Mets vs Phillies Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble at Citizens Bank Park as the underdog New York Mets, trying to claw their way up from the depths of the National League, face off against the high-flying Philadelphia Phillies in a clash that’s got everyone talking. With the first pitch slated for 06:40 PM EST, the air is buzzing not just with the overcast chill and a brisk northern breeze, but with the palpable excitement of a game that could go either way. The Phillies are looking to keep their lead ironclad at the top of the standings after a dominating performance yesterday, while the Mets are itching to turn their luck around and upset the apple cart. The stakes are as high as the humidity, and with the betting lines tilting in Philly’s favor, all eyes will be on whether the Mets can swing back into action or if the Phillies will continue their march. So, as the teams gear up, remember, in this game of bats and gloves, it’s all about whether the Mets can ‘catch’ a break or if the Phillies will ‘fly’ away with another win!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 16, 2024 06:40PM EST

Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia

Weather: Overcast with winds from the N at 13.6 mph. Temperature is at 66.0° with 73% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	NYM ML	PHI ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+132	-158	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+120	-143	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-12	+15	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

117W-140L

45.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

8W-2L

HOME

156W-104L

54.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/13/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Over	+0.5
05/13/24	New York Mets NYM	4	Over	+0.5
05/14/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Under	-4.5
05/14/24	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-4.5
05/15/24	New York Mets NYM	5	Over	+6.5
05/15/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	10	Over	+6.5
10/01/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	9	Over	+1.5
10/01/23	New York Mets NYM	1	Over	+1.5
05/30/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	0	Under	-6.5
05/30/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-6.5
05/31/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	1	Under	-3.5
05/31/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Under	-3.5
06/01/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Under	-2.5
06/01/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Under	-2.5
06/23/23	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-2.5
06/23/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Under	-2.5
06/24/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Under	-2.5
06/24/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Under	-2.5
06/25/23	New York Mets NYM	6	Over	+4.5
06/25/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	7	Over	+4.5
09/21/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Over	+0.5
09/21/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Over	+0.5
09/22/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Over	+0.5
09/22/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Over	+0.5
09/23/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Over	+3.5
09/23/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	7	Over	+3.5
09/24/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-1.5
09/24/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Under	-1.5
09/30/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Over	+6.5
09/30/23	New York Mets NYM	11	Over	+6.5
09/30/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Under	-1.5
09/30/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Under	-1.5

Mets Vs Over/Under

Phillies Vs Over/Under

Jose Quintana

ERA 5.444 | IP 41.3 | 1.0W-4.0L | KO 28.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-10-24	vsATL	4-2L	5.0	6	4	3	Under
05-03-24	@TB	8-10L	2.7	10	8	2	Over
04-28-24	vsSTL	2-4W	8.0	3	1	3	Under
04-22-24	@SF	2-5L	5.0	7	5	4	Under
04-16-24	vsPIT	1-3W	5.0	4	1	4	Under
04-11-24	@ATL	16-4W	5.3	5	3	4	Over
04-05-24	@CIN	3-2W	5.7	5	1	4	Under
03-29-24	vsMIL	3-1L	4.7	6	2	4	Under
09-30-23	vsPHI	4-11W	4.0	7	4	5	Over
09-23-23	@PHI	5-7L	6.0	8	6	10	Over

Taijuan Walker

ERA 4.821 | IP 18.7 | 3.0W-0.0L | KO 15.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-11-24	@MIA	8-3W	6.0	8	1	4	Over
05-05-24	vsSF	4-5W	6.3	5	3	7	Over
04-28-24	@SD	8-6W	6.3	8	6	4	Over
09-30-23	@NYM	3-4L	7.0	4	4	3	Under
09-22-23	vsNYM	4-5W	6.0	5	2	4	Over
09-17-23	@STL	5-6L	7.0	8	5	3	Over
09-11-23	vsATL	10-8L	5.3	6	6	5	Over
09-04-23	@SD	9-7W	5.0	5	4	4	Over
08-28-23	vsLAA	4-6W	5.7	8	3	6	Over
08-22-23	vsSF	3-4W	5.0	6	3	7	Under

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/17	vs PHI	4-10L	9	1	Over
05/16	@ PHI	0-4L	4	0	Under
05/15	@ PHI	4-5L	8	0	Over
05/14	@ ATL	4-3W	10	1	Under
05/13	@ ATL	1-4L	2	1	Under
05/12	@ ATL	2-4L	4	1	Under
05/09	vs STL	7-5W	14	2	Over
05/08	vs STL	4-3W	10	1	Under
05/07	vs TB	6-7L	8	1	Over
05/06	vs TB	1-3L	6	0	Under
05/05	vs TB	8-10L	10	2	Over
05/04	@ CHC	7-6W	8	0	Over
05/03	@ CHC	0-1L	5	0	Under
05/02	@ CHC	4-2W	7	1	Under
05/01	@ CHC	1-3L	4	1	Under

Phillies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/17	@ NYM	10-4W	10	1	Over
05/16	vs NYM	4-0W	7	0	Under
05/15	vs NYM	5-4W	8	1	Over
05/14	vs MIA	6-7L	6	1	Over
05/13	vs MIA	8-3W	12	0	Over
05/12	vs MIA	8-2W	15	2	Over
05/10	@ TOR	3-5L	7	0	Push
05/09	@ TOR	10-1W	11	2	Over
05/08	@ SF	6-1W	10	2	Under
05/07	@ SF	5-4W	9	1	Over
05/06	@ SF	14-3W	12	1	Over
05/05	@ SF	3-3L	6	0	Under
05/03	vs LAA	2-1W	7	0	Under
05/02	vs LAA	7-5W	11	3	Over
05/01	vs LAA	5-6L	6	0	Over

Team’s Batting Order

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Brandon Nimmo	8.6	11.7	0.215	0.396	44.3%	83.9%	4.0%
#2 Starling Marte	7.3	9.3	0.255	0.369	32.5%	69.4%	2.5%
#3 Francisco Lindor	8.3	11.1	0.2	0.376	30.9%	68.5%	4.2%
#4 Pete Alonso	8.3	11.1	0.225	0.45	34.4%	79.4%	5.6%
#5 J.D. Martinez	8.2	10.2	0.295	0.459	36.1%	82.0%	3.3%
#6 Brett Baty	6.4	8.3	0.23	0.317	31.7%	63.5%	2.4%
#7 Harrison Bader	6.0	7.5	0.256	0.308	32.5%	63.2%	0.9%
#8 Jeff McNeil	5.7	7.2	0.236	0.312	34.7%	66.0%	0.7%
#9 Omar Narvaez	4.7	6.1	0.17	0.213	21.3%	42.6%	0.0%

Philadelphia Phillies	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Kyle Schwarber	9.1	12.4	0.225	0.406	40.0%	80.6%	5.6%
#2 J.T. Realmuto	9.0	11.6	0.273	0.439	35.3%	79.1%	3.6%
#3 Bryce Harper	8.7	11.8	0.264	0.521	45.8%	97.9%	6.9%
#4 Alec Bohm	7.3	9.7	0.331	0.519	45.0%	96.9%	2.5%
#5 Nick Castellanos	7.9	10.3	0.206	0.309	30.3%	61.2%	2.4%
#6 Bryson Stott	6.8	9.1	0.276	0.447	48.0%	92.7%	3.3%
#7 Edmundo Sosa	6.0	8.0	0.312	0.521	50.0%	102.1%	2.1%
#8 Cristian Pache	5.3	7.2	0.219	0.25	43.8%	68.8%	0.0%
#9 Johan Rojas	5.6	7.2	0.233	0.325	29.2%	61.7%	1.7%