Twins vs Guardians Game Breakdown

Get ready to dive into the heart of the American League action as the Minnesota Twins roll into Progressive Field, looking to snag another win from the Cleveland Guardians tonight at 06:40 PM EST. With the Twins trying to close a 6.5-game gap and the Guardians holding their ground at the top of the conference, the stakes are as high as the mid-game sun! Both teams are coming in hot from their last face-off, where Minnesota’s bats silenced Cleveland’s cheers in a decisive 4-1 victory. With the odds-makers setting a tight line and an over/under at 7.5, expect every pitch and swing to be under the microscope. And while the weather gods promise clear skies and a gentle breeze, the real storm will be brewing on the diamond. So as the Twins try to ‘guard’ their recent victory and the Guardians look to ‘twin’ their efforts for a comeback, tonight’s game is shaping up to be a classic showdown!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 18, 2024 06:40PM EST

Location: Progressive Field, Cleveland

Weather: Sunny with winds from the ENE at 5.6 mph. Temperature is at 75.0° with 71% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIN ML	CLE ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-102	-118	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	-104	-116	7.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-2	+2	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

141W-174L

51.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

172W-139L

49.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/04/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	4	Under	-1.5
04/04/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-1.5
04/06/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	3	Under	-3.5
04/06/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-3.5
08/09/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	2	Under	-1.5
08/09/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	4	Under	-1.5
05/17/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-2.5
05/17/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	3	Under	-2.5
05/18/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	4	Over	+7.5
05/18/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	11	Over	+7.5
05/19/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-0.5
05/19/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	5	Under	-0.5
08/09/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	3	Over	+1.5
08/09/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	6	Over	+1.5
08/10/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	2	Under	-4.5
08/10/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-4.5
08/11/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	5	Over	+0.5
08/11/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	3	Over	+0.5
09/16/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	3	Under	-0.5
09/16/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	4	Under	-0.5
09/17/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	4	Under	-2.5
09/17/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	1	Under	-2.5
05/05/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-5.5
05/05/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	0	Under	-5.5
05/06/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	3	Under	-0.5
05/06/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	4	Under	-0.5
05/07/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	0	Under	-5.5
05/07/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	2	Under	-5.5
06/01/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	6	Over	+5.5
06/01/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	7	Over	+5.5
06/02/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	0	Under	-6.5
06/02/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-6.5
06/03/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	4	Under	-1.5
06/03/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-1.5
06/04/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	2	Under	-4.5
06/04/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-4.5
08/28/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	6	Over	+8.5
08/28/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	10	Over	+8.5
08/29/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	4	Under	-1.5
08/29/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-1.5
08/30/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	5	Under	-0.5
08/30/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-0.5
09/04/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	20	Over	+18.5
09/04/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	6	Over	+18.5
09/05/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	8	Over	+3.5
09/05/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	3	Over	+3.5
09/06/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-4.5
09/06/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	2	Under	-4.5

Twins Vs Over/Under

Guardians Vs Over/Under

Bailey Ober

ERA 3.897 | IP 161.7 | 12.0W-7.0L | KO 168.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-13-24	vsCIN	8-4L	6.7	6	5	6	Over
09-07-24	@KC	2-4L	7.0	1	0	7	Under
09-01-24	vsTOR	3-4W	6.0	1	1	8	Push
08-26-24	vsATL	10-6L	2.0	7	9	2	Over
08-20-24	@SD	5-7L	6.0	4	3	5	Over
08-15-24	@TEX	3-2W	6.0	7	2	3	Under
08-09-24	vsCLE	2-4W	6.0	2	0	9	Under
08-03-24	vsCWS	2-6W	7.0	2	2	7	Over
07-28-24	@DET	5-0W	8.0	1	0	11	Under
07-22-24	vsPHI	2-7W	7.0	4	2	4	Over

Tanner Bibee

ERA 3.6 | IP 160.0 | 11.0W-8.0L | KO 175.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-13-24	vsTB	3-1L	6.0	8	3	9	Under
09-08-24	@LAD	0-4L	5.0	4	2	4	Under
09-03-24	@KC	7-1W	6.0	2	1	6	Over
08-28-24	vsKC	5-7W	5.0	8	5	6	Over
08-23-24	vsTEX	5-3L	5.7	8	4	6	Over
08-17-24	@MIL	1-2L	5.0	3	2	7	Under
08-11-24	@MIN	5-3W	5.7	6	1	5	Over
07-29-24	@DET	8-4W	6.0	7	2	2	Over
07-24-24	vsDET	1-2W	5.0	2	1	4	Under
07-19-24	vsSD	0-7W	5.7	2	0	3	Push

