Mets vs Reds Game Breakdown & Projections – Sat, Apr 6th 2024
Mets
2W-5L
April 06, 2024
04:10PM EST
Odds: 9.5 o/u
Reds
4W-3L
Hold onto your baseball caps, folks! The struggling New York Mets are packing their bags and heading to the heartland to face off against the Cincinnati Reds at the iconic Great American Ball Park. With the Mets sitting 2.5 games back and the Reds just a smidge closer at 1.5 games back in the National League conference, it’s anyone’s game at 04:10PM EST. The betting lines are buzzing with the over/under set at a tantalizing 9.5, and the Mets line at 100, while the Reds are favored at -120. Fresh off a nail-biting 3-2 victory against the Reds, the Mets are hoping to continue their winning streak, while the Reds, still licking their wounds from the 2-3 loss, are thirsty for revenge. The weather’s all set for a classic ball game with the sun shining bright, a gentle northern breeze at 3.8 mph, and the mercury at a cool 43.0° with 68% humidity. So, will the Mets ‘met-eoric’ rise continue or will the Reds ‘paint the town red’? Only time will tell, folks!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 06, 2024 04:10PM EST
Location: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
Weather: Sunny with winds from the N at 3.8 mph. Temperature is at 43.0° with 68% humidity.
Vegas Odds
| NYM ML | CIN ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +100 | -120 | 9.5 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Recent | +103 | -123 | 9.5 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Difference | +3 | -3 | 0 | – |
Team Performance
49.3% Win Probability
50.7% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05/24 | New York Mets NYM | 3 | Under | -4.5 | |
| Cincinnati Reds CIN | 2 | ||||
| 05/09/23 | New York Mets NYM | 6 | Over | +3.5 | |
| Cincinnati Reds CIN | 7 | ||||
| 05/10/23 | New York Mets NYM | 2 | Under | -6.5 | |
| Cincinnati Reds CIN | 1 | ||||
| 05/11/23 | New York Mets NYM | 0 | Under | -4.5 | |
| Cincinnati Reds CIN | 5 | ||||
| 09/15/23 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 5 | Under | -1.5 | |
| New York Mets NYM | 3 | ||||
| 09/16/23 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 3 | Under | -4.5 | |
| New York Mets NYM | 2 | ||||
| 09/17/23 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 4 | Over | +2.5 | |
| New York Mets NYM | 8 |
Mets Vs Over/Under
Reds Vs Over/Under
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-05-24 | @CIN | 3-2W | 5.7 | 5 | 1 | 4 | Under |
| 03-29-24 | vsMIL | 3-1L | 4.7 | 6 | 2 | 4 | Under |
| 09-30-23 | vsPHI | 4-11W | 4.0 | 7 | 4 | 5 | Over |
| 09-23-23 | @PHI | 5-7L | 6.0 | 8 | 6 | 10 | Over |
| 09-17-23 | vsCIN | 4-8W | 6.7 | 8 | 2 | 2 | Over |
| 09-11-23 | vsARI | 4-3L | 5.0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | Under |
| 09-05-23 | @WAS | 11-5W | 7.0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | Over |
| 08-29-23 | vsTEX | 2-1L | 6.0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | Under |
| 08-23-23 | @ATL | 0-7L | 5.3 | 9 | 5 | 5 | Under |
| 08-17-23 | @STL | 4-2W | 6.0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | Under |
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-05-24 | vsNYM | 3-2L | 6.0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | Under |
| 03-30-24 | vsWAS | 7-6L | 4.7 | 5 | 2 | 7 | Over |
| 10-01-23 | @STL | 3-4L | 5.0 | 9 | 4 | 6 | Under |
