Mets vs Marlins Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown as the New York Mets, boasting a respectable 49 wins, cruise into the sultry Miami evening to face off against the underdog Marlins, who are looking to shake off their recent defeat and add some magic to their 33-win season. The stage is set at the vibrant LoanDepot Park, where the first pitch is slated for 07:10 PM EST. With the Mets chasing a significant leap in the National League standings and the Marlins eager to claw their way up from the depths, the stakes are as high as the 91-degree heat. The betting lines are buzzing, setting the stage for an intriguing battle under the partly cloudy skies, with a breezy backdrop setting the tempo. As the Mets look to continue their winning momentum and the Marlins aim to flip the script, tonight’s matchup promises to be an exhilarating dance between the kings of Queens and the princes of the Sunshine State. So, as the winds whip up from the southeast, let’s see if the Mets can keep sailing smoothly or if the Marlins will make a splash that’s felt all the way up the Atlantic coast!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 19, 2024 07:10PM EST

Location: LoanDepot Park, Miami

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the SE at 13.6 mph. Temperature is at 91.0° with 64% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	NYM ML	MIA ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-132	+110	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-134	+112	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-2	+2	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

131W-151L

57.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

2W-8L

HOME

136W-151L

42.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/17/24	New York Mets NYM	0	Push	-0.0
05/17/24	Miami Marlins MIA	8	Push	-0.0
05/18/24	New York Mets NYM	9	Over	+11.0
05/18/24	Miami Marlins MIA	10	Over	+11.0
05/19/24	New York Mets NYM	7	Over	+2.0
05/19/24	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Over	+2.0
06/11/24	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Under	-2.0
06/11/24	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-2.0
06/12/24	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Over	+6.0
06/12/24	New York Mets NYM	10	Over	+6.0
06/13/24	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-3.0
06/13/24	New York Mets NYM	3	Under	-3.0
03/30/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Push	-0.0
03/30/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Push	-0.0
03/31/23	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-5.0
03/31/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-5.0
04/01/23	New York Mets NYM	6	Push	-0.0
04/01/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Push	-0.0
04/02/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Under	-2.0
04/02/23	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Under	-2.0
04/07/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Over	+4.0
04/07/23	New York Mets NYM	9	Over	+4.0
04/08/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-1.0
04/08/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Under	-1.0
04/09/23	Miami Marlins MIA	7	Over	+1.0
04/09/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Over	+1.0
09/18/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-5.0
09/18/23	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Under	-5.0
09/19/23	New York Mets NYM	3	Under	-1.0
09/19/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Under	-1.0
09/20/23	New York Mets NYM	8	Over	+3.0
09/20/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Over	+3.0
09/27/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Under	-2.0
09/27/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-2.0
09/27/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Over	+5.0
09/27/23	New York Mets NYM	11	Over	+5.0
10/02/23	Miami Marlins MIA	0	Under	-7.0
10/02/23	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-7.0

Mets Vs Over/Under

Marlins Vs Over/Under

Sean Manaea

ERA 3.457 | IP 96.3 | 6.0W-3.0L | KO 96.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-12-24	vsCOL	6-7W	7.0	5	3	9	Over
07-07-24	@PIT	3-2W	6.0	2	0	6	Under
07-02-24	@WAS	7-2W	7.0	5	2	5	Over
06-26-24	vsNYY	2-12W	5.0	2	0	3	Over
06-19-24	@TEX	3-5L	5.7	2	3	6	Push
06-14-24	vsSD	1-2W	5.0	4	1	7	Under
06-08-24	vsPHI	7-2L	3.7	7	6	3	Over
06-01-24	vsARI	10-5L	5.7	6	6	10	Over
05-26-24	vsSF	3-4W	5.0	5	2	6	Under
05-19-24	@MIA	7-3W	5.0	5	2	4	Over

Edward Cabrera

ERA 8.259 | IP 28.3 | 1.0W-3.0L | KO 42.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-13-24	@CIN	6-10L	3.3	6	7	7	Over
07-07-24	vsCWS	4-7W	3.7	4	2	4	Over
05-07-24	@LAD	2-8L	2.0	1	4	1	Over
05-02-24	vsCOL	4-5W	4.0	3	4	9	Over
04-27-24	vsWAS	11-4L	4.3	4	6	4	Over
04-21-24	@CHC	6-3W	5.0	7	3	7	Over
04-15-24	vsSF	4-3L	6.0	5	1	10	Under
09-29-23	@PIT	4-3W	3.7	6	3	3	Under
09-24-23	vsMIL	1-6W	5.0	5	1	5	Under
09-18-23	vsNYM	2-1L	5.3	4	1	4	Under

