Mets vs Dodgers Game Breakdown & Projections – Sun, Apr 21st 2024

Get ready to slide into some serious diamond drama as the New York Mets, sporting a solid 12W-8L record, jet over to the iconic Dodger Stadium to face off against the 12W-11L Los Angeles Dodgers. It’s a showdown set for 04:10 PM EST, where conference standings are as heated as a vendor’s hot dogs, with the Mets chasing closely behind and the Dodgers holding their ground at the top. The stakes? Just a spicy over/under of 9.0, with odds tilting in favor of the home team. Coming off a thrilling encounter where the Mets clinched a victory, both teams are pumped and ready to rewrite yesterday’s script under a misty LA sky, with a gentle breeze nudging the ball just right. As the Mets look to ‘mete’ out another win, and the Dodgers aim to ‘dodge’ a repeat defeat, this matchup promises to be a classic duel of East meets West. So, let’s see if the Mets can catch more than just a break or if the Dodgers will be throwing more than just curveballs!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 21, 2024 04:10PM EST

Location: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles

Weather: Mist with winds from the N at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 57.9° with 87% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	NYM ML	LAD ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+200	-245	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+210	-260	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+10	-15	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

114W-133L

32.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

172W-82L

67.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/19/24	New York Mets NYM	9	Over	+4.0
04/19/24	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	4	Over	+4.0
04/20/24	New York Mets NYM	6	Over	+1.0
04/20/24	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	4	Over	+1.0
04/17/23	New York Mets NYM	8	Over	+5.0
04/17/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	6	Over	+5.0
04/18/23	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-4.0
04/18/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	5	Under	-4.0
04/19/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Under	-1.0
04/19/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	3	Under	-1.0
07/14/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	6	Under	-3.0
07/14/23	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-3.0
07/15/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	5	Under	-3.0
07/15/23	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-3.0
07/16/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	1	Under	-6.0
07/16/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-6.0

Mets Vs Over/Under

Dodgers Vs Over/Under

Adrian Houser

ERA 4.696 | IP 15.3 | 0.0W-1.0L | KO 9.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-20-24	@LAD	6-4W	4.3	3	2	6	Over
04-14-24	vsKC	1-2W	6.0	2	0	9	Under
04-04-24	vsDET	1-2W	6.0	3	1	6	Under
10-01-23	vsPHI	9-1L	6.0	5	2	4	Over
09-24-23	@PHI	2-5L	4.0	4	4	5	Under
09-18-23	@MIA	2-1W	6.0	4	1	6	Under
09-12-23	vsARI	4-7W	5.0	2	1	7	Over
09-06-23	@WAS	2-3L	6.3	6	2	6	Under
08-15-23	vsPIT	7-4L	2.7	2	3	5	Over
05-03-23	@DET	1-8L	2.3	1	1	2	Push
04-15-24	vsPIT	3-6W	5.3	2	2	5	Push
04-09-24	@ATL	5-6L	5.0	8	5	1	Over
04-04-24	vsDET	6-3L	5.0	3	1	3	Push
10-01-23	@CHC	0-4W	5.0	3	0	5	Under
09-26-23	@STL	4-1L	5.0	3	4	5	Under
09-20-23	@STL	8-2L	6.0	4	1	4	Over
09-14-23	@MIA	2-4W	5.0	5	2	5	Under
08-27-23	@SD	6-10W	2.0	4	4	2	Over
08-20-23	@TEX	6-2L	5.0	6	1	7	Under
08-15-23	@LAD	2-6W	5.3	5	4	6	Under

Gavin Stone

ERA 4.0 | IP 18.0 | 1.0W-1.0L | KO 16.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-15-24	vsWAS	6-4L	5.0	8	6	5	Over
04-09-24	@MIN	6-3W	7.0	3	0	14	Push
04-03-24	vsSF	4-5W	6.0	4	3	7	Push
03-28-24	vsSTL	1-7W	6.0	2	1	5	Under
09-27-23	@BOS	5-0L	5.0	2	0	9	Under
09-22-23	@TOR	6-2L	5.3	3	4	7	Under
09-16-23	@BAL	0-8W	4.0	8	6	4	Under
09-11-23	@MIN	7-4L	6.0	6	4	8	Over
09-06-23	@BOS	1-3W	6.0	3	1	14	Under
09-01-23	@CLE	2-3W	7.0	7	3	6	Under
04-20-24	vsNYM	6-4L	3.3	4	2	1	Over
04-13-24	vsSD	2-5W	6.7	5	2	4	Under
04-07-24	@CHC	1-8L	3.0	4	5	5	Push
03-31-24	vsSTL	4-5W	5.0	7	3	6	Push
09-22-23	vsSF	5-1L	4.3	3	3	5	Under
09-17-23	@SEA	6-1W	3.3	1	0	5	Under
09-11-23	vsSD	11-8L	5.3	9	7	2	Over
08-27-23	@BOS	7-4W	6.0	5	4	2	Over
07-04-23	vsPIT	9-7L	2.0	5	1	3	Over
05-28-23	@TB	10-11L	2.0	10	7	3	Over

