Mets vs Braves Game Breakdown & Projections – Mon, Apr 8th 2024

thefield
April 8, 2024
New York Mets

Mets

3W-6L

New York Mets

April 08, 2024

07:20PM EST

Odds: 9.5 o/u

Braves

6W-2L

Atlanta Braves
Atlanta Braves

Alright, sports junkies, buckle up for a thrilling showdown under the partly cloudy Georgia skies as our 3W-6L Amazin’ Mets pack their bags and hustle down to Truist Park, ready to take a swing at the 6W-2L Braves, who are sittin’ pretty at the top of the National League conference. The Mets, trailing by 3.5 games, are coming in hot off a 3-1 victory against the Reds and are eager to close that gap. Meanwhile, the Braves, fresh off a 5-2 triumph over the Diamondbacks, are geared up to defend their turf at 07:20PM EST. With the over/under set at 9.5 and the betting lines favoring the Braves at -225 (sorry, Mets fans, your boys are at 185), it’s going to be a nail-biter. So, whether you’re a die-hard Mets fan hoping for a ‘miracle’, or a Braves supporter ready to do the ‘tomahawk chop’, tonight’s game promises to be a real ‘Metropolitan’ showdown where only the ‘Bravest’ will prevail.

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 08, 2024 07:20PM EST
Location: Truist Park, Atlanta
Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the SE at 5.6 mph. Temperature is at 66.0° with 56% humidity.

Vegas Odds

NYM ML ATL ML Over/Under Line
Open +185 -225 9.5 1.5/-1.5
Recent +174 -214 10.0 1.5/-1.5
Difference -11 +11 +0.5 –

Team Performance

nym Team Logo
LAST 10
3W-7L
AWAY
110W-132L

36.5% Win Probability

atl Team Logo
LAST 10
7W-3L
HOME
149W-92L

63.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date Runs O/U O/U DIFF ATS
04/28/23 Atlanta Braves ATL 4 Under -5.5
New York Mets NYM 0
08/12/23 Atlanta Braves ATL 21 Over +14.5
New York Mets NYM 3
05/01/23 Atlanta Braves ATL 3 Under -1.5
New York Mets NYM 5
05/01/23 Atlanta Braves ATL 9 Over +7.5
New York Mets NYM 8
06/06/23 New York Mets NYM 4 Over +0.5
Atlanta Braves ATL 6
06/07/23 New York Mets NYM 5 Over +2.5
Atlanta Braves ATL 7
06/08/23 New York Mets NYM 10 Over +13.5
Atlanta Braves ATL 13
08/11/23 Atlanta Braves ATL 7 Under -2.5
New York Mets NYM 0
08/12/23 Atlanta Braves ATL 6 Under -3.5
New York Mets NYM 0
08/13/23 Atlanta Braves ATL 6 Over +3.5
New York Mets NYM 7
08/21/23 New York Mets NYM 10 Over +4.5
Atlanta Braves ATL 4
08/22/23 New York Mets NYM 2 Under -4.5
Atlanta Braves ATL 3
08/23/23 New York Mets NYM 0 Under -2.5
Atlanta Braves ATL 7

Mets Vs Over/Under

Braves Vs Over/Under

Julio Teheran
Julio Teheran
ERA 4.395 | IP 71.7 | 3.0W-5.0L | KO 50.0
Date Matchup Result IP Hits Runs KO Over
09-28-23 @STL 0-3W 4.0 1 0 4 Under
09-24-23 @MIA 1-6W 3.0 6 2 2 Under
09-21-23 @STL 6-0L 2.0 1 0 0 Under
07-29-23 @ATL 5-11W 5.0 11 9 4 Over
07-23-23 @ATL 4-2L 6.0 3 1 5 Under
07-18-23 @PHI 3-4W 4.7 7 4 3 Under
07-03-23 @CHC 6-8W 6.0 9 6 7 Over
06-27-23 vsNYM 2-7W 5.7 7 7 2 Under
06-21-23 @ARI 5-1L 5.0 2 0 3 Under
06-16-23 @PIT 4-5W 6.0 1 2 4 Under
Charlie Morton
Charlie Morton
ERA 3.637 | IP 163.3 | 14.0W-12.0L | KO 183.0
Date Matchup Result IP Hits Runs KO Over
04-01-24 @CWS 9-0W 5.7 3 0 6 Under
09-22-23 @WAS 9-6W 1.0 0 0 1 Over
09-17-23 @MIA 2-16L 4.7 6 6 5 Over
09-11-23 @PHI 10-8W 6.0 6 4 9 Over
09-03-23 @LAD 1-3L 4.0 6 2 3 Under
08-29-23 @COL 3-1W 6.0 3 1 8 Under
08-23-23 vsNYM 0-7W 7.0 2 0 11 Under
08-16-23 vsNYY 0-2W 6.0 4 0 10 Under
08-11-23 @NYM 7-0W 5.0 3 0 4 Under
08-06-23 @CHC 4-6L 4.3 4 5 4 Push

