Mets vs Reds Game Breakdown & Projections – Fri, Apr 5th 2024

thefield
New York Mets

Mets

1W-5L

New York Mets

April 05, 2024

06:40PM EST

Odds: 4.5 o/u

Reds

4W-2L

Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati Reds

Hold onto your baseball caps, folks, because the struggling Mets are packing their bags and jetting off to the Queen City to duke it out with the red-hot Reds at the Great American Ball Park. With the first pitch set to fly at 6:40PM EST, the underdog Mets are looking to claw their way out of a 2.5-game hole in the National League, while the Reds are just a stone’s throw away from the top, trailing by only 1.5 games. The betting lines are buzzing with the over/under set at a lean 4.5, and the Reds are the favored choice with a line at -124, compared to the Mets’ optimistic 104. Both teams are fresh off a victory, the Reds having tamed the Phillies with a 4-1 score and the Mets edging out the Tigers 2-1. Tonight’s weather? A cool 43.0° with a dash of clouds, and a gentle wind from the northwest at 6.9 mph. High humidity at 89% might make the ball a bit slippery, but hey, that’s all part of the game. So, whether you’re a die-hard Mets fan hoping they’ll finally find their groove, or a Reds supporter ready for another victory lap, it’s clear we’re in for a game where, much like the city’s famous chili, the stakes are piled high and the heat is on. Get ready, because when the Mets meet the Reds, it’s not just a game, it’s a full-blown New York state of mind versus Cincinnati-style showdown!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 05, 2024 06:40PM EST
Location: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the NW at 6.9 mph. Temperature is at 43.0° with 89% humidity.

Vegas Odds

NYM ML CIN ML Over/Under Line
Open +104 -124 9.0 0.5/-0.5
Recent +107 -128 9.0 0.5/-0.5
Difference +3 -4 0

Team Performance

nym Team Logo
LAST 10
3W-7L
AWAY
108W-131L

48.3% Win Probability

cin Team Logo
LAST 10
5W-5L
HOME
114W-128L

51.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date Runs O/U O/U DIFF ATS
05/09/23 New York Mets NYM 6 Over +8.5
Cincinnati Reds CIN 7
05/10/23 New York Mets NYM 2 Under -1.5
Cincinnati Reds CIN 1
05/11/23 New York Mets NYM 0 Over +0.5
Cincinnati Reds CIN 5
09/15/23 Cincinnati Reds CIN 5 Over +3.5
New York Mets NYM 3
09/16/23 Cincinnati Reds CIN 3 Over +0.5
New York Mets NYM 2
09/17/23 Cincinnati Reds CIN 4 Over +7.5
New York Mets NYM 8

Mets Vs Over/Under

Reds Vs Over/Under

Michael Soroka
Jose Quintana
ERA 3.568 | IP 76 | 3W-6L | KO 60
Date Matchup Result IP Hits Runs KO Over
03-29-24 vsMIL 3-1L 4.7 6 2 4 Under
09-30-23 vsPHI 4-11W 4.0 7 4 5 Over
09-23-23 @PHI 5-7L 6.0 8 6 10 Over
09-17-23 vsCIN 4-8W 6.7 8 2 2 Over
09-11-23 vsARI 4-3L 5.0 5 2 4 Under
09-05-23 @WAS 11-5W 7.0 4 1 4 Over
08-29-23 vsTEX 2-1L 6.0 3 0 5 Under
08-23-23 @ATL 0-7L 5.3 9 5 5 Under
08-17-23 @STL 4-2W 6.0 3 2 5 Under
08-12-23 vsATL 6-0L 6.0 4 1 4 Under
Michael Soroka
Hunter Greene
ERA 4.821 | IP 112 | 4W-7L | KO 152
Date Matchup Result IP Hits Runs KO Over
03-30-24 vsWAS 7-6L 4.7 5 2 7 Over
10-01-23 @STL 3-4L 5.0 9 4 6 Under
09-26-23 @CLE 11-7W 3.0 8 7 3 Over
09-20-23 vsMIN 5-3L 7.0 3 1 14 Under
09-15-23 @NYM 5-3W 5.7 4 3 6 Under
09-10-23 vsSTL 1-7W 6.0 1 1 9 Under
08-30-23 @SF 4-1W 5.3 3 1 6 Under
08-25-23 @ARI 8-10L 3.7 5 5 4 Over
08-20-23 vsTOR 10-3L 3.0 10 9 4 Over
06-17-23 @HOU 10-3W 6.0 5 2 3 Over

Mets Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Hits HR O/U
04/06 @ DET 2-1W 3 1 Under
04/06 @ DET 3-6L 6 0 Push
04/03 @ DET 0-5L 5 0 Under
04/02 @ MIL 1-4L 7 0 Under
04/01 @ MIL 6-7L 12 3 Over
03/31 @ MIL 1-3L 1 1 Under
10/04 @ MIA 1-2L 5 0 Under
10/03 @ PHI 1-9L 2 1 Over
10/02 @ PHI 11-4W 9 3 Over
10/02 @ PHI 4-3W 5 1 Under
09/29 @ MIA 11-2W 12 3 Over
09/29 @ MIA 2-4L 6 2 Under
09/26 vs PHI 2-5L 3 1 Under
09/25 vs PHI 5-7L 9 0 Over
09/24 vs PHI 4-5L 8 2 Push

Reds Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Hits HR O/U
04/05 vs PHI 4-1W 6 0 Under
04/04 vs PHI 4-9L 8 0 Over
04/03 vs PHI 6-3W 8 1 Push
04/02 @ WAS 6-5W 14 2 Over
04/01 @ WAS 6-7L 10 2 Over
03/30 @ WAS 8-2W 10 2 Over
10/03 vs STL 3-4L 9 1 Under
10/02 vs STL 6-15L 14 2 Over
10/01 vs STL 19-2W 17 6 Over
09/29 vs CLE 3-4L 8 0 Under
09/28 vs CLE 11-7W 10 5 Over
09/26 @ PIT 4-2W 6 2 Under
09/25 @ PIT 12-13L 16 3 Over
09/24 @ PIT 5-7L 7 1 Over
09/22 @ MIN 3-5L 6 1 Under

Team’s Batting Order

Mets Notable Injuries

  • Tylor Megill OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 04/02/24. Impact: 5.9

Reds Notable Injuries

  • No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.
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