Twins vs Rays Game Breakdown
Twins
74W-63L
September 04, 2024
06:50PM EST
Odds: 8.5 o/u
Rays
68W-69L
Get ready for a sizzling showdown at Tropicana Field where the Minnesota Twins, boasting a solid 74-63 record, are set to clash with the Tampa Bay Rays, who are trying to climb up from a 68-69 stance. Tonight’s game, kicking off at a breezy 06:50 PM EST, is more than just a regular matchup; it’s a battle of wills in the American League conference, with the Twins looking to close a 4.5-game gap and the Rays desperate to make up an 11.5-game deficit. With the stakes high and the betting lines tight (Twins at -115 and Rays at -105), and an over/under that’s teasing at 8.5, expect every pitch to count. Adding to the drama is the moody overcast sky, swirling winds, and a humidity that makes each swing feel like a swim. After their recent nail-biter where the Rays edged out the Twins 2-1, tonight’s rematch promises revenge and rivalry, making it a must-watch. So, as these teams prepare to battle it out, let’s see if the Twins can ‘twin’ their way to victory or if the Rays have another ‘bright’ strategy up their sleeves!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: September 04, 2024 06:50PM EST
Location: Tropicana Field, Tampa Bay
Weather: Overcast with winds from the ENE at 12.5 mph. Temperature is at 82.9° with 94% humidity.
Vegas Odds
| MIN ML | TB ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | -115 | -105 | 8.5 | -1.5/1.5 |
| Recent | -113 | -107 | 8.0 | -1.5/1.5 |
| Difference | +2 | -2 | -0.5 | – |
Team Performance
53.1% Win Probability
46.9% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/18/24 | Tampa Bay Rays TB | 6 | Over | +4.5 | ![]() |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 7 | ||||
| 06/19/24 | Tampa Bay Rays TB | 3 | Under | -3.5 | ![]() |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 2 | ||||
| 06/20/24 | Tampa Bay Rays TB | 7 | Over | +4.5 | ![]() |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 6 | ||||
| 09/02/24 | Minnesota Twins MIN | 5 | Over | +0.5 | ![]() |
| Tampa Bay Rays TB | 4 | ||||
| 09/03/24 | Minnesota Twins MIN | 1 | Under | -5.5 | ![]() |
| Tampa Bay Rays TB | 2 | ||||
| 06/06/23 | Minnesota Twins MIN | 0 | Under | -1.5 | ![]() |
| Tampa Bay Rays TB | 7 | ||||
| 06/07/23 | Minnesota Twins MIN | 1 | Under | -5.5 | ![]() |
| Tampa Bay Rays TB | 2 | ||||
| 06/08/23 | Minnesota Twins MIN | 2 | Under | -2.5 | ![]() |
| Tampa Bay Rays TB | 4 | ||||
| 09/11/23 | Tampa Bay Rays TB | 7 | Over | +2.5 | ![]() |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 4 | ||||
| 09/12/23 | Tampa Bay Rays TB | 2 | Under | -3.5 | ![]() |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 3 | ||||
| 09/13/23 | Tampa Bay Rays TB | 5 | Over | +0.5 | ![]() |
| Minnesota Twins MIN | 4 |
Twins Vs Over/Under
Rays Vs Over/Under
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-14-24 | vsKC | 4-1L | 6.0 | 8 | 3 | 3 | Under |
| 08-09-24 | vsCLE | 3-6W | 4.7 | 8 | 3 | 4 | Over |
| 06-16-24 | vsOAK | 7-8W | 4.3 | 5 | 2 | 4 | Over |
| 06-11-24 | vsCOL | 5-4L | 5.0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | Over |
| 04-21-24 | vsDET | 6-1L | 2.7 | 3 | 4 | 2 | Under |