Twins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/19	vs CLE	4-1W	8	1	Under
09/18	vs CLE	3-4L	8	0	Push
09/17	@ CIN	9-2W	12	1	Over
09/16	@ CIN	1-11L	5	0	Over
09/15	@ CIN	4-8L	5	1	Over
09/13	@ LAA	6-4W	11	1	Over
09/12	@ LAA	10-5W	10	3	Over
09/11	@ LAA	2-6L	5	1	Over
09/10	vs KC	0-2L	5	0	Under
09/09	vs KC	2-4L	5	0	Under
09/08	vs KC	0-5L	4	0	Under
09/07	vs TB	4-3W	7	2	Push
09/06	vs TB	4-9L	11	2	Over
09/05	vs TB	1-2L	6	1	Under
09/04	vs TB	5-4W	10	2	Over

Guardians Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/19	@ MIN	1-4L	8	1	Under
09/18	@ MIN	4-3W	10	1	Push
09/17	@ TB	2-0W	7	0	Under
09/16	@ TB	6-1W	8	2	Push
09/15	@ TB	1-3L	4	0	Under
09/14	@ TB	2-5L	5	0	Push
09/13	vs CWS	6-4W	10	1	Over
09/12	vs CWS	5-0W	11	1	Under
09/11	vs CWS	5-3W	8	2	Over
09/10	vs LAD	0-4L	6	0	Under
09/09	vs LAD	2-7L	7	1	Over
09/08	vs LAD	3-1W	5	2	Under
09/06	vs KC	1-4L	7	0	Under
09/05	vs KC	7-1W	10	1	Over
09/04	vs KC	4-2W	9	2	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Minnesota Twins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Byron Buxton	8.7	11.5	0.277	0.531	0.371	0.903	0.367	0.053
#2 Matt Wallner	7.8	10.5	0.254	0.543	0.437	0.980	0.387	0.066
#3 Carlos Santana	7.0	9.2	0.244	0.434	0.376	0.810	0.328	0.046
#4 Royce Lewis	7.7	10.3	0.242	0.492	0.337	0.829	0.338	0.063
#5 Trevor Larnach	6.5	8.7	0.251	0.437	0.376	0.813	0.329	0.046
#6 Carlos Correa	6.6	8.7	0.310	0.525	0.433	0.958	0.382	0.046
#7 Willi Castro	6.0	7.9	0.253	0.398	0.382	0.780	0.318	0.023
#8 Christian Vazquez	4.7	6.0	0.235	0.353	0.276	0.629	0.263	0.026
#9 Edouard Julien	5.3	6.9	0.208	0.337	0.341	0.678	0.279	0.031

Cleveland Guardians	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Angel Martinez	7.3	9.3	0.258	0.392	0.375	0.767	0.312	0.025
#2 Andres Gimenez	6.5	8.3	0.243	0.327	0.316	0.642	0.269	0.015
#3 Jose Ramirez	7.5	9.9	0.272	0.517	0.362	0.879	0.357	0.060
#4 Josh Naylor	7.1	9.6	0.241	0.452	0.359	0.812	0.330	0.055
#5 Lane Thomas	7.0	9.2	0.240	0.403	0.352	0.755	0.309	0.030
#6 Kyle Manzardo	6.3	8.1	0.233	0.408	0.300	0.708	0.294	0.025
#7 Will Brennan	5.2	6.6	0.254	0.379	0.318	0.698	0.289	0.026
#8 Bo Naylor	5.1	6.7	0.206	0.360	0.298	0.658	0.273	0.037
#9 Brayan Rocchio	4.4	5.8	0.210	0.322	0.347	0.669	0.276	0.022

Twins Notable Injuries

Carlos Correa OUT (SS): Avg: 0.31 SLG:0.525 Last game: 09/18/24. Impact: 3.8
Max Kepler OUT (OF): Avg: 0.258 SLG:0.389 Last game: 09/03/24. Impact: 1.1

Guardians Notable Injuries

Alex Cobb OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/03/24. Impact: 4.8
Steven Kwan OUT (OF): Avg: 0.291 SLG:0.421 Last game: 09/14/24. Impact: 2.7