Twins vs Rays Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some sizzling MLB action as the Minnesota Twins, boasting a solid 73-62 record, roll into the dome of Tropicana Field to clash with the Tampa Bay Rays, who are sitting at a 67-68 season score. The stakes are high with the Twins looking to close a 3.5-game gap in the American League, while the Rays are battling to overcome a 10.5-game deficit. With the first pitch scheduled for 06:50 PM EST, the betting lines are tight, both teams locked at -110, and the over/under teasing at 8.0. Fresh off their respective last games, the Twins are riding the wave of a recent win, and the Rays are hungry to bounce back from a narrow loss. As the weather promises a partly cloudy sky with a gentle breeze, tonight’s game is expected to be as heated as the Florida humidity. So, as the Twins aim to plant their flag and the Rays look to shine, let’s see which team can truly “twin” it or “rays” their game!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 02, 2024 06:50PM EST

Location: Tropicana Field, Tampa Bay

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the SSE at 6.9 mph. Temperature is at 86.5° with 80% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIN ML	TB ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-110	-110	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-113	-107	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-3	+3	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

138W-168L

53.1% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

189W-123L

46.9% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
06/18/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	6	Over	+5.0
06/18/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	7	Over	+5.0
06/19/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	3	Under	-3.0
06/19/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-3.0
06/20/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	7	Over	+5.0
06/20/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	6	Over	+5.0
06/06/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	0	Under	-1.0
06/06/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	7	Under	-1.0
06/07/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-5.0
06/07/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	2	Under	-5.0
06/08/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-2.0
06/08/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	4	Under	-2.0
09/11/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	7	Over	+3.0
09/11/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	4	Over	+3.0
09/12/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	2	Under	-3.0
09/12/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	3	Under	-3.0
09/13/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	5	Over	+1.0
09/13/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	4	Over	+1.0

Twins Vs Over/Under

Rays Vs Over/Under

S. Woods

ERA 3.846 | IP 117.0 | 5.0W-3.0L | KO 102.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-27-24	vsATL	8-6L	4.7	3	4	3	Over
08-21-24	@SD	11-4W	5.0	3	1	7	Over
08-16-24	@TEX	4-3W	5.0	3	2	1	Under
08-10-24	vsCLE	2-1L	7.0	4	2	7	Under
08-04-24	vsCWS	7-13W	4.0	6	3	6	Over
07-29-24	@NYM	2-15L	3.3	7	6	2	Over
07-23-24	vsPHI	3-0L	6.0	3	0	5	Under
07-13-24	@SF	4-2W	4.3	7	2	7	Under
07-07-24	vsHOU	2-3W	6.0	3	2	4	Under
07-02-24	vsDET	3-5W	5.7	4	3	4	Push

Zack Littell

ERA 3.817 | IP 129.7 | 5.0W-8.0L | KO 116.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-14-24	vsHOU	2-1L	5.0	1	1	3	Under
08-09-24	vsBAL	4-1L	5.0	8	3	5	Under
08-03-24	@HOU	6-1W	5.7	4	1	3	Under
07-27-24	vsCIN	0-4W	7.0	3	0	5	Under
07-22-24	@NYY	1-9L	5.7	9	5	6	Over
07-13-24	vsCLE	4-2L	6.0	6	2	3	Under
07-07-24	@TEX	2-13L	4.0	9	7	5	Over
07-02-24	@KC	5-1W	5.0	4	0	4	Under
06-25-24	vsSEA	3-11W	5.0	4	2	6	Over
06-20-24	@MIN	7-6W	5.0	5	2	5	Over

