Mets vs Guardians Game Breakdown

Hey sports fans, gear up for a thrilling showdown in the heart of Cleveland as the New York Mets, trailing in their league, look to snatch a much-needed victory from the jaws of the surging Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field! The first pitch is set to fly at 06:10 PM EST today, so make sure you’re locked in. With the Guardians riding the high of their recent triumph over the Mets and the betting lines buzzing with a tight -104 for the Mets and -116 for the Guardians, this matchup promises to be as electrifying as the partly cloudy skies above. The over/under teetering at 9.0 hints at a score-fest or a nail-biting pitcher’s duel, depending on which way the wind blows from the southwest. So, as the Mets try to guard their pride and the Guardians aim to mete out another defeat, expect this game to be more than just a swing and a hit!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 21, 2024 06:10PM EST

Location: Progressive Field, Cleveland

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the SW at 12.5 mph. Temperature is at 82.9° with 48% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	NYM ML	CLE ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-104	-116	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+111	-133	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+215	-17	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

119W-143L

47.4% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

142W-117L

52.6% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/20/24	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-5.0
05/20/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	3	Under	-5.0
05/19/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	9	Over	+10.0
05/19/23	New York Mets NYM	10	Over	+10.0
05/21/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	4	Push	-0.0
05/21/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Push	-0.0
05/21/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	1	Under	-6.0
05/21/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-6.0

Mets Vs Over/Under

Guardians Vs Over/Under

Adrian Houser

ERA 7.439 | IP 32.7 | 0.0W-3.0L | KO 17.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-15-24	@PHI	5-10L	2.0	3	3	1	Over
05-10-24	vsATL	4-2L	2.0	1	0	0	Under
05-02-24	vsCHC	6-7W	5.0	4	4	2	Over
04-27-24	vsSTL	7-4L	4.3	9	6	2	Over
04-21-24	@LAD	0-10L	4.0	7	8	3	Over
04-15-24	vsPIT	3-6W	5.3	2	2	5	Push
04-09-24	@ATL	5-6L	5.0	8	5	1	Over
04-04-24	vsDET	6-3L	5.0	3	1	3	Push
10-01-23	@CHC	0-4W	5.0	3	0	5	Under
09-26-23	@STL	4-1L	5.0	3	4	5	Under

Carlos Carrasco

ERA 5.162 | IP 45.3 | 2.0W-4.0L | KO 34.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-15-24	@TEX	0-4L	5.0	5	2	3	Under
05-10-24	@CWS	3-6L	7.0	6	5	5	Push
05-05-24	vsLAA	1-4W	6.0	6	1	3	Under
04-30-24	@HOU	9-10L	4.0	6	8	3	Over
04-24-24	vsBOS	8-0L	5.0	9	5	4	Under
04-18-24	@BOS	5-4W	5.7	4	2	5	Push
04-13-24	vsNYY	3-2L	4.7	5	1	2	Under
04-06-24	@MIN	3-1W	3.0	1	1	6	Under
03-31-24	@OAK	3-4L	5.0	6	3	3	Under
08-26-23	@LAA	5-3L	1.7	7	5	1	Under

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/22	vs CLE	1-3L	6	1	Under
05/21	vs MIA	7-3W	12	1	Over
05/20	vs MIA	9-10L	15	0	Over
05/19	vs MIA	0-7L	6	0	Under
05/18	vs PHI	6-5W	8	1	Over
05/17	vs PHI	4-10L	9	1	Over
05/16	@ PHI	0-4L	4	0	Under
05/15	@ PHI	4-5L	8	0	Push
05/14	@ ATL	4-3W	10	1	Under
05/13	@ ATL	1-4L	2	1	Under
05/12	@ ATL	2-4L	4	1	Under
05/09	vs STL	7-5W	14	2	Over
05/08	vs STL	4-3W	10	1	Under
05/07	vs TB	6-7L	8	1	Over
05/06	vs TB	1-3L	6	0	Under

Guardians Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/22	@ NYM	3-1W	4	0	Under
05/21	@ MIN	5-2W	4	2	Under
05/20	@ MIN	11-4W	16	1	Over
05/19	@ MIN	3-2W	7	2	Under
05/17	vs TEX	0-4L	6	0	Under
05/16	vs TEX	7-4W	7	1	Over
05/15	vs TEX	6-0W	8	0	Under
05/14	vs CWS	7-0W	5	2	Under
05/13	vs CWS	1-3L	4	1	Under
05/12	vs CWS	3-6L	8	2	Push
05/11	vs CWS	2-3L	9	2	Under
05/10	@ DET	5-4W	5	1	Push
05/09	@ DET	7-11L	8	1	Over
05/08	@ DET	2-1W	7	1	Under
05/07	@ LAA	4-1W	5	2	Under

Team’s Batting Order

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Francisco Lindor	10.3	13.8	0.193	0.348	29.9%	64.7%	3.7%
#2 Pete Alonso	10.2	13.5	0.235	0.454	34.4%	79.8%	5.5%
#3 Brandon Nimmo	9.1	12.4	0.217	0.41	44.1%	85.1%	4.3%
#4 J.D. Martinez	9.7	12.2	0.312	0.468	37.7%	84.4%	2.6%
#5 Starling Marte	8.5	10.8	0.262	0.372	33.7%	70.9%	2.3%
#6 Brett Baty	6.8	8.8	0.228	0.316	32.4%	64.0%	2.2%
#7 Jeff McNeil	7.5	9.6	0.233	0.301	34.4%	64.4%	0.6%
#8 Harrison Bader	6.9	8.7	0.274	0.333	33.3%	66.7%	0.7%
#9 Omar Narvaez	5.3	6.9	0.164	0.2	20.0%	40.0%	0.0%

Cleveland Guardians	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Tyler Freeman	7.7	10.3	0.216	0.353	36.0%	71.2%	2.9%
#2 Andres Gimenez	8.6	11.3	0.263	0.371	36.0%	73.1%	1.7%
#3 Jose Ramirez	10.1	13.5	0.245	0.468	31.4%	78.2%	5.9%
#4 Josh Naylor	8.2	11.0	0.242	0.497	38.8%	88.5%	7.3%
#5 David Fry	7.7	10.3	0.329	0.544	60.8%	115.2%	5.1%
#6 Will Brennan	7.2	9.4	0.228	0.39	30.9%	69.9%	3.7%
#7 Kyle Manzardo	6.2	7.9	0.176	0.265	23.5%	50.0%	0.0%
#8 Bo Naylor	7.1	9.4	0.171	0.265	28.2%	54.7%	2.6%
#9 Brayan Rocchio	6.2	8.1	0.208	0.269	33.8%	60.8%	0.0%