4	Under
08-07-24	@ATL	8-5W	5.0	8	4	6	Over
07-31-24	vsATL	6-2L	6.0	3	2	7	Push

Luis Ortiz

ERA 3.358 | IP 128.7 | 6.0W-6.0L | KO 102.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-19-24	@STL	3-2W	6.0	5	2	7	Under
09-13-24	vsKC	8-3L	4.0	5	7	5	Over
09-07-24	vsWAS	5-3L	5.7	6	4	2	Push
08-31-24	@CLE	3-0W	6.0	1	0	5	Under
08-25-24	vsCIN	3-4W	6.0	4	0	5	Under
08-19-24	@TEX	3-4L	6.0	5	4	7	Under
08-13-24	@SD	0-3L	5.0	3	2	3	Under
08-08-24	vsSD	7-6L	6.0	4	4	3	Over
08-02-24	vsARI	9-8L	5.3	6	6	2	Over
07-26-24	@ARI	3-4L	5.0	5	3	4	Under

Brewers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/26	vs PIT	7-2W	6	0	Over
09/24	@ ARI	10-9W	16	0	Over
09/24	@ ARI	10-9W	16	0	Over
09/23	@ ARI	0-5L	2	0	Under
09/22	@ ARI	4-7L	12	3	Over
09/21	@ ARI	1-5L	2	1	Under
09/20	@ PHI	2-1W	5	1	Under
09/19	@ PHI	1-5L	5	0	Under
09/18	@ PHI	6-2W	8	0	Push
09/17	vs ARI	10-11L	13	2	Over
09/16	vs ARI	15-8W	16	4	Over
09/15	vs ARI	2-1W	6	1	Under
09/14	vs SF	3-0W	4	1	Under
09/13	vs SF	2-12L	6	0	Over
09/12	vs SF	3-2W	9	1	Under

Pirates Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/26	@ MIL	2-7L	10	0	Over
09/24	vs CIN	2-0W	7	2	Under
09/24	vs CIN	2-0W	7	2	Under
09/23	vs CIN	1-7L	7	1	Push
09/22	vs CIN	3-8L	9	1	Over
09/21	vs STL	3-2W	8	1	Under
09/20	vs STL	5-10L	13	1	Over
09/19	vs STL	1-3L	8	1	Under
09/18	vs STL	0-4L	4	0	Under
09/17	@ KC	4-3W	7	0	Under
09/16	@ KC	1-5L	9	0	Under
09/15	@ KC	3-8L	9	0	Over
09/13	@ MIA	3-1W	6	1	Under
09/12	@ MIA	6-4W	8	1	Over
09/11	@ MIA	3-2W	7	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Milwaukee Brewers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Brice Turang	7.5	9.5	0.251	0.347	0.343	0.690	0.284	0.013
#2 Jackson Chourio	8.2	10.7	0.278	0.472	0.360	0.832	0.339	0.041
#3 William Contreras	8.2	10.9	0.286	0.470	0.420	0.890	0.356	0.038
#4 Garrett Mitchell	8.5	11.1	0.262	0.464	0.388	0.852	0.343	0.038
#5 Willy Adames	7.6	10.1	0.250	0.464	0.371	0.835	0.337	0.052
#6 Jake Bauers	6.2	8.4	0.200	0.359	0.345	0.703	0.288	0.038
#7 Rhys Hoskins	6.9	9.3	0.214	0.416	0.350	0.766	0.311	0.057
#8 Sal Frelick	6.1	7.8	0.257	0.332	0.349	0.681	0.281	0.004
#9 Joey Ortiz	5.7	7.6	0.236	0.394	0.377	0.771	0.312	0.026

Pittsburgh Pirates	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Isiah Kiner-Falefa	7.5	9.4	0.272	0.382	0.330	0.712	0.296	0.018
#2 Bryan Reynolds	7.8	10.1	0.276	0.440	0.377	0.817	0.333	0.035
#3 Oneil Cruz	8.0	10.4	0.265	0.468	0.366	0.834	0.339	0.042
#4 Andrew McCutchen	7.4	9.8	0.239	0.420	0.388	0.807	0.325	0.046
#5 Joey Bart	6.1	8.1	0.267	0.458	0.388	0.846	0.342	0.050
#6 Bryan De La Cruz	6.7	8.7	0.238	0.385	0.292	0.677	0.282	0.035
#7 Jared Triolo	6.0	7.8	0.219	0.312	0.341	0.654	0.270	0.021
#8 Nick Yorke	5.4	6.9	0.286	0.500	0.357	0.857	0.349	0.071
#9 Billy Cook	4.9	6.2	0.214	0.381	0.214	0.595	0.251	0.048

Brewers Notable Injuries

Bryse Wilson OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/03/24. Impact: 1.4

Pirates Notable Injuries

Henry Davis OUT (C): Avg: 0.144 SLG:0.212 Last game: 09/06/24. Impact: 0.6
Kyle Nicolas OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/18/24. Impact: 0.1
Hunter Stratton OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/26/24. Impact: 0.7
Ben Heller OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/29/24. Impact: 0.5