Twins vs Yankees Game Breakdown

Strap in, sports fans! Tonight’s MLB showdown is not just any game—it’s a clash of titans at the iconic Yankee Stadium as the high-flying New York Yankees look to defend their turf against the surging Minnesota Twins. With the first pitch set to fly at 07:05 PM EST, the stakes are hotter than a July afternoon in the Bronx! The Yankees, leading the pack in the American League, are fresh off a thrilling victory against SF, while the Twins, trailing by six in the conference, just edged out a win against HOU. With the over/under teasing at 7.5, betting lines buzzing, and the weather playing nice at a cool 68° with a gentle northeastern breeze, tonight’s game promises all the drama we live for. So, will the Yankees continue to twin their way to victory, or will Minnesota stir up a storm in their quest to climb the rankings? Let’s find out!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: June 04, 2024 07:05PM EST

Location: Yankee Stadium, New York

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the NE at 11.9 mph. Temperature is at 68.0° with 76% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIN ML	NYY ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+136	-162	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+156	-190	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+20	-28	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

120W-150L

39.1% Win Probability

LAST 10

8W-2L

HOME

160W-105L

60.9% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/14/24	New York Yankees NYY	5	Under	-1.5
05/14/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-1.5
05/15/24	New York Yankees NYY	4	Under	-3.5
05/15/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	0	Under	-3.5
05/16/24	New York Yankees NYY	5	Under	-2.5
05/16/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	0	Under	-2.5
04/13/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	11	Over	+5.5
04/13/23	New York Yankees NYY	2	Over	+5.5
04/14/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	4	Under	-0.5
04/14/23	New York Yankees NYY	3	Under	-0.5
04/15/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-0.5
04/15/23	New York Yankees NYY	6	Under	-0.5
04/16/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	0	Under	-5.5
04/16/23	New York Yankees NYY	2	Under	-5.5
04/24/23	New York Yankees NYY	1	Under	-0.5
04/24/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	6	Under	-0.5
04/25/23	New York Yankees NYY	2	Over	+0.5
04/25/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	6	Over	+0.5
04/26/23	New York Yankees NYY	12	Over	+10.5
04/26/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	6	Over	+10.5

Twins Vs Over/Under

Yankees Vs Over/Under

Bailey Ober

ERA 4.895 | IP 57.0 | 5.0W-3.0L | KO 58.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-29-24	vsKC	6-1L	5.0	9	6	4	Under
05-24-24	vsTEX	2-3W	5.0	4	2	5	Under
05-18-24	@CLE	4-11L	4.0	8	5	4	Over
05-12-24	@TOR	5-1W	6.3	1	0	10	Under
05-07-24	vsSEA	10-6L	5.0	3	2	7	Over
05-01-24	@CWS	10-5W	6.0	6	4	3	Over
04-26-24	@LAA	5-3W	7.3	3	2	8	Push
04-20-24	vsDET	3-4W	6.0	2	1	6	Under
04-14-24	@DET	3-4L	6.0	3	0	3	Under
04-08-24	vsLAD	4-2L	5.0	3	1	7	Under

Luis Gil

ERA 1.989 | IP 63.3 | 7.0W-1.0L | KO 79.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-29-24	@LAA	2-1W	8.0	2	1	9	Under
05-23-24	vsSEA	0-5W	6.3	1	0	8	Under
05-18-24	vsCWS	1-6W	6.0	5	1	14	Under
05-12-24	@TB	10-6W	6.0	3	0	3	Over
05-07-24	vsHOU	3-10W	6.0	1	1	5	Over
05-01-24	@BAL	2-0W	6.3	2	0	5	Under
04-26-24	@MIL	6-7L	5.0	6	5	6	Over
04-21-24	vsTB	4-5W	5.7	2	1	9	Over
04-15-24	@TOR	1-3L	5.0	3	3	6	Under
04-07-24	vsTOR	3-8W	4.3	2	2	8	Over

