Mets vs Brewers Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some serious diamond action as the New York Mets, with a respectable 87W-71L record, gear up to clash with the Milwaukee Brewers, who are sitting pretty at the top of the National League with a 92W-68L record, at the iconic American Family Field tonight at 07:15 PM EST. The stakes are high and the stats are tight—Mets are looking to close a 6-game gap while the Brewers aim to maintain their lead. With the betting lines buzzing and the over/under teasing at 8.0, tonight’s game promises to be an explosive mix of strategy and suspense, especially with the Brewers fresh off a victory against our Mets. The weather’s playing ball too—partly cloudy skies with a brisk breeze, perfect for some major league magic. So, as the Mets try to brew up a storm against Milwaukee, let’s see if they can serve up a cold one to the leaders or if the Brewers will keep fermenting success!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 28, 2024 07:15PM EST

Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the NE at 18.3 mph. Temperature is at 70.0° with 71% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	NYM ML	MIL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+100	-120	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	-114	-106	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-214	+14	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

149W-167L

53.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

184W-135L

46.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
03/29/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	3	Under	-4.0
03/29/24	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-4.0
03/30/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	7	Over	+5.0
03/30/24	New York Mets NYM	6	Over	+5.0
03/31/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	4	Under	-3.0
03/31/24	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-3.0
09/27/24	New York Mets NYM	4	Over	+4.0
09/27/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	8	Over	+4.0
04/03/23	New York Mets NYM	0	Over	+2.0
04/03/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	10	Over	+2.0
04/04/23	New York Mets NYM	0	Over	+1.0
04/04/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	9	Over	+1.0
04/05/23	New York Mets NYM	6	Over	+5.0
04/05/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	7	Over	+5.0
06/26/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	2	Under	-5.0
06/26/23	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-5.0
06/27/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	2	Over	+1.0
06/27/23	New York Mets NYM	7	Over	+1.0
06/28/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	5	Under	-1.0
06/28/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-1.0
06/29/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	3	Under	-3.0
06/29/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-3.0

Mets Vs Over/Under

Brewers Vs Over/Under

Jose Quintana

ERA 3.593 | IP 160.3 | 10.0W-8.0L | KO 118.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-18-24	vsWAS	0-10W	7.0	2	0	4	Over
09-13-24	@PHI	11-3W	7.0	3	0	4	Over
09-07-24	vsCIN	0-4W	6.7	5	0	6	Under
08-31-24	@CWS	5-3W	5.0	6	2	6	Under
08-25-24	@SD	2-3L	6.3	4	0	0	Under
08-20-24	vsBAL	9-5L	5.0	8	7	3	Over
08-15-24	vsOAK	7-6L	4.0	7	4	1	Over
08-09-24	@SEA	0-6L	6.7	4	5	8	Under
08-04-24	@LAA	2-3L	5.0	3	3	4	Under
07-29-24	vsMIN	2-15W	6.0	5	1	5	Over

Jared Koenig

ERA 2.613 | IP 62.0 | 10.0W-4.0L | KO 61.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-24-24	@PIT	7-2W	1.3	2	0	2	Over
09-20-24	vsARI	7-4L	4.0	5	3	4	Over
09-16-24	vsPHI	2-6W	2.7	3	0	1	Under
09-11-24	@SF	2-13L	4.0	11	10	1	Over
09-04-24	vsSTL	3-2L	4.0	4	2	4	Under
08-30-24	@CIN	5-4W	4.0	6	4	5	Over
08-24-24	@OAK	9-5W	6.7	8	4	5	Over
08-18-24	vsCLE	0-2W	7.0	2	0	5	Under
08-13-24	vsLAD	7-2L	6.0	10	7	4	Over
08-06-24	@ATL	10-0W	7.0	5	0	9	Over
09-26-24	@PIT	5-2W	1.0	0	0	0	Under
09-22-24	vsARI	9-10W	1.0	1	1	0	Over
09-22-24	vsARI	9-10W	1.0	1	1	0	Over
09-20-24	vsARI	7-4L	0.7	0	0	1	Over
09-18-24	vsPHI	1-2W	1.3	0	0	2	Under
09-15-24	@ARI	10-11L	1.0	4	3	0	Over
09-13-24	@ARI	2-1W	1.0	0	0	1	Under
09-07-24	vsCOL	2-5W	2.0	2	1	2	Under
09-03-24	vsSTL	7-4L	1.0	1	1	1	Over
09-01-24	@CIN	3-4L	1.0	0	0	0	Under

