Twins vs Mariners Game Breakdown
Twins
45W-37L
June 30, 2024
04:10PM EST
Odds: 7.0 o/u
Mariners
47W-38L
Get ready to dive into the thrill at T-Mobile Park where the Minnesota Twins are set to clash with the Seattle Mariners in a showdown that’s got everyone on the edge of their seats! With the Twins trying to bridge a seven-game gap and the Mariners holding their ground at the top of the American League, today’s 04:10 PM EST game promises not just swings and misses but strategic plays that could shift the standings. Fresh off a head-to-head where the Twins sailed to a victory with a 5-1 score, the Mariners are itching to flip the script under today’s overcast skies, mild winds, and a hint of chill in the air. With betting lines almost at a coin toss and the scoreboard expected to be on the leaner side, fans are buckling up for a game where every pitch counts. So, as the Mariners look to ‘twin’ this rematch and the Twins aim to ‘marinade’ their recent success, one thing’s for sure—this game is more than just bats and balls!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: June 30, 2024 04:10PM EST
Location: T-Mobile Park, Seattle
Weather: Overcast with winds from the N at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 62.1° with 84% humidity.
Vegas Odds
| MIN ML | SEA ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | -111 | -109 | 7.0 | -1.5/1.5 |
| Recent | -110 | -110 | 7.0 | -1.5/1.5 |
| Difference | +1 | -1 | 0 | – |
Team Performance
52.4% Win Probability
47.6% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06/24 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 1 | Under | -3.0 | |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 3 | ||||
| 05/07/24 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 10 | Over | +9.0 | |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 6 | ||||
| 05/08/24 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 3 | Over | +2.0 | |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 6 | ||||
| 05/09/24 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 1 | Over | +5.0 | |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 11 | ||||
| 06/28/24 | Minnesota Twins MIN | 2 | Under | -2.0 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 3 | ||||
| 06/29/24 | Minnesota Twins MIN | 5 | Under | -1.0 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 1 | ||||
| 07/17/23 | Minnesota Twins MIN | 6 | Over | +6.0 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 7 | ||||
| 07/18/23 | Minnesota Twins MIN | 10 | Over | +6.0 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 3 | ||||
| 07/19/23 | Minnesota Twins MIN | 6 | Over | +2.0 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 3 | ||||
| 07/20/23 | Minnesota Twins MIN | 0 | Under | -2.0 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 5 | ||||
| 07/24/23 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 3 | Push | -0.0 | |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 4 | ||||
| 07/25/23 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 9 | Over | +9.0 | |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 7 | ||||
| 07/26/23 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 8 | Over | +8.0 | |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 7 |
Twins Vs Over/Under
Mariners Vs Over/Under
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-25-24 | @ARI | 4-5L | 6.0 | 6 | 4 | 5 | Over |
| 06-19-24 | vsTB | 3-2L | 6.0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | Under |
| 06-13-24 | vsOAK | 2-6W | 7.0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | Over |
| 06-07-24 | @PIT | 0-3L | 7.0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | Under |
| 06-01-24 | @HOU | 2-5L | 5.0 | 8 | 5 | 4 | Push |
| 05-27-24 | vsKC | 5-6W | 7.0 | 4 | 1 | 9 | Over |
| 05-21-24 | @WAS | 10-0W | 7.0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | Over |
| 05-16-24 | vsNYY | 5-0L | 5.3 | 6 | 4 | 5 | Under |
| 05-10-24 | @TOR | 3-2W | 7.0 | 6 | 1 | 7 | Under |
| 05-05-24 | vsBOS | 9-2L | 6.0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | Over |