Twins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/04	vs HOU	4-3W	7	2	Under
06/03	vs HOU	2-5L	4	0	Under
06/02	vs HOU	6-1W	6	2	Under
06/01	@ KC	7-6W	9	2	Over
05/31	@ KC	1-6L	8	0	Under
05/30	@ KC	4-2W	11	0	Under
05/29	@ KC	6-5W	7	2	Over
05/28	@ TEX	2-6L	3	0	Push
05/27	@ TEX	5-3W	7	1	Push
05/26	@ TEX	3-2W	10	1	Under
05/24	vs WAS	3-2W	7	2	Under
05/23	vs WAS	10-0W	10	4	Over
05/22	vs WAS	3-12L	8	1	Over
05/21	vs CLE	2-5L	4	1	Under
05/20	vs CLE	4-11L	10	0	Over

Yankees Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/04	vs SF	7-5W	11	2	Over
06/03	vs SF	7-3W	11	2	Over
06/02	vs SF	6-2W	9	2	Push
06/01	vs LAA	8-3W	5	1	Over
05/31	vs LAA	2-1W	6	1	Under
05/30	vs LAA	3-4L	9	1	Under
05/28	vs SD	2-5L	8	1	Under
05/27	vs SD	4-1W	9	1	Under
05/26	vs SD	8-0W	10	4	Push
05/25	@ SEA	5-0W	11	2	Under
05/24	@ SEA	7-3W	7	4	Over
05/23	@ SEA	3-6L	5	1	Over
05/22	@ SEA	4-5L	12	0	Over
05/21	@ CWS	7-2W	10	2	Over
05/20	@ CWS	6-1W	9	4	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Minnesota Twins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Trevor Larnach	7.5	9.9	0.27	0.47	37.0%	84.0%	6.0%
#2 Carlos Correa	7.0	9.3	0.259	0.442	38.1%	82.3%	2.7%
#3 Ryan Jeffers	7.6	10.3	0.246	0.52	38.5%	90.5%	6.7%
#4 Max Kepler	7.0	9.3	0.278	0.474	38.3%	85.7%	3.0%
#5 Royce Lewis	7.8	10.0	1.0	2.5	100.0%	350.0%	50.0%
#6 Willi Castro	5.8	7.5	0.261	0.422	37.7%	79.9%	2.0%
#7 Byron Buxton	6.3	8.2	0.232	0.384	31.2%	69.6%	2.2%
#8 Alex Kirilloff	5.5	7.3	0.218	0.415	31.7%	73.2%	3.5%
#9 Carlos Santana	5.1	6.7	0.215	0.376	33.9%	71.5%	4.3%

New York Yankees	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Anthony Volpe	7.3	9.4	0.284	0.44	39.1%	83.1%	2.5%
#2 Juan Soto	8.8	11.8	0.322	0.614	49.8%	111.2%	7.3%
#3 Aaron Judge	9.4	12.7	0.292	0.662	52.1%	118.3%	9.6%
#4 Alex Verdugo	6.6	8.7	0.261	0.441	36.5%	80.6%	3.8%
#5 Giancarlo Stanton	7.7	10.2	0.231	0.487	30.2%	78.9%	7.0%
#6 Anthony Rizzo	6.7	8.7	0.24	0.36	32.9%	68.9%	3.1%
#7 Gleyber Torres	6.4	8.2	0.23	0.324	34.7%	67.1%	1.8%
#8 Austin Wells	5.8	7.6	0.196	0.294	32.4%	61.8%	1.0%
#9 DJ LeMahieu	5.5	7.2	0.222	0.222	38.9%	61.1%	0.0%

Twins Notable Injuries

No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.

Yankees Notable Injuries

Clarke Schmidt OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 05/28/24. Impact: 8.1
Jon Berti OUT (IF): Avg: 0.273 SLG:0.327 Last game: 05/26/24. Impact: 3.0
Nick Burdi OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 05/25/24. Impact: 0.8