| 04-15-24 | @BAL | 4-7L | 5.0 | 11 | 6 | 6 | Over |
| 04-09-24 | vsLAD | 6-3L | 5.0 | 7 | 6 | 6 | Over |
| 04-02-24 | @MIL | 2-3L | 4.0 | 6 | 3 | 4 | Under |
| 09-28-23 | vsOAK | 2-1L | 1.7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Under |
| 09-24-23 | vsLAA | 3-9W | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | Over |
| 09-02-24 | @TB | 5-4W | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Over |
| 08-28-24 | vsATL | 5-1L | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Under |
| 08-26-24 | vsATL | 10-6L | 2.0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | Over |
| 08-21-24 | @SD | 11-4W | 1.0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | Over |
| 08-20-24 | @SD | 5-7L | 0.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | Over |
| 08-17-24 | @TEX | 5-2W | 2.0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | Under |
| 07-23-24 | vsPHI | 3-0L | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Under |
| 06-26-24 | @ARI | 8-3W | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Over |
| 04-22-24 | vsCWS | 0-7W | 2.0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | Under |
| 10-01-22 | vsDET | 0-7W | 3.0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | Under |
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-28-24 | @SEA | 2-6L | 4.3 | 5 | 5 | 4 | Push |
| 08-23-24 | @LAD | 3-7L | 4.3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | Over |
| 08-18-24 | vsARI | 7-8W | 5.7 | 5 | 3 | 5 | Over |
| 08-10-24 | vsBAL | 7-5L | 4.7 | 6 | 1 | 3 | Over |
| 08-04-24 | @HOU | 1-0W | 4.3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | Under |
| 07-30-24 | vsMIA | 3-9W | 2.3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | Over |
| 07-23-24 | @TOR | 4-2W | 3.0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | Under |
| 05-30-24 | vsOAK | 5-6W | 4.7 | 7 | 4 | 7 | Over |
| 05-24-24 | vsKC | 8-1L | 5.0 | 11 | 8 | 4 | Over |
| 05-17-24 | @TOR | 4-3W | 7.3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | Under |
| 09-01-24 | vsSD | 4-3L | 2.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | Under |
| 08-12-24 | vsHOU | 6-1L | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Under |
| 05-07-24 | @STL | 7-5L | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | Over |
| 04-13-24 | @KC | 11-7L | 1.7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | Over |
| 04-09-24 | @ATL | 5-6W | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Over |
| 04-08-24 | @ATL | 8-7L | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | Over |
| 07-30-23 | @SEA | 4-0L | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | Under |
| 04-03-23 | @SD | 4-5W | 1.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Over |
| 04-01-23 | @LAD | 1-10W | 2.0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | Over |
| 03-30-23 | @LAD | 2-8W | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | Over |
Twins Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05 | vs TB | 1-2L | 6 | 1 | Under |
| 09/04 | vs TB | 5-4W | 10 | 2 | Over |
| 09/03 | @ TOR | 4-3W | 6 | 1 | Under |
| 09/02 | @ TOR | 0-15L | 4 | 0 | Over |
| 09/01 | @ TOR | 2-0W | 4 | 0 | Under |