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/29	vs MIL	4-7L	7	1	Over
09/26	vs ATL	1-5L	4	1	Under
09/24	@ PHI	2-1W	7	1	Under
09/24	@ PHI	2-1W	7	1	Under
09/23	@ PHI	6-3W	9	2	Over
09/22	@ PHI	2-12L	4	1	Over
09/21	@ PHI	10-6W	11	4	Over
09/20	@ WAS	10-0W	11	2	Over
09/19	@ WAS	10-1W	14	3	Over
09/18	@ WAS	2-1W	6	0	Under
09/17	vs PHI	1-2L	7	1	Under
09/16	vs PHI	4-6L	9	0	Over
09/15	vs PHI	11-3W	14	4	Over
09/13	vs TOR	6-2W	4	2	Under
09/12	vs TOR	2-6L	6	0	Under

Brewers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/29	@ NYM	7-4W	8	2	Over
09/28	vs PIT	5-2W	14	0	Under
09/27	vs PIT	1-2L	5	1	Under
09/26	vs PIT	7-2W	6	0	Over
09/24	@ ARI	10-9W	16	0	Over
09/24	@ ARI	10-9W	16	0	Over
09/23	@ ARI	0-5L	2	0	Under
09/22	@ ARI	4-7L	12	3	Over
09/21	@ ARI	1-5L	2	1	Under
09/20	@ PHI	2-1W	5	1	Under
09/19	@ PHI	1-5L	5	0	Under
09/18	@ PHI	6-2W	8	0	Under
09/17	vs ARI	10-11L	13	2	Over
09/16	vs ARI	15-8W	16	4	Over
09/15	vs ARI	2-1W	6	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Francisco Lindor	8.6	11.3	0.271	0.493	0.379	0.872	0.353	0.051
#2 Mark Vientos	7.9	10.4	0.273	0.532	0.360	0.892	0.363	0.068
#3 Brandon Nimmo	8.8	11.8	0.227	0.408	0.386	0.794	0.320	0.042
#4 Pete Alonso	8.6	11.5	0.238	0.457	0.374	0.831	0.336	0.056
#5 Starling Marte	7.4	9.5	0.264	0.383	0.350	0.733	0.301	0.021
#6 J.D. Martinez	7.2	9.6	0.230	0.401	0.357	0.758	0.309	0.038
#7 Jose Iglesias	6.8	8.6	0.336	0.455	0.407	0.862	0.353	0.016
#8 Luis Torrens	5.5	7.3	0.239	0.389	0.336	0.726	0.299	0.027
#9 Harrison Bader	5.4	7.0	0.238	0.377	0.313	0.690	0.287	0.031

Milwaukee Brewers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Brice Turang	7.5	9.5	0.253	0.348	0.347	0.695	0.286	0.013
#2 Jackson Chourio	7.7	10.1	0.277	0.467	0.358	0.825	0.337	0.040
#3 William Contreras	8.8	11.6	0.285	0.466	0.420	0.886	0.355	0.037
#4 Willy Adames	8.3	11.0	0.248	0.458	0.369	0.826	0.334	0.051
#5 Rhys Hoskins	7.8	10.6	0.216	0.422	0.349	0.771	0.314	0.058
#6 Joey Ortiz	7.0	9.2	0.237	0.399	0.376	0.774	0.314	0.025
#7 Gary Sanchez	6.5	8.7	0.217	0.389	0.348	0.738	0.301	0.045
#8 Isaac Collins	5.8	6.9	0.100	0.100	0.200	0.300	0.136	0.000
#9 Blake Perkins	5.4	7.0	0.246	0.337	0.360	0.697	0.286	0.016

Mets Notable Injuries

Francisco Lindor OUT (SS): Avg: 0.271 SLG:0.493 Last game: 09/29/24. Impact: 3.5
Jeff McNeil OUT (2B/OF): Avg: 0.238 SLG:0.382 Last game: 09/08/24. Impact: 1.9