Brewers vs Padres Game Breakdown

thefield
June 21, 2024
Milwaukee Brewers

Brewers

44W-31L

Milwaukee Brewers

June 21, 2024

09:40PM EST

Odds: 7.5 o/u

Padres

39W-40L

San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres

It’s showdown time at Petco Park tonight as the high-flying Milwaukee Brewers, sitting pretty at the top of their game, swoop into San Diego to clash with the Padres, who are looking to climb out of their mid-pack slump. With the first pitch slated for 09:40PM EST, the stage is set under a partly cloudy sky, where the breeze is just a whisper and the stakes are as high as the humidity. The Brewers, fresh off a narrow defeat, are itching to flip the script against the Padres, who just edged them out in yesterday’s nail-biter. The betting world is buzzing too, with the lines drawn and the over/under teasing a tight contest. So, as the Brewers try to brew up a storm and the Padres swing for the fences, tonight’s game promises to be more than just peanuts and Cracker Jacks!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: June 21, 2024 09:40PM EST
Location: Petco Park, San Diego
Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the NW at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 66.9° with 76% humidity.

Vegas Odds

MIL ML SD ML Over/Under Line
Open +131 -157 7.5 1.5/-1.5
Recent +129 -154 7.5 1.5/-1.5
Difference -2 +3 0 –

Team Performance

mil Team Logo
LAST 10
6W-4L
AWAY
152W-129L

43.7% Win Probability

sd Team Logo
LAST 10
5W-5L
HOME
148W-130L

56.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date Runs O/U O/U DIFF ATS
04/15/24 San Diego Padres SD 7 Over +2.5
Milwaukee Brewers MIL 3
04/16/24 San Diego Padres SD 6 Over +1.5
Milwaukee Brewers MIL 3
04/17/24 San Diego Padres SD 0 Under -6.5
Milwaukee Brewers MIL 1
06/20/24 Milwaukee Brewers MIL 6 Over +5.5
San Diego Padres SD 7
04/13/23 Milwaukee Brewers MIL 4 Under -0.5
San Diego Padres SD 3
04/14/23 Milwaukee Brewers MIL 11 Over +5.5
San Diego Padres SD 2
04/15/23 Milwaukee Brewers MIL 3 Over +5.5
San Diego Padres SD 10
04/16/23 Milwaukee Brewers MIL 1 Under -6.5
San Diego Padres SD 0
08/25/23 San Diego Padres SD 3 Over +2.5
Milwaukee Brewers MIL 7
08/26/23 San Diego Padres SD 4 Over +1.5
Milwaukee Brewers MIL 5
08/27/23 San Diego Padres SD 6 Over +8.5
Milwaukee Brewers MIL 10

Brewers Vs Over/Under

Padres Vs Over/Under

Colin Rea
Colin Rea
ERA 3.287 | IP 76.7 | 6.0W-2.0L | KO 54.0
Date Matchup Result IP Hits Runs KO Over
06-16-24 vsCIN 4-5W 6.0 4 3 6 Over
06-10-24 vsTOR 1-3W 7.0 3 1 4 Under
06-04-24 @PHI 1-2L 4.0 4 0 2 Under
05-30-24 vsCHC 4-6W 5.3 5 1 5 Over
05-25-24 @BOS 6-3W 5.7 3 2 2 Over
05-19-24 @HOU 4-9L 4.3 8 5 5 Over
05-13-24 vsPIT 8-6L 6.0 6 3 5 Over
05-07-24 @KC 6-5W 4.7 7 4 2 Over
05-01-24 vsTB 1-7W 6.0 4 0 5 Over
04-26-24 vsNYY 6-7W 6.0 4 5 4 Over
Dylan Cease
Dylan Cease
ERA 3.946 | IP 86.7 | 6.0W-6.0L | KO 106.0
Date Matchup Result IP Hits Runs KO Over
06-16-24 @NYM 6-11L 3.7 7 7 5 Over
06-10-24 vsOAK 1-6W 6.0 8 1 8 Under
06-05-24 @LAA 2-3L 6.0 4 3 6 Under
05-31-24 @KC 11-8W 5.3 5 3 5 Over
05-25-24 vsNYY 4-1L 6.7 8 4 9 Under
05-20-24 @ATL 6-5W 4.0 9 5 5 Over
05-14-24 vsCOL 6-3L 5.7 5 3 8 Over
05-08-24 @CHC 3-0W 7.0 1 0 12 Under
05-03-24 @ARI 7-1W 6.7 3 1 8 Over
04-27-24 vsPHI 5-1L 6.0 6 5 5 Under

