Twins vs Mariners Game Breakdown
Twins
44W-36L
June 28, 2024
09:40PM EST
Odds: 7.5 o/u
Mariners
46W-37L
Strap in, sports fans! Tonight, the diamond at T-Mobile Park is set to sparkle under the Seattle skies as the Minnesota Twins, boasting a solid 44-36 record, roll into town to clash with the 46-37 Seattle Mariners. With the first pitch slated for 09:40 PM EST, the atmosphere is charged with playoff vibes as the Twins look to close the gap in the American League standings, while the Mariners aim to hold their ground at the top. The betting world is buzzing too, with an over/under that promises a tight contest at 7.5. Fresh off their respective wins, both teams are bringing the heat—Minnesota demolished Arizona with a whopping 13 runs, and Seattle sailed past Tampa Bay. And with the weather playing nice—just a gentle northern breeze and a cool 64 degrees—conditions are perfect for some high-caliber baseball. So as the Mariners try to anchor down their lead and the Twins look to chop down the competition, expect tonight’s game to be a true battle of the bats!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: June 28, 2024 09:40PM EST
Location: T-Mobile Park, Seattle
Weather: Overcast with winds from the N at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 64.0° with 60% humidity.
Vegas Odds
| MIN ML | SEA ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +107 | -128 | 7.5 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Recent | +108 | -130 | 7.0 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Difference | +1 | -2 | -0.5 | – |
Team Performance
48.1% Win Probability
51.9% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06/24 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 1 | Under | -3.5 | |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 3 | ||||
| 05/07/24 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 10 | Over | +8.5 | |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 6 | ||||
| 05/08/24 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 3 | Over | +1.5 | |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 6 | ||||
| 05/09/24 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 1 | Over | +4.5 | |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 11 | ||||
| 07/17/23 | Minnesota Twins MIN | 6 | Over | +5.5 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 7 | ||||
| 07/18/23 | Minnesota Twins MIN | 10 | Over | +5.5 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 3 | ||||
| 07/19/23 | Minnesota Twins MIN | 6 | Over | +1.5 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 3 | ||||
| 07/20/23 | Minnesota Twins MIN | 0 | Under | -2.5 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 5 | ||||
| 07/24/23 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 3 | Under | -0.5 | |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 4 | ||||
| 07/25/23 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 9 | Over | +8.5 | |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 7 | ||||
| 07/26/23 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 8 | Over | +7.5 | |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 7 |
Twins Vs Over/Under
Mariners Vs Over/Under
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22-24 | @OAK | 10-2W | 9.0 | 4 | 2 | 10 | Over |
| 06-16-24 | vsOAK | 2-6W | 6.3 | 6 | 1 | 8 | Over |
| 06-09-24 | @PIT | 11-5W | 4.7 | 7 | 4 | 5 | Over |
| 06-04-24 | @NYY | 1-5L | 5.0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | Under |
| 05-29-24 | vsKC | 6-1L | 5.0 | 9 | 6 | 4 | Push |
| 05-24-24 | vsTEX | 2-3W | 5.0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | Under |
| 05-18-24 | @CLE | 4-11L | 4.0 | 8 | 5 | 4 | Over |
| 05-12-24 | @TOR | 5-1W | 6.3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | Under |
| 05-07-24 | vsSEA | 10-6L | 5.0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | Over |
| 05-01-24 | @CWS | 10-5W | 6.0 | 6 | 4 | 3 | Over |
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22-24 | @MIA | 9-0W | 8.0 | 4 | 0 | 6 | Over |
