Mets vs Braves Game Breakdown

Get ready to light up the scoreboard tonight as the New York Mets roll into Truist Park, ready to clash with the Atlanta Braves in a showdown that’s teeming with playoff implications. With the Mets biting at the heels of the conference lead and the Braves not far behind, every pitch, hit, and run in this 07:20 PM EST start could shuffle the deck of the National League standings. Both teams are coming in hot off recent wins, and with the betting lines buzzing and an over/under that promises some action, fans are in for a treat. The weather gods are playing ball too, offering up a perfect blend of partly cloudy skies and a gentle breeze, ideal for some major league magic. So, as the Mets try to ‘Met-a-morphose’ their season and the Braves swing for ‘Brave’ new heights, tonight’s game is set to be a classic battle of wills.

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 24, 2024 07:20PM EST

Location: Truist Park, Atlanta

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the SW at 4.3 mph. Temperature is at 75.0° with 82% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	NYM ML	ATL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+119	-142	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+117	-140	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-2	+2	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

149W-165L

46.1% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

188W-125L

53.9% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/08/24	New York Mets NYM	8	Over	+7.0
04/08/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Over	+7.0
04/09/24	New York Mets NYM	5	Over	+3.0
04/09/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+3.0
04/11/24	New York Mets NYM	16	Over	+12.0
04/11/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Over	+12.0
05/10/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Under	-2.0
05/10/24	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-2.0
05/11/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Under	-3.0
05/11/24	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-3.0
05/12/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	3	Under	-1.0
05/12/24	New York Mets NYM	4	Under	-1.0
07/25/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	2	Under	-3.0
07/25/24	New York Mets NYM	3	Under	-3.0
07/26/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Over	+4.0
07/26/24	New York Mets NYM	8	Over	+4.0
07/27/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Under	-4.0
07/27/24	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-4.0
07/28/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	9	Over	+3.0
07/28/24	New York Mets NYM	2	Over	+3.0
04/28/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Under	-4.0
04/28/23	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-4.0
08/12/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	21	Over	+16.0
08/12/23	New York Mets NYM	3	Over	+16.0
05/01/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	3	Push	-0.0
05/01/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Push	-0.0
05/01/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	9	Over	+9.0
05/01/23	New York Mets NYM	8	Over	+9.0
06/06/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Over	+2.0
06/06/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+2.0
06/07/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Over	+4.0
06/07/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Over	+4.0
06/08/23	New York Mets NYM	10	Over	+15.0
06/08/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	13	Over	+15.0
08/11/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Under	-1.0
08/11/23	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-1.0
08/12/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Under	-2.0
08/12/23	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-2.0
08/13/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+5.0
08/13/23	New York Mets NYM	7	Over	+5.0
08/21/23	New York Mets NYM	10	Over	+6.0
08/21/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Over	+6.0
08/22/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-3.0
08/22/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	3	Under	-3.0
08/23/23	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-1.0
08/23/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Under	-1.0

Mets Vs Over/Under

Braves Vs Over/Under

Luis Severino

ERA 3.944 | IP 178.0 | 11.0W-6.0L | KO 156.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-19-24	vsPHI	6-10W	6.0	5	3	7	Over
09-14-24	@PHI	4-6L	6.0	3	3	5	Over
09-08-24	vsCIN	3-1L	6.7	5	1	8	Under
09-02-24	vsBOS	1-4W	7.0	6	1	5	Under
08-28-24	@ARI	5-8L	4.7	8	4	9	Over
08-22-24	@SD	8-3W	5.0	5	1	5	Over
08-17-24	vsMIA	0-4W	9.0	4	0	8	Under
08-11-24	@SEA	1-12L	5.0	6	4	8	Over
08-06-24	@COL	3-6L	5.0	8	5	5	Over
07-31-24	vsMIN	8-3L	3.0	6	6	2	Over

S. Schwellenbach

ERA 3.611 | IP 109.7 | 7.0W-7.0L | KO 118.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-18-24	@CIN	7-1W	6.0	5	1	5	Push
09-13-24	vsLAD	2-6W	6.0	4	2	6	Push
09-07-24	vsTOR	9-5L	5.0	10	6	3	Over
09-01-24	@PHI	2-3L	5.7	5	2	2	Under
08-27-24	@MIN	8-6W	4.7	5	0	8	Over
08-22-24	vsPHI	2-3W	6.7	3	2	9	Under
08-16-24	@LAA	2-3L	5.0	4	3	8	Under
08-11-24	@COL	8-9L	6.0	6	2	7	Over
08-02-24	vsMIA	3-5W	7.0	6	3	10	Push
07-27-24	@NYM	4-0W	7.0	2	0	11	Under

