Twins vs Rays Game Breakdown

Get ready to dive into the heart of the action as the Minnesota Twins, boasting a solid 74-62 record, storm into Tropicana Field to clash with the Tampa Bay Rays, who are sitting at 67-69 after their recent tangle. It’s a sunny showdown in St. Pete today, with the first pitch set to crack at 06:50 PM EST. The Twins are itching to close the gap in the American League, trailing by just 3.5 games, while the Rays are looking to make up ground, 11.5 games adrift. With the betting lines drawing a close call and the over/under poised at 7.5, today’s game promises a mix of strategy, sweat, and swings. Fresh off a narrow victory over the Rays just yesterday, the Twins are fired up. But don’t count out Tampa Bay; they’re eager to flip the script under the sunny skies with a slight breeze teasing the field. So, as the Twins try to double down and the Rays aim to shine brighter, let’s see who truly has the ‘twinning’ strategy or if it’ll be a day for the Rays to eclipse their rivals!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 03, 2024 06:50PM EST

Location: Tropicana Field, Tampa Bay

Weather: Sunny with winds from the SSE at 5.6 mph. Temperature is at 82.9° with 88% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIN ML	TB ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-103	-117	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	-108	-112	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-5	+5	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

139W-168L

51.9% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

189W-124L

48.1% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
06/18/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	6	Over	+5.5
06/18/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	7	Over	+5.5
06/19/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	3	Under	-2.5
06/19/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-2.5
06/20/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	7	Over	+5.5
06/20/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	6	Over	+5.5
09/02/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	5	Over	+1.5
09/02/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	4	Over	+1.5
06/06/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	0	Under	-0.5
06/06/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	7	Under	-0.5
06/07/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Under	-4.5
06/07/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	2	Under	-4.5
06/08/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-1.5
06/08/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	4	Under	-1.5
09/11/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	7	Over	+3.5
09/11/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	4	Over	+3.5
09/12/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	2	Under	-2.5
09/12/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	3	Under	-2.5
09/13/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	5	Over	+1.5
09/13/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	4	Over	+1.5

Twins Vs Over/Under

Rays Vs Over/Under

David Festa

ERA 4.89 | IP 42.3 | 2.0W-4.0L | KO 51.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-28-24	vsATL	5-1L	6.0	2	2	7	Under
08-23-24	vsSTL	6-1L	3.7	3	3	5	Under
08-17-24	@TEX	5-2W	5.0	6	2	6	Under
08-11-24	vsCLE	5-3L	3.3	3	1	3	Over
08-05-24	@CHC	3-0W	5.0	2	0	9	Under
07-30-24	@NYM	0-2L	5.0	3	2	6	Under
07-24-24	vsPHI	4-5W	4.3	4	1	7	Over
07-03-24	vsDET	9-2L	5.0	9	7	6	Over
06-27-24	@ARI	13-6W	5.0	7	5	2	Over

Jeffrey Springs

ERA 3.667 | IP 27.0 | 1.0W-2.0L | KO 33.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-27-24	@SEA	3-2W	5.0	1	0	9	Under
08-22-24	@OAK	1-3L	3.3	7	3	3	Under
08-17-24	vsARI	1-6W	5.0	4	1	7	Under
08-11-24	vsBAL	1-2W	5.0	6	1	8	Under
08-06-24	@STL	3-4L	5.0	6	4	3	Under
07-30-24	vsMIA	3-9W	3.7	6	2	3	Over
04-13-23	vsBOS	3-9W	3.0	1	1	5	Over
04-08-23	vsOAK	0-11W	7.0	3	0	7	Over
04-02-23	vsDET	1-5W	6.0	0	0	12	Under
10-04-22	vsBOS	1-5W	3.0	2	1	3	Under

