Twins vs Mariners Game Breakdown

Get ready to dive into the thrill at T-Mobile Park where the Minnesota Twins are set to clash with the Seattle Mariners in a showdown that’s got everyone on the edge of their seats! With the Twins trying to bridge a seven-game gap and the Mariners holding their ground at the top of the American League, today’s 04:10 PM EST game promises not just swings and misses but strategic plays that could shift the standings. Fresh off a head-to-head where the Twins sailed to a victory with a 5-1 score, the Mariners are itching to flip the script under today’s overcast skies, mild winds, and a hint of chill in the air. With betting lines almost at a coin toss and the scoreboard expected to be on the leaner side, fans are buckling up for a game where every pitch counts. So, as the Mariners look to ‘twin’ this rematch and the Twins aim to ‘marinade’ their recent success, one thing’s for sure—this game is more than just bats and balls!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: June 30, 2024 04:10PM EST

Location: T-Mobile Park, Seattle

Weather: Overcast with winds from the N at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 62.1° with 84% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIN ML	SEA ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-111	-109	7.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-110	-110	7.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+1	-1	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

126W-158L

52.4% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

158W-118L

47.6% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/06/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	1	Under	-3.0
05/06/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	3	Under	-3.0
05/07/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	10	Over	+9.0
05/07/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	6	Over	+9.0
05/08/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Over	+2.0
05/08/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	6	Over	+2.0
05/09/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	1	Over	+5.0
05/09/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	11	Over	+5.0
06/28/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-2.0
06/28/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Under	-2.0
06/29/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	5	Under	-1.0
06/29/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	1	Under	-1.0
07/17/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	6	Over	+6.0
07/17/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	7	Over	+6.0
07/18/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	10	Over	+6.0
07/18/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Over	+6.0
07/19/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	6	Over	+2.0
07/19/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Over	+2.0
07/20/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	0	Under	-2.0
07/20/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	5	Under	-2.0
07/24/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Push	-0.0
07/24/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	4	Push	-0.0
07/25/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	9	Over	+9.0
07/25/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	7	Over	+9.0
07/26/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	8	Over	+8.0
07/26/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	7	Over	+8.0

Twins Vs Over/Under

Mariners Vs Over/Under

Joe Ryan

ERA 3.398 | IP 98.0 | 5.0W-5.0L | KO 100.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-25-24	@ARI	4-5L	6.0	6	4	5	Over
06-19-24	vsTB	3-2L	6.0	6	1	5	Under
06-13-24	vsOAK	2-6W	7.0	3	2	5	Over
06-07-24	@PIT	0-3L	7.0	2	2	8	Under
06-01-24	@HOU	2-5L	5.0	8	5	4	Push
05-27-24	vsKC	5-6W	7.0	4	1	9	Over
05-21-24	@WAS	10-0W	7.0	3	0	6	Over
05-16-24	vsNYY	5-0L	5.3	6	4	5	Under
05-10-24	@TOR	3-2W	7.0	6	1	7	Under
05-05-24	vsBOS	9-2L	6.0	4	3	5	Over

Luis Castillo

ERA 3.883 | IP 99.7 | 6.0W-9.0L | KO 100.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-25-24	@TB	3-11L	5.3	5	4	4	Over
06-20-24	@CLE	3-6L	5.0	8	5	4	Over
06-14-24	vsTEX	2-3W	6.0	4	2	7	Under
06-08-24	@KC	4-8L	5.0	6	5	4	Over
06-02-24	vsLAA	1-5W	7.0	2	0	6	Under
05-28-24	vsHOU	2-4W	6.0	5	2	6	Under
05-23-24	@NYY	0-5L	5.0	7	2	3	Under
05-18-24	@BAL	4-3W	6.0	4	2	2	Push
05-12-24	vsOAK	4-8W	6.0	7	2	8	Over
05-06-24	@MIN	1-3L	6.7	3	3	7	Under

