Twins vs Cubs Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some MLB action as the hard-hitting Minnesota Twins take their swings up north to the iconic Wrigley Field, squaring off against the gritty Chicago Cubs under the lights tonight at 08:05PM EST. With the Twins clawing at the heels of the league leaders and the Cubs trying to claw their way back into contention, this matchup is more than just a game—it’s a battle for conference supremacy. The stakes are high and the odds are tight, both teams locked in at -110, and with an over/under that’s teasing a tightrope walk at 6 runs. Factor in some tricky weather with a side of patchy rain and a brisk wind, and you’ve got all the makings of a classic. After the Twins froze the Cubs in their tracks last game, tonight’s rematch in the Windy City could be the chance for the Cubs to thaw out and turn up the heat. So, who’s ready to see if the Twins can double down or if the Cubs can claw their way back? Let’s find out if it’s going to be a twin-killing or a bear escape at Wrigley tonight!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: August 06, 2024 08:05PM EST

Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago

Weather: Patchy rain nearby with winds from the NE at 14.3 mph. Temperature is at 68.3° with 88% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIN ML	CHC ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-110	-110	6.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-113	-107	6.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-3	+3	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

134W-163L

53.1% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

147W-146L

46.9% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
08/05/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	3	Under	-3.0
08/05/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	0	Under	-3.0
05/12/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	6	Over	+2.0
05/12/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Over	+2.0
05/13/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	1	Over	+6.0
05/13/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	11	Over	+6.0
05/14/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	3	Over	+13.0
05/14/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	16	Over	+13.0

Twins Vs Over/Under

Cubs Vs Over/Under

Pablo Lopez

ERA 4.645 | IP 124.0 | 10.0W-7.0L | KO 142.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-31-24	@NYM	8-3W	6.0	3	2	7	Over
07-26-24	@DET	9-3W	7.0	6	2	7	Over
07-20-24	vsMIL	8-4L	7.0	4	1	7	Over
07-10-24	@CWS	3-2W	5.0	4	2	5	Under
07-05-24	vsHOU	13-12L	5.0	8	6	6	Over
06-29-24	@SEA	5-1W	6.0	4	1	9	Push
06-23-24	@OAK	3-0W	8.0	2	0	14	Under
06-18-24	vsTB	6-7W	4.0	7	5	3	Over
06-12-24	vsCOL	9-17W	5.0	5	2	5	Over
06-06-24	@NYY	5-8L	4.0	4	7	4	Over

Shota Imanaga

ERA 3.095 | IP 116.3 | 8.0W-2.0L | KO 118.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-01-24	vsSTL	4-5W	6.7	10	4	7	Over
07-27-24	@KC	9-4W	5.7	6	3	3	Over
07-21-24	vsARI	1-2W	7.0	2	1	10	Under
07-10-24	@BAL	4-0W	6.0	6	0	6	Under
07-03-24	vsPHI	5-3L	6.0	6	3	8	Over
06-27-24	@SF	5-3W	6.0	5	3	3	Over
06-21-24	vsNYM	11-1L	3.0	11	10	3	Over
06-15-24	vsSTL	1-5W	7.0	4	1	6	Push
06-09-24	@CIN	4-2W	6.7	5	2	7	Push
06-04-24	vsCWS	6-7W	4.3	7	5	6	Over

Twins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/07	vs CHC	3-0W	8	1	Under
08/06	@ CWS	13-7W	14	1	Over
08/05	@ CWS	6-2W	8	2	Over
08/04	@ CWS	10-2W	9	3	Over
08/02	vs NYM	8-3W	10	2	Over
08/01	vs NYM	0-2L	2	0	Under
07/31	vs NYM	2-15L	9	1	Over
07/30	vs DET	5-0W	12	0	Under
07/29	vs DET	2-7L	6	1	Over
07/28	vs DET	9-3W	13	4	Over
07/26	@ PHI	5-4W	9	1	Over
07/25	@ PHI	0-3L	3	0	Under
07/24	@ PHI	7-2W	12	0	Over
07/23	@ MIL	7-8L	9	3	Over
07/22	@ MIL	4-8L	7	1	Over