Mets Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Hits HR O/U
04/09 vs CIN 3-1W 9 1 Under
04/08 vs CIN 6-9L 11 0 Over
04/07 vs CIN 3-2W 4 1 Under
04/06 @ DET 2-1W 3 1 Under
04/06 @ DET 3-6L 6 0 Under
04/03 @ DET 0-5L 5 0 Under
04/02 @ MIL 1-4L 7 0 Under
04/01 @ MIL 6-7L 12 3 Over
03/31 @ MIL 1-3L 1 1 Under
10/04 @ MIA 1-2L 5 0 Under
10/03 @ PHI 1-9L 2 1 Push
10/02 @ PHI 4-3W 5 1 Under
10/02 @ PHI 11-4W 9 3 Over
09/29 @ MIA 11-2W 12 3 Over
09/29 @ MIA 2-4L 6 2 Under

Braves Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Hits HR O/U
04/09 @ ARI 5-2W 7 3 Under
04/08 @ ARI 9-8W 15 1 Over
04/07 @ ARI 6-5W 12 1 Over
04/04 vs CWS 2-3L 5 2 Under
04/03 vs CWS 9-0W 11 1 Under
04/02 vs PHI 4-5L 7 1 Under
04/01 vs PHI 12-4W 19 4 Over
03/31 vs PHI 9-3W 13 0 Over
10/03 @ WAS 9-10L 11 2 Over
10/02 @ WAS 5-3W 11 1 Under
10/01 @ WAS 6-10L 17 0 Over
09/30 @ CHC 5-3W 6 1 Under
09/29 @ CHC 6-5W 9 2 Over
09/28 @ CHC 7-6W 8 2 Over
09/26 vs WAS 8-5W 10 2 Over

Team’s Batting Order

New York Mets DK FD AVG SLG OBP OPP HR/Rate
#1 Brandon Nimmo
9.9 12.9 0.275 0.469 41.8% 88.6% 4.1%
#2 Francisco Lindor
8.4 11.2 0.254 0.472 38.5% 85.6% 5.2%
#3 Pete Alonso
8.6 11.7 0.218 0.506 36.8% 87.4% 8.1%
#4 Francisco Alvarez
7.8 10.5 0.208 0.438 31.1% 74.9% 6.6%
#5 Brett Baty
6.5 8.5 0.214 0.326 30.0% 62.6% 2.6%
#6 Starling Marte
7.0 8.8 0.248 0.324 32.4% 64.8% 1.6%
#7 Tyrone Taylor
6.7 8.9 0.234 0.446 28.1% 72.7% 4.3%
#8 Jeff McNeil
6.1 7.8 0.27 0.378 36.6% 74.4% 1.7%
#9 Harrison Bader
5.4 7.0 0.232 0.35 29.6% 64.6% 2.2%
Atlanta Braves DK FD AVG SLG OBP OPP HR/Rate
#1 Ronald Acuna Jr.
12.6 16.3 0.34 0.599 47.9% 107.8% 6.4%
#2 Ozzie Albies
10.5 13.9 0.28 0.515 37.2% 88.7% 5.6%
#3 Austin Riley
9.7 12.8 0.28 0.517 38.8% 90.5% 5.9%
#4 Matt Olson
10.9 14.8 0.283 0.604 46.2% 106.6% 8.9%
#5 Marcell Ozuna
9.2 12.3 0.276 0.565 39.0% 95.4% 7.6%
#6 Michael Harris II
9.4 12.0 0.293 0.478 35.3% 83.1% 3.6%
#7 Orlando Arcia
7.6 10.0 0.267 0.424 35.3% 77.7% 3.5%
#8 Travis d’Arnaud
7.0 9.3 0.224 0.388 31.6% 70.3% 3.8%
#9 Jarred Kelenic
7.0 9.1 0.253 0.418 36.7% 78.5% 3.0%

Mets Notable Injuries

  • Tylor Megill OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 04/02/24. Impact: 5.9

Braves Notable Injuries

  • Spencer Strider OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 04/07/24. Impact: 8.2
  • Sean Murphy OUT (C): Avg: 0.251 SLG:0.478 Last game: 03/31/24. Impact: 1.4
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