Mets vs Marlins Game Breakdown

It’s game day, folks! Get ready as the New York Mets, holding a solid 49-47 record, storm into the sunny climes of LoanDepot Park to face the underdog Miami Marlins, who are looking to add some more surprises to their 34-63 season. The stakes are high with the Mets trying to claw back from a 12-game deficit in the National League, while the Marlins swim upstream, trailing by a hefty 27.5 games. With the first pitch at 4:10 PM EST, the betting lines are buzzing, setting the stage at an over/under of 8.5, favoring the Mets at -160. After yesterday’s face-off where the Marlins took a bite out of the Mets with a 6-4 victory, today’s partly cloudy skies promise a breezy backdrop for what’s expected to be another exhilarating showdown. So, as the winds from the ESE whip up some magic at 12.5 mph, let’s see if the Mets can reel in a win or if the Marlins continue to make waves in this aquatic clash!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 20, 2024 04:10PM EST

Location: LoanDepot Park, Miami

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the ESE at 12.5 mph. Temperature is at 87.1° with 75% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	NYM ML	MIA ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-160	+134	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-175	+144	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-15	+10	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

131W-152L

63.6% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

137W-151L

36.4% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/17/24	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-0.5
05/17/24	Miami Marlins MIA	8	Under	-0.5
05/18/24	New York Mets NYM	9	Over	+10.5
05/18/24	Miami Marlins MIA	10	Over	+10.5
05/19/24	New York Mets NYM	7	Over	+1.5
05/19/24	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Over	+1.5
06/11/24	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Under	-2.5
06/11/24	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-2.5
06/12/24	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Over	+5.5
06/12/24	New York Mets NYM	10	Over	+5.5
06/13/24	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-3.5
06/13/24	New York Mets NYM	3	Under	-3.5
07/19/24	New York Mets NYM	4	Over	+1.5
07/19/24	Miami Marlins MIA	6	Over	+1.5
03/30/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Under	-0.5
03/30/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Under	-0.5
03/31/23	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-5.5
03/31/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-5.5
04/01/23	New York Mets NYM	6	Under	-0.5
04/01/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-0.5
04/02/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Under	-2.5
04/02/23	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Under	-2.5
04/07/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Over	+3.5
04/07/23	New York Mets NYM	9	Over	+3.5
04/08/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-1.5
04/08/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Under	-1.5
04/09/23	Miami Marlins MIA	7	Over	+0.5
04/09/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Over	+0.5
09/18/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-5.5
09/18/23	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Under	-5.5
09/19/23	New York Mets NYM	3	Under	-1.5
09/19/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Under	-1.5
09/20/23	New York Mets NYM	8	Over	+2.5
09/20/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Over	+2.5
09/27/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Under	-2.5
09/27/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-2.5
09/27/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Over	+4.5
09/27/23	New York Mets NYM	11	Over	+4.5
10/02/23	Miami Marlins MIA	0	Under	-7.5
10/02/23	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-7.5

Mets Vs Over/Under

Marlins Vs Over/Under

Luis Severino

ERA 4.021 | IP 109.7 | 6.0W-3.0L | KO 81.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-10-24	vsWAS	2-6W	6.3	4	2	4	Under
07-05-24	@PIT	2-14L	6.0	9	7	3	Over
06-30-24	vsHOU	10-5L	7.0	8	4	3	Over
06-23-24	@CHC	5-2W	6.0	3	0	10	Under
06-18-24	@TEX	7-6W	6.3	8	6	1	Over
06-13-24	vsMIA	2-3W	6.0	7	1	2	Under
06-05-24	@WAS	9-1W	8.0	7	1	4	Over
05-31-24	vsARI	9-10W	5.3	6	5	4	Over
05-25-24	vsSF	7-2L	7.0	2	1	6	Over
05-18-24	@MIA	9-10L	6.7	6	5	3	Over

Roddery Munoz

ERA 5.471 | IP 51.0 | 1.0W-4.0L | KO 42.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-11-24	@HOU	3-6L	6.7	5	6	2	Over
07-05-24	vsCWS	3-2L	4.0	4	2	2	Under
06-29-24	@PHI	3-2W	4.7	5	2	4	Under
06-24-24	@KC	1-4L	6.0	6	4	4	Under
06-18-24	vsSTL	8-9W	4.0	8	7	3	Over
06-13-24	@NYM	2-3L	6.0	1	0	5	Under
06-08-24	vsCLE	8-0L	4.0	5	4	3	Under
05-06-24	@LAD	3-6L	4.7	7	6	5	Over
05-01-24	vsCOL	1-4W	6.0	3	1	7	Under
04-20-24	@CHC	3-5L	5.0	2	2	7	Under

