Mets vs Braves Game Breakdown & Projections – Mon, Apr 8th 2024

Alright, sports junkies, buckle up for a thrilling showdown under the partly cloudy Georgia skies as our 3W-6L Amazin’ Mets pack their bags and hustle down to Truist Park, ready to take a swing at the 6W-2L Braves, who are sittin’ pretty at the top of the National League conference. The Mets, trailing by 3.5 games, are coming in hot off a 3-1 victory against the Reds and are eager to close that gap. Meanwhile, the Braves, fresh off a 5-2 triumph over the Diamondbacks, are geared up to defend their turf at 07:20PM EST. With the over/under set at 9.5 and the betting lines favoring the Braves at -225 (sorry, Mets fans, your boys are at 185), it’s going to be a nail-biter. So, whether you’re a die-hard Mets fan hoping for a ‘miracle’, or a Braves supporter ready to do the ‘tomahawk chop’, tonight’s game promises to be a real ‘Metropolitan’ showdown where only the ‘Bravest’ will prevail.

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 08, 2024 07:20PM EST

Location: Truist Park, Atlanta

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the SE at 5.6 mph. Temperature is at 66.0° with 56% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	NYM ML	ATL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+185	-225	9.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+174	-214	10.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-11	+11	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

110W-132L

36.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

149W-92L

63.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/28/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Under	-5.5
04/28/23	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-5.5
08/12/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	21	Over	+14.5
08/12/23	New York Mets NYM	3	Over	+14.5
05/01/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	3	Under	-1.5
05/01/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Under	-1.5
05/01/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	9	Over	+7.5
05/01/23	New York Mets NYM	8	Over	+7.5
06/06/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Over	+0.5
06/06/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+0.5
06/07/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Over	+2.5
06/07/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Over	+2.5
06/08/23	New York Mets NYM	10	Over	+13.5
06/08/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	13	Over	+13.5
08/11/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Under	-2.5
08/11/23	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-2.5
08/12/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Under	-3.5
08/12/23	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-3.5
08/13/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+3.5
08/13/23	New York Mets NYM	7	Over	+3.5
08/21/23	New York Mets NYM	10	Over	+4.5
08/21/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Over	+4.5
08/22/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-4.5
08/22/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	3	Under	-4.5
08/23/23	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-2.5
08/23/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Under	-2.5

Mets Vs Over/Under

Braves Vs Over/Under

Julio Teheran

ERA 4.395 | IP 71.7 | 3.0W-5.0L | KO 50.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-28-23	@STL	0-3W	4.0	1	0	4	Under
09-24-23	@MIA	1-6W	3.0	6	2	2	Under
09-21-23	@STL	6-0L	2.0	1	0	0	Under
07-29-23	@ATL	5-11W	5.0	11	9	4	Over
07-23-23	@ATL	4-2L	6.0	3	1	5	Under
07-18-23	@PHI	3-4W	4.7	7	4	3	Under
07-03-23	@CHC	6-8W	6.0	9	6	7	Over
06-27-23	vsNYM	2-7W	5.7	7	7	2	Under
06-21-23	@ARI	5-1L	5.0	2	0	3	Under
06-16-23	@PIT	4-5W	6.0	1	2	4	Under

Charlie Morton

ERA 3.637 | IP 163.3 | 14.0W-12.0L | KO 183.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-01-24	@CWS	9-0W	5.7	3	0	6	Under
09-22-23	@WAS	9-6W	1.0	0	0	1	Over
09-17-23	@MIA	2-16L	4.7	6	6	5	Over
09-11-23	@PHI	10-8W	6.0	6	4	9	Over
09-03-23	@LAD	1-3L	4.0	6	2	3	Under
08-29-23	@COL	3-1W	6.0	3	1	8	Under
08-23-23	vsNYM	0-7W	7.0	2	0	11	Under
08-16-23	vsNYY	0-2W	6.0	4	0	10	Under
08-11-23	@NYM	7-0W	5.0	3	0	4	Under
08-06-23	@CHC	4-6L	4.3	4	5	4	Push