| 06-16-24 | vsTEX | 0-5W | 8.0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | Under |
| 06-10-24 | vsCWS | 4-8W | 6.7 | 6 | 3 | 8 | Over |
| 06-05-24 | @OAK | 1-2L | 7.0 | 5 | 2 | 5 | Under |
| 05-30-24 | vsHOU | 4-0L | 6.0 | 8 | 4 | 5 | Under |
| 05-25-24 | @WAS | 1-3L | 6.0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | Under |
| 05-20-24 | @NYY | 5-4W | 6.0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | Over |
| 05-14-24 | vsKC | 4-2L | 6.7 | 4 | 3 | 7 | Under |
| 05-09-24 | @MIN | 1-11L | 4.0 | 9 | 8 | 4 | Over |
| 05-04-24 | @HOU | 5-0W | 8.0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | Under |
Twins Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/29 | vs ARI | 13-6W | 13 | 1 | Over |
| 06/28 | vs ARI | 8-3W | 14 | 1 | Over |
| 06/27 | vs ARI | 4-5L | 6 | 2 | Over |
| 06/25 | vs OAK | 3-0W | 6 | 1 | Under |
| 06/24 | vs OAK | 10-2W | 16 | 1 | Over |
| 06/23 | vs OAK | 5-6L | 10 | 2 | Over |
| 06/22 | @ TB | 6-7L | 10 | 3 | Over |
| 06/21 | @ TB | 2-3L | 9 | 1 | Under |
| 06/20 | @ TB | 7-6W | 13 | 1 | Over |
| 06/18 | @ OAK | 6-2W | 12 | 4 | Over |
| 06/18 | @ OAK | 8-7W | 14 | 3 | Over |
| 06/16 | @ OAK | 6-5W | 10 | 1 | Over |
| 06/15 | @ OAK | 6-2W | 13 | 1 | Over |
| 06/14 | @ COL | 17-9W | 24 | 2 | Over |
| 06/13 | @ COL | 4-5L | 8 | 2 | Over |
Mariners Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/28 | vs TB | 5-2W | 5 | 1 | Push |
| 06/27 | vs TB | 3-11L | 6 | 2 | Over |
| 06/26 | vs TB | 3-4L | 3 | 2 | Push |
| 06/25 | vs MIA | 4-6L | 7 | 1 | Over |
| 06/24 | vs MIA | 9-0W | 15 | 1 | Over |
| 06/23 | vs MIA | 2-3L | 6 | 0 | Under |
| 06/22 | vs CLE | 3-6L | 5 | 1 | Over |
| 06/21 | vs CLE | 0-8L | 3 | 0 | Over |
| 06/20 | vs CLE | 8-5W | 11 | 3 | Over |
| 06/18 | @ TEX | 5-0W | 6 | 1 | Under |
| 06/17 | @ TEX | 7-5W | 7 | 2 | Over |
| 06/16 | @ TEX | 3-2W | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 06/15 | @ CWS | 2-3L | 3 | 2 | Under |
| 06/14 | @ CWS | 2-1W | 6 | 1 | Under |
| 06/13 | @ CWS | 4-3W | 5 | 0 | Push |
Team’s Batting Order
| Minnesota Twins | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPS | wOBA | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
#1
Willi Castro
|
7.2 | 9.3 | 0.278 | 0.463 | 0.409 | 0.872 | 0.351 | 0.025 |
| 6.0 | 7.9 | 0.255 | 0.433 | 0.331 | 0.764 | 0.314 | 0.045 | |
|
#3
Royce Lewis
|
8.3 | 11.0 | 0.304 | 0.734 | 0.418 | 1.152 | 0.457 | 0.127 |
|
#4
Max Kepler
|
6.7 | 8.9 | 0.250 | 0.418 | 0.337 | 0.755 | 0.311 | 0.031 |
| 6.4 | 8.4 | 0.309 | 0.494 | 0.433 | 0.927 | 0.370 | 0.034 | |
| 5.3 | 7.0 | 0.254 | 0.446 | 0.373 | 0.819 | 0.332 | 0.046 | |
|
#7
Byron Buxton
|
6.9 | 9.1 | 0.261 | 0.449 | 0.338 | 0.787 | 0.324 | 0.034 |
| 4.4 | 5.5 | 0.195 | 0.275 | 0.235 | 0.510 | 0.216 | 0.013 | |
| 4.5 | 5.9 | 0.267 | 0.376 | 0.366 | 0.743 | 0.304 | 0.010 |
| Seattle Mariners | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPS | wOBA | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 8.7 | 0.217 | 0.371 | 0.362 | 0.733 | 0.298 | 0.032 | |
| 7.9 | 10.0 | 0.252 | 0.335 | 0.326 | 0.661 | 0.275 | 0.022 | |
|
#3
Cal Raleigh
|
7.3 | 9.9 | 0.204 | 0.400 | 0.329 | 0.729 | 0.298 | 0.055 |
|
#4
Luke Raley
|
7.4 | 9.5 | 0.258 | 0.455 | 0.323 | 0.778 | 0.321 | 0.045 |
|
#5
Mitch Garver
|
6.4 | 8.8 | 0.178 | 0.364 | 0.351 | 0.716 | 0.291 | 0.044 |
| 6.3 | 8.3 | 0.192 | 0.293 | 0.323 | 0.617 | 0.256 | 0.030 | |
| 5.9 | 7.7 | 0.227 | 0.437 | 0.336 | 0.773 | 0.315 | 0.059 | |
|
#8
Ty France
|
4.9 | 6.5 | 0.234 | 0.381 | 0.372 | 0.753 | 0.308 | 0.033 |
|
#9
Josh Rojas
|
4.8 | 6.1 | 0.251 | 0.377 | 0.350 | 0.726 | 0.298 | 0.018 |
Twins Notable Injuries
- Chris Paddack OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/23/24. Impact: 4.8
Mariners Notable Injuries
- Bryan Woo OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/26/24. Impact: 6.7
- Gabe Speier OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 05/31/24. Impact: -0.1
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