| 08/30 | @ ATL | 1-5L | 7 | 0 | Under |
| 08/29 | @ ATL | 6-8L | 14 | 0 | Over |
| 08/28 | @ ATL | 6-10L | 9 | 2 | Over |
| 08/27 | @ STL | 2-3L | 6 | 1 | Under |
| 08/26 | @ STL | 6-0W | 9 | 3 | Under |
| 08/25 | @ STL | 1-6L | 5 | 0 | Under |
| 08/23 | vs SD | 11-4W | 18 | 1 | Over |
| 08/22 | vs SD | 5-7L | 13 | 1 | Over |
| 08/21 | vs SD | 3-5L | 5 | 0 | Push |
| 08/20 | vs TEX | 5-6L | 7 | 2 | Over |
Rays Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05 | @ MIN | 2-1W | 6 | 0 | Under |
| 09/04 | @ MIN | 4-5L | 10 | 1 | Over |
| 09/03 | @ SD | 3-4L | 4 | 0 | Under |
| 09/02 | @ SD | 11-4W | 13 | 1 | Over |
| 09/01 | @ SD | 5-13L | 10 | 1 | Over |
| 08/30 | vs SEA | 2-6L | 6 | 1 | Push |
| 08/29 | vs SEA | 3-2W | 8 | 2 | Under |
| 08/28 | vs SEA | 1-5L | 2 | 1 | Under |
| 08/27 | vs LAD | 1-3L | 5 | 1 | Under |
| 08/26 | vs LAD | 9-8W | 15 | 2 | Over |
| 08/25 | vs LAD | 3-7L | 8 | 2 | Over |
| 08/24 | vs OAK | 1-3L | 6 | 0 | Under |
| 08/23 | vs OAK | 4-2W | 7 | 1 | Under |
| 08/22 | vs OAK | 1-0W | 3 | 1 | Under |
| 08/21 | vs OAK | 0-3L | 2 | 0 | Under |
Team’s Batting Order
| Minnesota Twins | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPS | wOBA | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
#1
Willi Castro
|
8.0 | 10.5 | 0.254 | 0.401 | 0.382 | 0.783 | 0.319 | 0.022 |
| 7.2 | 9.6 | 0.251 | 0.447 | 0.366 | 0.814 | 0.330 | 0.051 | |
|
#3
Jose Miranda
|
7.9 | 10.2 | 0.299 | 0.466 | 0.366 | 0.832 | 0.342 | 0.025 |
|
#4
Matt Wallner
|
7.3 | 9.8 | 0.261 | 0.562 | 0.458 | 1.020 | 0.400 | 0.065 |
|
#5
Royce Lewis
|
8.9 | 12.0 | 0.258 | 0.550 | 0.359 | 0.909 | 0.368 | 0.077 |
| 6.4 | 8.4 | 0.239 | 0.424 | 0.374 | 0.797 | 0.323 | 0.043 | |
|
#7
Brooks Lee
|
6.2 | 8.0 | 0.262 | 0.374 | 0.346 | 0.720 | 0.296 | 0.028 |
| 6.5 | 8.5 | 0.221 | 0.351 | 0.369 | 0.721 | 0.293 | 0.032 | |
| 5.6 | 7.2 | 0.235 | 0.359 | 0.279 | 0.637 | 0.267 | 0.028 |
| Tampa Bay Rays | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPS | wOBA | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
#1
Yandy Diaz
|
8.7 | 11.1 | 0.276 | 0.405 | 0.367 | 0.772 | 0.316 | 0.024 |
|
#2
Brandon Lowe
|
8.5 | 11.3 | 0.244 | 0.464 | 0.360 | 0.825 | 0.335 | 0.049 |
| 8.6 | 11.1 | 0.274 | 0.466 | 0.397 | 0.863 | 0.347 | 0.041 | |
|
#4
Josh Lowe
|
8.8 | 11.3 | 0.252 | 0.426 | 0.341 | 0.767 | 0.314 | 0.033 |
| 7.0 | 9.3 | 0.202 | 0.285 | 0.326 | 0.611 | 0.256 | 0.016 | |
| 7.5 | 9.9 | 0.194 | 0.339 | 0.341 | 0.680 | 0.280 | 0.041 | |
|
#7
Ben Rortvedt
|
5.4 | 7.1 | 0.241 | 0.331 | 0.376 | 0.706 | 0.289 | 0.012 |
| 7.0 | 9.0 | 0.227 | 0.360 | 0.308 | 0.668 | 0.278 | 0.023 | |
|
#9
Jose Siri
|
5.8 | 7.7 | 0.190 | 0.366 | 0.293 | 0.659 | 0.274 | 0.045 |
Twins Notable Injuries
- Joe Ryan OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/09/24. Impact: 7.6
- Byron Buxton OUT (OF): Avg: 0.275 SLG:0.528 Last game: 08/14/24. Impact: 3.6
- Manuel Margot OUT (OF): Avg: 0.246 SLG:0.344 Last game: 09/02/24. Impact: 1.8
Rays Notable Injuries
- Pete Fairbanks OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/20/24. Impact: 1.0
- Colin Poche OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/29/24. Impact: 0.6
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