Twins vs Royals Game Breakdown
Twins
75W-64L
September 06, 2024
08:10PM EST
Odds: 8.0 o/u
Royals
76W-64L
Get ready to rumble at Kauffman Stadium tonight as the Minnesota Twins, just a hair behind in the standings, roll into Kansas City to clash with the Royals in an American League showdown that’s about as hot as the 77.5° weather they’re playing in! With the first pitch slated for 08:10 PM EST, both teams are swinging for the fences to close the gap in their conference rankings. The Twins, fresh off a nail-biter against Tampa Bay, and the Royals, riding the high from their recent triumph over Cleveland, are set to make this more than just another game. Vegas has the line drawn with the Royals as favorites and an over/under that promises some serious action. So, as the sun sets and the winds from the north pick up, let’s see if the Royals can keep their court or if the Twins have a few tricks left up their sleeves!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: September 06, 2024 08:10PM EST
Location: Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City
Weather: Sunny with winds from the N at 15.0 mph. Temperature is at 77.5° with 33% humidity.
Vegas Odds
| MIN ML | KC ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +125 | -149 | 8.0 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Recent | +121 | -144 | 7.5 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Difference | -4 | +5 | -0.5 | – |
Team Performance
45.2% Win Probability
54.8% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/28/24 | Minnesota Twins MIN | 4 | Under | -3.0 | |
| Kansas City Royals KC | 1 | ||||
| 03/30/24 | Minnesota Twins MIN | 5 | Under | -2.0 | |
| Kansas City Royals KC | 1 | ||||
| 03/31/24 | Minnesota Twins MIN | 0 | Over | +3.0 | |
| Kansas City Royals KC | 11 | ||||
| 05/27/24 | Kansas City Royals KC | 5 | Over | +3.0 | |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 6 | ||||
| 05/28/24 | Kansas City Royals KC | 2 | Under | -2.0 | |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 4 | ||||
| 05/29/24 | Kansas City Royals KC | 6 | Under | -1.0 | |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 1 | ||||
| 05/30/24 | Kansas City Royals KC | 6 | Over | +5.0 | |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 7 | ||||
| 08/12/24 | Kansas City Royals KC | 3 | Over | +3.0 | |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 8 | ||||
| 08/13/24 | Kansas City Royals KC | 3 | Over | +8.0 | |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 13 | ||||
| 08/14/24 | Kansas City Royals KC | 4 | Under | -3.0 | |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 1 | ||||
| 03/30/23 | Minnesota Twins MIN | 2 | Under | -6.0 | |
| Kansas City Royals KC | 0 | ||||
| 04/01/23 | Minnesota Twins MIN | 2 | Under | -6.0 | |
| Kansas City Royals KC | 0 | ||||
| 04/02/23 | Minnesota Twins MIN | 7 | Over | +3.0 | |
| Kansas City Royals KC | 4 | ||||
| 04/27/23 | Kansas City Royals KC | 1 | Push | -0.0 | |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 7 | ||||
| 04/28/23 | Kansas City Royals KC | 6 | Over | +6.0 | |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 8 | ||||
