Twins vs Orioles Game Breakdown & Projections – Wed, Apr 17th 2024

Get ready to watch sparks fly at Oriole Park today, where the Minnesota Twins, looking to claw back from a rocky start, face off against the soaring Baltimore Orioles in an early afternoon showdown! With the Twins trying to dig out of their hole in the American League and the Orioles just a whisker away from the top, today’s matchup at 01:05 PM EST is set to be a sizzler. The stakes are high, the bats are hot (especially after Baltimore’s explosive victory yesterday), and the bookies are buzzing with an over/under of 8.0. Add some moody overcast skies and a breezy 63 degrees at the ballpark, and you’ve got the perfect storm for baseball. So, as these teams take the field, let’s see if the Orioles can keep flying high or if the Twins will start swinging for the fences. After all, in this game, it’s all about whether you’re catching flies or mining for wins!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 17, 2024 01:05PM EST

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore

Weather: Overcast with winds from the SW at 6.9 mph. Temperature is at 63.0° with 58% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIN ML	BAL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-118	-102	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-110	-110	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+8	-8	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

108W-143L

52.4% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

124W-124L

47.6% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/15/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	4	Over	+3.0
04/15/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	7	Over	+3.0
04/16/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	3	Over	+6.0
04/16/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	11	Over	+6.0
06/30/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	8	Over	+1.0
06/30/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	1	Over	+1.0
07/01/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-7.0
07/01/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	0	Under	-7.0
07/02/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-5.0
07/02/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	2	Under	-5.0
07/07/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	3	Under	-4.0
07/07/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-4.0
07/08/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	6	Push	-0.0
07/08/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Push	-0.0
07/09/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	15	Over	+9.0
07/09/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Over	+9.0

Twins Vs Over/Under

Orioles Vs Over/Under

Chris Paddack

ERA 5.4 | IP 5.0 | 1.0W-0.0L | KO 8.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-12-24	@DET	2-8L	4.0	6	5	7	Over
04-04-24	vsCLE	4-2L	5.7	6	4	2	Under
03-28-24	@KC	4-1W	7.0	4	1	7	Under
09-27-23	vsOAK	4-6W	4.3	5	3	6	Over
09-22-23	vsLAA	6-8W	6.0	5	3	7	Over
09-16-23	@CWS	6-7L	5.0	8	5	8	Over
09-10-23	vsNYM	2-0L	8.0	2	0	14	Under
09-04-23	@CLE	20-6W	6.0	8	1	3	Over
08-29-23	vsCLE	4-2L	6.0	8	3	5	Under
08-24-23	vsTEX	5-7W	5.0	10	5	4	Over
04-16-24	@BAL	3-11L	5.3	12	9	2	Over
04-10-24	vsLAD	2-3W	4.7	6	2	5	Under
04-03-24	@MIL	7-3W	4.0	6	2	2	Over
09-30-23	@COL	14-6W	3.0	2	0	4	Over
09-26-23	vsOAK	3-11W	2.0	4	3	4	Over
09-24-23	vsLAA	3-9W	0.0	0	0	0	Over
05-08-22	vsOAK	3-9W	2.3	5	3	4	Over
05-02-22	vsBAL	3-9W	5.3	4	1	3	Over
04-26-22	vsDET	3-9W	5.7	5	1	6	Over
04-20-22	vsKC	3-9W	5.0	5	2	4	Over

Grayson Rodriguez

ERA 4.352 | IP 122.0 | 7.0W-4.0L | KO 129.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-16-24	vsMIN	3-11W	6.0	4	2	6	Over
04-11-24	@BOS	9-4W	5.7	6	2	5	Over
04-05-24	@PIT	5-2W	6.3	6	2	7	Under
03-30-24	vsLAA	4-13W	6.0	4	1	9	Over
09-27-23	vsWAS	1-5W	5.7	6	1	5	Under
09-21-23	@CLE	2-5L	5.0	5	2	7	Under
09-16-23	vsTB	0-8W	8.0	5	0	7	Push
09-10-23	@BOS	3-7L	4.3	7	4	6	Over
09-04-23	@LAA	6-3W	6.0	7	2	7	Over
08-28-23	vsCWS	0-9W	6.0	1	0	6	Over