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-25-24 | @TB | 3-11L | 5.3 | 5 | 4 | 4 | Over |
| 06-20-24 | @CLE | 3-6L | 5.0 | 8 | 5 | 4 | Over |
| 06-14-24 | vsTEX | 2-3W | 6.0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | Under |
| 06-08-24 | @KC | 4-8L | 5.0 | 6 | 5 | 4 | Over |
| 06-02-24 | vsLAA | 1-5W | 7.0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | Under |
| 05-28-24 | vsHOU | 2-4W | 6.0 | 5 | 2 | 6 | Under |
| 05-23-24 | @NYY | 0-5L | 5.0 | 7 | 2 | 3 | Under |
| 05-18-24 | @BAL | 4-3W | 6.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | Push |
| 05-12-24 | vsOAK | 4-8W | 6.0 | 7 | 2 | 8 | Over |
| 05-06-24 | @MIN | 1-3L | 6.7 | 3 | 3 | 7 | Under |
Twins Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/01 | vs SEA | 5-1W | 10 | 1 | Under |
| 06/30 | vs SEA | 2-3L | 6 | 1 | Under |
| 06/29 | vs ARI | 13-6W | 13 | 1 | Over |
| 06/28 | vs ARI | 8-3W | 14 | 1 | Over |
| 06/27 | vs ARI | 4-5L | 6 | 2 | Over |
| 06/25 | vs OAK | 3-0W | 6 | 1 | Under |
| 06/24 | vs OAK | 10-2W | 16 | 1 | Over |
| 06/23 | vs OAK | 5-6L | 10 | 2 | Over |
| 06/22 | @ TB | 6-7L | 10 | 3 | Over |
| 06/21 | @ TB | 2-3L | 9 | 1 | Under |
| 06/20 | @ TB | 7-6W | 13 | 1 | Over |
| 06/18 | @ OAK | 6-2W | 12 | 4 | Over |
| 06/18 | @ OAK | 8-7W | 14 | 3 | Over |
| 06/16 | @ OAK | 6-5W | 10 | 1 | Over |
| 06/15 | @ OAK | 6-2W | 13 | 1 | Over |
Mariners Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/01 | @ MIN | 1-5L | 6 | 1 | Under |
| 06/30 | @ MIN | 3-2W | 5 | 0 | Under |
| 06/28 | vs TB | 5-2W | 5 | 1 | Push |
| 06/27 | vs TB | 3-11L | 6 | 2 | Over |
| 06/26 | vs TB | 3-4L | 3 | 2 | Push |
| 06/25 | vs MIA | 4-6L | 7 | 1 | Over |
| 06/24 | vs MIA | 9-0W | 15 | 1 | Over |
| 06/23 | vs MIA | 2-3L | 6 | 0 | Under |
| 06/22 | vs CLE | 3-6L | 5 | 1 | Over |
| 06/21 | vs CLE | 0-8L | 3 | 0 | Over |
| 06/20 | vs CLE | 8-5W | 11 | 3 | Over |
| 06/18 | @ TEX | 5-0W | 6 | 1 | Under |
| 06/17 | @ TEX | 7-5W | 7 | 2 | Over |
| 06/16 | @ TEX | 3-2W | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 06/15 | @ CWS | 2-3L | 3 | 2 | Under |
Team’s Batting Order
| Minnesota Twins | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPS | wOBA | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
#1
Willi Castro
|
7.5 | 9.8 | 0.273 | 0.453 | 0.405 | 0.858 | 0.346 | 0.024 |
| 6.7 | 8.8 | 0.311 | 0.502 | 0.432 | 0.934 | 0.373 | 0.037 | |
| 6.9 | 9.0 | 0.250 | 0.421 | 0.329 | 0.750 | 0.308 | 0.043 | |
|
#4
Royce Lewis
|
7.5 | 10.0 | 0.289 | 0.699 | 0.398 | 1.096 | 0.437 | 0.120 |
| 6.6 | 8.7 | 0.257 | 0.448 | 0.373 | 0.821 | 0.333 | 0.045 | |
|
#6
Byron Buxton
|
7.0 | 9.2 | 0.265 | 0.469 | 0.341 | 0.810 | 0.333 | 0.038 |
|
#7
Max Kepler
|
6.9 | 9.1 | 0.250 | 0.417 | 0.333 | 0.750 | 0.309 | 0.029 |
|
#8
Ryan Jeffers
|
5.8 | 7.8 | 0.232 | 0.465 | 0.368 | 0.833 | 0.338 | 0.057 |
| 4.9 | 6.4 | 0.267 | 0.371 | 0.362 | 0.733 | 0.301 | 0.010 |
| Seattle Mariners | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPS | wOBA | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.8 | 9.0 | 0.214 | 0.362 | 0.358 | 0.721 | 0.294 | 0.031 | |
| 8.2 | 10.4 | 0.248 | 0.329 | 0.320 | 0.650 | 0.270 | 0.021 | |
|
#3
Cal Raleigh
|
7.2 | 9.8 | 0.202 | 0.393 | 0.332 | 0.725 | 0.296 | 0.053 |
|
#4
Mitch Garver
|
6.3 | 8.6 | 0.172 | 0.353 | 0.345 | 0.698 | 0.285 | 0.043 |
|
#5
Luke Raley
|
6.5 | 8.3 | 0.257 | 0.450 | 0.322 | 0.772 | 0.319 | 0.045 |
|
#6
Ty France
|
5.6 | 7.4 | 0.231 | 0.372 | 0.364 | 0.737 | 0.302 | 0.032 |
| 5.8 | 7.5 | 0.195 | 0.299 | 0.322 | 0.621 | 0.258 | 0.029 | |
| 5.0 | 6.6 | 0.220 | 0.423 | 0.325 | 0.748 | 0.306 | 0.057 | |
|
#9
Josh Rojas
|
4.9 | 6.2 | 0.258 | 0.384 | 0.354 | 0.738 | 0.303 | 0.017 |
Twins Notable Injuries
- Chris Paddack OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/23/24. Impact: 4.8
Mariners Notable Injuries
- Bryan Woo OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/26/24. Impact: 6.7
- Gabe Speier OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 05/31/24. Impact: -0.1
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