Twins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/03	@ TOR	4-3W	6	1	Under
09/02	@ TOR	0-15L	4	0	Over
09/01	@ TOR	2-0W	4	0	Under
08/30	@ ATL	1-5L	7	0	Under
08/29	@ ATL	6-8L	14	0	Over
08/28	@ ATL	6-10L	9	2	Over
08/27	@ STL	2-3L	6	1	Under
08/26	@ STL	6-0W	9	3	Under
08/25	@ STL	1-6L	5	0	Under
08/23	vs SD	11-4W	18	1	Over
08/22	vs SD	5-7L	13	1	Over
08/21	vs SD	3-5L	5	0	Push
08/20	vs TEX	5-6L	7	2	Over
08/19	vs TEX	5-2W	8	1	Under
08/18	vs TEX	4-3W	5	2	Under

Rays Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/03	@ SD	3-4L	4	0	Under
09/02	@ SD	11-4W	13	1	Over
09/01	@ SD	5-13L	10	1	Over
08/30	vs SEA	2-6L	6	1	Push
08/29	vs SEA	3-2W	8	2	Under
08/28	vs SEA	1-5L	2	1	Under
08/27	vs LAD	1-3L	5	1	Under
08/26	vs LAD	9-8W	15	2	Over
08/25	vs LAD	3-7L	8	2	Over
08/24	vs OAK	1-3L	6	0	Under
08/23	vs OAK	4-2W	7	1	Under
08/22	vs OAK	1-0W	3	1	Under
08/21	vs OAK	0-3L	2	0	Under
08/20	@ ARI	8-7W	11	1	Over
08/19	@ ARI	6-1W	13	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Minnesota Twins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Willi Castro	7.9	10.4	0.256	0.405	0.385	0.790	0.321	0.023
#2 Trevor Larnach	7.4	9.8	0.251	0.440	0.361	0.801	0.326	0.048
#3 Matt Wallner	8.0	10.8	0.265	0.578	0.469	1.048	0.409	0.068
#4 Royce Lewis	8.5	11.5	0.254	0.552	0.358	0.910	0.368	0.080
#5 Max Kepler	8.0	10.4	0.258	0.389	0.332	0.721	0.298	0.022
#6 Carlos Santana	6.6	8.7	0.238	0.419	0.373	0.792	0.321	0.042
#7 Brooks Lee	5.8	7.5	0.263	0.343	0.354	0.697	0.287	0.020
#8 Christian Vazquez	5.6	7.2	0.239	0.364	0.279	0.644	0.269	0.028
#9 Edouard Julien	5.5	7.2	0.216	0.349	0.367	0.716	0.291	0.032

Tampa Bay Rays	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Yandy Diaz	7.6	9.7	0.279	0.409	0.371	0.780	0.319	0.024
#2 Brandon Lowe	7.1	9.5	0.247	0.475	0.368	0.843	0.341	0.050
#3 Junior Caminero	7.6	9.8	0.262	0.462	0.385	0.846	0.341	0.046
#4 Josh Lowe	7.9	10.1	0.247	0.426	0.335	0.760	0.312	0.034
#5 Dylan Carlson	6.0	7.9	0.200	0.284	0.321	0.605	0.254	0.016
#6 Christopher Morel	6.8	9.0	0.193	0.341	0.343	0.683	0.281	0.041
#7 Ben Rortvedt	5.1	6.7	0.241	0.328	0.378	0.705	0.289	0.012
#8 Jose Caballero	5.8	7.5	0.229	0.363	0.311	0.674	0.280	0.024
#9 Jose Siri	5.7	7.6	0.191	0.369	0.291	0.660	0.274	0.046

Twins Notable Injuries

Joe Ryan OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/09/24. Impact: 7.6
Byron Buxton OUT (OF): Avg: 0.275 SLG:0.528 Last game: 08/14/24. Impact: 3.6
Manuel Margot OUT (OF): Avg: 0.246 SLG:0.344 Last game: 09/02/24. Impact: 1.8

Rays Notable Injuries

Zack Littell OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/16/24. Impact: 5.5
Pete Fairbanks OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/20/24. Impact: 1.0
Colin Poche OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/29/24. Impact: 0.6