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/09	vs CIN	3-1W	9	1	Under
04/08	vs CIN	6-9L	11	0	Over
04/07	vs CIN	3-2W	4	1	Under
04/06	@ DET	2-1W	3	1	Under
04/06	@ DET	3-6L	6	0	Under
04/03	@ DET	0-5L	5	0	Under
04/02	@ MIL	1-4L	7	0	Under
04/01	@ MIL	6-7L	12	3	Over
03/31	@ MIL	1-3L	1	1	Under
10/04	@ MIA	1-2L	5	0	Under
10/03	@ PHI	1-9L	2	1	Push
10/02	@ PHI	4-3W	5	1	Under
10/02	@ PHI	11-4W	9	3	Over
09/29	@ MIA	11-2W	12	3	Over
09/29	@ MIA	2-4L	6	2	Under

Braves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/09	@ ARI	5-2W	7	3	Under
04/08	@ ARI	9-8W	15	1	Over
04/07	@ ARI	6-5W	12	1	Over
04/04	vs CWS	2-3L	5	2	Under
04/03	vs CWS	9-0W	11	1	Under
04/02	vs PHI	4-5L	7	1	Under
04/01	vs PHI	12-4W	19	4	Over
03/31	vs PHI	9-3W	13	0	Over
10/03	@ WAS	9-10L	11	2	Over
10/02	@ WAS	5-3W	11	1	Under
10/01	@ WAS	6-10L	17	0	Over
09/30	@ CHC	5-3W	6	1	Under
09/29	@ CHC	6-5W	9	2	Over
09/28	@ CHC	7-6W	8	2	Over
09/26	vs WAS	8-5W	10	2	Over

Team’s Batting Order

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Brandon Nimmo	9.9	12.9	0.275	0.469	41.8%	88.6%	4.1%
#2 Francisco Lindor	8.4	11.2	0.254	0.472	38.5%	85.6%	5.2%
#3 Pete Alonso	8.6	11.7	0.218	0.506	36.8%	87.4%	8.1%
#4 Francisco Alvarez	7.8	10.5	0.208	0.438	31.1%	74.9%	6.6%
#5 Brett Baty	6.5	8.5	0.214	0.326	30.0%	62.6%	2.6%
#6 Starling Marte	7.0	8.8	0.248	0.324	32.4%	64.8%	1.6%
#7 Tyrone Taylor	6.7	8.9	0.234	0.446	28.1%	72.7%	4.3%
#8 Jeff McNeil	6.1	7.8	0.27	0.378	36.6%	74.4%	1.7%
#9 Harrison Bader	5.4	7.0	0.232	0.35	29.6%	64.6%	2.2%

Atlanta Braves	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Ronald Acuna Jr.	12.6	16.3	0.34	0.599	47.9%	107.8%	6.4%
#2 Ozzie Albies	10.5	13.9	0.28	0.515	37.2%	88.7%	5.6%
#3 Austin Riley	9.7	12.8	0.28	0.517	38.8%	90.5%	5.9%
#4 Matt Olson	10.9	14.8	0.283	0.604	46.2%	106.6%	8.9%
#5 Marcell Ozuna	9.2	12.3	0.276	0.565	39.0%	95.4%	7.6%
#6 Michael Harris II	9.4	12.0	0.293	0.478	35.3%	83.1%	3.6%
#7 Orlando Arcia	7.6	10.0	0.267	0.424	35.3%	77.7%	3.5%
#8 Travis d’Arnaud	7.0	9.3	0.224	0.388	31.6%	70.3%	3.8%
#9 Jarred Kelenic	7.0	9.1	0.253	0.418	36.7%	78.5%	3.0%

Mets Notable Injuries

Tylor Megill OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 04/02/24. Impact: 5.9

Braves Notable Injuries

Spencer Strider OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 04/07/24. Impact: 8.2
Sean Murphy OUT (C): Avg: 0.251 SLG:0.478 Last game: 03/31/24. Impact: 1.4