Twins vs Mets Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown at Citi Field tonight as the Minnesota Twins, hot on the heels of their recent stumble, look to snatch a rebound victory from the New York Mets, who are still buzzing from their explosive win yesterday. With the first pitch at 07:10 PM EST, the stakes are sky-high as both teams aim to claw back up their respective conference rankings under the balmy New York skies. Betting enthusiasts and fantasy fiends are eyeing the over/under nervously, while the breeze might just carry a few homers tonight. As the Twins try to tighten their grip and the Mets swing for the fences, expect a game where every pitch could turn the tide. After all, in a battle of Twins and Mets, it’s all about seeing double or striking out spectacularly!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 30, 2024 07:10PM EST

Location: Citi Field, New York

Weather: Sunny with winds from the S at 13.4 mph. Temperature is at 85.4° with 53% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIN ML	NYM ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+119	-142	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+106	-126	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-13	+16	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

132W-162L

48.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

169W-124L

51.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
07/29/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Over	+8.5
07/29/24	New York Mets NYM	15	Over	+8.5
09/08/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-1.5
09/08/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	5	Under	-1.5
09/09/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Over	+3.5
09/09/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	8	Over	+3.5
09/10/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-6.5
09/10/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	0	Under	-6.5

Twins Vs Over/Under

Mets Vs Over/Under

David Festa

ERA 8.163 | IP 14.3 | 1.0W-1.0L | KO 15.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-24-24	vsPHI	4-5W	4.3	4	1	7	Over
07-03-24	vsDET	9-2L	5.0	9	7	6	Over
06-27-24	@ARI	13-6W	5.0	7	5	2	Over

Sean Manaea

ERA 3.736 | IP 106.0 | 6.0W-4.0L | KO 101.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-24-24	@NYY	12-3W	4.7	3	2	4	Over
07-19-24	@MIA	4-6L	5.0	8	5	1	Over
07-12-24	vsCOL	6-7W	7.0	5	3	9	Over
07-07-24	@PIT	3-2W	6.0	2	0	6	Under
07-02-24	@WAS	7-2W	7.0	5	2	5	Over
06-26-24	vsNYY	2-12W	5.0	2	0	3	Over
06-19-24	@TEX	3-5L	5.7	2	3	6	Under
06-14-24	vsSD	1-2W	5.0	4	1	7	Under
06-08-24	vsPHI	7-2L	3.7	7	6	3	Over
06-01-24	vsARI	10-5L	5.7	6	6	10	Over

Twins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/31	vs NYM	2-15L	9	1	Over
07/30	vs DET	5-0W	12	0	Under
07/29	vs DET	2-7L	6	1	Over
07/28	vs DET	9-3W	13	4	Over
07/26	@ PHI	5-4W	9	1	Over
07/25	@ PHI	0-3L	3	0	Under
07/24	@ PHI	7-2W	12	0	Over
07/23	@ MIL	7-8L	9	3	Over
07/22	@ MIL	4-8L	7	1	Over
07/15	vs SF	4-2W	10	1	Under
07/14	vs SF	1-7L	10	0	Under
07/12	vs CWS	1-3L	6	1	Under
07/12	vs CWS	3-2W	5	2	Under
07/10	vs CWS	8-6W	15	3	Over
07/09	@ HOU	3-2W	11	1	Under

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/31	@ MIN	15-2W	17	1	Over
07/30	@ ATL	2-8L	7	1	Over
07/29	@ ATL	0-4L	4	0	Under
07/28	@ ATL	8-4W	8	3	Over
07/27	@ ATL	3-2W	3	1	Under
07/26	vs NYY	12-3W	14	5	Over
07/25	vs NYY	3-2W	8	1	Under
07/24	vs MIA	6-4W	11	3	Over
07/23	vs MIA	2-4L	8	0	Under
07/22	vs MIA	1-0W	6	0	Under
07/21	vs MIA	4-6L	8	2	Over
07/15	@ COL	7-3W	6	1	Over
07/14	@ COL	7-6W	10	5	Over
07/13	@ WAS	7-0W	9	0	Under
07/12	@ WAS	6-2W	12	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Minnesota Twins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Manuel Margot	7.7	10.1	0.243	0.341	0.332	0.673	0.279	0.014
#2 Byron Buxton	9.8	12.9	0.281	0.511	0.365	0.876	0.358	0.044
#3 Royce Lewis	9.4	12.6	0.277	0.663	0.376	1.040	0.417	0.109
#4 Carlos Santana	7.7	10.2	0.246	0.429	0.373	0.802	0.325	0.041
#5 Willi Castro	7.5	9.8	0.264	0.412	0.404	0.817	0.330	0.019
#6 Austin Martin	6.1	8.1	0.235	0.333	0.333	0.667	0.276	0.008
#7 Ryan Jeffers	7.3	9.8	0.233	0.452	0.360	0.813	0.331	0.053
#8 Brooks Lee	5.3	6.9	0.250	0.342	0.329	0.671	0.278	0.026
#9 Christian Vazquez	5.5	7.0	0.225	0.340	0.267	0.607	0.255	0.026

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Francisco Lindor	9.8	12.9	0.254	0.472	0.371	0.843	0.342	0.052
#2 Brandon Nimmo	9.1	12.3	0.235	0.422	0.417	0.840	0.335	0.043
#3 J.D. Martinez	8.4	11.1	0.260	0.441	0.381	0.822	0.333	0.039
#4 Pete Alonso	8.2	10.9	0.246	0.468	0.373	0.841	0.340	0.052
#5 Jesse Winker	7.2	9.5	0.263	0.425	0.457	0.883	0.349	0.035
#6 Mark Vientos	7.2	9.5	0.290	0.551	0.379	0.930	0.377	0.065
#7 Jeff McNeil	6.1	7.9	0.232	0.367	0.307	0.675	0.280	0.027
#8 Francisco Alvarez	6.4	8.4	0.268	0.445	0.378	0.823	0.334	0.030
#9 Harrison Bader	5.9	7.7	0.264	0.404	0.332	0.736	0.305	0.029

Twins Notable Injuries

Chris Paddack OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/10/24. Impact: 4.7
Carlos Correa OUT (SS): Avg: 0.308 SLG:0.52 Last game: 07/14/24. Impact: 4.1
Kyle Farmer OUT (2B): Avg: 0.189 SLG:0.265 Last game: 07/12/24. Impact: 1.1
Kody Funderburk OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/14/24. Impact: 0.6

Mets Notable Injuries

Kodai Senga OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/28/24. Impact: 10.4
Christian Scott OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/23/24. Impact: 4.0
Dedniel Nunez OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/25/24. Impact: 1.6
Reed Garrett OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/11/24. Impact: 0.8