Twins vs Mets Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some serious MLB action as the Minnesota Twins take their solid swings up to the Big Apple to clash with the New York Mets at Citi Field tonight! With the first pitch at 07:10 PM EST, the stakes are as high as the summer temps. The Twins, hot off a shutout win, are looking to creep closer in the AL rankings, while the Mets, still dusting themselves off after a recent tumble, aim to claw back in the NL. Betting buffs, the lines are dancing today with a tantalizing over/under at 4.5. Under the golden glow of a sunny sky, with just a hint of a breeze to keep things cool, this matchup promises to deliver more hits than a New York minute. So, will the Twins continue to mine victories, or will the Mets swing into a comeback? It’s a game of Twin-kle, Twin-kle, Mets star—who will shine the brightest tonight?

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 29, 2024 07:10PM EST

Location: Citi Field, New York

Weather: Sunny with winds from the SSW at 9.4 mph. Temperature is at 84.6° with 45% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIN ML	NYM ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+100	-120	8.0	0.5/-0.5
Recent	-105	-115	8.0	0.5/-0.5
Difference	-205	+5	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

132W-161L

51.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

168W-124L

48.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
09/08/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Over	+2.5
09/08/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	5	Over	+2.5
09/09/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Over	+7.5
09/09/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	8	Over	+7.5
09/10/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-2.5
09/10/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	0	Under	-2.5

Twins Vs Over/Under

Mets Vs Over/Under

S. Woods

ERA 3.273 | IP 88.0 | 3.0W-1.0L | KO 76.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-23-24	vsPHI	3-0L	6.0	3	0	5	Under
07-13-24	@SF	4-2W	4.3	7	2	7	Under
07-07-24	vsHOU	2-3W	6.0	3	2	4	Under
07-02-24	vsDET	3-5W	5.7	4	3	4	Push
06-26-24	@ARI	8-3W	5.3	4	3	4	Over
06-20-24	vsTB	7-6L	6.0	4	2	6	Over
06-14-24	vsOAK	5-6W	4.0	4	4	4	Over
06-08-24	@PIT	0-4L	6.3	6	1	6	Under
06-02-24	@HOU	4-3W	4.3	3	3	6	Under
05-28-24	vsKC	2-4W	5.0	3	2	4	Under

Jose Quintana

ERA 3.807 | IP 101.7 | 5.0W-5.0L | KO 77.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-23-24	@NYY	3-2W	5.0	3	1	6	Under
07-09-24	vsWAS	5-7W	7.0	1	0	5	Over
07-04-24	@WAS	0-1L	7.0	4	0	1	Under
06-28-24	vsHOU	2-7W	4.0	6	2	7	Over
06-21-24	@CHC	11-1W	6.3	4	1	8	Over
06-15-24	vsSD	1-5W	6.0	2	1	6	Under
06-09-24	@PHI	6-5W	3.7	6	3	1	Over
06-02-24	vsARI	5-4L	4.0	4	3	4	Over
05-28-24	vsLAD	3-0L	6.0	8	3	3	Under
05-22-24	@CLE	3-6L	6.0	4	3	4	Over

Twins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/30	vs DET	5-0W	12	0	Under
07/29	vs DET	2-7L	6	1	Over
07/28	vs DET	9-3W	13	4	Over
07/26	@ PHI	5-4W	9	1	Over
07/25	@ PHI	0-3L	3	0	Under
07/24	@ PHI	7-2W	12	0	Over
07/23	@ MIL	7-8L	9	3	Over
07/22	@ MIL	4-8L	7	1	Over
07/15	vs SF	4-2W	10	1	Under
07/14	vs SF	1-7L	10	0	Push
07/12	vs CWS	1-3L	6	1	Under
07/12	vs CWS	3-2W	5	2	Under
07/10	vs CWS	8-6W	15	3	Over
07/09	@ HOU	3-2W	11	1	Under
07/08	@ HOU	9-3W	14	2	Over

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/30	@ ATL	2-8L	7	1	Over
07/29	@ ATL	0-4L	4	0	Under
07/28	@ ATL	8-4W	8	3	Over
07/27	@ ATL	3-2W	3	1	Under
07/26	vs NYY	12-3W	14	5	Over
07/25	vs NYY	3-2W	8	1	Under
07/24	vs MIA	6-4W	11	3	Over
07/23	vs MIA	2-4L	8	0	Under
07/22	vs MIA	1-0W	6	0	Under
07/21	vs MIA	4-6L	8	2	Over
07/15	@ COL	7-3W	6	1	Over
07/14	@ COL	7-6W	10	5	Over
07/13	@ WAS	7-0W	9	0	Under
07/12	@ WAS	6-2W	12	1	Push
07/11	@ WAS	7-5W	11	2	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Minnesota Twins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Manuel Margot	7.7	10.1	0.238	0.333	0.329	0.662	0.275	0.014
#2 Byron Buxton	9.8	12.9	0.276	0.507	0.357	0.864	0.354	0.044
#3 Royce Lewis	10.0	13.3	0.286	0.684	0.388	1.071	0.429	0.112
#4 Carlos Santana	7.7	10.1	0.246	0.431	0.374	0.805	0.327	0.042
#5 Willi Castro	7.8	10.2	0.267	0.417	0.409	0.826	0.334	0.019
#6 Ryan Jeffers	7.6	10.2	0.233	0.444	0.362	0.806	0.329	0.050
#7 Brooks Lee	6.5	8.4	0.264	0.361	0.347	0.708	0.292	0.028
#8 Austin Martin	5.6	7.4	0.242	0.344	0.344	0.688	0.284	0.008
#9 Christian Vazquez	5.5	7.0	0.221	0.337	0.263	0.600	0.252	0.026

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Francisco Lindor	8.9	11.7	0.252	0.473	0.368	0.841	0.342	0.052
#2 Brandon Nimmo	8.6	11.6	0.235	0.424	0.416	0.841	0.335	0.043
#3 J.D. Martinez	8.3	11.0	0.259	0.442	0.381	0.824	0.334	0.040
#4 Pete Alonso	8.6	11.4	0.244	0.458	0.370	0.829	0.336	0.050
#5 Jeff McNeil	6.9	9.0	0.229	0.363	0.305	0.668	0.278	0.027
#6 Mark Vientos	6.8	9.0	0.290	0.552	0.376	0.929	0.376	0.067
#8 Jose Iglesias	5.9	7.6	0.327	0.505	0.402	0.907	0.370	0.028
#9 Francisco Alvarez	5.6	7.3	0.268	0.445	0.378	0.823	0.334	0.030

Twins Notable Injuries

Chris Paddack OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/10/24. Impact: 4.7
Carlos Correa OUT (SS): Avg: 0.308 SLG:0.52 Last game: 07/14/24. Impact: 4.1
Kyle Farmer OUT (2B): Avg: 0.189 SLG:0.265 Last game: 07/12/24. Impact: 1.1
Kody Funderburk OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/14/24. Impact: 0.6

Mets Notable Injuries

Kodai Senga OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/28/24. Impact: 10.4
Christian Scott OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/23/24. Impact: 4.0
Dedniel Nunez OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/25/24. Impact: 1.6
Reed Garrett OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/11/24. Impact: 0.8