Mets vs Yankees Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown at Yankee Stadium tonight as the Big Apple gets split down the middle! The New York Mets, hustling hard with a 51-48 record, are charging into enemy territory to face off against the 59-42 New York Yankees in a clash that’s more electrifying than a subway third rail. With the first pitch at 07:05 PM EST, the stakes are sky-high as the Mets look to close a hefty 11-game gap in the NL, while the Yankees aim to tighten their 2-game AL chase. The betting gods have spoken with an over/under of 8.5 and the odds slightly leaning towards the Yankees. Both teams are riding the high of recent victories, and with a forecast predicting some tricky winds and a sprinkle of rain, tonight’s game promises all the drama of a Broadway hit. So, who will take a bite out of the Big Apple? Let’s find out if the Mets can ‘Metamorphose’ or if the Yankees will ‘Yank’ away the victory!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 23, 2024 07:05PM EST

Location: Yankee Stadium, New York

Weather: Patchy rain nearby with winds from the SSW at 6.3 mph. Temperature is at 83.8° with 51% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	NYM ML	NYY ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+131	-157	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+135	-161	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+4	-4	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

133W-153L

42.6% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

169W-118L

57.4% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
06/25/24	New York Yankees NYY	7	Over	+7.5
06/25/24	New York Mets NYM	9	Over	+7.5
06/26/24	New York Yankees NYY	2	Over	+5.5
06/26/24	New York Mets NYM	12	Over	+5.5
06/13/23	New York Yankees NYY	7	Over	+4.5
06/13/23	New York Mets NYM	6	Over	+4.5
06/14/23	New York Yankees NYY	3	Under	-1.5
06/14/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Under	-1.5
07/25/23	New York Mets NYM	9	Over	+3.5
07/25/23	New York Yankees NYY	3	Over	+3.5
07/26/23	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-4.5
07/26/23	New York Yankees NYY	3	Under	-4.5

Mets Vs Over/Under

Yankees Vs Over/Under

Jose Quintana

ERA 3.91 | IP 96.7 | 4.0W-5.0L | KO 71.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-09-24	vsWAS	5-7W	7.0	1	0	5	Over
07-04-24	@WAS	0-1L	7.0	4	0	1	Under
06-28-24	vsHOU	2-7W	4.0	6	2	7	Push
06-21-24	@CHC	11-1W	6.3	4	1	8	Over
06-15-24	vsSD	1-5W	6.0	2	1	6	Under
06-09-24	@PHI	6-5W	3.7	6	3	1	Over
06-02-24	vsARI	5-4L	4.0	4	3	4	Push
05-28-24	vsLAD	3-0L	6.0	8	3	3	Under
05-22-24	@CLE	3-6L	6.0	4	3	4	Push
05-16-24	@PHI	6-5W	5.3	4	2	4	Over

Luis Gil

ERA 3.166 | IP 102.3 | 10.0W-5.0L | KO 118.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-13-24	@BAL	6-1W	6.0	5	1	7	Under
07-07-24	vsBOS	3-0L	6.7	4	1	9	Under
07-02-24	vsCIN	5-4L	4.0	2	4	3	Push
06-26-24	@NYM	2-12L	4.3	4	5	2	Over
06-20-24	vsBAL	17-5L	1.3	8	7	1	Over
06-14-24	@BOS	8-1W	5.0	4	1	6	Push
06-09-24	vsLAD	4-6W	5.7	5	3	5	Over
06-04-24	vsMIN	1-5W	6.0	1	0	6	Under
05-29-24	@LAA	2-1W	8.0	2	1	9	Under
05-23-24	vsSEA	0-5W	6.3	1	0	8	Under