Brewers Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Hits HR O/U
06/22 vs SD 6-7L 9 1 Over
06/21 vs LAA 2-0W 6 0 Under
06/20 vs LAA 6-3W 8 1 Over
06/19 vs LAA 3-5L 5 2 Over
06/18 @ CIN 5-4W 8 1 Over
06/17 @ CIN 3-1W 4 1 Under
06/16 @ CIN 5-6L 8 1 Over
06/14 @ TOR 5-4W 11 1 Over
06/13 @ TOR 0-3L 5 0 Under
06/12 @ TOR 3-1W 6 2 Under
06/11 vs DET 2-10L 7 0 Over
06/10 vs DET 5-4W 10 0 Over
06/09 vs DET 10-0W 16 0 Over
06/07 vs PHI 0-2L 3 0 Under
06/06 vs PHI 1-2L 7 0 Under

Padres Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Hits HR O/U
06/22 @ MIL 7-6W 10 4 Over
06/21 vs PHI 5-2W 12 1 Under
06/20 vs PHI 3-4L 4 1 Under
06/19 vs PHI 2-9L 7 0 Over
06/18 vs NYM 6-11L 10 0 Over
06/17 vs NYM 1-5L 2 1 Under
06/16 vs NYM 1-2L 5 1 Under
06/14 @ OAK 5-4W 6 4 Over
06/13 @ OAK 4-3W 10 1 Under
06/12 @ OAK 6-1W 10 2 Under
06/11 @ ARI 3-9L 7 2 Over
06/10 @ ARI 13-1W 14 3 Over
06/09 @ ARI 10-3W 14 3 Over
06/08 @ ARI 3-4L 10 1 Under
06/07 vs LAA 2-3L 8 0 Under

Team’s Batting Order

Milwaukee Brewers DK FD AVG SLG OBP OPS wOBA HR/Rate
#1 Brice Turang
7.2 9.2 0.286 0.399 0.391 0.790 0.322 0.016
#2 William Contreras
7.4 9.7 0.303 0.458 0.404 0.862 0.349 0.030
#3 Christian Yelich
7.3 9.5 0.322 0.503 0.459 0.962 0.381 0.038
#4 Willy Adames
7.0 9.4 0.244 0.442 0.389 0.830 0.334 0.046
#5 Sal Frelick
6.1 7.7 0.256 0.326 0.374 0.700 0.288 0.009
#6 Rhys Hoskins
6.9 9.3 0.216 0.411 0.358 0.768 0.312 0.053
#7 Tyler Black
5.8 7.0 0.208 0.292 0.292 0.583 0.245 0.000
#8 Joey Ortiz
5.3 7.0 0.273 0.454 0.454 0.907 0.358 0.031
#9 Blake Perkins
4.8 6.2 0.245 0.363 0.358 0.722 0.296 0.024
San Diego Padres DK FD AVG SLG OBP OPS wOBA HR/Rate
#1 Luis Arraez
8.5 10.4 0.315 0.379 0.372 0.751 0.311 0.003
#2 Fernando Tatis Jr.
9.0 11.7 0.278 0.472 0.388 0.860 0.348 0.047
#3 Jurickson Profar
7.8 10.3 0.320 0.486 0.486 0.973 0.382 0.039
#4 Jake Cronenworth
7.6 10.0 0.246 0.431 0.348 0.779 0.319 0.040
#5 Manny Machado
7.4 9.5 0.252 0.366 0.324 0.691 0.286 0.023
#6 Jackson Merrill
7.4 9.4 0.280 0.428 0.337 0.765 0.315 0.037
#7 David Peralta
5.8 7.8 0.222 0.267 0.378 0.644 0.268 0.000
#8 Luis Campusano
5.6 7.4 0.231 0.364 0.303 0.667 0.277 0.026
#9 Ha-Seong Kim
5.6 7.4 0.220 0.388 0.392 0.780 0.313 0.036

Brewers Notable Injuries

  • Robert Gasser OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/03/24. Impact: 5.5
  • Joe Ross OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 05/22/24. Impact: 4.7

Padres Notable Injuries

  • Yu Darvish OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 05/31/24. Impact: 6.6
  • Joe Musgrove OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 05/28/24. Impact: 6.7
  • Xander Bogaerts OUT (2B): Avg: 0.208 SLG:0.309 Last game: 05/22/24. Impact: 2.4
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