Mets vs Pirates Game Breakdown

Get ready for a clash of the titans at PNC Park today as the New York Mets, looking to climb out of their mid-season hole, face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates in a battle that’s as evenly matched as a seesaw. Both teams are neck and neck this season, with the Mets and Pirates almost mirroring each other’s records. The stakes are high with the first pitch at 4:05 PM EST, under skies that promise just a few clouds to shade some stellar plays. After the Pirates sailed to a victory with a whopping 14 runs in their last encounter, the Mets are burning for a comeback, making today’s game a must-watch. The betting world’s buzzing too, setting the stage for an unpredictable showdown. So, as the winds whip across the field, will the Mets swing their fortunes, or will the Pirates plunder yet another win? Let’s find out if today’s game will be a ‘Met’-iculous comeback or a ‘Pirate’s’ treasure!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 06, 2024 04:05PM EST

Location: PNC Park, Pittsburgh

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the W at 9.4 mph. Temperature is at 80.1° with 58% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	NYM ML	PIT ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-136	+114	9.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-131	+109	9.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+5	-5	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

129W-150L

56.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

130W-153L

43.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/15/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Push	-0.0
04/15/24	New York Mets NYM	6	Push	-0.0
04/16/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	1	Under	-5.0
04/16/24	New York Mets NYM	3	Under	-5.0
04/17/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	1	Over	+1.0
04/17/24	New York Mets NYM	9	Over	+1.0
07/05/24	New York Mets NYM	2	Over	+7.0
07/05/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	14	Over	+7.0
06/09/23	New York Mets NYM	7	Over	+12.0
06/09/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	14	Over	+12.0
06/10/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Under	-3.0
06/10/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	1	Under	-3.0
06/11/23	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-6.0
06/11/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Under	-6.0
08/14/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Push	-0.0
08/14/23	New York Mets NYM	7	Push	-0.0
08/15/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	7	Over	+2.0
08/15/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Over	+2.0
08/16/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Over	+2.0
08/16/23	New York Mets NYM	8	Over	+2.0

Mets Vs Over/Under

Pirates Vs Over/Under

David Peterson

ERA 3.51 | IP 33.3 | 3.0W-0.0L | KO 22.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-01-24	@WAS	9-7W	6.3	7	2	2	Over
06-25-24	vsNYY	7-9W	4.3	3	1	8	Over
06-17-24	@TEX	14-2W	6.0	4	2	6	Over
06-12-24	vsMIA	4-10W	5.0	8	4	1	Over
06-04-24	@WAS	6-3W	6.7	5	2	2	Under
05-29-24	vsLAD	10-3L	5.0	7	3	3	Over
10-02-23	vsMIA	0-1W	6.3	4	0	8	Under
09-21-23	@PHI	4-5L	4.0	5	4	7	Under
09-15-23	vsCIN	5-3L	5.7	6	3	10	Under
09-09-23	@MIN	4-8L	6.0	8	3	8	Over

Bailey Falter

ERA 3.872 | IP 88.3 | 4.0W-6.0L | KO 59.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
06-30-24	@ATL	4-2W	5.0	2	1	5	Under
06-24-24	@CIN	5-11L	4.0	5	5	2	Over
06-18-24	vsCIN	2-1L	7.0	7	2	3	Under
06-12-24	@STL	2-4L	4.0	8	3	5	Under
06-06-24	vsLAD	11-7L	4.0	8	5	6	Over
05-31-24	@TOR	3-5L	6.0	2	0	5	Under
05-24-24	vsATL	5-11W	7.3	6	3	4	Over
05-18-24	@CHC	0-1L	7.7	3	0	2	Under
05-12-24	vsCHC	5-4L	6.0	5	2	1	Under
05-05-24	vsCOL	3-5W	5.3	6	3	3	Under

