Twins vs Orioles Game Breakdown & Projections – Tue, Apr 16th 2024

Get ready to rumble at Oriole Park tonight as the Minnesota Twins, hoping to claw their way up from a 6-9 start, face off against the high-flying Baltimore Orioles, who are sitting pretty at 10-6 this season. The stakes are high with the first pitch set for 06:35 PM EST, and the Orioles looking to keep their lead in the American League conference. With the over/under teasing at 8.5, and the Orioles favored to win, this match is brewing to be a showdown you won’t want to miss. Just yesterday, the Orioles clipped the Twins’ wings with a 7-4 victory – can the Twins turn the tables today? As the breeze stays still and the humidity non-existent, it’s a perfect day for baseball, folks. So, as the Twins try to swing back and the Orioles aim to keep soaring, tonight’s game is all set to be a real feather-ruffler!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 16, 2024 06:35PM EST

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore

Weather: with winds from the at 0.0 mph. Temperature is at 0.0° with 0% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIN ML	BAL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+138	-164	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+136	-162	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-2	+2	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

108W-142L

42.4% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

123W-124L

57.6% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/15/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	4	Over	+2.5
04/15/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	7	Over	+2.5
06/30/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	8	Over	+0.5
06/30/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	1	Over	+0.5
07/01/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-7.5
07/01/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	0	Under	-7.5
07/02/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-5.5
07/02/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	2	Under	-5.5
07/07/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	3	Under	-4.5
07/07/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-4.5
07/08/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	6	Under	-0.5
07/08/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-0.5
07/09/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	15	Over	+8.5
07/09/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Over	+8.5

Twins Vs Over/Under

Orioles Vs Over/Under

Chris Paddack

ERA 5.4 | IP 5.0 | 1.0W-0.0L | KO 8.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-10-24	vsLAD	2-3W	4.7	6	2	5	Under
04-03-24	@MIL	7-3W	4.0	6	2	2	Over
09-30-23	@COL	14-6W	3.0	2	0	4	Over
09-26-23	vsOAK	3-11W	2.0	4	3	4	Over
09-24-23	vsLAA	3-9W	0.0	0	0	0	Over
05-08-22	vsOAK	3-9W	2.3	5	3	4	Over
05-02-22	vsBAL	3-9W	5.3	4	1	3	Over
04-26-22	vsDET	3-9W	5.7	5	1	6	Over
04-20-22	vsKC	3-9W	5.0	5	2	4	Over
04-13-22	vsLAD	3-9W	4.0	6	3	3	Over

Grayson Rodriguez

ERA 4.352 | IP 122.0 | 7.0W-4.0L | KO 129.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-11-24	@BOS	9-4W	5.7	6	2	5	Over
04-05-24	@PIT	5-2W	6.3	6	2	7	Under
03-30-24	vsLAA	4-13W	6.0	4	1	9	Over
09-27-23	vsWAS	1-5W	5.7	6	1	5	Under
09-21-23	@CLE	2-5L	5.0	5	2	7	Under
09-16-23	vsTB	0-8W	8.0	5	0	7	Under
09-10-23	@BOS	3-7L	4.3	7	4	6	Over
09-04-23	@LAA	6-3W	6.0	7	2	7	Over
08-28-23	vsCWS	0-9W	6.0	1	0	6	Over
08-22-23	vsTOR	6-3L	6.0	8	3	5	Over

Twins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/17	vs BAL	4-7L	11	1	Over
04/16	vs DET	3-4L	6	1	Under
04/15	vs DET	11-5W	8	2	Over
04/15	vs DET	4-1W	7	2	Under
04/14	vs DET	2-8L	6	0	Over
04/12	@ LAD	3-2W	6	2	Under
04/11	@ LAD	3-6L	6	3	Over
04/10	@ LAD	2-4L	3	1	Under
04/08	@ CLE	1-3L	2	0	Under
04/06	@ CLE	2-4L	7	1	Under
04/05	vs MIL	7-3W	11	1	Over
04/04	vs MIL	2-3L	3	0	Under
04/02	vs KC	0-11L	4	0	Over
04/01	vs KC	5-1W	7	0	Under
03/30	vs KC	4-1W	10	1	Under

Orioles Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/17	@ MIN	7-4W	12	3	Over
04/16	@ MIL	6-4W	11	3	Over
04/15	@ MIL	5-11L	12	3	Over
04/14	@ MIL	1-11L	6	1	Over
04/13	vs BOS	9-4W	9	4	Over
04/12	vs BOS	7-5W	9	1	Over
04/11	vs BOS	7-1W	13	0	Under
04/09	vs PIT	2-3L	6	0	Under
04/08	vs PIT	4-5L	4	0	Over
04/07	vs PIT	5-2W	12	3	Under
04/05	@ KC	4-3W	6	0	Under
04/04	@ KC	1-4L	3	0	Under
04/03	@ KC	6-4W	9	2	Over
04/02	@ LAA	1-4L	3	0	Under
04/01	@ LAA	13-4W	14	2	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Minnesota Twins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Edouard Julien	8.5	11.2	0.257	0.442	45.4%	89.6%	4.5%
#2 Ryan Jeffers	7.6	10.0	0.276	0.49	42.7%	91.6%	4.9%
#3 Alex Kirilloff	7.4	9.7	0.271	0.444	39.7%	84.1%	4.0%
#4 Byron Buxton	7.3	9.8	0.21	0.443	34.0%	78.3%	5.7%
#5 Matt Wallner	7.1	9.7	0.249	0.507	44.1%	94.8%	6.6%
#6 Jose Miranda	6.1	7.9	0.206	0.298	27.7%	57.4%	2.1%
#7 Willi Castro	6.8	8.8	0.258	0.413	38.8%	80.1%	2.5%
#8 Carlos Santana	6.1	8.2	0.243	0.435	35.9%	79.4%	4.2%

Baltimore Orioles	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Gunnar Henderson	9.3	12.3	0.254	0.49	35.9%	84.9%	5.0%
#2 Adley Rutschman	8.8	11.6	0.276	0.43	43.5%	86.5%	3.3%
#3 Anthony Santander	8.5	11.3	0.254	0.46	35.4%	81.4%	4.4%
#4 Ryan O’Hearn	7.7	10.1	0.288	0.48	34.0%	82.0%	4.1%
#5 Ryan Mountcastle	7.8	10.3	0.268	0.45	36.3%	81.3%	4.3%
#6 Colton Cowser	6.1	8.7	0.103	0.138	36.2%	50.0%	0.0%
#7 Cedric Mullins	7.8	10.4	0.231	0.414	34.1%	75.4%	3.8%
#8 Jordan Westburg	6.5	8.4	0.261	0.399	34.5%	74.4%	1.5%