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/24	@ PHI	2-1W	7	1	Under
09/24	@ PHI	2-1W	7	1	Under
09/23	@ PHI	6-3W	9	2	Over
09/22	@ PHI	2-12L	4	1	Over
09/21	@ PHI	10-6W	11	4	Over
09/20	@ WAS	10-0W	11	2	Over
09/19	@ WAS	10-1W	14	3	Over
09/18	@ WAS	2-1W	6	0	Under
09/17	vs PHI	1-2L	7	1	Under
09/16	vs PHI	4-6L	9	0	Over
09/15	vs PHI	11-3W	14	4	Over
09/13	vs TOR	6-2W	4	2	Push
09/12	vs TOR	2-6L	6	0	Push
09/11	vs TOR	3-2W	3	0	Under
09/10	@ CIN	1-3L	4	0	Under

Braves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/24	vs MIA	5-4W	11	2	Over
09/24	vs MIA	5-4W	11	2	Over
09/23	vs MIA	6-2W	14	3	Push
09/22	vs MIA	3-4L	9	2	Under
09/21	vs CIN	15-3W	18	6	Over
09/20	vs CIN	7-1W	10	2	Push
09/19	vs CIN	5-6L	12	3	Over
09/18	@ LAD	0-9L	4	0	Over
09/17	@ LAD	2-9L	4	0	Over
09/16	@ LAD	10-1W	10	0	Over
09/15	@ LAD	6-2W	10	2	Push
09/13	vs WAS	1-5L	6	0	Under
09/12	vs WAS	12-0W	15	4	Over
09/11	@ CIN	0-1L	2	0	Under
09/10	@ TOR	4-3W	8	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jose Iglesias	7.8	9.8	0.333	0.455	0.402	0.858	0.351	0.016
#2 Brandon Nimmo	8.5	11.4	0.229	0.413	0.391	0.804	0.323	0.042
#3 Pete Alonso	8.5	11.4	0.239	0.461	0.375	0.836	0.338	0.056
#4 Jesse Winker	6.7	8.8	0.259	0.413	0.429	0.842	0.336	0.033
#5 Starling Marte	7.3	9.4	0.268	0.388	0.354	0.742	0.304	0.022
#6 Francisco Alvarez	6.3	8.4	0.235	0.406	0.341	0.747	0.306	0.038
#7 Mark Vientos	6.6	8.7	0.271	0.522	0.361	0.882	0.359	0.064
#8 Harrison Bader	5.8	7.6	0.238	0.377	0.313	0.690	0.287	0.031
#9 Luisangel Acuna	5.0	6.4	0.375	0.781	0.406	1.188	0.484	0.094

Atlanta Braves	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Michael Harris II	9.5	12.2	0.263	0.419	0.320	0.739	0.306	0.036
#2 Ozzie Albies	8.1	10.6	0.249	0.405	0.323	0.728	0.301	0.026
#3 Marcell Ozuna	8.2	10.8	0.309	0.556	0.432	0.988	0.393	0.065
#4 Matt Olson	9.3	12.4	0.249	0.469	0.385	0.854	0.344	0.051
#5 Jorge Soler	7.5	10.0	0.242	0.443	0.393	0.836	0.336	0.044
#6 Ramon Laureano	6.7	8.6	0.256	0.432	0.335	0.767	0.316	0.038
#7 Travis d’Arnaud	6.1	8.1	0.234	0.414	0.334	0.748	0.308	0.041
#8 Gio Urshela	5.0	6.4	0.255	0.371	0.311	0.682	0.283	0.022
#9 Orlando Arcia	4.7	6.1	0.217	0.355	0.293	0.649	0.270	0.032

Mets Notable Injuries

Paul Blackburn OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/25/24. Impact: 4.8
Jeff McNeil OUT (2B/OF): Avg: 0.238 SLG:0.382 Last game: 09/08/24. Impact: 1.9
Dedniel Nunez OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/26/24. Impact: 1.8