Twins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/18	vs BAL	3-11L	7	0	Over
04/17	vs BAL	4-7L	11	1	Over
04/16	vs DET	3-4L	6	1	Under
04/15	vs DET	11-5W	8	2	Over
04/15	vs DET	4-1W	7	2	Under
04/14	vs DET	2-8L	6	0	Over
04/12	@ LAD	3-2W	6	2	Under
04/11	@ LAD	3-6L	6	3	Over
04/10	@ LAD	2-4L	3	1	Under
04/08	@ CLE	1-3L	2	0	Under
04/06	@ CLE	2-4L	7	1	Under
04/05	vs MIL	7-3W	11	1	Over
04/04	vs MIL	2-3L	3	0	Under
04/02	vs KC	0-11L	4	0	Over
04/01	vs KC	5-1W	7	0	Under

Orioles Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/18	@ MIN	11-3W	15	3	Over
04/17	@ MIN	7-4W	12	3	Over
04/16	@ MIL	6-4W	11	3	Over
04/15	@ MIL	5-11L	12	3	Over
04/14	@ MIL	1-11L	6	1	Over
04/13	vs BOS	9-4W	9	4	Over
04/12	vs BOS	7-5W	9	1	Over
04/11	vs BOS	7-1W	13	0	Push
04/09	vs PIT	2-3L	6	0	Under
04/08	vs PIT	4-5L	4	0	Over
04/07	vs PIT	5-2W	12	3	Under
04/05	@ KC	4-3W	6	0	Under
04/04	@ KC	1-4L	3	0	Under
04/03	@ KC	6-4W	9	2	Over
04/02	@ LAA	1-4L	3	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Minnesota Twins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Edouard Julien	8.7	11.5	0.257	0.442	45.4%	89.6%	4.5%
#2 Ryan Jeffers	7.5	9.9	0.276	0.49	42.7%	91.6%	4.9%
#3 Alex Kirilloff	7.2	9.5	0.271	0.444	39.7%	84.1%	4.0%
#4 Byron Buxton	7.5	10.0	0.21	0.443	34.0%	78.3%	5.7%
#5 Matt Wallner	7.8	10.6	0.249	0.507	44.1%	94.8%	6.6%
#6 Jose Miranda	6.0	7.7	0.206	0.298	27.7%	57.4%	2.1%
#7 Willi Castro	6.0	7.8	0.258	0.413	38.8%	80.1%	2.5%
#7 Austin Martin	8.2	8.2	nan	nan	nan%	nan%	nan%
#8 Carlos Santana	5.5	7.4	0.243	0.435	35.9%	79.4%	4.2%
#9 Kyle Farmer	5.6	7.3	0.254	0.406	34.3%	74.9%	3.3%
#9 Christian Vazquez	4.5	5.8	0.225	0.321	30.6%	62.7%	1.9%

Baltimore Orioles	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Gunnar Henderson	9.7	12.8	0.254	0.49	35.9%	84.9%	5.0%
#2 Adley Rutschman	8.9	11.7	0.276	0.43	43.5%	86.5%	3.3%
#3 Anthony Santander	8.7	11.5	0.254	0.46	35.4%	81.4%	4.4%
#4 Ryan O’Hearn	8.0	10.4	0.288	0.48	34.0%	82.0%	4.1%
#5 Ryan Mountcastle	7.5	9.9	0.268	0.45	36.3%	81.3%	4.3%
#6 Colton Cowser	6.1	8.7	0.103	0.138	36.2%	50.0%	0.0%
#7 Cedric Mullins	7.2	9.6	0.231	0.414	34.1%	75.4%	3.8%
#8 Jordan Westburg	6.9	8.9	0.261	0.399	34.5%	74.4%	1.5%