Mets vs Brewers Game Breakdown

Strap in, sports fans! Today’s MLB showdown is set to be a sizzler as the New York Mets, trailing with a respectable 87 wins, march into the lion’s den at American Family Field to face the roaring Milwaukee Brewers, who are sitting pretty at the top of the National League with 93 wins. The first pitch is slated for a 3:10 PM EST start, and with the Brewers fresh off a dominant 6-0 victory against the Mets just yesterday, the stakes are sky-high. The betting lines are buzzing too, with an over/under of 8.0, keeping everyone on their toes. As the winds whip across the field at 15.7 mph under partly cloudy skies, the temperature’s a cool 70 degrees—perfect for brewing up some action. Will the Mets cook up a storm or will the Brewers keep tapping that winning keg? Let’s find out if the Mets can “Met”amorphose their fortunes or if the Brewers will continue to “barrel” through the competition!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 29, 2024 03:10PM EST

Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the NE at 15.7 mph. Temperature is at 70.0° with 66% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	NYM ML	MIL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-120	+100	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-123	+103	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-3	+3	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

149W-168L

55.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

185W-135L

44.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
03/29/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	3	Under	-4.0
03/29/24	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-4.0
09/28/24	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-2.0
09/28/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	6	Under	-2.0
03/30/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	7	Over	+5.0
03/30/24	New York Mets NYM	6	Over	+5.0
03/31/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	4	Under	-3.0
03/31/24	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-3.0
09/27/24	New York Mets NYM	4	Over	+4.0
09/27/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	8	Over	+4.0
04/03/23	New York Mets NYM	0	Over	+2.0
04/03/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	10	Over	+2.0
04/04/23	New York Mets NYM	0	Over	+1.0
04/04/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	9	Over	+1.0
04/05/23	New York Mets NYM	6	Over	+5.0
04/05/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	7	Over	+5.0
06/26/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	2	Under	-5.0
06/26/23	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-5.0
06/27/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	2	Over	+1.0
06/27/23	New York Mets NYM	7	Over	+1.0
06/28/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	5	Under	-1.0
06/28/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-1.0
06/29/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	3	Under	-3.0
06/29/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-3.0

Mets Vs Over/Under

Brewers Vs Over/Under

Jose Quintana

ERA 3.607 | IP 164.7 | 10.0W-9.0L | KO 127.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-28-24	@MIL	0-6L	4.3	5	2	9	Under
09-18-24	vsWAS	0-10W	7.0	2	0	4	Over
09-13-24	@PHI	11-3W	7.0	3	0	4	Over
09-07-24	vsCIN	0-4W	6.7	5	0	6	Under
08-31-24	@CWS	5-3W	5.0	6	2	6	Push
08-25-24	@SD	2-3L	6.3	4	0	0	Under
08-20-24	vsBAL	9-5L	5.0	8	7	3	Over
08-15-24	vsOAK	7-6L	4.0	7	4	1	Over
08-09-24	@SEA	0-6L	6.7	4	5	8	Under
08-04-24	@LAA	2-3L	5.0	3	3	4	Under

Jared Koenig

ERA 2.571 | IP 63.0 | 10.0W-4.0L | KO 63.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-24-24	@PIT	7-2W	1.3	2	0	2	Over
09-20-24	vsARI	7-4L	4.0	5	3	4	Over
09-16-24	vsPHI	2-6W	2.7	3	0	1	Push
09-11-24	@SF	2-13L	4.0	11	10	1	Over
09-04-24	vsSTL	3-2L	4.0	4	2	4	Under
08-30-24	@CIN	5-4W	4.0	6	4	5	Over
08-24-24	@OAK	9-5W	6.7	8	4	5	Over
08-18-24	vsCLE	0-2W	7.0	2	0	5	Under
08-13-24	vsLAD	7-2L	6.0	10	7	4	Over
08-06-24	@ATL	10-0W	7.0	5	0	9	Over
09-28-24	vsNYM	0-6W	1.0	1	0	2	Under
09-26-24	@PIT	5-2W	1.0	0	0	0	Under
09-22-24	vsARI	9-10W	1.0	1	1	0	Over
09-22-24	vsARI	9-10W	1.0	1	1	0	Over
09-20-24	vsARI	7-4L	0.7	0	0	1	Over
09-18-24	vsPHI	1-2W	1.3	0	0	2	Under
09-15-24	@ARI	10-11L	1.0	4	3	0	Over
09-13-24	@ARI	2-1W	1.0	0	0	1	Under
09-07-24	vsCOL	2-5W	2.0	2	1	2	Under
09-03-24	vsSTL	7-4L	1.0	1	1	1	Over

