Twins vs Orioles Game Breakdown & Projections – Mon, Apr 15th 2024

Get ready to ruffle some feathers and reel in those catches because tonight’s MLB showdown is nothing short of spectacular! The Minnesota Twins, who are trying to claw their way up from a 6W-8L record, are storming into the Oriole Park at Camden Yards, ready to battle the soaring Baltimore Orioles sitting pretty at 9W-6L. With the first pitch at 06:35PM EST, the stakes are high and the lines are drawn with the Orioles favored at -155 and an over/under that’s teasing a total of 9 runs. Fresh off a thrilling 6-4 victory over Milwaukee, the Orioles are looking to keep their wings spread wide, while the Twins, stinging from a narrow 3-4 defeat to Detroit, are hungry for redemption. The weather’s playing nice too—partly cloudy skies, a gentle southwestern breeze, and perfect game-time temps. So, as the Twins try to hook some big hits and the Orioles aim to fly high, tonight’s game is all set to be a spectacular clash of feathers and fins!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 15, 2024 06:35PM EST

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the SW at 6.9 mph. Temperature is at 75.0° with 45% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIN ML	BAL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+130	-155	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+114	-136	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-16	+19	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

108W-141L

46.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

122W-124L

53.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
06/30/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	8	Push	-0.0
06/30/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	1	Push	-0.0
07/01/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-8.0
07/01/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	0	Under	-8.0
07/02/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-6.0
07/02/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	2	Under	-6.0
07/07/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	3	Under	-5.0
07/07/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-5.0
07/08/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	6	Under	-1.0
07/08/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-1.0
07/09/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	15	Over	+8.0
07/09/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Over	+8.0

Twins Vs Over/Under

Orioles Vs Over/Under

Louie Varland

ERA 4.632 | IP 68.0 | 4.0W-3.0L | KO 71.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-14-24	@DET	3-4L	6.0	3	0	3	Under
04-08-24	vsLAD	4-2L	5.0	3	1	7	Under
03-31-24	@KC	0-11L	1.3	9	8	1	Over
10-01-23	@COL	2-3L	6.7	2	1	9	Under
09-26-23	vsOAK	3-11W	5.0	2	0	8	Over
09-20-23	@CIN	5-3W	5.0	3	2	3	Under
09-15-23	@CWS	10-2W	5.0	5	2	6	Over
08-27-23	vsTEX	6-7W	4.0	5	5	4	Over
08-22-23	@MIL	3-7L	5.0	2	2	3	Over
08-15-23	vsDET	3-5W	5.0	4	2	6	Under
04-09-24	vsLAD	6-3L	5.0	7	6	6	Push
04-02-24	@MIL	2-3L	4.0	6	3	4	Under
09-28-23	vsOAK	2-1L	1.7	0	0	3	Under
09-24-23	vsLAA	3-9W	1.0	1	0	2	Over
09-22-23	vsLAA	6-8W	1.0	0	0	1	Over
09-15-23	@CWS	10-2W	2.0	1	0	4	Over
09-12-23	vsTB	2-3W	2.3	1	0	3	Under
09-09-23	vsNYM	4-8W	1.0	2	2	2	Over
09-06-23	@CLE	1-2L	3.0	1	0	2	Under
06-18-23	vsDET	6-4L	4.3	9	6	4	Over

Cole Irvin

ERA 4.422 | IP 77.3 | 1.0W-4.0L | KO 68.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-14-24	vsMIL	4-6W	5.0	6	3	5	Over
04-09-24	@BOS	7-1W	7.0	2	1	6	Under
04-03-24	vsKC	3-4W	5.7	9	2	3	Under
03-28-24	vsLAA	3-11W	6.0	1	1	11	Over
09-28-23	@STL	0-3W	4.0	5	0	4	Under
09-22-23	@MIA	16-1L	5.0	2	0	6	Over
09-16-23	@WAS	5-9W	5.7	5	4	9	Over
09-10-23	@NYY	3-4W	8.0	0	0	7	Under
09-04-23	@PIT	2-4W	6.0	7	4	7	Under
08-29-23	@CHC	0-1W	7.0	8	1	7	Under
04-10-24	@BOS	7-5W	5.0	7	5	4	Over
04-02-24	vsKC	4-1L	5.0	7	4	3	Under
10-01-23	vsBOS	6-1L	2.0	0	0	1	Under
09-12-23	vsSTL	5-2L	2.0	2	0	1	Under
09-10-23	@BOS	3-7L	2.7	1	3	3	Over
09-06-23	@LAA	10-3W	1.0	0	0	1	Over
09-01-23	@ARI	2-4L	5.7	8	4	4	Under
08-25-23	vsCOL	4-5W	6.0	6	4	5	Push
08-19-23	@OAK	7-2W	5.0	4	1	3	Push
08-12-23	@SEA	1-0W	5.0	2	0	6	Under

