Mets vs Diamondbacks Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown in the desert tonight as the New York Mets, with a record of 69 wins and 63 losses, storm into Chase Field to face the 75-win Arizona Diamondbacks under the starlit, partly cloudy skies of Phoenix. It’s a late-night clash set for 09:40 PM EST, where the stakes are high in the National League rankings, with the Mets trying to claw back from 8.5 games down and the D-backs just a short sprint away at 3 games from the top. With the betting lines buzzing and the over/under teasing at 8.5, this match-up promises to be as hot as the 89-degree Arizona evening. Fresh off their respective last games where fortunes were flipped—the Mets celebrating an 8-3 victory and the D-backs nursing a 3-8 bruise—both teams are gearing up for a rematch that could shift the scales. So, as the winds whip lightly from the east, fans should brace for a game where the Mets might just try to ‘snake’ a win from the Diamondbacks’ grip!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: August 28, 2024 09:40PM EST

Location: Chase Field, Arizona

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the ESE at 8.1 mph. Temperature is at 89.1° with 33% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	NYM ML	ARI ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+108	-130	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+107	-128	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-1	+2	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

142W-161L

48.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

151W-151L

51.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/30/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	2	Under	-3.5
05/30/24	New York Mets NYM	3	Under	-3.5
05/31/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	9	Over	+10.5
05/31/24	New York Mets NYM	10	Over	+10.5
06/01/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	10	Over	+6.5
06/01/24	New York Mets NYM	5	Over	+6.5
06/02/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	5	Over	+0.5
06/02/24	New York Mets NYM	4	Over	+0.5
08/27/24	New York Mets NYM	8	Over	+2.5
08/27/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	3	Over	+2.5
07/04/23	New York Mets NYM	8	Over	+4.5
07/04/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	5	Over	+4.5
07/05/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-5.5
07/05/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	1	Under	-5.5
07/06/23	New York Mets NYM	9	Over	+0.5
07/06/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	0	Over	+0.5
09/11/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	4	Under	-1.5
09/11/23	New York Mets NYM	3	Under	-1.5
09/12/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	4	Over	+2.5
09/12/23	New York Mets NYM	7	Over	+2.5
09/13/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	1	Under	-0.5
09/13/23	New York Mets NYM	7	Under	-0.5
09/14/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	1	Over	+3.5
09/14/23	New York Mets NYM	11	Over	+3.5

Mets Vs Over/Under

Diamondbacks Vs Over/Under

Luis Severino

ERA 4.023 | IP 147.7 | 9.0W-6.0L | KO 122.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-22-24	@SD	8-3W	5.0	5	1	5	Over
08-17-24	vsMIA	0-4W	9.0	4	0	8	Under
08-11-24	@SEA	1-12L	5.0	6	4	8	Over
08-06-24	@COL	3-6L	5.0	8	5	5	Push
07-31-24	vsMIN	8-3L	3.0	6	6	2	Over
07-25-24	vsATL	2-3W	5.0	7	2	6	Under
07-20-24	@MIA	1-0W	6.0	2	0	7	Under
07-10-24	vsWAS	2-6W	6.3	4	2	4	Under
07-05-24	@PIT	2-14L	6.0	9	7	3	Over
06-30-24	vsHOU	10-5L	7.0	8	4	3	Over

Eduardo Rodriguez

ERA 3.938 | IP 16.0 | 2.0W-0.0L | KO 11.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-20-24	@MIA	3-1W	5.3	6	1	5	Under
08-13-24	vsCOL	3-4W	5.0	6	3	5	Under
08-07-24	@CLE	5-3W	5.7	4	3	1	Under
10-01-23	@CLE	2-5W	7.0	4	2	5	Under
09-24-23	@OAK	2-0L	7.0	5	0	5	Under
09-18-23	@LAD	3-8W	3.0	5	5	1	Over
09-13-23	@CIN	4-3L	5.3	4	4	5	Under
09-07-23	@NYY	10-3L	6.0	4	3	4	Over
09-01-23	@CWS	4-2L	6.7	6	1	7	Under
08-26-23	@HOU	9-2L	4.7	5	4	1	Over

