Mets vs Reds Game Breakdown & Projections – Sat, Apr 6th 2024

Hold onto your baseball caps, folks! The struggling New York Mets are packing their bags and heading to the heartland to face off against the Cincinnati Reds at the iconic Great American Ball Park. With the Mets sitting 2.5 games back and the Reds just a smidge closer at 1.5 games back in the National League conference, it’s anyone’s game at 04:10PM EST. The betting lines are buzzing with the over/under set at a tantalizing 9.5, and the Mets line at 100, while the Reds are favored at -120. Fresh off a nail-biting 3-2 victory against the Reds, the Mets are hoping to continue their winning streak, while the Reds, still licking their wounds from the 2-3 loss, are thirsty for revenge. The weather’s all set for a classic ball game with the sun shining bright, a gentle northern breeze at 3.8 mph, and the mercury at a cool 43.0° with 68% humidity. So, will the Mets ‘met-eoric’ rise continue or will the Reds ‘paint the town red’? Only time will tell, folks!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 06, 2024 04:10PM EST

Location: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati

Weather: Sunny with winds from the N at 3.8 mph. Temperature is at 43.0° with 68% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	NYM ML	CIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+100	-120	9.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+103	-123	9.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+3	-3	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

109W-131L

49.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

114W-129L

50.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/05/24	New York Mets NYM	3	Under	-4.5
04/05/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	2	Under	-4.5
05/09/23	New York Mets NYM	6	Over	+3.5
05/09/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	7	Over	+3.5
05/10/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-6.5
05/10/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	1	Under	-6.5
05/11/23	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-4.5
05/11/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	5	Under	-4.5
09/15/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	5	Under	-1.5
09/15/23	New York Mets NYM	3	Under	-1.5
09/16/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Under	-4.5
09/16/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-4.5
09/17/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Over	+2.5
09/17/23	New York Mets NYM	8	Over	+2.5

Mets Vs Over/Under

Reds Vs Over/Under

Jose Quintana

ERA 3.568 | IP 76 | 3W-6L | KO 60

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-05-24	@CIN	3-2W	5.7	5	1	4	Under
03-29-24	vsMIL	3-1L	4.7	6	2	4	Under
09-30-23	vsPHI	4-11W	4.0	7	4	5	Over
09-23-23	@PHI	5-7L	6.0	8	6	10	Over
09-17-23	vsCIN	4-8W	6.7	8	2	2	Over
09-11-23	vsARI	4-3L	5.0	5	2	4	Under
09-05-23	@WAS	11-5W	7.0	4	1	4	Over
08-29-23	vsTEX	2-1L	6.0	3	0	5	Under
08-23-23	@ATL	0-7L	5.3	9	5	5	Under
08-17-23	@STL	4-2W	6.0	3	2	5	Under

Hunter Greene

ERA 4.821 | IP 112 | 4W-7L | KO 152

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-05-24	vsNYM	3-2L	6.0	3	1	6	Under
03-30-24	vsWAS	7-6L	4.7	5	2	7	Over
10-01-23	@STL	3-4L	5.0	9	4	6	Under
09-26-23	@CLE	11-7W	3.0	8	7	3	Over
09-20-23	vsMIN	5-3L	7.0	3	1	14	Under
09-15-23	@NYM	5-3W	5.7	4	3	6	Under
09-10-23	vsSTL	1-7W	6.0	1	1	9	Under
08-30-23	@SF	4-1W	5.3	3	1	6	Under
08-25-23	@ARI	8-10L	3.7	5	5	4	Over
08-20-23	vsTOR	10-3L	3.0	10	9	4	Over

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/07	vs CIN	3-2W	4	1	Under
04/06	@ DET	3-6L	6	0	Under
04/06	@ DET	2-1W	3	1	Under
04/03	@ DET	0-5L	5	0	Under
04/02	@ MIL	1-4L	7	0	Under
04/01	@ MIL	6-7L	12	3	Over
03/31	@ MIL	1-3L	1	1	Under
10/04	@ MIA	1-2L	5	0	Under
10/03	@ PHI	1-9L	2	1	Over
10/02	@ PHI	11-4W	9	3	Over
10/02	@ PHI	4-3W	5	1	Under
09/29	@ MIA	11-2W	12	3	Over
09/29	@ MIA	2-4L	6	2	Under
09/26	vs PHI	2-5L	3	1	Under
09/25	vs PHI	5-7L	9	0	Over

Reds Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/07	@ NYM	2-3L	7	1	Under
04/05	vs PHI	4-1W	6	0	Under
04/04	vs PHI	4-9L	8	0	Over
04/03	vs PHI	6-3W	8	1	Under
04/02	@ WAS	6-5W	14	2	Over
04/01	@ WAS	6-7L	10	2	Over
03/30	@ WAS	8-2W	10	2	Over
10/03	vs STL	3-4L	9	1	Under
10/02	vs STL	6-15L	14	2	Over
10/01	vs STL	19-2W	17	6	Over
09/29	vs CLE	3-4L	8	0	Under
09/28	vs CLE	11-7W	10	5	Over
09/26	@ PIT	4-2W	6	2	Under
09/25	@ PIT	12-13L	16	3	Over
09/24	@ PIT	5-7L	7	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Brandon Nimmo	11.6	15.2	0.275	0.469	41.8%	88.6%	4.1%
#2 Francisco Lindor	10.7	14.2	0.254	0.472	38.5%	85.6%	5.2%
#3 Pete Alonso	10.0	13.6	0.218	0.506	36.8%	87.4%	8.1%
#4 Francisco Alvarez	8.9	11.9	0.208	0.438	31.1%	74.9%	6.6%
#5 Brett Baty	7.8	10.2	0.214	0.326	30.0%	62.6%	2.6%
#6 Starling Marte	9.2	11.6	0.248	0.324	32.4%	64.8%	1.6%
#7 Jeff McNeil	7.3	9.3	0.27	0.378	36.6%	74.4%	1.7%
#8 Harrison Bader	6.7	8.7	0.232	0.35	29.6%	64.6%	2.2%
#9 DJ Stewart	9.5	12.7	0.236	0.497	36.9%	86.6%	7.0%

Cincinnati Reds	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Jonathan India	8.9	11.9	0.244	0.409	39.6%	80.4%	3.8%
#2 Spencer Steer	8.5	11.1	0.273	0.467	41.0%	87.7%	4.0%
#3 C. Encarnacion-Strand	7.9	10.4	0.27	0.477	35.6%	83.3%	5.9%
#4 Jeimer Candelario	8.4	11.1	0.251	0.473	38.3%	85.6%	4.4%
#5 Santiago Espinal	7.4	9.6	0.25	0.338	34.2%	68.0%	0.9%
#6 Elly De La Cruz	7.9	10.2	0.234	0.409	32.5%	73.5%	3.4%
#7 Stuart Fairchild	5.9	7.9	0.228	0.388	37.0%	75.8%	2.3%
#8 Luke Maile	6.3	8.4	0.235	0.391	34.1%	73.2%	3.4%
#9 Will Benson	6.4	8.3	0.276	0.5	42.0%	92.0%	3.8%