Twins vs Royals Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some MLB excitement as the Minnesota Twins, boasting a solid 75-66 record, roll into Kauffman Stadium to face the formidable Kansas City Royals, who are sitting pretty at 78-64. It’s a sunny showdown with a slight breeze perfect for baseball, kicking off at 02:10 PM EST today. With the Twins trying to claw back from a 5-game deficit and the Royals looking to extend their 2.5-game cushion in the American League, tensions are high. The Royals are fresh off a victory against these very Twins, setting the stage for an epic rematch. The odds are buzzing with an over/under of 8.5, hinting at a game that could swing either way. So, as the Royals aim to keep their crown and the Twins look to conquer the kingdom, expect every pitch to be a battle royale!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 08, 2024 02:10PM EST

Location: Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City

Weather: Sunny with winds from the ESE at 3.8 mph. Temperature is at 62.1° with 50% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIN ML	KC ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+102	-122	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+106	-126	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+4	-4	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

140W-172L

48.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

149W-161L

51.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
03/28/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	4	Under	-3.5
03/28/24	Kansas City Royals KC	1	Under	-3.5
03/30/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	5	Under	-2.5
03/30/24	Kansas City Royals KC	1	Under	-2.5
03/31/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	0	Over	+2.5
03/31/24	Kansas City Royals KC	11	Over	+2.5
05/27/24	Kansas City Royals KC	5	Over	+2.5
05/27/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	6	Over	+2.5
05/28/24	Kansas City Royals KC	2	Under	-2.5
05/28/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	4	Under	-2.5
05/29/24	Kansas City Royals KC	6	Under	-1.5
05/29/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-1.5
05/30/24	Kansas City Royals KC	6	Over	+4.5
05/30/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	7	Over	+4.5
08/12/24	Kansas City Royals KC	3	Over	+2.5
08/12/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	8	Over	+2.5
08/13/24	Kansas City Royals KC	3	Over	+7.5
08/13/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	13	Over	+7.5
08/14/24	Kansas City Royals KC	4	Under	-3.5
08/14/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-3.5
09/06/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	0	Under	-3.5
09/06/24	Kansas City Royals KC	5	Under	-3.5
09/07/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-2.5
09/07/24	Kansas City Royals KC	4	Under	-2.5
03/30/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-6.5
03/30/23	Kansas City Royals KC	0	Under	-6.5
04/01/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-6.5
04/01/23	Kansas City Royals KC	0	Under	-6.5
04/02/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	7	Over	+2.5
04/02/23	Kansas City Royals KC	4	Over	+2.5
04/27/23	Kansas City Royals KC	1	Under	-0.5
04/27/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	7	Under	-0.5
04/28/23	Kansas City Royals KC	6	Over	+5.5
04/28/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	8	Over	+5.5
04/29/23	Kansas City Royals KC	3	Under	-3.5
04/29/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-3.5
04/30/23	Kansas City Royals KC	4	Over	+3.5
04/30/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	8	Over	+3.5
07/03/23	Kansas City Royals KC	4	Over	+3.5
07/03/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	8	Over	+3.5
07/04/23	Kansas City Royals KC	3	Over	+3.5
07/04/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	9	Over	+3.5
07/05/23	Kansas City Royals KC	0	Under	-3.5
07/05/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	5	Under	-3.5
07/28/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	5	Over	+4.5
07/28/23	Kansas City Royals KC	8	Over	+4.5
07/29/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	7	Over	+8.5
07/29/23	Kansas City Royals KC	10	Over	+8.5
07/30/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-5.5
07/30/23	Kansas City Royals KC	2	Under	-5.5

Twins Vs Over/Under

Royals Vs Over/Under

S. Woods

ERA 3.953 | IP 120.7 | 5.0W-3.0L | KO 104.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-02-24	@TB	5-4W	3.7	6	3	2	Over
08-27-24	vsATL	8-6L	4.7	3	4	3	Over
08-21-24	@SD	11-4W	5.0	3	1	7	Over
08-16-24	@TEX	4-3W	5.0	3	2	1	Under
08-10-24	vsCLE	2-1L	7.0	4	2	7	Under
08-04-24	vsCWS	7-13W	4.0	6	3	6	Over
07-29-24	@NYM	2-15L	3.3	7	6	2	Over
07-23-24	vsPHI	3-0L	6.0	3	0	5	Under
07-13-24	@SF	4-2W	4.3	7	2	7	Under
07-07-24	vsHOU	2-3W	6.0	3	2	4	Under

