Mets vs Cubs Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into the excitement as the New York Mets, trailing a bit in their conference, zoom into Wrigley Field to face the Chicago Cubs in a midday showdown that’s set to sizzle! With the Mets looking to claw back from a recent stumble and the Cubs flying high after their last victory, today’s game promises a clash that could shake up the standings. It’s a perfect day for baseball with the sun peeking through clouds, a gentle breeze from the south-southwest, and the crowd buzzing with anticipation. The stakes are as tantalizing as a Chicago-style hot dog, with the betting lines tipping slightly in favor of the home team. So, as the Cubs try to ‘bear’ down and the Mets ‘met-tle’ their resolve, who will come out on top in this epic battle of the big hitters?

Game Breakdown

Game Time: June 21, 2024 02:20PM EST

Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the SSW at 4.3 mph. Temperature is at 84.0° with 57% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	NYM ML	CHC ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+132	-158	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+126	-150	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-6	+8	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

125W-146L

44.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

138W-135L

55.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/29/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	3	Under	-4.0
04/29/24	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-4.0
04/30/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	2	Under	-2.0
04/30/24	New York Mets NYM	4	Under	-2.0
05/01/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	1	Under	-7.0
05/01/24	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-7.0
05/02/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	6	Over	+5.0
05/02/24	New York Mets NYM	7	Over	+5.0
05/23/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Over	+1.0
05/23/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	7	Over	+1.0
05/24/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-2.0
05/24/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	4	Under	-2.0
05/25/23	New York Mets NYM	10	Over	+3.0
05/25/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	1	Over	+3.0
08/07/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	2	Over	+5.0
08/07/23	New York Mets NYM	11	Over	+5.0
08/08/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	3	Under	-3.0
08/08/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-3.0
08/09/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	3	Under	-1.0
08/09/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Under	-1.0

Mets Vs Over/Under

Cubs Vs Over/Under

Jose Quintana

ERA 4.977 | IP 72.3 | 2.0W-5.0L | KO 50.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-15-24	vsSD	1-5W	6.0	2	1	6	Under
06-09-24	@PHI	6-5W	3.7	6	3	1	Over
06-02-24	vsARI	5-4L	4.0	4	3	4	Over
05-28-24	vsLAD	3-0L	6.0	8	3	3	Under
05-22-24	@CLE	3-6L	6.0	4	3	4	Over
05-16-24	@PHI	6-5W	5.3	4	2	4	Over
05-10-24	vsATL	4-2L	5.0	6	4	3	Under
05-03-24	@TB	8-10L	2.7	10	8	2	Over
04-28-24	vsSTL	2-4W	8.0	3	1	3	Under
04-22-24	@SF	2-5L	5.0	7	5	4	Under

Shota Imanaga

ERA 1.895 | IP 76.0 | 7.0W-1.0L | KO 78.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-15-24	vsSTL	1-5W	7.0	4	1	6	Under
06-09-24	@CIN	4-2W	6.7	5	2	7	Under
06-04-24	vsCWS	6-7W	4.3	7	5	6	Over
05-29-24	@MIL	6-10L	4.3	8	7	1	Over
05-18-24	vsPIT	0-1W	7.0	4	0	7	Under
05-13-24	@ATL	0-2L	5.0	7	0	8	Under
05-07-24	vsSD	2-3W	7.0	7	2	8	Under
05-01-24	@NYM	1-0W	7.0	3	0	7	Under
04-26-24	@BOS	7-1W	6.3	5	1	7	Over
04-20-24	vsMIA	3-5W	6.0	5	3	5	Over

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/21	vs TEX	3-5L	5	1	Over
06/20	vs TEX	7-6W	10	2	Over
06/19	vs TEX	14-2W	22	2	Over
06/18	@ SD	11-6W	14	3	Over
06/17	@ SD	5-1W	10	2	Under
06/16	@ SD	2-1W	4	0	Under
06/15	@ MIA	3-2W	3	1	Under
06/14	@ MIA	10-4W	14	3	Over
06/13	@ MIA	2-4L	4	0	Under
06/11	vs PHI	5-5L	7	0	Over
06/10	@ PHI	2-7L	10	0	Over
06/07	vs WAS	9-1W	11	3	Over
06/06	vs WAS	6-3W	13	2	Over
06/05	vs WAS	8-7W	13	1	Over
06/04	@ ARI	4-5L	5	0	Over

Cubs Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
06/21	@ SF	6-5W	11	2	Over
06/20	@ SF	5-2W	11	1	Under
06/19	@ SF	6-7L	10	2	Over
06/18	@ STL	1-2L	5	0	Under
06/17	@ STL	5-1W	9	1	Under
06/16	@ STL	0-3L	3	0	Under
06/15	vs TB	2-3L	3	0	Under
06/14	vs TB	4-3W	9	2	Under
06/13	vs TB	2-5L	10	1	Under
06/11	vs CIN	4-2W	11	0	Under
06/10	vs CIN	3-4L	10	0	Under
06/09	vs CIN	2-3L	6	1	Under
06/08	vs CIN	4-8L	5	2	Over
06/07	@ CWS	6-6L	8	1	Over
06/06	@ CWS	7-6W	8	2	Over

Team’s Batting Order

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Francisco Lindor	8.1	10.6	0.238	0.422	0.344	0.765	0.314	0.041
#2 Brandon Nimmo	7.5	10.1	0.240	0.411	0.419	0.829	0.332	0.035
#3 J.D. Martinez	8.0	10.5	0.276	0.489	0.391	0.879	0.355	0.046
#4 Pete Alonso	8.2	10.9	0.243	0.475	0.359	0.835	0.339	0.056
#5 Starling Marte	6.5	8.4	0.279	0.421	0.358	0.779	0.319	0.029
#6 Mark Vientos	6.6	8.6	0.305	0.533	0.400	0.933	0.376	0.057
#7 Francisco Alvarez	6.5	8.5	0.268	0.366	0.317	0.683	0.284	0.012
#8 Jose Iglesias	6.0	7.5	0.370	0.444	0.481	0.926	0.372	0.000
#9 Harrison Bader	5.3	6.8	0.264	0.378	0.338	0.716	0.297	0.020

Chicago Cubs	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Nico Hoerner	8.5	11.0	0.239	0.329	0.366	0.695	0.286	0.008
#2 Seiya Suzuki	8.8	11.5	0.267	0.450	0.382	0.832	0.337	0.042
#3 Cody Bellinger	8.3	10.8	0.263	0.432	0.354	0.786	0.322	0.037
#4 Christopher Morel	8.1	10.9	0.197	0.371	0.355	0.726	0.296	0.050
#5 Ian Happ	8.2	11.0	0.234	0.415	0.399	0.815	0.327	0.036
#6 Patrick Wisdom	7.7	10.3	0.200	0.400	0.347	0.747	0.305	0.040
#7 Dansby Swanson	7.2	9.5	0.214	0.371	0.321	0.692	0.285	0.036
#8 David Bote	6.0	7.5	0.316	0.368	0.368	0.737	0.305	0.000
#9 Miguel Amaya	5.9	7.6	0.190	0.268	0.275	0.542	0.230	0.013

Mets Notable Injuries

Luis Torrens OUT (C): Avg: 0.333 SLG:0.75 Last game: 06/19/24. Impact: 2.8

Cubs Notable Injuries

Ben Brown OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/10/24. Impact: 5.5
Jordan Wicks OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/16/24. Impact: 4.3
Mike Tauchman OUT (OF): Avg: 0.259 SLG:0.382 Last game: 06/19/24. Impact: 1.7
Keegan Thompson OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/20/24. Impact: 1.7