Twins vs Guardians Game Breakdown

Get ready to dive into the heart of the American League action as the Minnesota Twins, sporting a respectable 24-20 record, roll into Progressive Field to challenge the top-dog Cleveland Guardians, who are sitting pretty at 28-17. The first pitch is slated for a 06:10 PM EST showdown in Cleveland, where the air is thick with anticipation (and a bit of mist, too). With the Twins looking to close a 3.5-game gap and the Guardians aiming to fortify their lead, the stakes are as high as the humidity. Betting lines are buzzing, setting the stage with the Twins slightly favored, but with an over/under at 7.5, expect every swing to count. Fresh off a nail-biter where the Guardians edged out the Twins just yesterday, both squads are itching to prove their mettle. So, as the winds whip from the north, will the Twins twirl towards victory, or will the Guardians continue to guard their turf? Let’s find out if Minnesota can twin this one or if Cleveland keeps guarding their streak!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 18, 2024 06:10PM EST

Location: Progressive Field, Cleveland

Weather: Mist with winds from the NNE at 8.1 mph. Temperature is at 66.0° with 84% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIN ML	CLE ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-118	-102	7.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-124	+104	7.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-6	+206	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

116W-146L

55.4% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

139W-117L

44.6% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/04/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	4	Under	-1.5
04/04/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-1.5
04/06/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	3	Under	-3.5
04/06/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-3.5
05/17/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-2.5
05/17/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	3	Under	-2.5
05/05/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-5.5
05/05/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	0	Under	-5.5
05/06/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	3	Under	-0.5
05/06/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	4	Under	-0.5
05/07/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	0	Under	-5.5
05/07/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	2	Under	-5.5
06/01/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	6	Over	+5.5
06/01/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	7	Over	+5.5
06/02/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	0	Under	-6.5
06/02/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-6.5
06/03/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	4	Under	-1.5
06/03/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-1.5
06/04/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	2	Under	-4.5
06/04/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-4.5
08/28/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	6	Over	+8.5
08/28/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	10	Over	+8.5
08/29/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	4	Under	-1.5
08/29/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-1.5
08/30/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	5	Under	-0.5
08/30/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-0.5
09/04/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	20	Over	+18.5
09/04/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	6	Over	+18.5
09/05/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	8	Over	+3.5
09/05/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	3	Over	+3.5
09/06/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-4.5
09/06/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	2	Under	-4.5

Twins Vs Over/Under

Guardians Vs Over/Under

Bailey Ober

ERA 3.767 | IP 43.0 | 4.0W-1.0L | KO 45.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-12-24	@TOR	5-1W	6.3	1	0	10	Under
05-07-24	vsSEA	10-6L	5.0	3	2	7	Over
05-01-24	@CWS	10-5W	6.0	6	4	3	Over
04-26-24	@LAA	5-3W	7.3	3	2	8	Over
04-20-24	vsDET	3-4W	6.0	2	1	6	Push
04-14-24	@DET	3-4L	6.0	3	0	3	Push
04-08-24	vsLAD	4-2L	5.0	3	1	7	Under
03-31-24	@KC	0-11L	1.3	9	8	1	Over
10-01-23	@COL	2-3L	6.7	2	1	9	Under
09-26-23	vsOAK	3-11W	5.0	2	0	8	Over

Logan Allen

ERA 5.559 | IP 45.3 | 4.0W-2.0L | KO 36.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-12-24	@CWS	7-0W	6.0	6	0	3	Push
05-07-24	vsDET	11-7L	2.3	7	7	2	Over
05-02-24	@HOU	2-8L	5.7	7	3	5	Over
04-26-24	@ATL	2-6L	4.7	5	4	5	Over
04-20-24	vsOAK	3-6W	5.3	5	3	4	Over
04-14-24	vsNYY	7-8W	5.7	6	4	4	Over
04-09-24	vsCWS	7-5L	4.0	7	5	4	Over
04-03-24	@SEA	8-0W	6.7	4	0	6	Over
03-29-24	@OAK	6-4W	5.0	6	3	3	Over
09-19-23	@KC	6-7L	3.0	8	4	1	Over