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/21	vs MIA	4-6L	8	2	Over
07/15	@ COL	7-3W	6	1	Over
07/14	@ COL	7-6W	10	5	Over
07/13	@ WAS	7-0W	9	0	Under
07/12	@ WAS	6-2W	12	1	Under
07/11	@ WAS	7-5W	11	2	Over
07/10	vs PIT	2-8L	8	1	Over
07/09	vs PIT	3-2W	9	0	Under
07/08	vs PIT	5-2W	11	0	Under
07/07	vs PIT	2-14L	5	1	Over
07/06	vs WAS	0-1L	1	0	Under
07/05	vs WAS	5-7L	5	3	Over
07/04	vs WAS	7-2W	11	2	Over
07/03	vs WAS	9-7W	12	2	Over
07/02	@ HOU	5-10L	5	1	Over

Marlins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/21	@ NYM	6-4W	10	1	Over
07/15	vs CIN	6-10L	15	2	Over
07/14	vs CIN	4-7L	11	1	Over
07/13	vs HOU	3-6L	11	2	Over
07/12	vs HOU	1-9L	6	0	Over
07/11	vs HOU	3-4L	6	2	Under
07/09	@ CWS	7-4W	7	1	Over
07/08	@ CWS	4-3W	9	1	Under
07/07	@ CWS	2-3L	7	0	Under
07/06	@ BOS	5-6L	8	1	Over
07/05	@ BOS	2-7L	9	0	Over
07/04	@ BOS	3-8L	7	2	Over
07/02	vs PHI	6-7L	11	1	Over
07/01	vs PHI	3-2W	8	1	Under
06/30	vs PHI	0-2L	3	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Francisco Lindor	9.8	12.9	0.251	0.452	0.368	0.820	0.334	0.044
#2 Brandon Nimmo	9.7	13.1	0.251	0.457	0.428	0.885	0.352	0.047
#3 J.D. Martinez	9.2	12.2	0.257	0.449	0.392	0.841	0.339	0.041
#4 Pete Alonso	9.0	11.9	0.239	0.445	0.363	0.808	0.328	0.049
#5 Francisco Alvarez	8.2	10.8	0.298	0.482	0.411	0.894	0.360	0.028
#6 Mark Vientos	7.0	9.2	0.297	0.555	0.379	0.934	0.379	0.066
#7 Jose Iglesias	6.8	8.9	0.359	0.577	0.423	1.000	0.407	0.038
#8 Jeff McNeil	6.7	8.7	0.222	0.337	0.303	0.640	0.267	0.024
#9 Harrison Bader	6.3	8.1	0.269	0.417	0.333	0.750	0.310	0.030

Miami Marlins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jazz Chisholm Jr.	8.3	10.7	0.247	0.404	0.348	0.753	0.308	0.034
#2 Xavier Edwards	7.4	9.1	0.327	0.400	0.436	0.836	0.338	0.000
#3 Bryan De La Cruz	6.3	8.2	0.243	0.412	0.311	0.723	0.299	0.042
#4 Josh Bell	7.1	9.2	0.231	0.358	0.319	0.678	0.281	0.025
#5 Jesus Sanchez	7.3	9.5	0.245	0.425	0.315	0.740	0.306	0.040
#6 Jake Burger	5.8	7.6	0.225	0.380	0.282	0.662	0.275	0.039
#7 Nick Gordon	5.6	7.2	0.231	0.394	0.271	0.665	0.277	0.036
#8 Otto Lopez	4.7	6.0	0.253	0.355	0.301	0.657	0.274	0.018
#9 Ali Sanchez	4.3	5.1	0.250	0.250	0.357	0.607	0.255	0.000

Mets Notable Injuries

David Peterson OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/13/24. Impact: 7.0
Starling Marte OUT (OF): Avg: 0.278 SLG:0.416 Last game: 06/24/24. Impact: 3.2
Reed Garrett OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/11/24. Impact: 0.8
Sean Reid-Foley OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/21/24. Impact: 0.9
Drew Smith OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/25/24. Impact: 1.0