Twins vs Guardians Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into your seats this afternoon as the Minnesota Twins, sporting a solid 80-73 record, roll into Progressive Field looking for revenge against the hometown heroes, the Cleveland Guardians, who boast an impressive 89-65 tally. As the clock strikes 01:10 PM EST, all eyes will be on this American League showdown where standings and spirits are as high as the stakes. With the Twins trying to close an 8.5-game gap and the Guardians holding the fort at the top, the betting lines are buzzing – the over/under teasing at 8.5. Fresh off a nail-biter where the Guardians edged the Twins 5-4 just yesterday, the air is thick with rivalry and partly cloudy skies. And as the winds whip from the NNE, remember, in this game of swings and misses, it’s all about guarding your Twins or doubling down on your Guardians!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 19, 2024 01:10PM EST

Location: Progressive Field, Cleveland

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the NNE at 11.6 mph. Temperature is at 75.0° with 79% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIN ML	CLE ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-106	-114	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+170	-225	5.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+276	-111	-3.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

141W-175L

37.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

173W-139L

63.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/04/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	4	Under	-2.5
04/04/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-2.5
04/06/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	3	Under	-4.5
04/06/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-4.5
08/09/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	2	Under	-2.5
08/09/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	4	Under	-2.5
05/17/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-3.5
05/17/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	3	Under	-3.5
05/18/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	4	Over	+6.5
05/18/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	11	Over	+6.5
05/19/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-1.5
05/19/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	5	Under	-1.5
08/09/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	3	Over	+0.5
08/09/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	6	Over	+0.5
08/10/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	2	Under	-5.5
08/10/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-5.5
08/11/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	5	Under	-0.5
08/11/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	3	Under	-0.5
09/16/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	3	Under	-1.5
09/16/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	4	Under	-1.5
09/17/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	4	Under	-3.5
09/17/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	1	Under	-3.5
09/18/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	4	Over	+0.5
09/18/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	5	Over	+0.5
05/05/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-6.5
05/05/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	0	Under	-6.5
05/06/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	3	Under	-1.5
05/06/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	4	Under	-1.5
05/07/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	0	Under	-6.5
05/07/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	2	Under	-6.5
06/01/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	6	Over	+4.5
06/01/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	7	Over	+4.5
06/02/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	0	Under	-7.5
06/02/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-7.5
06/03/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	4	Under	-2.5
06/03/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-2.5
06/04/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	2	Under	-5.5
06/04/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-5.5
08/28/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	6	Over	+7.5
08/28/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	10	Over	+7.5
08/29/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	4	Under	-2.5
08/29/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-2.5
08/30/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	5	Under	-1.5
08/30/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-1.5
09/04/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	20	Over	+17.5
09/04/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	6	Over	+17.5
09/05/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	8	Over	+2.5
09/05/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	3	Over	+2.5
09/06/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-5.5
09/06/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	2	Under	-5.5

Twins Vs Over/Under

Guardians Vs Over/Under

S. Woods

ERA 4.078 | IP 128.0 | 5.0W-5.0L | KO 109.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-14-24	vsCIN	11-1L	3.0	5	3	3	Over
09-08-24	@KC	0-2L	4.3	3	2	2	Under
09-02-24	@TB	5-4W	3.7	6	3	2	Over
08-27-24	vsATL	8-6L	4.7	3	4	3	Over
08-21-24	@SD	11-4W	5.0	3	1	7	Over
08-16-24	@TEX	4-3W	5.0	3	2	1	Over
08-10-24	vsCLE	2-1L	7.0	4	2	7	Under
08-04-24	vsCWS	7-13W	4.0	6	3	6	Over
07-29-24	@NYM	2-15L	3.3	7	6	2	Over
07-23-24	vsPHI	3-0L	6.0	3	0	5	Under

Joey Cantillo

ERA 4.989 | IP 30.7 | 2.0W-3.0L | KO 31.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-14-24	vsTB	1-6W	5.0	3	0	6	Over
09-09-24	@CWS	5-3W	7.0	2	1	10	Over
08-26-24	vsKC	4-3L	1.7	0	0	1	Over
08-21-24	@NYY	1-8L	4.0	6	7	5	Over
08-09-24	@MIN	2-4L	5.7	5	3	2	Over
08-03-24	vsBAL	7-4L	4.0	6	3	4	Over
07-28-24	@PHI	4-3W	3.3	4	3	3	Over