| 04/29/23 | Kansas City Royals KC | 3 | Under | -3.0 | |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 2 | ||||
| 04/30/23 | Kansas City Royals KC | 4 | Over | +4.0 | |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 8 | ||||
| 07/03/23 | Kansas City Royals KC | 4 | Over | +4.0 | |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 8 | ||||
| 07/04/23 | Kansas City Royals KC | 3 | Over | +4.0 | |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 9 | ||||
| 07/05/23 | Kansas City Royals KC | 0 | Under | -3.0 | |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 5 | ||||
| 07/28/23 | Minnesota Twins MIN | 5 | Over | +5.0 | |
| Kansas City Royals KC | 8 | ||||
| 07/29/23 | Minnesota Twins MIN | 7 | Over | +9.0 | |
| Kansas City Royals KC | 10 | ||||
| 07/30/23 | Minnesota Twins MIN | 1 | Under | -5.0 | |
| Kansas City Royals KC | 2 |
Twins Vs Over/Under
Royals Vs Over/Under
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-31-24 | vsTOR | 15-0L | 2.0 | 10 | 9 | 5 | Over |
| 08-25-24 | vsSTL | 3-2L | 5.0 | 4 | 1 | 7 | Under |
| 08-19-24 | @SD | 3-5L | 5.0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | Over |
| 08-13-24 | vsKC | 3-13W | 5.0 | 5 | 2 | 5 | Over |
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-31-24 | @HOU | 2-5L | 5.0 | 4 | 5 | 10 | Under |
| 08-26-24 | @CLE | 4-3W | 4.0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | Under |
| 08-20-24 | vsLAA | 9-5L | 5.0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | Over |
| 08-14-24 | @MIN | 4-1W | 7.0 | 5 | 1 | 8 | Under |
| 08-07-24 | vsBOS | 4-8W | 6.3 | 6 | 4 | 7 | Over |
| 08-02-24 | @DET | 9-2W | 5.7 | 2 | 2 | 6 | Over |
| 07-28-24 | vsCHC | 7-3L | 5.7 | 8 | 4 | 7 | Over |
| 07-22-24 | vsARI | 4-10W | 6.0 | 6 | 3 | 5 | Over |
| 07-12-24 | @BOS | 6-1W | 7.0 | 4 | 1 | 7 | Under |
| 07-05-24 | @COL | 2-4L | 7.0 | 5 | 2 | 8 | Under |
| 08-25-24 | vsPHI | 11-3L | 1.0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | Over |
| 08-24-24 | vsPHI | 11-2L | 1.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | Over |
| 08-20-24 | vsLAA | 9-5L | 1.0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | Over |
| 08-13-24 | @MIN | 3-13L | 1.3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | Over |
| 08-09-24 | vsSTL | 8-5L | 0.3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | Over |
| 08-07-24 | vsBOS | 4-8W | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Over |
| 08-06-24 | vsBOS | 6-5L | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Over |
| 08-04-24 | @DET | 3-2W | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | Under |
| 08-01-24 | @DET | 7-1W | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Over |
| 07-29-24 | @CWS | 8-5W | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Over |
Twins Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | vs TB | 4-3W | 7 | 2 | Under |
| 09/06 | vs TB | 4-9L | 11 | 2 | Over |
| 09/05 | vs TB | 1-2L | 6 | 1 | Under |
| 09/04 | vs TB | 5-4W | 10 | 2 | Over |
| 09/03 | @ TOR | 4-3W | 6 | 1 | Under |
| 09/02 | @ TOR | 0-15L | 4 | 0 | Over |
| 09/01 | @ TOR | 2-0W | 4 | 0 | Under |
| 08/30 | @ ATL | 1-5L | 7 | 0 | Under |
| 08/29 | @ ATL | 6-8L | 14 | 0 | Over |
| 08/28 | @ ATL | 6-10L | 9 | 2 | Over |
| 08/27 | @ STL | 2-3L | 6 | 1 | Under |