Twins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/01	vs SEA	5-1W	10	1	Under
06/30	vs SEA	2-3L	6	1	Under
06/29	vs ARI	13-6W	13	1	Over
06/28	vs ARI	8-3W	14	1	Over
06/27	vs ARI	4-5L	6	2	Over
06/25	vs OAK	3-0W	6	1	Under
06/24	vs OAK	10-2W	16	1	Over
06/23	vs OAK	5-6L	10	2	Over
06/22	@ TB	6-7L	10	3	Over
06/21	@ TB	2-3L	9	1	Under
06/20	@ TB	7-6W	13	1	Over
06/18	@ OAK	6-2W	12	4	Over
06/18	@ OAK	8-7W	14	3	Over
06/16	@ OAK	6-5W	10	1	Over
06/15	@ OAK	6-2W	13	1	Over

Mariners Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/01	@ MIN	1-5L	6	1	Under
06/30	@ MIN	3-2W	5	0	Under
06/28	vs TB	5-2W	5	1	Push
06/27	vs TB	3-11L	6	2	Over
06/26	vs TB	3-4L	3	2	Push
06/25	vs MIA	4-6L	7	1	Over
06/24	vs MIA	9-0W	15	1	Over
06/23	vs MIA	2-3L	6	0	Under
06/22	vs CLE	3-6L	5	1	Over
06/21	vs CLE	0-8L	3	0	Over
06/20	vs CLE	8-5W	11	3	Over
06/18	@ TEX	5-0W	6	1	Under
06/17	@ TEX	7-5W	7	2	Over
06/16	@ TEX	3-2W	8	1	Under
06/15	@ CWS	2-3L	3	2	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Minnesota Twins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Willi Castro	7.5	9.8	0.273	0.453	0.405	0.858	0.346	0.024
#2 Carlos Correa	6.7	8.8	0.311	0.502	0.432	0.934	0.373	0.037
#3 Trevor Larnach	6.9	9.0	0.250	0.421	0.329	0.750	0.308	0.043
#4 Royce Lewis	7.5	10.0	0.289	0.699	0.398	1.096	0.437	0.120
#5 Carlos Santana	6.6	8.7	0.257	0.448	0.373	0.821	0.333	0.045
#6 Byron Buxton	7.0	9.2	0.265	0.469	0.341	0.810	0.333	0.038
#7 Max Kepler	6.9	9.1	0.250	0.417	0.333	0.750	0.309	0.029
#8 Ryan Jeffers	5.8	7.8	0.232	0.465	0.368	0.833	0.338	0.057
#9 Austin Martin	4.9	6.4	0.267	0.371	0.362	0.733	0.301	0.010

Seattle Mariners	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 J.P. Crawford	6.8	9.0	0.214	0.362	0.358	0.721	0.294	0.031
#2 Julio Rodriguez	8.2	10.4	0.248	0.329	0.320	0.650	0.270	0.021
#3 Cal Raleigh	7.2	9.8	0.202	0.393	0.332	0.725	0.296	0.053
#4 Mitch Garver	6.3	8.6	0.172	0.353	0.345	0.698	0.285	0.043
#5 Luke Raley	6.5	8.3	0.257	0.450	0.322	0.772	0.319	0.045
#6 Ty France	5.6	7.4	0.231	0.372	0.364	0.737	0.302	0.032
#7 Jorge Polanco	5.8	7.5	0.195	0.299	0.322	0.621	0.258	0.029
#8 Dominic Canzone	5.0	6.6	0.220	0.423	0.325	0.748	0.306	0.057
#9 Josh Rojas	4.9	6.2	0.258	0.384	0.354	0.738	0.303	0.017

Twins Notable Injuries

Chris Paddack OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/23/24. Impact: 4.8

Mariners Notable Injuries

Bryan Woo OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/26/24. Impact: 6.7
Gabe Speier OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 05/31/24. Impact: -0.1