Mets vs Dodgers Game Breakdown & Projections – Sat, Apr 20th 2024

Strap in, sports fans! Today’s MLB showdown is nothing short of a clash of titans as the New York Mets, hot on the heels of their recent victory, roll into the iconic Dodger Stadium to face a determined Los Angeles Dodgers squad. With the first pitch slated for 04:05 PM EST, the stakes are sky-high. Both teams are neck and neck at the top of the National League, with the Mets looking to close a slight gap and the Dodgers aiming to maintain their edge. The air at the stadium is charged—not just with the overcast skies and a cool breeze from the north but also with the buzz of the crowd ready to see if the over/under of 9.0 hits the mark. After yesterday’s dramatic 9-4 Mets victory, the Dodgers are itching to even the score in their own backyard. Will the Mets’ bats stay hot, or will the Dodgers’ pitching cool them down? It’s a perfect setup for a game where the only guarantee is that the Mets and Dodgers will be swinging for the skies!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 20, 2024 04:05PM EST

Location: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles

Weather: Overcast with winds from the N at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 59.0° with 75% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	NYM ML	LAD ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+155	-188	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+154	-186	9.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-1	+2	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

113W-133L

39.4% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

172W-81L

60.6% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/19/24	New York Mets NYM	9	Over	+4.0
04/19/24	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	4	Over	+4.0
04/17/23	New York Mets NYM	8	Over	+5.0
04/17/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	6	Over	+5.0
04/18/23	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-4.0
04/18/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	5	Under	-4.0
04/19/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Under	-1.0
04/19/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	3	Under	-1.0
07/14/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	6	Under	-3.0
07/14/23	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-3.0
07/15/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	5	Under	-3.0
07/15/23	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-3.0
07/16/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	1	Under	-6.0
07/16/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-6.0

Mets Vs Over/Under

Dodgers Vs Over/Under

Jose Butto

ERA 0.75 | IP 12.0 | 0.0W-0.0L | KO 15.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-19-24	@LAD	9-4W	5.0	4	2	3	Over
04-13-24	vsKC	11-7L	3.7	9	8	4	Over
04-07-24	@CIN	3-1W	5.0	3	1	6	Under
04-01-24	vsDET	5-0L	6.0	1	0	8	Under
09-27-23	@SD	5-2L	6.0	7	2	8	Under
09-22-23	@LAD	5-1L	7.0	3	0	2	Under
09-17-23	@COL	11-10L	5.3	8	3	3	Over
09-12-23	@CLE	3-1L	5.7	2	3	5	Under
09-06-23	@CHC	2-8W	3.0	4	2	1	Over
08-31-23	@SD	7-2L	3.3	3	1	2	Under
04-14-24	vsKC	1-2W	6.0	2	0	9	Under
04-04-24	vsDET	1-2W	6.0	3	1	6	Under
10-01-23	vsPHI	9-1L	6.0	5	2	4	Over
09-24-23	@PHI	2-5L	4.0	4	4	5	Under
09-18-23	@MIA	2-1W	6.0	4	1	6	Under
09-12-23	vsARI	4-7W	5.0	2	1	7	Over
09-06-23	@WAS	2-3L	6.3	6	2	6	Under
08-15-23	vsPIT	7-4L	2.7	2	3	5	Over
05-03-23	@DET	1-8L	2.3	1	1	2	Under
04-25-23	vsWAS	5-0L	4.7	4	2	1	Under

Gavin Stone

ERA 3.682 | IP 14.7 | 1.0W-1.0L | KO 15.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-19-24	vsNYM	9-4L	6.0	7	4	9	Over
04-12-24	vsSD	8-7L	5.0	4	3	6	Over
04-06-24	@CHC	4-1W	5.0	3	0	8	Under
03-30-24	vsSTL	6-5L	5.0	2	0	5	Over
04-13-24	vsSD	2-5W	6.7	5	2	4	Under
04-07-24	@CHC	1-8L	3.0	4	5	5	Under
03-31-24	vsSTL	4-5W	5.0	7	3	6	Under
09-22-23	vsSF	5-1L	4.3	3	3	5	Under
09-17-23	@SEA	6-1W	3.3	1	0	5	Under
09-11-23	vsSD	11-8L	5.3	9	7	2	Over
08-27-23	@BOS	7-4W	6.0	5	4	2	Over
07-04-23	vsPIT	9-7L	2.0	5	1	3	Over
05-28-23	@TB	10-11L	2.0	10	7	3	Over
05-22-23	@ATL	8-6W	4.0	5	5	1	Over