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/22	vs LAD	6-4W	8	1	Over
04/21	vs LAD	9-4W	14	2	Over
04/19	@ PIT	9-1W	10	2	Over
04/18	@ PIT	3-1W	4	0	Under
04/17	@ PIT	6-3W	8	0	Push
04/16	@ KC	2-1W	8	0	Under
04/15	@ KC	7-11L	9	3	Over
04/14	@ KC	6-1W	14	1	Under
04/13	vs ATL	16-4W	16	2	Over
04/11	vs ATL	5-6L	12	1	Over
04/10	vs ATL	8-7W	11	3	Over
04/09	vs CIN	3-1W	9	1	Under
04/08	vs CIN	6-9L	11	0	Over
04/07	vs CIN	3-2W	4	1	Under
04/06	@ DET	2-1W	3	1	Under

Dodgers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/22	@ NYM	4-6L	6	0	Over
04/21	@ NYM	4-9L	6	0	Over
04/19	@ WAS	0-2L	5	0	Under
04/18	@ WAS	6-2W	13	1	Under
04/17	@ WAS	4-6L	9	0	Over
04/16	@ SD	3-6L	6	1	Push
04/15	@ SD	5-2W	8	0	Under
04/14	@ SD	7-8L	7	4	Over
04/12	vs MIN	2-3L	9	1	Under
04/11	vs MIN	6-3W	9	2	Push
04/10	vs MIN	4-2W	10	2	Under
04/09	vs CHC	1-8L	4	0	Push
04/08	vs CHC	4-1W	9	0	Under
04/07	vs CHC	7-9L	12	1	Over
04/05	@ SF	5-4W	9	2	Push

Team’s Batting Order

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Brandon Nimmo	8.3	11.4	0.205	0.356	46.6%	82.2%	2.7%
#2 Starling Marte	8.6	11.2	0.282	0.459	35.3%	81.2%	4.7%
#3 Francisco Lindor	8.6	11.4	0.181	0.289	31.3%	60.2%	2.4%
#4 Pete Alonso	9.0	12.1	0.241	0.494	36.7%	86.1%	7.6%
#5 DJ Stewart	7.7	10.8	0.226	0.581	61.3%	119.4%	9.7%
#6 Jeff McNeil	6.6	8.7	0.25	0.375	40.6%	78.1%	1.6%
#7 Harrison Bader	6.7	8.4	0.306	0.387	35.5%	74.2%	1.6%
#8 Joey Wendle	6.2	7.6	0.333	0.389	38.9%	77.8%	0.0%
#9 Omar Narvaez	4.6	6.1	0.2	0.24	28.0%	52.0%	0.0%

Los Angeles Dodgers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Mookie Betts	11.4	15.1	0.321	0.593	54.3%	113.6%	6.2%
#2 Shohei Ohtani	11.0	14.1	0.366	0.671	50.0%	117.1%	4.9%
#3 Freddie Freeman	8.9	11.8	0.282	0.372	44.9%	82.1%	1.3%
#4 Will Smith	9.4	12.2	0.328	0.438	40.6%	84.4%	1.6%
#5 Max Muncy	8.0	11.0	0.227	0.47	36.4%	83.3%	6.1%
#6 Teoscar Hernandez	8.6	11.6	0.278	0.519	36.7%	88.6%	6.3%
#7 James Outman	7.9	10.1	0.211	0.351	28.1%	63.2%	3.5%
#8 Andy Pages	6.1	8.4	0.143	0.214	28.6%	50.0%	0.0%
#9 Gavin Lux	6.2	8.0	0.143	0.163	22.4%	38.8%	0.0%