Twins vs Diamondbacks Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown under the partly cloudy skies of Chase Field as the Minnesota Twins, boasting a solid 42-36 record, roll into Arizona to clash with the 39-40 Diamondbacks tonight at 09:40 PM EST. It’s not just the 91-degree heat that’s turning up the temperature; both teams are itching to climb their respective conference rankings, with the Twins and Diamondbacks trailing in their leagues but not out of the fight yet. Fresh off a nail-biter where the Diamondbacks edged the Twins 5-4, the stakes and stats are tantalizingly poised. With the betting lines tiptoeing around an over/under of 9.0 and the Twins favored slightly at -120, tonight’s game promises all the thrills. So, as the winds gently breeze from the north, will the Twins mine victories or will the Diamondbacks strike gold in their own backyard? Let’s find out whose spirit truly embodies their mascot tonight!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: June 26, 2024 09:40PM EST

Location: Chase Field, Arizona

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the N at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 91.0° with 45% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIN ML	ARI ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-120	+100	9.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-125	+105	9.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-5	+5	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

123W-157L

55.6% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

134W-143L

44.4% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
06/25/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	4	Push	-0.0
06/25/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	5	Push	-0.0
08/04/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	2	Under	-4.0
08/04/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	3	Under	-4.0
08/05/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	1	Over	+4.0
08/05/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	12	Over	+4.0
08/06/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	3	Under	-1.0
08/06/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	5	Under	-1.0

Twins Vs Over/Under

Diamondbacks Vs Over/Under

S. Woods

ERA 3.264 | IP 60.7 | 2.0W-1.0L | KO 52.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-20-24	vsTB	7-6L	6.0	4	2	6	Over
06-14-24	vsOAK	5-6W	4.0	4	4	4	Over
06-08-24	@PIT	0-4L	6.3	6	1	6	Under
06-02-24	@HOU	4-3W	4.3	3	3	6	Under
05-28-24	vsKC	2-4W	5.0	3	2	4	Under
05-22-24	@WAS	3-2W	4.7	3	0	1	Under
05-17-24	@CLE	2-3L	5.3	4	1	2	Under
05-11-24	@TOR	8-10L	4.3	8	5	2	Over
05-06-24	vsSEA	1-3W	6.0	1	0	8	Under
04-30-24	@CWS	6-5W	3.7	7	2	2	Over

Ryne Nelson

ERA 5.176 | IP 64.3 | 5.0W-5.0L | KO 43.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-20-24	@WAS	5-2W	7.0	3	2	2	Under
06-14-24	vsCWS	1-7W	6.0	6	1	8	Under
06-08-24	@SD	1-13L	3.3	6	6	1	Over
06-03-24	vsSF	2-4W	7.7	6	2	1	Under
05-29-24	@TEX	1-6L	6.0	5	4	3	Under
05-22-24	@LAD	6-0W	5.0	5	0	5	Under
05-17-24	vsDET	13-0L	4.0	11	8	4	Over
05-11-24	@BAL	4-5L	4.7	10	3	3	Push
05-05-24	vsSD	4-11W	5.0	8	4	3	Over
04-18-24	@SF	0-5L	2.0	2	0	0	Under

Twins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/27	vs ARI	4-5L	6	2	Push
06/25	vs OAK	3-0W	6	1	Under
06/24	vs OAK	10-2W	16	1	Over
06/23	vs OAK	5-6L	10	2	Over
06/22	@ TB	6-7L	10	3	Over
06/21	@ TB	2-3L	9	1	Under
06/20	@ TB	7-6W	13	1	Over
06/18	@ OAK	6-2W	12	4	Under
06/18	@ OAK	8-7W	14	3	Over
06/16	@ OAK	6-5W	10	1	Over
06/15	@ OAK	6-2W	13	1	Under
06/14	@ COL	17-9W	24	2	Over
06/13	@ COL	4-5L	8	2	Push
06/12	@ COL	5-0W	7	1	Under
06/11	vs PIT	11-5W	13	0	Over

Diamondbacks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/27	@ MIN	5-4W	8	1	Push
06/25	vs PHI	1-4L	6	0	Under
06/24	vs PHI	1-12L	2	0	Over
06/23	vs PHI	5-4W	9	3	Push
06/22	vs WAS	5-2W	13	1	Under
06/21	vs WAS	1-3L	4	0	Under
06/20	vs WAS	5-0W	14	1	Under
06/18	@ CWS	12-5W	9	1	Over
06/17	@ CWS	2-9L	10	0	Over
06/16	@ CWS	7-1W	10	2	Under
06/15	@ LAA	11-1W	9	3	Over
06/14	@ LAA	3-8L	6	2	Over
06/13	@ LAA	9-4W	15	1	Over
06/11	vs SD	9-3W	15	1	Over
06/10	vs SD	1-13L	5	0	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Minnesota Twins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Willi Castro	8.9	11.6	0.272	0.441	0.404	0.846	0.341	0.022
#2 Trevor Larnach	8.5	11.2	0.250	0.421	0.329	0.750	0.308	0.046
#3 Royce Lewis	9.7	12.9	0.329	0.800	0.443	1.243	0.490	0.143
#4 Max Kepler	8.3	11.0	0.257	0.429	0.346	0.775	0.319	0.031
#5 Carlos Correa	8.4	11.0	0.298	0.482	0.408	0.890	0.358	0.035
#6 Carlos Santana	7.3	9.7	0.244	0.436	0.368	0.804	0.326	0.048
#7 Byron Buxton	8.4	10.9	0.255	0.435	0.325	0.760	0.314	0.030
#8 Christian Vazquez	5.9	7.5	0.194	0.278	0.236	0.514	0.218	0.014
#9 Austin Martin	6.3	8.2	0.267	0.376	0.366	0.743	0.304	0.010

Arizona Diamondbacks	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Corbin Carroll	10.7	14.0	0.215	0.316	0.351	0.667	0.274	0.007
#2 Ketel Marte	8.2	10.8	0.283	0.510	0.387	0.897	0.362	0.053
#3 Joc Pederson	8.0	10.6	0.289	0.513	0.455	0.968	0.382	0.053
#4 Christian Walker	7.8	10.4	0.252	0.470	0.372	0.842	0.341	0.057
#5 Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	7.3	9.5	0.259	0.403	0.307	0.710	0.295	0.034
#6 Jake McCarthy	8.7	11.1	0.287	0.402	0.420	0.822	0.332	0.017
#7 Eugenio Suarez	6.4	8.5	0.190	0.312	0.312	0.624	0.260	0.023
#8 Tucker Barnhart	4.2	5.8	0.178	0.205	0.342	0.548	0.230	0.000
#9 Geraldo Perdomo	6.0	7.7	0.276	0.328	0.397	0.724	0.298	0.000

Twins Notable Injuries

Chris Paddack OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/23/24. Impact: 4.8

Diamondbacks Notable Injuries

Zac Gallen OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/01/24. Impact: 7.7
Blake Walston OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/06/24. Impact: 3.3
Gabriel Moreno OUT (C): Avg: 0.23 SLG:0.346 Last game: 06/23/24. Impact: 2.7