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/29	vs ARI	8-3W	13	1	Over
08/27	vs SD	2-3L	7	2	Under
08/26	vs SD	7-1W	5	3	Under
08/25	vs SD	0-7L	2	0	Under
08/24	vs SD	8-3W	17	0	Over
08/23	@ BAL	4-3W	8	3	Under
08/22	@ BAL	5-9L	5	1	Over
08/21	@ BAL	4-3W	6	2	Under
08/20	@ MIA	2-3L	9	1	Under
08/19	@ MIA	4-0W	7	2	Under
08/18	@ MIA	7-3W	10	2	Over
08/17	@ OAK	6-7L	9	2	Over
08/16	@ OAK	9-1W	11	2	Over
08/15	@ OAK	4-9L	9	0	Over
08/13	vs SEA	1-12L	6	1	Over

Diamondbacks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/29	@ NYM	3-8L	7	2	Over
08/27	vs BOS	7-5W	10	2	Over
08/26	vs BOS	4-1W	6	0	Under
08/25	vs BOS	12-2W	16	1	Over
08/23	vs MIA	10-7W	12	2	Over
08/22	vs MIA	3-1W	4	2	Under
08/21	vs MIA	9-6W	8	3	Over
08/20	vs TB	7-8L	10	2	Over
08/19	vs TB	1-6L	5	0	Under
08/18	vs TB	4-5L	9	1	Push
08/16	@ COL	11-4W	9	1	Over
08/15	@ COL	4-3W	9	0	Under
08/14	@ COL	4-4L	8	0	Under
08/13	@ PHI	12-5W	18	1	Over
08/12	@ PHI	11-1W	15	4	Over

Team’s Batting Order

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Francisco Lindor	8.6	11.3	0.268	0.487	0.374	0.861	0.349	0.050
#2 Mark Vientos	8.4	11.1	0.283	0.556	0.368	0.924	0.375	0.069
#3 Pete Alonso	8.1	10.7	0.245	0.467	0.376	0.843	0.340	0.054
#4 Brandon Nimmo	7.6	10.2	0.232	0.414	0.403	0.816	0.327	0.039
#5 Starling Marte	7.3	9.4	0.274	0.406	0.346	0.752	0.309	0.026
#6 J.D. Martinez	7.4	9.9	0.251	0.439	0.381	0.820	0.332	0.041
#7 Jose Iglesias	6.4	8.2	0.315	0.457	0.401	0.858	0.350	0.019
#8 Francisco Alvarez	5.3	7.0	0.236	0.382	0.330	0.712	0.293	0.026
#9 Harrison Bader	5.8	7.5	0.248	0.378	0.322	0.699	0.291	0.027

Arizona Diamondbacks	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Corbin Carroll	9.5	12.5	0.223	0.402	0.354	0.756	0.307	0.032
#2 Jake McCarthy	8.8	11.4	0.298	0.447	0.413	0.860	0.347	0.024
#3 Joc Pederson	8.1	10.9	0.282	0.536	0.487	1.023	0.397	0.065
#4 Josh Bell	7.4	9.7	0.245	0.412	0.349	0.762	0.312	0.038
#5 Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	6.8	8.8	0.276	0.427	0.336	0.763	0.315	0.034
#6 Adrian Del Castillo	6.0	8.1	0.341	0.591	0.477	1.068	0.420	0.068
#7 Eugenio Suarez	6.0	8.1	0.231	0.425	0.339	0.764	0.313	0.044
#8 Luis Guillorme	4.7	6.0	0.212	0.285	0.336	0.620	0.257	0.000
#9 Geraldo Perdomo	5.3	6.9	0.286	0.402	0.385	0.786	0.321	0.013

Mets Notable Injuries

Paul Blackburn OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/25/24. Impact: 4.8

Diamondbacks Notable Injuries

Ketel Marte OUT (2B): Avg: 0.297 SLG:0.555 Last game: 08/20/24. Impact: 3.1
Christian Walker OUT (1B): Avg: 0.255 SLG:0.48 Last game: 07/31/24. Impact: 2.2
Gabriel Moreno OUT (C): Avg: 0.266 SLG:0.391 Last game: 08/07/24. Impact: 3.3
Bryce Jarvis OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/01/24. Impact: 1.2