Brewers vs Cardinals Game Breakdown & Projections – Fri, Apr 19th 2024

Get ready for a sizzling showdown as the 11W-6L Milwaukee Brewers roll into Busch Stadium with their coolers packed and eyes on the prize, ready to clash with the 9W-10L St. Louis Cardinals under the blazing evening sun. It’s a top-of-the-table tussle with the Brewers sitting pretty at the pinnacle of the National League, while the Cardinals, trailing by just a few feathers at 3 games back, look to shuffle the deck. With the first pitch set to fly at 08:15 PM EST and the odds-makers setting the temperature with an over/under of 7.5, tonight’s game promises to be as heated as the 91.4° weather whipping through the stadium. While the Brewers are fresh off a tight 1-0 victory against San Diego, the Cardinals are itching to rebound from their recent stumble against Oakland. So, as the sun sets and the winds whip up from the NNW, let’s see if the Brewers can brew up a storm or if the Cardinals can play a hand that’s nothing short of ace-high!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 19, 2024 08:15PM EST

Location: Busch Stadium, St. Louis

Weather: Sunny with winds from the NNW at 13.6 mph. Temperature is at 91.4° with 39% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIL ML	STL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-130	+108	7.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-126	+106	7.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+4	-2	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

137W-112L

55.8% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

134W-113L

44.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/07/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	0	Under	-3.5
04/07/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	4	Under	-3.5
04/08/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	6	Under	-1.5
04/08/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	0	Under	-1.5
04/09/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	1	Under	-0.5
04/09/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	6	Under	-0.5
05/15/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	1	Over	+11.5
05/15/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	18	Over	+11.5
05/16/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	3	Under	-2.5
05/16/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	2	Under	-2.5
05/17/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	0	Under	-4.5
05/17/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	3	Under	-4.5
09/18/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	0	Under	-6.5
09/18/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	1	Under	-6.5
09/19/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	7	Over	+2.5
09/19/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	3	Over	+2.5
09/20/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	8	Over	+2.5
09/20/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	2	Over	+2.5
09/21/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	6	Under	-1.5
09/21/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	0	Under	-1.5
09/26/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	4	Under	-2.5
09/26/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	1	Under	-2.5
09/27/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	2	Under	-2.5
09/27/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	3	Under	-2.5
09/28/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	0	Under	-4.5
09/28/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	3	Under	-4.5

Brewers Vs Over/Under

Cardinals Vs Over/Under

Freddy Peralta

ERA 3.803 | IP 165.7 | 12.0W-10.0L | KO 210.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-12-24	@BAL	11-1W	6.0	5	1	11	Over
04-05-24	vsSEA	5-6W	5.7	4	3	7	Over
03-29-24	@NYM	3-1W	6.0	1	1	8	Under
09-24-23	@MIA	1-6L	3.0	9	4	4	Under
09-18-23	@STL	0-1L	6.0	4	1	6	Under
09-12-23	vsMIA	1-3W	6.3	2	1	9	Under
09-06-23	@PIT	4-5L	5.3	4	3	4	Over
09-01-23	vsPHI	5-7W	6.0	2	1	10	Over
08-26-23	vsSD	4-5W	5.3	2	2	9	Over
08-19-23	@TEX	6-1W	5.7	4	1	11	Under

Kyle Gibson

ERA 4.816 | IP 185.0 | 14.0W-9.0L | KO 146.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-13-24	@ARI	2-4L	6.0	6	4	2	Under
04-07-24	vsMIA	10-3L	6.0	7	7	5	Over
04-01-24	@SD	6-2W	7.0	4	2	4	Over
09-30-23	@BOS	2-5W	5.0	7	0	4	Under
09-24-23	@CLE	5-1L	7.0	5	1	4	Under
09-19-23	@HOU	9-5L	4.7	5	3	5	Over
09-13-23	@STL	1-0W	6.7	3	1	4	Under
09-06-23	@LAA	10-3L	6.0	6	3	3	Over
08-30-23	@CWS	10-5L	4.3	9	7	2	Over
08-24-23	@TOR	3-5W	8.0	6	3	8	Over

Brewers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/19	@ SD	1-0W	3	0	Under
04/18	@ SD	3-6L	6	0	Over
04/17	@ SD	3-7L	10	1	Over
04/16	vs BAL	4-6L	12	2	Over
04/15	vs BAL	11-5W	15	2	Over
04/14	vs BAL	11-1W	15	3	Over
04/12	vs CIN	7-2W	6	2	Over
04/11	vs CIN	9-5W	13	0	Over
04/10	vs CIN	8-10L	12	2	Over
04/09	@ SEA	12-4W	14	3	Over
04/08	@ SEA	3-5L	5	1	Over
04/07	@ SEA	6-5W	8	3	Over
04/05	@ MIN	3-7L	7	2	Over
04/04	@ MIN	3-2W	7	1	Under
04/02	vs NYM	4-1W	9	0	Under

Cardinals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/19	vs OAK	3-6L	6	0	Over
04/18	vs OAK	3-2W	4	0	Under
04/17	vs OAK	3-1W	8	0	Under
04/16	vs ARI	0-5L	4	0	Under
04/15	vs ARI	2-4L	11	0	Under
04/14	vs ARI	9-6W	14	2	Over
04/12	@ PHI	3-4L	7	2	Under
04/11	@ PHI	3-0W	7	1	Under
04/10	@ PHI	3-5L	6	1	Over
04/09	@ MIA	3-10L	5	2	Over
04/08	@ MIA	3-1W	8	0	Under
04/06	@ MIA	8-5W	10	1	Over
04/05	vs SD	2-3L	6	0	Under
04/04	vs SD	5-2W	6	1	Under
04/03	vs SD	6-2W	14	2	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Milwaukee Brewers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Sal Frelick	7.9	10.4	0.246	0.351	39.8%	74.9%	1.6%
#3 Jake Bauers	6.8	9.1	0.202	0.413	31.4%	72.7%	5.0%
#4 Willy Adames	7.2	9.6	0.219	0.408	35.9%	76.7%	4.4%
#5 William Contreras	7.1	9.4	0.289	0.459	41.6%	87.5%	3.2%
#6 Rhys Hoskins	9.3	9.3	nan	nan	nan%	nan%	nan%
#7 Brice Turang	6.0	7.6	0.222	0.304	31.9%	62.3%	1.5%
#9 Blake Perkins	5.5	7.5	0.22	0.355	38.3%	73.8%	2.8%

St. Louis Cardinals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Brendan Donovan	7.3	9.5	0.276	0.412	40.2%	81.4%	3.4%
#2 Paul Goldschmidt	7.6	10.0	0.27	0.451	42.1%	87.2%	4.3%
#3 Lars Nootbaar	7.4	9.7	0.262	0.421	42.9%	85.0%	3.3%
#4 Nolan Arenado	6.9	9.0	0.271	0.467	34.7%	81.4%	4.7%
#5 Willson Contreras	7.1	9.4	0.261	0.459	40.7%	86.6%	4.5%
#6 Nolan Gorman	7.0	9.4	0.236	0.482	37.7%	85.9%	6.8%
#7 Masyn Winn	5.3	6.9	0.172	0.238	25.4%	49.2%	1.6%
#8 Jordan Walker	5.8	7.5	0.278	0.45	38.0%	83.1%	3.9%
#9 Michael Siani	4.2	5.7	0.0	0.0	20.0%	20.0%	0.0%