Twins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/19	vs CLE	2-3L	4	1	Under
05/18	@ NYY	0-5L	3	0	Under
05/17	@ NYY	0-4L	4	0	Under
05/16	@ NYY	1-5L	7	1	Under
05/14	vs TOR	5-1W	6	1	Under
05/13	vs TOR	8-10L	13	2	Over
05/12	vs TOR	3-2W	7	1	Under
05/11	@ SEA	11-1W	11	2	Over
05/10	@ SEA	6-3W	7	3	Over
05/09	@ SEA	6-10L	9	1	Over
05/08	@ SEA	3-1W	5	0	Under
05/07	@ BOS	2-9L	9	1	Over
05/06	@ BOS	3-1W	8	1	Under
05/05	@ BOS	5-2W	8	0	Push
05/03	vs CWS	10-5W	12	1	Over

Guardians Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/19	@ MIN	3-2W	7	2	Under
05/17	vs TEX	0-4L	6	0	Under
05/16	vs TEX	7-4W	7	1	Over
05/15	vs TEX	6-0W	8	0	Under
05/14	vs CWS	7-0W	5	2	Push
05/13	vs CWS	1-3L	4	1	Under
05/12	vs CWS	3-6L	8	2	Over
05/11	vs CWS	2-3L	9	2	Under
05/10	@ DET	5-4W	5	1	Over
05/09	@ DET	7-11L	8	1	Over
05/08	@ DET	2-1W	7	1	Under
05/07	@ LAA	4-1W	5	2	Under
05/06	@ LAA	7-1W	6	3	Over
05/05	@ LAA	0-6L	6	0	Under
05/04	vs HOU	2-8L	7	0	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Minnesota Twins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Ryan Jeffers	9.1	12.3	0.275	0.588	41.2%	100.0%	7.6%
#2 Carlos Correa	8.8	11.6	0.263	0.4	42.1%	82.1%	2.1%
#3 Byron Buxton	8.8	11.5	0.25	0.391	32.6%	71.7%	1.1%
#4 Jose Miranda	7.1	9.1	0.275	0.418	34.1%	75.8%	2.2%
#5 Manuel Margot	7.2	9.6	0.169	0.229	26.5%	49.4%	1.2%
#6 Carlos Santana	7.1	9.4	0.203	0.378	29.7%	67.6%	4.7%
#7 Kyle Farmer	6.3	8.6	0.155	0.239	31.0%	54.9%	0.0%
#8 Christian Vazquez	6.1	7.6	0.171	0.207	20.7%	41.5%	1.2%
#9 Austin Martin	5.2	6.9	0.224	0.355	31.6%	67.1%	1.3%

Cleveland Guardians	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Tyler Freeman	5.6	7.5	0.197	0.339	34.6%	68.5%	3.1%
#2 Andres Gimenez	6.7	8.7	0.258	0.356	35.6%	71.2%	1.2%
#3 Jose Ramirez	7.1	9.5	0.24	0.457	31.4%	77.1%	5.7%
#4 Josh Naylor	6.5	8.7	0.245	0.516	39.4%	91.0%	7.7%
#5 Will Brennan	5.7	7.4	0.232	0.384	31.2%	69.6%	3.2%
#6 Kyle Manzardo	5.4	6.5	0.148	0.185	22.2%	40.7%	0.0%
#7 Estevan Florial	5.5	7.3	0.189	0.4	28.9%	68.9%	3.3%
#8 Bo Naylor	4.8	6.4	0.171	0.27	27.9%	55.0%	2.7%
#9 Brayan Rocchio	4.5	5.9	0.208	0.275	35.0%	62.5%	0.0%