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/24	vs MIA	6-4W	11	3	Over
07/23	vs MIA	2-4L	8	0	Under
07/22	vs MIA	1-0W	6	0	Under
07/21	vs MIA	4-6L	8	2	Over
07/15	@ COL	7-3W	6	1	Over
07/14	@ COL	7-6W	10	5	Over
07/13	@ WAS	7-0W	9	0	Under
07/12	@ WAS	6-2W	12	1	Under
07/11	@ WAS	7-5W	11	2	Over
07/10	vs PIT	2-8L	8	1	Over
07/09	vs PIT	3-2W	9	0	Under
07/08	vs PIT	5-2W	11	0	Under
07/07	vs PIT	2-14L	5	1	Over
07/06	vs WAS	0-1L	1	0	Under
07/05	vs WAS	5-7L	5	3	Over

Yankees Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/24	@ TB	9-1W	15	5	Over
07/23	@ TB	4-6L	9	1	Over
07/22	@ TB	1-9L	5	0	Over
07/21	@ TB	6-1W	9	0	Under
07/15	vs BAL	6-1W	10	3	Under
07/14	vs BAL	4-1W	7	1	Under
07/13	vs TB	4-5L	8	2	Push
07/12	vs TB	2-1W	6	0	Under
07/11	vs TB	3-5L	7	1	Under
07/09	@ BOS	0-3L	4	0	Under
07/08	@ BOS	14-4W	14	4	Over
07/07	@ BOS	3-5L	6	0	Under
07/06	@ CIN	4-8L	7	3	Over
07/05	@ CIN	2-3L	5	0	Under
07/04	@ CIN	4-5L	6	1	Push

Team’s Batting Order

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Francisco Lindor	8.7	11.5	0.253	0.462	0.371	0.833	0.338	0.048
#2 Brandon Nimmo	8.5	11.4	0.245	0.444	0.425	0.869	0.346	0.046
#3 J.D. Martinez	7.3	9.7	0.261	0.444	0.393	0.837	0.337	0.039
#4 Pete Alonso	7.5	9.9	0.242	0.444	0.364	0.809	0.328	0.048
#5 Mark Vientos	7.1	9.4	0.298	0.548	0.388	0.936	0.379	0.064
#6 DJ Stewart	6.4	8.8	0.181	0.312	0.424	0.736	0.295	0.035
#7 Francisco Alvarez	6.2	8.1	0.282	0.456	0.396	0.852	0.344	0.027
#8 Jeff McNeil	5.4	7.0	0.220	0.341	0.298	0.639	0.267	0.026
#9 Jose Iglesias	5.0	6.4	0.371	0.584	0.438	1.022	0.414	0.034

New York Yankees	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 DJ LeMahieu	7.4	9.8	0.181	0.228	0.315	0.543	0.229	0.008
#1 Jose Rojas	8.7	8.7	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan
#2 Juan Soto	10.1	13.6	0.315	0.603	0.546	1.149	0.434	0.070
#3 Aaron Judge	10.4	14.1	0.315	0.683	0.534	1.216	0.461	0.098
#4 J.D. Davis	8.1	10.2	0.221	0.346	0.324	0.669	0.278	0.029
#5 Gleyber Torres	7.8	10.2	0.228	0.342	0.345	0.687	0.283	0.023
#6 Anthony Volpe	7.2	9.2	0.251	0.379	0.331	0.710	0.293	0.017
#7 Oswaldo Cabrera	6.3	8.3	0.245	0.345	0.314	0.659	0.274	0.023
#8 Jahmai Jones	5.5	7.1	0.256	0.410	0.359	0.769	0.315	0.026
#9 Carlos Narvaez	7.2	7.2	1.000	1.000	1.000	2.000	0.765	0.000

Mets Notable Injuries

Starling Marte OUT (OF): Avg: 0.278 SLG:0.416 Last game: 06/24/24. Impact: 3.2
Reed Garrett OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/11/24. Impact: 0.8
Drew Smith OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/25/24. Impact: 1.0

Yankees Notable Injuries

Giancarlo Stanton OUT (OF): Avg: 0.246 SLG:0.492 Last game: 06/24/24. Impact: 3.4
Jose Trevino OUT (C): Avg: 0.244 SLG:0.411 Last game: 07/14/24. Impact: 1.6