| 09-26-23 | @CLE | 11-7W | 3.0 | 8 | 7 | 3 | Over |
| 09-20-23 | vsMIN | 5-3L | 7.0 | 3 | 1 | 14 | Under |
| 09-15-23 | @NYM | 5-3W | 5.7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | Under |
| 09-10-23 | vsSTL | 1-7W | 6.0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | Under |
| 08-30-23 | @SF | 4-1W | 5.3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | Under |
| 08-25-23 | @ARI | 8-10L | 3.7 | 5 | 5 | 4 | Over |
| 08-20-23 | vsTOR | 10-3L | 3.0 | 10 | 9 | 4 | Over |
Mets Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | vs CIN | 3-2W | 4 | 1 | Under |
| 04/06 | @ DET | 3-6L | 6 | 0 | Under |
| 04/06 | @ DET | 2-1W | 3 | 1 | Under |
| 04/03 | @ DET | 0-5L | 5 | 0 | Under |
| 04/02 | @ MIL | 1-4L | 7 | 0 | Under |
| 04/01 | @ MIL | 6-7L | 12 | 3 | Over |
| 03/31 | @ MIL | 1-3L | 1 | 1 | Under |
| 10/04 | @ MIA | 1-2L | 5 | 0 | Under |
| 10/03 | @ PHI | 1-9L | 2 | 1 | Over |
| 10/02 | @ PHI | 11-4W | 9 | 3 | Over |
| 10/02 | @ PHI | 4-3W | 5 | 1 | Under |
| 09/29 | @ MIA | 11-2W | 12 | 3 | Over |
| 09/29 | @ MIA | 2-4L | 6 | 2 | Under |
| 09/26 | vs PHI | 2-5L | 3 | 1 | Under |
| 09/25 | vs PHI | 5-7L | 9 | 0 | Over |
Reds Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | @ NYM | 2-3L | 7 | 1 | Under |
| 04/05 | vs PHI | 4-1W | 6 | 0 | Under |
| 04/04 | vs PHI | 4-9L | 8 | 0 | Over |
| 04/03 | vs PHI | 6-3W | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 04/02 | @ WAS | 6-5W | 14 | 2 | Over |
| 04/01 | @ WAS | 6-7L | 10 | 2 | Over |
| 03/30 | @ WAS | 8-2W | 10 | 2 | Over |
| 10/03 | vs STL | 3-4L | 9 | 1 | Under |
| 10/02 | vs STL | 6-15L | 14 | 2 | Over |
| 10/01 | vs STL | 19-2W | 17 | 6 | Over |
| 09/29 | vs CLE | 3-4L | 8 | 0 | Under |
| 09/28 | vs CLE | 11-7W | 10 | 5 | Over |
| 09/26 | @ PIT | 4-2W | 6 | 2 | Under |
| 09/25 | @ PIT | 12-13L | 16 | 3 | Over |
| 09/24 | @ PIT | 5-7L | 7 | 1 | Over |
Team’s Batting Order
| New York Mets | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.6 | 15.2 | 0.275 | 0.469 | 41.8% | 88.6% | 4.1% | |
| 10.7 | 14.2 | 0.254 | 0.472 | 38.5% | 85.6% | 5.2% | |
|
#3
Pete Alonso
|
10.0 | 13.6 | 0.218 | 0.506 | 36.8% | 87.4% | 8.1% |
| 8.9 | 11.9 | 0.208 | 0.438 | 31.1% | 74.9% | 6.6% | |
|
#5
Brett Baty
|
7.8 | 10.2 | 0.214 | 0.326 | 30.0% | 62.6% | 2.6% |
| 9.2 | 11.6 | 0.248 | 0.324 | 32.4% | 64.8% | 1.6% | |
|
#7
Jeff McNeil
|
7.3 | 9.3 | 0.27 | 0.378 | 36.6% | 74.4% | 1.7% |
| 6.7 | 8.7 | 0.232 | 0.35 | 29.6% | 64.6% | 2.2% | |
|
#9
DJ Stewart
|
9.5 | 12.7 | 0.236 | 0.497 | 36.9% | 86.6% | 7.0% |
| Cincinnati Reds | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.9 | 11.9 | 0.244 | 0.409 | 39.6% | 80.4% | 3.8% | |
| 8.5 | 11.1 | 0.273 | 0.467 | 41.0% | 87.7% | 4.0% | |
| 7.9 | 10.4 | 0.27 | 0.477 | 35.6% | 83.3% | 5.9% | |
| 8.4 | 11.1 | 0.251 | 0.473 | 38.3% | 85.6% | 4.4% | |
| 7.4 | 9.6 | 0.25 | 0.338 | 34.2% | 68.0% | 0.9% | |
| 7.9 | 10.2 | 0.234 | 0.409 | 32.5% | 73.5% | 3.4% | |
| 5.9 | 7.9 | 0.228 | 0.388 | 37.0% | 75.8% | 2.3% | |
|
#8
Luke Maile
|
6.3 | 8.4 | 0.235 | 0.391 | 34.1% | 73.2% | 3.4% |
|
#9
Will Benson
|
6.4 | 8.3 | 0.276 | 0.5 | 42.0% | 92.0% | 3.8% |
Mets Notable Injuries
- Tylor Megill OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 04/02/24. Impact: 5.9
Reds Notable Injuries
- No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.
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