Cubs Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/07	@ MIN	0-3L	4	0	Under
08/06	@ STL	6-2W	11	2	Over
08/05	@ STL	4-5L	5	1	Over
08/04	@ STL	6-3W	8	2	Over
08/03	@ STL	5-4W	9	2	Over
08/02	vs CIN	13-4W	17	1	Over
08/01	vs CIN	3-6L	7	1	Over
07/31	vs CIN	1-7L	3	1	Over
07/30	vs KC	7-3W	12	1	Over
07/29	vs KC	9-4W	9	2	Over
07/28	vs KC	0-6L	4	0	Push
07/26	@ MIL	2-3L	6	1	Under
07/25	@ MIL	0-1L	7	0	Under
07/24	@ MIL	3-1W	8	1	Under
07/23	@ ARI	2-1W	4	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Minnesota Twins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Manuel Margot	6.4	8.4	0.239	0.345	0.323	0.668	0.277	0.018
#2 Byron Buxton	8.1	10.7	0.276	0.517	0.369	0.886	0.361	0.048
#3 Royce Lewis	8.1	11.0	0.273	0.661	0.405	1.066	0.422	0.107
#4 Jose Miranda	6.9	8.9	0.324	0.513	0.396	0.909	0.371	0.033
#5 Carlos Santana	5.9	7.8	0.245	0.425	0.375	0.800	0.325	0.039
#6 Willi Castro	6.0	7.8	0.266	0.417	0.404	0.821	0.332	0.020
#7 Austin Martin	5.1	6.7	0.238	0.340	0.347	0.687	0.283	0.007
#8 Brooks Lee	4.7	6.1	0.261	0.341	0.364	0.705	0.289	0.023
#9 Christian Vazquez	4.4	5.6	0.223	0.337	0.267	0.604	0.254	0.025

Chicago Cubs	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Ian Happ	7.3	9.9	0.224	0.418	0.389	0.808	0.325	0.042
#2 Michael Busch	6.7	8.8	0.261	0.461	0.397	0.858	0.345	0.043
#3 Seiya Suzuki	6.5	8.5	0.271	0.494	0.390	0.884	0.356	0.048
#4 Cody Bellinger	7.0	9.1	0.274	0.424	0.362	0.785	0.321	0.032
#5 Isaac Paredes	5.8	7.8	0.238	0.421	0.406	0.827	0.332	0.041
#6 Nico Hoerner	5.5	7.1	0.252	0.338	0.360	0.699	0.289	0.010
#7 Dansby Swanson	5.5	7.2	0.226	0.352	0.332	0.684	0.282	0.025
#8 Pete Crow-Armstrong	5.5	6.9	0.197	0.298	0.255	0.553	0.232	0.005
#9 C. Bethancourt	4.3	5.7	0.183	0.323	0.237	0.559	0.236	0.032

Twins Notable Injuries

Chris Paddack OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/10/24. Impact: 4.7
Carlos Correa OUT (IF): Avg: 0.308 SLG:0.52 Last game: 07/14/24. Impact: 4.1
Brooks Lee OUT (IF): Avg: 0.261 SLG:0.341 Last game: 08/05/24. Impact: 2.1
Kyle Farmer OUT (IF): Avg: 0.189 SLG:0.265 Last game: 07/12/24. Impact: 1.1
Brock Stewart OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/31/24. Impact: 0.4
Kody Funderburk OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/14/24. Impact: 0.6
Steven Okert OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/06/24. Impact: 0.1

Cubs Notable Injuries

Hayden Wesneski OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/21/24. Impact: 2.6
Tomas Nido OUT (IF): Avg: 0.19 SLG:0.294 Last game: 07/26/24. Impact: 0.8
Colten Brewer OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/08/24. Impact: 0.7
Luke Little OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/14/24. Impact: 1.2