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/30	vs MIL	0-6L	2	0	Under
09/29	vs MIL	4-7L	7	1	Over
09/26	vs ATL	1-5L	4	1	Under
09/24	@ PHI	2-1W	7	1	Under
09/24	@ PHI	2-1W	7	1	Under
09/23	@ PHI	6-3W	9	2	Over
09/22	@ PHI	2-12L	4	1	Over
09/21	@ PHI	10-6W	11	4	Over
09/20	@ WAS	10-0W	11	2	Over
09/19	@ WAS	10-1W	14	3	Over
09/18	@ WAS	2-1W	6	0	Under
09/17	vs PHI	1-2L	7	1	Under
09/16	vs PHI	4-6L	9	0	Over
09/15	vs PHI	11-3W	14	4	Over
09/13	vs TOR	6-2W	4	2	Push

Brewers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/30	@ NYM	6-0W	9	0	Under
09/29	@ NYM	7-4W	8	2	Over
09/28	vs PIT	5-2W	14	0	Under
09/27	vs PIT	1-2L	5	1	Under
09/26	vs PIT	7-2W	6	0	Over
09/24	@ ARI	10-9W	16	0	Over
09/24	@ ARI	10-9W	16	0	Over
09/23	@ ARI	0-5L	2	0	Under
09/22	@ ARI	4-7L	12	3	Over
09/21	@ ARI	1-5L	2	1	Under
09/20	@ PHI	2-1W	5	1	Under
09/19	@ PHI	1-5L	5	0	Under
09/18	@ PHI	6-2W	8	0	Push
09/17	vs ARI	10-11L	13	2	Over
09/16	vs ARI	15-8W	16	4	Over

Team’s Batting Order

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Francisco Lindor	9.0	11.8	0.269	0.490	0.376	0.866	0.351	0.051
#2 Mark Vientos	8.3	11.0	0.270	0.527	0.356	0.884	0.360	0.067
#3 Brandon Nimmo	8.7	11.7	0.226	0.405	0.384	0.789	0.318	0.041
#4 Pete Alonso	8.5	11.3	0.237	0.455	0.372	0.827	0.334	0.055
#5 Starling Marte	7.3	9.4	0.265	0.386	0.349	0.735	0.302	0.021
#6 J.D. Martinez	7.3	9.7	0.230	0.401	0.357	0.758	0.309	0.038
#7 Jose Iglesias	6.9	8.7	0.336	0.453	0.410	0.863	0.353	0.016
#8 Luis Torrens	5.8	7.7	0.235	0.383	0.330	0.713	0.295	0.026
#9 Harrison Bader	5.8	7.6	0.237	0.375	0.311	0.686	0.286	0.031

Milwaukee Brewers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Brice Turang	7.5	9.5	0.253	0.348	0.347	0.695	0.286	0.013
#2 Jackson Chourio	7.4	9.7	0.278	0.469	0.358	0.827	0.338	0.040
#3 William Contreras	8.2	10.8	0.283	0.464	0.420	0.884	0.354	0.037
#4 Willy Adames	8.2	10.9	0.250	0.458	0.369	0.828	0.335	0.051
#5 Rhys Hoskins	8.0	10.9	0.214	0.419	0.349	0.768	0.312	0.057
#6 Joey Ortiz	6.9	9.2	0.238	0.398	0.378	0.776	0.314	0.025
#7 Gary Sanchez	6.8	9.1	0.215	0.386	0.346	0.732	0.299	0.045
#8 Isaac Collins	5.8	7.0	0.154	0.154	0.308	0.462	0.199	0.000
#9 Blake Perkins	5.9	7.6	0.246	0.337	0.360	0.697	0.286	0.016