| 08/26 | @ STL | 6-0W | 9 | 3 | Under |
| 08/25 | @ STL | 1-6L | 5 | 0 | Under |
| 08/23 | vs SD | 11-4W | 18 | 1 | Over |
| 08/22 | vs SD | 5-7L | 13 | 1 | Over |
Royals Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/06 | @ CLE | 4-1W | 10 | 1 | Under |
| 09/05 | @ CLE | 1-7L | 4 | 0 | Over |
| 09/04 | @ CLE | 2-4L | 2 | 0 | Under |
| 09/03 | vs HOU | 2-7L | 7 | 1 | Over |
| 09/02 | vs HOU | 2-4L | 7 | 1 | Under |
| 09/01 | vs HOU | 2-3L | 2 | 1 | Under |
| 08/31 | vs HOU | 3-6L | 4 | 0 | Over |
| 08/30 | vs CLE | 5-7L | 11 | 3 | Over |
| 08/29 | vs CLE | 6-1W | 9 | 1 | Under |
| 08/28 | vs CLE | 4-3W | 6 | 2 | Under |
| 08/28 | vs CLE | 9-4W | 15 | 3 | Over |
| 08/27 | @ PHI | 3-11L | 10 | 3 | Over |
| 08/26 | @ PHI | 2-11L | 5 | 0 | Over |
| 08/25 | @ PHI | 7-4W | 12 | 2 | Over |
| 08/23 | @ LAA | 3-0W | 8 | 1 | Under |
Team’s Batting Order
| Minnesota Twins | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPS | wOBA | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.3 | 9.6 | 0.240 | 0.428 | 0.377 | 0.805 | 0.326 | 0.045 | |
|
#2
Royce Lewis
|
7.6 | 10.2 | 0.255 | 0.537 | 0.352 | 0.889 | 0.360 | 0.074 |
|
#3
Jose Miranda
|
6.9 | 8.9 | 0.301 | 0.467 | 0.366 | 0.833 | 0.342 | 0.025 |
|
#4
Kyle Farmer
|
6.7 | 9.1 | 0.196 | 0.321 | 0.321 | 0.643 | 0.268 | 0.018 |
|
#5
Brooks Lee
|
5.9 | 7.6 | 0.259 | 0.366 | 0.339 | 0.705 | 0.291 | 0.027 |
|
#6
Willi Castro
|
6.2 | 8.1 | 0.251 | 0.396 | 0.378 | 0.774 | 0.315 | 0.022 |
| 5.6 | 7.3 | 0.250 | 0.340 | 0.354 | 0.693 | 0.286 | 0.005 | |
| 4.9 | 6.3 | 0.231 | 0.353 | 0.275 | 0.627 | 0.263 | 0.027 | |
| 4.9 | 6.0 | 0.500 | 0.750 | 0.500 | 1.250 | 0.518 | 0.000 |
| Kansas City Royals | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPS | wOBA | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
#1
Tommy Pham
|
7.9 | 10.2 | 0.256 | 0.387 | 0.353 | 0.741 | 0.304 | 0.023 |
| 10.0 | 13.0 | 0.340 | 0.615 | 0.437 | 1.052 | 0.420 | 0.054 | |
| 7.3 | 9.6 | 0.272 | 0.467 | 0.368 | 0.835 | 0.340 | 0.047 | |
|
#4
MJ Melendez
|
7.0 | 9.2 | 0.210 | 0.414 | 0.294 | 0.708 | 0.292 | 0.046 |
| 6.6 | 8.8 | 0.233 | 0.397 | 0.345 | 0.742 | 0.304 | 0.036 | |
|
#5
Will Smith
|
4.1 | 10.3 | nan | nan | nan | nan | 0.000 | nan |
| 6.9 | 9.0 | 0.258 | 0.447 | 0.303 | 0.750 | 0.311 | 0.042 | |
|
#7
Yuli Gurriel
|
5.3 | 7.1 | 0.333 | 0.500 | 0.500 | 1.000 | 0.393 | 0.000 |
| 5.7 | 7.3 | 0.239 | 0.346 | 0.308 | 0.654 | 0.271 | 0.013 | |
|
#9
Kyle Isbel
|
5.5 | 7.1 | 0.228 | 0.366 | 0.297 | 0.664 | 0.275 | 0.021 |
Twins Notable Injuries
- Joe Ryan OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/09/24. Impact: 7.6
- Byron Buxton OUT (OF): Avg: 0.275 SLG:0.528 Last game: 08/14/24. Impact: 3.6
- Max Kepler OUT (OF): Avg: 0.258 SLG:0.389 Last game: 09/03/24. Impact: 1.1
- Manuel Margot OUT (OF): Avg: 0.246 SLG:0.344 Last game: 09/02/24. Impact: 1.8
Royals Notable Injuries
- Michael Lorenzen OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/29/24. Impact: 4.5
- Vinnie Pasquantino OUT (1B): Avg: 0.262 SLG:0.447 Last game: 08/31/24. Impact: 2.9
- Will Smith OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/27/24. Impact: -0.2
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