Mets vs Marlins Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown at LoanDepot Park today as the New York Mets, looking sharp with a 50-47 record, swoop into Miami to clash with the struggling Marlins, who are trying to find their fins at 34-64. The clock’s ticking down to a 01:40 PM EST start, and with the Mets looking to close an 11-game gap and the Marlins a whopping 27.5 games adrift in the National League standings, every pitch counts. Vegas has the chatter buzzing with an over/under of 8.5 and the Mets favored to keep their winning streak alive. As the patchy rain threatens to sprinkle some drama with gusty winds, the Mets aim to freeze the Marlins in their tracks again after yesterday’s narrow escape. So, whether you’re betting slips or fantasy rosters are ready, make sure you’re tuned in because today, it’s all about whether the Mets can catch another win or the Marlins can flip the script!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 21, 2024 01:40PM EST

Location: LoanDepot Park, Miami

Weather: Patchy rain nearby with winds from the ESE at 13.2 mph. Temperature is at 86.5° with 68% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	NYM ML	MIA ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-149	+125	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-141	+118	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+8	-7	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

132W-152L

58.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

137W-152L

41.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/17/24	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-0.5
05/17/24	Miami Marlins MIA	8	Under	-0.5
05/18/24	New York Mets NYM	9	Over	+10.5
05/18/24	Miami Marlins MIA	10	Over	+10.5
05/19/24	New York Mets NYM	7	Over	+1.5
05/19/24	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Over	+1.5
06/11/24	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Under	-2.5
06/11/24	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-2.5
06/12/24	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Over	+5.5
06/12/24	New York Mets NYM	10	Over	+5.5
06/13/24	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-3.5
06/13/24	New York Mets NYM	3	Under	-3.5
07/19/24	New York Mets NYM	4	Over	+1.5
07/19/24	Miami Marlins MIA	6	Over	+1.5
07/20/24	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-7.5
07/20/24	Miami Marlins MIA	0	Under	-7.5
03/30/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Under	-0.5
03/30/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Under	-0.5
03/31/23	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-5.5
03/31/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-5.5
04/01/23	New York Mets NYM	6	Under	-0.5
04/01/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-0.5
04/02/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Under	-2.5
04/02/23	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Under	-2.5
04/07/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Over	+3.5
04/07/23	New York Mets NYM	9	Over	+3.5
04/08/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-1.5
04/08/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Under	-1.5
04/09/23	Miami Marlins MIA	7	Over	+0.5
04/09/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Over	+0.5
09/18/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-5.5
09/18/23	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Under	-5.5
09/19/23	New York Mets NYM	3	Under	-1.5
09/19/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Under	-1.5
09/20/23	New York Mets NYM	8	Over	+2.5
09/20/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Over	+2.5
09/27/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Under	-2.5
09/27/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-2.5
09/27/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Over	+4.5
09/27/23	New York Mets NYM	11	Over	+4.5
10/02/23	Miami Marlins MIA	0	Under	-7.5
10/02/23	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-7.5

Mets Vs Over/Under

Marlins Vs Over/Under

Christian Scott

ERA 4.362 | IP 43.3 | 0.0W-2.0L | KO 35.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-13-24	vsCOL	3-7W	4.3	7	3	5	Over
07-08-24	@PIT	2-8L	5.7	1	2	3	Over
07-03-24	@WAS	5-7L	5.7	6	4	2	Over
05-30-24	vsARI	2-3W	5.0	4	2	4	Under
05-24-24	vsSF	8-7L	6.0	2	2	4	Over
05-17-24	@MIA	0-8L	4.0	7	4	3	Under
05-11-24	vsATL	4-1L	6.0	6	3	8	Under
05-04-24	@TB	1-3L	6.7	5	1	6	Under

Trevor Rogers

ERA 4.818 | IP 89.7 | 1.0W-9.0L | KO 75.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-09-24	@HOU	3-4L	5.3	6	2	5	Under
07-03-24	vsBOS	7-2L	3.0	5	2	6	Over
06-27-24	@PHI	7-4W	6.0	6	3	4	Over
06-21-24	vsSEA	2-3W	6.3	4	2	5	Under
06-15-24	@WAS	0-4L	7.0	6	2	3	Under
06-09-24	vsCLE	6-3L	5.0	2	1	5	Over
06-02-24	vsTEX	6-0L	6.0	6	4	3	Under
05-27-24	@SD	1-2L	5.3	6	1	3	Under
05-21-24	vsMIL	7-5L	3.7	6	4	4	Over
05-15-24	@DET	2-0W	5.0	3	0	6	Under

