Twins vs Pirates Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some MLB action as the Minnesota Twins head to the Steel City to clash with the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park tonight at 06:40 PM EST! With the Twins swinging to close a 7.5-game gap in the American League and the Pirates hoping to plunder their way back from a 7-game deficit in the National League, stakes are high and bats are ready. Both teams are itching to rebound after taking hits in their last games, and with the odds makers setting a tight line and an even tighter over/under at 4.0, every pitch counts. The weather gods are playing ball too, blessing the game with a perfect partly cloudy sky and a cool breeze from the west. As these two teams prepare to battle it out, be prepared for a game where Twins might just double the fun or Pirates take the treasure trove of runs!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: June 07, 2024 06:40PM EST

Location: PNC Park, Pittsburgh

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the W at 8.1 mph. Temperature is at 69.1° with 51% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIN ML	PIT ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-119	-101	7.5	-0.5/0.5
Recent	-128	+107	8.0	-0.5/0.5
Difference	-9	+208	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

120W-153L

56.1% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

123W-147L

43.9% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
08/18/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	1	Over	+2.0
08/18/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	5	Over	+2.0
08/19/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	7	Over	+7.0
08/19/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	4	Over	+7.0
08/20/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	0	Under	-2.0
08/20/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-2.0

Twins Vs Over/Under

Pirates Vs Over/Under

Joe Ryan

ERA 3.5 | IP 72.0 | 4.0W-4.0L | KO 77.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-01-24	@HOU	2-5L	5.0	8	5	4	Under
05-27-24	vsKC	5-6W	7.0	4	1	9	Over
05-21-24	@WAS	10-0W	7.0	3	0	6	Over
05-16-24	vsNYY	5-0L	5.3	6	4	5	Under
05-10-24	@TOR	3-2W	7.0	6	1	7	Under
05-05-24	vsBOS	9-2L	6.0	4	3	5	Over
04-29-24	@CWS	3-2W	6.0	6	2	3	Under
04-24-24	vsCWS	3-6W	6.0	4	3	8	Over
04-19-24	vsDET	5-4L	5.3	7	4	6	Over
04-13-24	@DET	11-5W	6.0	6	3	12	Over

Mitch Keller

ERA 3.421 | IP 73.7 | 7.0W-3.0L | KO 66.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-01-24	@TOR	8-1W	6.0	5	1	8	Over
05-25-24	vsATL	1-4W	6.7	6	1	4	Under
05-19-24	@CHC	3-2W	6.0	2	2	3	Under
05-13-24	@MIL	8-6W	6.0	8	0	7	Over
05-06-24	vsLAA	1-4W	9.0	5	1	5	Under
04-30-24	@OAK	2-5L	5.0	5	3	7	Under
04-25-24	vsMIL	7-5L	5.0	6	4	7	Over
04-20-24	vsBOS	4-2L	6.0	5	4	4	Under
04-14-24	@PHI	9-2W	7.0	8	2	4	Over
04-08-24	vsDET	4-7W	6.0	5	2	9	Over

Twins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/08	vs NYY	5-8L	10	2	Over
06/07	vs NYY	5-9L	6	2	Over
06/06	vs NYY	1-5L	2	1	Under
06/04	vs HOU	4-3W	7	2	Under
06/03	vs HOU	2-5L	4	0	Under
06/02	vs HOU	6-1W	6	2	Under
06/01	@ KC	7-6W	9	2	Over
05/31	@ KC	1-6L	8	0	Under
05/30	@ KC	4-2W	11	0	Under
05/29	@ KC	6-5W	7	2	Over
05/28	@ TEX	2-6L	3	0	Push
05/27	@ TEX	5-3W	7	1	Push
05/26	@ TEX	3-2W	10	1	Under
05/24	vs WAS	3-2W	7	2	Under
05/23	vs WAS	10-0W	10	4	Over

Pirates Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/08	@ LAD	7-11L	14	2	Over
06/07	@ LAD	10-6W	9	0	Over
06/06	@ LAD	1-0W	4	1	Under
06/04	vs TOR	4-5L	11	0	Over
06/03	vs TOR	8-1W	11	2	Over
06/02	vs TOR	3-5L	6	0	Push
05/31	vs DET	0-8L	3	0	Push
05/31	vs DET	10-2W	13	2	Over
05/28	@ ATL	1-8L	5	0	Over
05/27	@ ATL	4-1W	7	0	Under
05/26	@ ATL	11-5W	14	1	Over
05/25	@ SF	6-7L	9	3	Over
05/24	@ SF	5-9L	6	1	Over
05/23	@ SF	7-6W	11	0	Over
05/21	vs CHC	3-2W	10	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Minnesota Twins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Trevor Larnach	8.4	11.1	0.255	0.443	36.8%	81.1%	5.7%
#2 Carlos Correa	8.3	11.0	0.253	0.443	36.7%	81.0%	3.2%
#3 Royce Lewis	9.4	12.5	0.571	1.857	85.7%	271.4%	42.9%
#4 Max Kepler	7.8	10.3	0.268	0.458	36.6%	82.4%	2.8%
#5 Ryan Jeffers	7.4	10.0	0.239	0.505	38.0%	88.6%	6.5%
#6 Jose Miranda	7.0	9.0	0.273	0.461	32.5%	78.6%	3.9%
#7 Alex Kirilloff	6.6	8.7	0.216	0.412	31.1%	72.3%	3.4%
#8 Byron Buxton	7.4	9.7	0.221	0.366	29.7%	66.2%	2.1%
#9 Willi Castro	6.5	8.3	0.255	0.409	37.5%	78.4%	1.9%

Pittsburgh Pirates	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Andrew McCutchen	7.3	9.7	0.228	0.378	38.3%	76.2%	4.1%
#2 Bryan Reynolds	7.2	9.4	0.255	0.406	36.3%	76.9%	3.2%
#3 Connor Joe	7.7	10.1	0.27	0.434	39.3%	82.7%	3.1%
#4 Oneil Cruz	7.1	9.2	0.244	0.432	31.9%	75.1%	3.8%
#5 Ke’Bryan Hayes	6.5	8.4	0.26	0.344	39.0%	73.4%	1.3%
#6 Nick Gonzales	7.2	9.5	0.315	0.528	39.3%	92.1%	4.5%
#7 Rowdy Tellez	5.4	7.0	0.2	0.257	28.6%	54.3%	0.7%
#8 Yasmani Grandal	4.8	6.5	0.186	0.314	20.0%	51.4%	2.9%
#9 Jack Suwinski	5.6	7.4	0.182	0.318	30.4%	62.2%	3.4%

Twins Notable Injuries

No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.

Pirates Notable Injuries

Martin Perez OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 05/28/24. Impact: 3.8
Quinn Priester OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/04/24. Impact: 3.2
Joey Bart OUT (C): Avg: 0.267 SLG:0.517 Last game: 05/28/24. Impact: 2.3
Ji Hwan Bae OUT (OF): Avg: 0.208 SLG:0.208 Last game: 06/04/24. Impact: 1.9
Michael A. Taylor OUT (OF): Avg: 0.198 SLG:0.254 Last game: 06/03/24. Impact: 0.5
Alika Williams OUT (2B/SS): Avg: 0.21 SLG:0.29 Last game: 05/31/24. Impact: 0.4