Will Smith

ERA 6.471 | IP 40.3 | 0.0W-4.0L | KO 27.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-02-24	vsCLE	4-2L	5.0	5	2	3	Under
08-28-24	@CLE	5-7L	6.0	9	5	7	Over
08-23-24	vsPHI	4-7W	6.0	6	2	5	Over
08-17-24	@CIN	13-1W	6.0	4	0	9	Over
08-10-24	vsSTL	3-8W	7.0	5	2	6	Over
08-04-24	@DET	3-2W	6.0	7	2	2	Under
07-30-24	@CWS	4-3W	7.0	5	2	5	Under
07-24-24	vsARI	8-6L	4.7	6	3	1	Over
07-19-24	vsCWS	1-7W	7.0	4	0	7	Under
07-10-24	@STL	8-5W	5.0	7	4	3	Over
08-25-24	vsPHI	11-3L	1.0	4	5	1	Over
08-24-24	vsPHI	11-2L	1.0	3	2	2	Over
08-20-24	vsLAA	9-5L	1.0	1	2	1	Over
08-13-24	@MIN	3-13L	1.3	3	3	1	Over
08-09-24	vsSTL	8-5L	0.3	1	2	0	Over
08-07-24	vsBOS	4-8W	1.0	0	0	0	Over
08-06-24	vsBOS	6-5L	1.0	0	0	1	Over
08-04-24	@DET	3-2W	1.0	1	0	1	Under
08-01-24	@DET	7-1W	1.0	0	0	2	Under
07-29-24	@CWS	8-5W	1.0	0	0	0	Over

Twins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/09	vs KC	2-4L	5	0	Under
09/08	vs KC	0-5L	4	0	Under
09/07	vs TB	4-3W	7	2	Under
09/06	vs TB	4-9L	11	2	Over
09/05	vs TB	1-2L	6	1	Under
09/04	vs TB	5-4W	10	2	Over
09/03	@ TOR	4-3W	6	1	Under
09/02	@ TOR	0-15L	4	0	Over
09/01	@ TOR	2-0W	4	0	Under
08/30	@ ATL	1-5L	7	0	Under
08/29	@ ATL	6-8L	14	0	Over
08/28	@ ATL	6-10L	9	2	Over
08/27	@ STL	2-3L	6	1	Under
08/26	@ STL	6-0W	9	3	Under
08/25	@ STL	1-6L	5	0	Under

Royals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/09	@ MIN	4-2W	6	0	Under
09/08	@ MIN	5-0W	10	1	Under
09/06	@ CLE	4-1W	10	1	Under
09/05	@ CLE	1-7L	4	0	Under
09/04	@ CLE	2-4L	2	0	Under
09/03	vs HOU	2-7L	7	1	Over
09/02	vs HOU	2-4L	7	1	Under
09/01	vs HOU	2-3L	2	1	Under
08/31	vs HOU	3-6L	4	0	Over
08/30	vs CLE	5-7L	11	3	Over
08/29	vs CLE	6-1W	9	1	Under
08/28	vs CLE	4-3W	6	2	Under
08/28	vs CLE	9-4W	15	3	Over
08/27	@ PHI	3-11L	10	3	Over
08/26	@ PHI	2-11L	5	0	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Minnesota Twins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Edouard Julien	8.7	11.4	0.223	0.365	0.365	0.730	0.297	0.034
#2 Jose Miranda	8.0	10.3	0.299	0.468	0.364	0.832	0.341	0.024
#3 Trevor Larnach	7.7	10.2	0.244	0.436	0.358	0.795	0.323	0.049
#4 Matt Wallner	8.4	11.3	0.268	0.565	0.458	1.024	0.402	0.065
#5 Royce Lewis	8.6	11.6	0.247	0.520	0.345	0.865	0.351	0.072
#6 Willi Castro	7.6	10.0	0.250	0.395	0.377	0.772	0.315	0.022
#7 Ryan Jeffers	6.7	8.9	0.237	0.460	0.357	0.816	0.333	0.056
#8 Brooks Lee	5.8	7.4	0.248	0.350	0.325	0.675	0.280	0.026
#9 Christian Vazquez	5.4	6.9	0.229	0.349	0.271	0.620	0.260	0.027

Kansas City Royals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Tommy Pham	8.6	11.1	0.259	0.390	0.354	0.744	0.305	0.022
#2 Bobby Witt Jr.	9.7	12.6	0.337	0.608	0.433	1.041	0.416	0.053
#3 Salvador Perez	7.7	10.2	0.268	0.460	0.365	0.825	0.337	0.047
#4 Will Smith	4.1	10.2	nan	nan	nan	nan	0.000	nan
#5 Hunter Renfroe	7.3	9.7	0.237	0.398	0.347	0.746	0.305	0.036
#6 MJ Melendez	7.4	9.7	0.211	0.411	0.293	0.704	0.291	0.045
#8 Maikel Garcia	6.0	7.7	0.239	0.345	0.307	0.653	0.271	0.013

Twins Notable Injuries

Joe Ryan OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/09/24. Impact: 7.6
Byron Buxton OUT (OF): Avg: 0.275 SLG:0.528 Last game: 08/14/24. Impact: 3.6
Max Kepler OUT (OF): Avg: 0.258 SLG:0.389 Last game: 09/03/24. Impact: 1.1
Manuel Margot OUT (OF): Avg: 0.246 SLG:0.344 Last game: 09/02/24. Impact: 1.8

Royals Notable Injuries

Michael Lorenzen OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/29/24. Impact: 4.5
Vinnie Pasquantino OUT (1B): Avg: 0.262 SLG:0.447 Last game: 08/31/24. Impact: 2.9
Will Smith OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/27/24. Impact: -0.2