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/22	vs MIA	1-0W	6	0	Under
07/21	vs MIA	4-6L	8	2	Over
07/15	@ COL	7-3W	6	1	Over
07/14	@ COL	7-6W	10	5	Over
07/13	@ WAS	7-0W	9	0	Under
07/12	@ WAS	6-2W	12	1	Under
07/11	@ WAS	7-5W	11	2	Over
07/10	vs PIT	2-8L	8	1	Over
07/09	vs PIT	3-2W	9	0	Under
07/08	vs PIT	5-2W	11	0	Under
07/07	vs PIT	2-14L	5	1	Over
07/06	vs WAS	0-1L	1	0	Under
07/05	vs WAS	5-7L	5	3	Over
07/04	vs WAS	7-2W	11	2	Over
07/03	vs WAS	9-7W	12	2	Over

Marlins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/22	@ NYM	0-1L	4	0	Under
07/21	@ NYM	6-4W	10	1	Over
07/15	vs CIN	6-10L	15	2	Over
07/14	vs CIN	4-7L	11	1	Over
07/13	vs HOU	3-6L	11	2	Over
07/12	vs HOU	1-9L	6	0	Over
07/11	vs HOU	3-4L	6	2	Under
07/09	@ CWS	7-4W	7	1	Over
07/08	@ CWS	4-3W	9	1	Under
07/07	@ CWS	2-3L	7	0	Under
07/06	@ BOS	5-6L	8	1	Over
07/05	@ BOS	2-7L	9	0	Over
07/04	@ BOS	3-8L	7	2	Over
07/02	vs PHI	6-7L	11	1	Over
07/01	vs PHI	3-2W	8	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Francisco Lindor	9.3	12.3	0.251	0.450	0.370	0.819	0.333	0.044
#2 Brandon Nimmo	9.2	12.4	0.248	0.452	0.426	0.878	0.349	0.047
#3 J.D. Martinez	8.7	11.5	0.257	0.446	0.390	0.835	0.337	0.040
#4 Pete Alonso	8.0	10.6	0.239	0.446	0.361	0.807	0.328	0.049
#5 Mark Vientos	7.6	10.0	0.293	0.549	0.386	0.935	0.378	0.065
#6 Luis Torrens	7.0	9.3	0.283	0.547	0.358	0.906	0.370	0.057
#7 Jose Iglesias	7.0	9.1	0.366	0.573	0.427	1.000	0.407	0.037
#8 Tyrone Taylor	6.7	8.8	0.222	0.389	0.281	0.670	0.279	0.027
#9 Harrison Bader	6.0	7.8	0.268	0.415	0.332	0.747	0.309	0.030

Miami Marlins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jazz Chisholm Jr.	8.2	10.6	0.244	0.400	0.347	0.747	0.305	0.033
#2 Bryan De La Cruz	7.1	9.2	0.240	0.407	0.308	0.715	0.296	0.042
#3 Josh Bell	7.5	9.8	0.229	0.355	0.320	0.675	0.280	0.025
#4 Jake Burger	6.8	8.8	0.226	0.380	0.286	0.666	0.277	0.038
#5 Jesus Sanchez	7.0	9.1	0.249	0.426	0.318	0.744	0.307	0.040
#6 Otto Lopez	5.8	7.4	0.254	0.355	0.308	0.663	0.276	0.018
#7 Xavier Edwards	5.3	6.6	0.310	0.379	0.431	0.810	0.328	0.000
#8 Vidal Brujan	4.6	5.9	0.217	0.314	0.326	0.640	0.266	0.006
#9 Nick Fortes	4.2	5.3	0.183	0.247	0.215	0.462	0.198	0.011

Mets Notable Injuries

David Peterson OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/13/24. Impact: 7.0
Starling Marte OUT (OF): Avg: 0.278 SLG:0.416 Last game: 06/24/24. Impact: 3.2
Reed Garrett OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/11/24. Impact: 0.8
Sean Reid-Foley OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/21/24. Impact: 0.9
Drew Smith OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/25/24. Impact: 1.0