Twins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/20	vs CLE	4-5L	8	0	Over
09/19	vs CLE	4-1W	8	1	Under
09/18	vs CLE	3-4L	8	0	Over
09/17	@ CIN	9-2W	12	1	Over
09/16	@ CIN	1-11L	5	0	Over
09/15	@ CIN	4-8L	5	1	Over
09/13	@ LAA	6-4W	11	1	Over
09/12	@ LAA	10-5W	10	3	Over
09/11	@ LAA	2-6L	5	1	Over
09/10	vs KC	0-2L	5	0	Under
09/09	vs KC	2-4L	5	0	Over
09/08	vs KC	0-5L	4	0	Under
09/07	vs TB	4-3W	7	2	Over
09/06	vs TB	4-9L	11	2	Over
09/05	vs TB	1-2L	6	1	Under

Guardians Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/20	@ MIN	5-4W	7	2	Over
09/19	@ MIN	1-4L	8	1	Under
09/18	@ MIN	4-3W	10	1	Over
09/17	@ TB	2-0W	7	0	Under
09/16	@ TB	6-1W	8	2	Over
09/15	@ TB	1-3L	4	0	Under
09/14	@ TB	2-5L	5	0	Over
09/13	vs CWS	6-4W	10	1	Over
09/12	vs CWS	5-0W	11	1	Under
09/11	vs CWS	5-3W	8	2	Over
09/10	vs LAD	0-4L	6	0	Under
09/09	vs LAD	2-7L	7	1	Over
09/08	vs LAD	3-1W	5	2	Under
09/06	vs KC	1-4L	7	0	Under
09/05	vs KC	7-1W	10	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Minnesota Twins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Manuel Margot	7.7	9.9	0.237	0.333	0.316	0.649	0.270	0.014
#2 Carlos Correa	8.0	10.5	0.315	0.526	0.436	0.962	0.384	0.045
#3 Carlos Santana	7.7	10.2	0.242	0.430	0.372	0.802	0.325	0.045
#4 Royce Lewis	8.4	11.2	0.245	0.494	0.340	0.834	0.340	0.063
#5 Ryan Jeffers	7.2	9.7	0.232	0.444	0.350	0.794	0.325	0.052
#6 Byron Buxton	8.5	11.2	0.277	0.531	0.371	0.903	0.367	0.053
#7 Jose Miranda	6.6	8.5	0.289	0.449	0.350	0.799	0.329	0.023
#8 Kyle Farmer	6.1	8.1	0.225	0.377	0.346	0.723	0.297	0.026
#9 Willi Castro	6.1	8.0	0.253	0.399	0.386	0.785	0.320	0.023

Cleveland Guardians	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Angel Martinez	7.3	9.3	0.250	0.379	0.363	0.742	0.303	0.024
#2 Lane Thomas	8.4	11.0	0.238	0.399	0.349	0.748	0.306	0.029
#3 Jose Ramirez	8.9	11.7	0.272	0.515	0.361	0.877	0.356	0.060
#4 Josh Naylor	7.5	10.1	0.243	0.464	0.360	0.825	0.334	0.058
#5 Andres Gimenez	6.6	8.4	0.243	0.327	0.318	0.644	0.270	0.015
#6 Kyle Manzardo	6.9	8.9	0.240	0.413	0.306	0.719	0.299	0.025
#7 Will Brennan	5.7	7.3	0.256	0.381	0.321	0.702	0.291	0.026
#8 Bo Naylor	5.6	7.3	0.204	0.356	0.295	0.650	0.270	0.036
#9 Brayan Rocchio	4.8	6.3	0.211	0.321	0.346	0.668	0.276	0.022

Twins Notable Injuries

Max Kepler OUT (OF): Avg: 0.258 SLG:0.389 Last game: 09/03/24. Impact: 1.1

Guardians Notable Injuries

Alex Cobb OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/03/24. Impact: 4.8
Steven Kwan OUT (OF): Avg: 0.291 SLG:0.421 Last game: 09/14/24. Impact: 2.7