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/15	@ COL	7-3W	6	1	Over
07/14	@ COL	7-6W	10	5	Over
07/13	@ WAS	7-0W	9	0	Under
07/12	@ WAS	6-2W	12	1	Push
07/11	@ WAS	7-5W	11	2	Over
07/10	vs PIT	2-8L	8	1	Over
07/09	vs PIT	3-2W	9	0	Under
07/08	vs PIT	5-2W	11	0	Under
07/07	vs PIT	2-14L	5	1	Over
07/06	vs WAS	0-1L	1	0	Under
07/05	vs WAS	5-7L	5	3	Over
07/04	vs WAS	7-2W	11	2	Over
07/03	vs WAS	9-7W	12	2	Over
07/02	@ HOU	5-10L	5	1	Over
07/01	@ HOU	6-9L	11	1	Over

Marlins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/15	vs CIN	6-10L	15	2	Over
07/14	vs CIN	4-7L	11	1	Over
07/13	vs HOU	3-6L	11	2	Over
07/12	vs HOU	1-9L	6	0	Over
07/11	vs HOU	3-4L	6	2	Under
07/09	@ CWS	7-4W	7	1	Over
07/08	@ CWS	4-3W	9	1	Under
07/07	@ CWS	2-3L	7	0	Under
07/06	@ BOS	5-6L	8	1	Over
07/05	@ BOS	2-7L	9	0	Over
07/04	@ BOS	3-8L	7	2	Over
07/02	vs PHI	6-7L	11	1	Over
07/01	vs PHI	3-2W	8	1	Under
06/30	vs PHI	0-2L	3	0	Under
06/29	vs PHI	7-4W	13	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Francisco Lindor	10.0	13.2	0.250	0.453	0.363	0.816	0.332	0.045
#2 Brandon Nimmo	9.9	13.4	0.251	0.460	0.427	0.887	0.352	0.048
#3 J.D. Martinez	8.2	10.9	0.260	0.455	0.393	0.847	0.341	0.041
#4 Pete Alonso	8.4	11.2	0.241	0.449	0.360	0.809	0.329	0.050
#5 Francisco Alvarez	7.8	10.3	0.299	0.489	0.416	0.905	0.364	0.029
#6 Mark Vientos	7.4	9.8	0.298	0.562	0.382	0.944	0.382	0.067
#7 Jose Iglesias	6.9	9.0	0.360	0.573	0.413	0.987	0.403	0.040
#8 Jeff McNeil	6.1	7.9	0.215	0.311	0.297	0.608	0.254	0.017
#9 Harrison Bader	6.0	7.8	0.273	0.423	0.338	0.762	0.315	0.031

Miami Marlins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jazz Chisholm Jr.	7.5	9.7	0.245	0.405	0.348	0.752	0.307	0.034
#2 Bryan De La Cruz	6.8	8.8	0.245	0.416	0.315	0.731	0.302	0.043
#3 Jake Burger	7.2	9.4	0.221	0.364	0.279	0.643	0.268	0.036
#4 Josh Bell	6.9	9.0	0.230	0.360	0.320	0.680	0.282	0.025
#5 Otto Lopez	5.7	7.3	0.252	0.350	0.294	0.644	0.270	0.018
#6 Jesus Sanchez	6.2	8.1	0.245	0.428	0.316	0.743	0.307	0.041
#7 Xavier Edwards	5.9	7.2	0.333	0.412	0.451	0.863	0.347	0.000
#8 Emmanuel Rivera	5.2	6.8	0.212	0.252	0.338	0.589	0.247	0.000
#9 Nick Fortes	4.7	6.0	0.178	0.244	0.211	0.456	0.195	0.011

Mets Notable Injuries

David Peterson OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/13/24. Impact: 7.0
Starling Marte OUT (OF): Avg: 0.278 SLG:0.416 Last game: 06/24/24. Impact: 3.2
Reed Garrett OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/11/24. Impact: 0.8
Sean Reid-Foley OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/21/24. Impact: 0.9
Drew Smith OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/25/24. Impact: 1.0

Marlins Notable Injuries

Braxton Garrett OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/19/24. Impact: 6.0
Dane Myers OUT (OF): Avg: 0.265 SLG:0.422 Last game: 07/15/24. Impact: 2.8