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/07	vs PIT	2-14L	5	1	Over
07/06	vs WAS	0-1L	1	0	Under
07/05	vs WAS	5-7L	5	3	Over
07/04	vs WAS	7-2W	11	2	Under
07/03	vs WAS	9-7W	12	2	Over
07/02	@ HOU	5-10L	5	1	Over
07/01	@ HOU	6-9L	11	1	Over
06/30	@ HOU	7-2W	9	3	Under
06/28	@ NYY	12-2W	12	3	Over
06/27	@ NYY	9-7W	12	4	Over
06/25	vs CHC	5-2W	9	3	Under
06/24	vs CHC	1-8L	7	1	Under
06/23	vs CHC	11-1W	14	3	Over
06/21	vs TEX	3-5L	5	1	Under
06/20	vs TEX	7-6W	10	2	Over

Pirates Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/07	@ NYM	14-2W	16	7	Over
07/06	@ STL	2-3L	7	1	Under
07/05	@ STL	5-4W	11	1	Under
07/04	@ STL	4-7L	7	2	Over
07/02	vs ATL	4-2W	6	2	Under
07/01	vs ATL	1-2L	7	0	Under
06/30	vs ATL	1-6L	6	0	Under
06/28	vs CIN	6-1W	10	2	Under
06/27	vs CIN	9-5W	10	2	Over
06/26	vs CIN	5-11L	10	1	Over
06/25	@ TB	1-3L	3	1	Under
06/24	@ TB	4-3W	5	1	Under
06/23	@ TB	3-10L	5	1	Over
06/21	@ CIN	1-0W	3	1	Under
06/20	@ CIN	1-2L	4	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Francisco Lindor	9.3	12.2	0.244	0.443	0.341	0.784	0.322	0.043
#2 Brandon Nimmo	9.1	12.3	0.243	0.439	0.432	0.870	0.346	0.043
#3 J.D. Martinez	8.5	11.3	0.267	0.479	0.392	0.871	0.351	0.046
#4 Pete Alonso	9.6	12.8	0.245	0.473	0.373	0.845	0.342	0.055
#5 Francisco Alvarez	7.5	9.9	0.292	0.492	0.400	0.892	0.360	0.033
#6 Mark Vientos	7.5	9.9	0.297	0.574	0.385	0.959	0.387	0.074
#7 Tyrone Taylor	7.6	10.0	0.215	0.366	0.279	0.645	0.270	0.029
#8 Jose Iglesias	6.7	8.7	0.357	0.500	0.411	0.911	0.373	0.018
#9 Harrison Bader	6.6	8.5	0.263	0.398	0.335	0.733	0.303	0.025

Pittsburgh Pirates	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Andrew McCutchen	8.5	11.2	0.229	0.396	0.378	0.775	0.313	0.044
#2 Bryan Reynolds	9.1	11.8	0.283	0.493	0.382	0.875	0.354	0.045
#3 Connor Joe	7.7	10.1	0.247	0.400	0.365	0.765	0.312	0.027
#4 Edward Olivares	7.1	9.4	0.227	0.337	0.331	0.669	0.277	0.029
#5 Nick Gonzales	6.8	8.9	0.270	0.416	0.337	0.753	0.311	0.028
#6 Ke’Bryan Hayes	7.4	9.4	0.229	0.301	0.322	0.623	0.260	0.013
#7 Jared Triolo	6.5	8.5	0.205	0.281	0.317	0.598	0.250	0.018
#8 Joey Bart	5.8	7.8	0.250	0.471	0.382	0.853	0.344	0.059
#9 Michael A. Taylor	6.3	8.1	0.210	0.284	0.284	0.568	0.238	0.012

Mets Notable Injuries

Starling Marte OUT (OF): Avg: 0.278 SLG:0.416 Last game: 06/24/24. Impact: 3.2
Edwin Diaz OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/25/24. Impact: 1.0
Sean Reid-Foley OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/21/24. Impact: 0.9
Drew Smith OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/25/24. Impact: 1.0

Pirates Notable Injuries

Jared Jones OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/05/24. Impact: 7.3
Martin Perez OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/06/24. Impact: 3.8
Hunter Stratton OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/15/24. Impact: 0.8
David Bednar OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/21/24. Impact: 1.3