Twins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/16	vs DET	3-4L	6	1	Under
04/15	vs DET	11-5W	8	2	Over
04/15	vs DET	4-1W	7	2	Under
04/14	vs DET	2-8L	6	0	Over
04/12	@ LAD	3-2W	6	2	Under
04/11	@ LAD	3-6L	6	3	Push
04/10	@ LAD	2-4L	3	1	Under
04/08	@ CLE	1-3L	2	0	Under
04/06	@ CLE	2-4L	7	1	Under
04/05	vs MIL	7-3W	11	1	Over
04/04	vs MIL	2-3L	3	0	Under
04/02	vs KC	0-11L	4	0	Over
04/01	vs KC	5-1W	7	0	Under
03/30	vs KC	4-1W	10	1	Under
10/03	vs COL	2-2L	9	0	Under

Orioles Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/16	@ MIL	6-4W	11	3	Over
04/15	@ MIL	5-11L	12	3	Over
04/14	@ MIL	1-11L	6	1	Over
04/13	vs BOS	9-4W	9	4	Over
04/12	vs BOS	7-5W	9	1	Over
04/11	vs BOS	7-1W	13	0	Under
04/09	vs PIT	2-3L	6	0	Under
04/08	vs PIT	4-5L	4	0	Push
04/07	vs PIT	5-2W	12	3	Under
04/05	@ KC	4-3W	6	0	Under
04/04	@ KC	1-4L	3	0	Under
04/03	@ KC	6-4W	9	2	Over
04/02	@ LAA	1-4L	3	0	Under
04/01	@ LAA	13-4W	14	2	Over
03/30	@ LAA	11-3W	10	2	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Minnesota Twins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Edouard Julien	9.4	12.4	0.257	0.442	45.4%	89.6%	4.5%
#2 Ryan Jeffers	8.9	11.8	0.276	0.49	42.7%	91.6%	4.9%
#3 Byron Buxton	9.0	12.0	0.21	0.443	34.0%	78.3%	5.7%
#3 Alex Kirilloff	8.4	11.0	0.271	0.444	39.7%	84.1%	4.0%
#4 Manuel Margot	7.9	10.2	0.264	0.376	33.4%	71.1%	1.3%
#4 Jose Miranda	6.9	8.9	0.206	0.298	27.7%	57.4%	2.1%
#5 Willi Castro	8.3	10.7	0.258	0.413	38.8%	80.1%	2.5%
#6 Austin Martin	nan	8.6	nan	nan	nan%	nan%	nan%
#7 Carlos Santana	7.4	9.9	0.243	0.435	35.9%	79.4%	4.2%
#9 Kyle Farmer	6.1	8.0	0.254	0.406	34.3%	74.9%	3.3%

Baltimore Orioles	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Gunnar Henderson	10.6	14.0	0.254	0.49	35.9%	84.9%	5.0%
#2 Adley Rutschman	9.0	11.8	0.276	0.43	43.5%	86.5%	3.3%
#3 Anthony Santander	8.7	11.5	0.254	0.46	35.4%	81.4%	4.4%
#4 Ryan O’Hearn	7.3	9.5	0.288	0.48	34.0%	82.0%	4.1%
#5 Ryan Mountcastle	7.6	10.0	0.268	0.45	36.3%	81.3%	4.3%
#6 Colton Cowser	7.6	10.9	0.103	0.138	36.2%	50.0%	0.0%
#7 Cedric Mullins	7.8	10.4	0.231	0.414	34.1%	75.4%	3.8%
#8 Jordan Westburg	6.6	8.5	0.261	0.399	34.5%	74.4%	1.5%