Twins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/04	vs TB	5-4W	10	2	Over
09/03	@ TOR	4-3W	6	1	Under
09/02	@ TOR	0-15L	4	0	Over
09/01	@ TOR	2-0W	4	0	Under
08/30	@ ATL	1-5L	7	0	Under
08/29	@ ATL	6-8L	14	0	Over
08/28	@ ATL	6-10L	9	2	Over
08/27	@ STL	2-3L	6	1	Under
08/26	@ STL	6-0W	9	3	Under
08/25	@ STL	1-6L	5	0	Under
08/23	vs SD	11-4W	18	1	Over
08/22	vs SD	5-7L	13	1	Over
08/21	vs SD	3-5L	5	0	Over
08/20	vs TEX	5-6L	7	2	Over
08/19	vs TEX	5-2W	8	1	Under

Rays Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/04	@ MIN	4-5L	10	1	Over
09/03	@ SD	3-4L	4	0	Under
09/02	@ SD	11-4W	13	1	Over
09/01	@ SD	5-13L	10	1	Over
08/30	vs SEA	2-6L	6	1	Over
08/29	vs SEA	3-2W	8	2	Under
08/28	vs SEA	1-5L	2	1	Under
08/27	vs LAD	1-3L	5	1	Under
08/26	vs LAD	9-8W	15	2	Over
08/25	vs LAD	3-7L	8	2	Over
08/24	vs OAK	1-3L	6	0	Under
08/23	vs OAK	4-2W	7	1	Under
08/22	vs OAK	1-0W	3	1	Under
08/21	vs OAK	0-3L	2	0	Under
08/20	@ ARI	8-7W	11	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Minnesota Twins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Willi Castro	7.4	9.7	0.256	0.404	0.386	0.790	0.321	0.023
#2 Ryan Jeffers	7.6	10.2	0.239	0.469	0.364	0.834	0.339	0.058
#3 Jose Miranda	7.0	9.0	0.302	0.472	0.370	0.842	0.345	0.025
#4 Royce Lewis	7.9	10.7	0.259	0.556	0.361	0.917	0.370	0.078
#5 Carlos Santana	6.7	8.9	0.236	0.415	0.369	0.784	0.318	0.041
#6 Kyle Farmer	5.7	7.7	0.189	0.299	0.317	0.616	0.258	0.012
#7 Brooks Lee	5.7	7.4	0.272	0.388	0.359	0.748	0.306	0.029
#8 Austin Martin	5.3	6.9	0.249	0.340	0.344	0.684	0.283	0.005

Tampa Bay Rays	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Yandy Diaz	7.9	10.1	0.276	0.405	0.367	0.772	0.316	0.024
#2 Brandon Lowe	8.0	10.6	0.247	0.470	0.365	0.836	0.339	0.049
#3 Junior Caminero	8.0	10.3	0.275	0.478	0.406	0.884	0.354	0.043
#4 Josh Lowe	8.2	10.5	0.251	0.427	0.337	0.764	0.313	0.034
#5 Dylan Carlson	6.6	8.7	0.202	0.285	0.326	0.611	0.256	0.016
#6 Christopher Morel	6.9	9.2	0.194	0.340	0.342	0.682	0.280	0.041
#7 Ben Rortvedt	4.7	6.2	0.241	0.331	0.376	0.706	0.289	0.012
#8 Jose Caballero	6.1	7.9	0.229	0.363	0.311	0.674	0.280	0.024
#9 Jose Siri	5.4	7.2	0.191	0.369	0.291	0.660	0.274	0.046

Twins Notable Injuries

Joe Ryan OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/09/24. Impact: 7.6
Byron Buxton OUT (OF): Avg: 0.275 SLG:0.528 Last game: 08/14/24. Impact: 3.6
Manuel Margot OUT (OF): Avg: 0.246 SLG:0.344 Last game: 09/02/24. Impact: 1.8

Rays Notable Injuries

Pete Fairbanks OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/20/24. Impact: 1.0
Colin Poche OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/29/24. Impact: 0.6