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/21	vs LAD	9-4W	14	2	Over
04/19	@ PIT	9-1W	10	2	Over
04/18	@ PIT	3-1W	4	0	Under
04/17	@ PIT	6-3W	8	0	Under
04/16	@ KC	2-1W	8	0	Under
04/15	@ KC	7-11L	9	3	Over
04/14	@ KC	6-1W	14	1	Under
04/13	vs ATL	16-4W	16	2	Over
04/11	vs ATL	5-6L	12	1	Over
04/10	vs ATL	8-7W	11	3	Over
04/09	vs CIN	3-1W	9	1	Under
04/08	vs CIN	6-9L	11	0	Over
04/07	vs CIN	3-2W	4	1	Under
04/06	@ DET	3-6L	6	0	Under
04/06	@ DET	2-1W	3	1	Under

Dodgers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/21	@ NYM	4-9L	6	0	Over
04/19	@ WAS	0-2L	5	0	Under
04/18	@ WAS	6-2W	13	1	Under
04/17	@ WAS	4-6L	9	0	Over
04/16	@ SD	3-6L	6	1	Under
04/15	@ SD	5-2W	8	0	Under
04/14	@ SD	7-8L	7	4	Over
04/12	vs MIN	2-3L	9	1	Under
04/11	vs MIN	6-3W	9	2	Under
04/10	vs MIN	4-2W	10	2	Under
04/09	vs CHC	1-8L	4	0	Under
04/08	vs CHC	4-1W	9	0	Under
04/07	vs CHC	7-9L	12	1	Over
04/05	@ SF	5-4W	9	2	Under
04/04	@ SF	5-4W	9	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Brandon Nimmo	7.4	10.1	0.208	0.361	41.7%	77.8%	2.8%
#2 Starling Marte	6.9	8.9	0.275	0.425	35.0%	77.5%	3.8%
#3 Francisco Lindor	7.4	9.8	0.167	0.269	30.8%	57.7%	2.6%
#4 Pete Alonso	8.2	10.9	0.257	0.527	39.2%	91.9%	8.1%
#5 Brett Baty	5.8	7.4	0.305	0.373	39.0%	76.3%	1.7%
#6 Francisco Alvarez	6.3	8.4	0.236	0.364	30.9%	67.3%	1.8%
#7 Jeff McNeil	5.4	7.2	0.233	0.333	38.3%	71.7%	1.7%
#8 DJ Stewart	6.2	8.6	0.241	0.621	55.2%	117.2%	10.3%
#8 Joey Wendle	5.9	7.5	0.25	0.312	31.2%	62.5%	0.0%
#9 Harrison Bader	5.2	6.5	0.333	0.421	38.6%	80.7%	1.8%
#9 Omar Narvaez	5.1	6.8	0.217	0.261	30.4%	56.5%	0.0%

Los Angeles Dodgers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Mookie Betts	11.3	14.9	0.316	0.582	50.6%	108.9%	6.3%
#2 Shohei Ohtani	10.1	12.9	0.362	0.662	46.2%	112.5%	5.0%
#3 Freddie Freeman	8.6	11.2	0.267	0.36	41.3%	77.3%	1.3%
#4 Will Smith	8.7	11.3	0.333	0.444	41.3%	85.7%	1.6%
#5 Teoscar Hernandez	7.9	10.6	0.289	0.539	35.5%	89.5%	6.6%
#5 Max Muncy	8.2	11.2	0.238	0.492	36.5%	85.7%	6.3%
#6 Kike Hernandez	7.3	9.1	0.186	0.256	20.9%	46.5%	2.3%
#7 James Outman	7.5	9.7	0.212	0.365	28.8%	65.4%	3.8%
#7 Andy Pages	7.2	9.4	0.2	0.3	30.0%	60.0%	0.0%
#8 Miguel Rojas	5.7	7.5	0.269	0.538	34.6%	88.5%	7.7%
#9 Gavin Lux	6.6	8.6	0.136	0.159	22.7%	38.6%	0.0%
#9 Chris Taylor	6.2	8.8	0.053	0.053	23.7%	28.9%	0.0%